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AEK Athens vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 09 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 76-78
23-18 17-13 14-27 22-20
Position#4
Record4-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game72.0
vs
PAOK 🏆
Greece
Position#3
Record4-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game78.8
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 6· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · AEK Athens v PAOK
16 Jan 2027
AAT v PAK
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
AAT76
PAK78
27 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK85
05 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK76
19 Jan 2025
AAT91
PAK68
21 Apr 2024
AAT99
PAK91
25 Nov 2023
AAT90
PAK70
27 Dec 2022
AAT71
PAK83
22 Jan 2022
AAT72
PAK67
16 May 2021
AAT87
PAK81
11 May 2021
AAT102
PAK89
27 Jan 2021
AAT76
PAK56
05 Dec 2020
AAT85
PAK84
28 Mar 2020
AAT v PAK
upcoming
13 Mar 2019
AAT62
PAK63
13 Oct 2018
AAT91
PAK71
19 May 2018
AAT88
PAK93
11 Apr 2018
AAT72
PAK81
25 Feb 2017
AAT77
PAK71
06 May 2015
AAT85
PAK93
13 Feb 2011
AAT73
PAK80
17 Apr 2010
AAT73
PAK90
04 Apr 2009
AAT93
PAK85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
W
91-67
91
67
+24
91avg 78
H19/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#2
L
70-84
70
84
-14
66avg 78
H26/09
Super Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
87-85
87
85
+2
82avg 78
A04/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#38
W
69-53
69
53
+16
67avg 78
A07/10
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
93-73
93
73
+20
90avg 78
H12/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
W
91-77
91
77
+14
90avg 78
H15/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
77-62
77
62
+15
71avg 78
H18/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
82-61
82
61
+21
78avg 78
A25/10
Basket League
Levice
#13
W
71-69
71
69
+2
63avg 78
A28/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
66-79
66
79
-13
57avg 78
A01/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-20
23-15
21-12
21-20
14-24
23-18
18-19
15-23
22-18
23-26
23-16
19-25
26-12
15-12
16-16
12-13
25-16
19-22
25-11
24-24
22-10
23-23
22-23
24-21
14-15
23-7
24-17
16-23
24-19
21-13
19-18
18-11
19-17
19-19
18-15
15-18
19-23
21-20
14-14
12-22
150.7Avg total
79.7Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.072.0153.0+9.080%
Season at home (2)85.067.5152.5+17.5100%
Season away (3)78.375.0153.3+3.367%
Last 10 (10)79.771.0150.7+8.780%
Last 5 (5)77.469.6147.0+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.880.2153.0-7.525%
vs Similar ◀ (2)74.081.0155.0-7.00%
vs Weaker (22)83.672.8156.4+10.991%
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#35
L
73-92
73
92
-19
62avg 74
A21/09
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
83-93
83
93
-10
80avg 74
A05/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
84-82
84
82
+2
75avg 74
H11/10
Basket League
Trepca
#41
W
85-74
85
74
+11
76avg 74
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#9
W
75-73
75
73
+2
72avg 74
A18/10
Basket League
Anwil Wloclawek
#13
W
94-93 OT
94
93
+1
85avg 74
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
87-73
87
73
+14
78avg 74
H25/10
Basket League
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
L
79-88
79
88
-9
69avg 74
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
72avg 74
A01/11
Basket League
Trepca
#41
W
77-75
77
75
+2
70avg 74
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-30
17-24
20-20
27-18
10-20
21-31
27-21
25-21
25-13
16-25
23-22
20-22
27-20
18-13
18-22
22-19
15-24
23-25
21-17
16-7
20-19
25-24
24-26
17-17
21-14
25-24
25-19
16-16
18-18
23-25
18-22
20-23
14-13
27-20
19-23
18-17
16-16
21-22
20-16
20-21
163.1Avg total
81.5Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.478.8160.2+2.680%
Season at home (2)85.577.5163.0+8.0100%
Season away (3)78.779.7158.3-1.067%
Last 10 (10)81.581.6163.1-0.170%
Last 5 (5)83.080.4163.4+2.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)81.286.2167.4-5.027%
vs Similar ◀ (13)79.278.5157.7+0.854%
vs Weaker (4)80.276.0156.2+4.2100%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +3.7+3.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.0+2.0
AEK AthensPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Promitheas
#5
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H19/05
Basket League
Promitheas
#2
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H26/09
Super Cup
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A04/10
Basket League
VEF Riga
#38
W
41-24
41
24
+17
A07/10
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H12/10
Basket League
Szolnoki Olaj
#24
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H15/10
Champions League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
37-22
37
22
+15
H18/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
A25/10
Basket League
Levice
#13
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A28/10
Champions League
Peristeri
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A01/11
Basket League
77.0Avg total
42.1Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.837.278.0+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.236.178.3+6.173%-
Last 30 away (15)39.438.377.7+1.147%-
Last 10 (10)42.134.977.0+7.280%-
Last 5 (5)41.033.274.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.241.576.8-6.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (2)38.544.082.5-5.50%-
vs Weaker (22)42.635.478.0+7.282%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bursaspor
#35
L
26-54
26
54
-28
A21/09
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A05/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H11/10
Basket League
Trepca
#41
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Promitheas
#9
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A18/10
Basket League
Anwil Wloclawek
#13
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Peristeri
#6
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H25/10
Basket League
Basketball Braunschweig
#6
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Aris
#5
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A01/11
Basket League
Trepca
#41
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
81.1Avg total
39.1Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.539.978.4-1.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.937.278.2+3.777%-
Last 30 away (17)36.641.978.5-5.229%-
Last 10 (10)39.142.081.1-2.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.039.081.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.942.878.7-6.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)39.538.878.2+0.762%-
vs Weaker (4)40.239.579.8+0.850%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.719.1
53.5%
54.1%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.1
32.0%
34.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws23.719.6
82.7%
74.4%19.6
They take 57.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.0
50.7%
54.1%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.89.7
34.9%
34.9%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.4%
74.4%13.2
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWWWWWWWLW
PAOK
WWLWWWWWLL
#4
League position
#3
+12.4
Net rating
-0.9
107.6
Offensive rating
106.7
95.3
Defensive rating
107.6
51.4%
Effective FG%
51.4%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
18.3%
Turnover %
17.8%
27.5%
Off. rebound %
33.3%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.0%
3-point %
34.9%
61.1%
Assist %
59.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.6 · 106.7Defence95.3 · 107.6Shooting51.4% · 51.4%3-point %32.0% · 34.9%Ball care18.3% · 17.8%Off. rebounds27.5% · 33.3%Free throws0.41 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ AEK Athens   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
AEK Athens wins
4
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
27/04/25AEK Athens v PAOK89-85 OT
12/04/25PAOK v AEK Athens94-69
05/04/25AEK Athens v PAOK89-76
13/02/25PAOK v AEK Athens84-65
19/01/25AEK Athens v PAOK91-68
26/10/24PAOK v AEK Athens87-82
21/04/24AEK Athens v PAOK99-91
02/03/24PAOK v AEK Athens85-94
25/11/23AEK Athens v PAOK90-70
01/04/23PAOK v AEK Athens78-72
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/11/25APeristeri66-79
28/10/25ALevice71-69
25/10/25AIraklis82-61
18/10/25HAS Karditsas77-62
15/10/25HSzolnoki Olaj91-77
12/10/25HPanionios93-73
07/10/25AVEF Riga69-53
04/10/25AKolossos Rhodes87-85
26/09/25HPromitheas70-84
19/05/25HPromitheas91-67
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/11/25ATrepca77-75
01/11/25AAris78-73
29/10/25ABasketball Braunschweig79-88
25/10/25HPeristeri87-73
22/10/25AAnwil Wloclawek94-93 OT
18/10/25APromitheas75-73
15/10/25HTrepca85-74
11/10/25HIraklis84-82
05/10/25APanathinaikos83-93
21/09/25ABursaspor73-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game81.085.078.3
Allowed / game72.067.575.0
Point differential+9.0+17.5+3.3
Avg total153.0152.5153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game81.485.578.7
Allowed / game78.877.579.7
Point differential+2.6+8.0-1.0
Avg total160.2163.0158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos550100%93.077.0+16.0
2 Panathinaikos54180%89.876.4+13.4
3 AEK Athens54180%81.072.0+9.0
4 PAOK54180%81.478.8+2.6
5 Peristeri53260%80.077.2+2.8
6 AS Karditsas42250%72.579.5-7.0
7 Promitheas52340%81.281.2+0.0
8 Maroussi52340%88.890.6-1.8
9 Kolossos Rhodes52340%75.278.6-3.4
10 Mykonos52340%73.281.2-8.0
11 Aris62433%81.080.7+0.3
12 Iraklis51420%78.685.6-7.0
13 Panionios6060%71.586.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens2317142276
PAOK1813272078
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