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AEK Athens vs PAOK Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#10
Record2-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game75.5
Allowed / game80.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
2.8/10
🧊 Cold
Position#2
Record6-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game70.7
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 15· SUNEL Arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · AEK Athens v PAOK
16 Jan 2027
AAT v PAK
upcoming
09 Nov 2025
AAT76
PAK78
27 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK85
05 Apr 2025
AAT89
PAK76
19 Jan 2025
AAT91
PAK68
21 Apr 2024
AAT99
PAK91
25 Nov 2023
AAT90
PAK70
27 Dec 2022
AAT71
PAK83
22 Jan 2022
AAT72
PAK67
16 May 2021
AAT87
PAK81
11 May 2021
AAT102
PAK89
27 Jan 2021
AAT76
PAK56
05 Dec 2020
AAT85
PAK84
28 Mar 2020
AAT v PAK
upcoming
13 Mar 2019
AAT62
PAK63
13 Oct 2018
AAT91
PAK71
19 May 2018
AAT88
PAK93
11 Apr 2018
AAT72
PAK81
25 Feb 2017
AAT77
PAK71
06 May 2015
AAT85
PAK93
13 Feb 2011
AAT73
PAK80
17 Apr 2010
AAT73
PAK90
04 Apr 2009
AAT93
PAK85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
54avg 79
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 79
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
95avg 79
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
47avg 79
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 79
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 79
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
L
62-65
62
65
-3
59avg 79
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
84-95
84
95
-11
69avg 79
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
72-66
72
66
+6
no box
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H08/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-20
20-24
16-22
22-29
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
24-24
25-20
17-27
29-22
10-23
11-19
14-22
23-24
22-17
25-21
18-21
19-20
25-25
25-23
12-28
14-27
15-20
14-5
15-22
18-18
16-20
27-26
17-25
24-24
18-17
20-10
16-21
18-18
19-14
21-23
15-21
19-25
160.1Avg total
76.4Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.580.0155.5-4.533%
Season at home (3)83.077.3160.3+5.767%
Season away (3)68.082.7150.7-14.70%
Last 10 (10)76.483.7160.1-7.340%
Last 5 (5)73.682.4156.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)74.786.3161.0-11.527%
vs Similar (12)82.982.2165.1+0.858%
vs Weaker (7)89.679.0168.6+10.686%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Lefkadas
#9
W
86-73
86
73
+13
77avg 79
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#22
L
86-95
86
95
-9
76avg 79
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
W
88-84
88
84
+4
88avg 79
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#16
W
87-78
87
78
+9
78avg 79
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
W
65-62
65
62
+3
53avg 79
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
77avg 79
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
63-53
63
53
+10
58avg 79
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#19
W
113-111
113
111
+2
no box
H03/11
Eurocup
Vikos
#13
W
93-67
93
67
+26
no box
H07/11
Basket League
Balkan
#32
W
79-56
79
56
+23
no box
A10/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
20-13
22-23
22-19
22-23
18-27
24-24
22-21
19-21
28-26
15-19
26-18
19-20
27-22
13-13
28-23
20-15
5-14
22-15
18-18
23-26
17-26
18-11
23-21
19-17
15-14
13-11
16-11
29-22
32-38
31-26
21-25
30-15
24-18
20-11
19-23
19-12
34-20
19-9
7-15
160.4Avg total
84.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)80.570.7151.2+9.8100%
Season at home (3)81.367.3148.7+14.0100%
Season away (3)79.774.0153.7+5.7100%
Last 10 (10)84.176.3160.4+7.880%
Last 5 (5)85.874.2160.0+11.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)84.989.1174.0-4.329%
vs Similar (7)85.778.0163.7+7.771%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)87.177.5164.6+9.694%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -6.7-6.7Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +0.8+0.8
AEK AthensPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#12
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#13
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/11
Basket League
77.8Avg total
39.3Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.682.2+1.153%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.341.885.1+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)39.839.279.0+0.650%-
Last 10 (10)39.338.577.8+0.870%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.676.6+3.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)38.539.578.1-1.055%-
vs Similar (12)40.841.482.2-0.650%-
vs Weaker (7)48.040.788.7+7.357%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lefkadas
#9
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H10/10
Basket League
Lietkabelis
#22
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A13/10
Eurocup
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A17/10
Basket League
Ulm
#16
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H21/10
Eurocup
AEK Athens
#10
L
25-29
25
29
-4
H24/10
Basket League
Bahcesehir Kol.
#3
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A27/10
Eurocup
Iraklis
#8
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A31/10
Basket League
BC Roma
#19
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H03/11
Eurocup
Vikos
#13
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H07/11
Basket League
Balkan
#32
W
53-32
53
32
+21
A10/11
Eurocup
84.9Avg total
44.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.684.1+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.640.487.0+6.175%-
Last 30 away (14)40.040.880.8-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)44.240.784.9+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)48.441.690.0+6.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.144.186.3-2.043%-
vs Similar (7)42.039.381.3+2.771%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.839.684.4+5.162%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.0
53.0%
50.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.2%
34.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.216.1
72.5%
71.8%16.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.818.5
58.2%
50.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.5
31.7%
34.4%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.918.5
74.3%
71.8%18.5
They take 58.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWLLLWLWWL
PAOK
WWWWLWWWLW
#10
League position
#2
-9.2
Net rating
+5.7
93.6
Offensive rating
100.7
102.8
Defensive rating
94.9
51.9%
Effective FG%
53.3%
54.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.42
33.2%
3-point %
31.7%
67.5%
Assist %
55.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.6 · 100.7Defence102.8 · 94.9Shooting51.9% · 53.3%3-point %33.2% · 31.7%Ball care14.8% · 15.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ AEK Athens   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
AEK Athens wins
5
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
24/10/26PAOK v AEK Athens65-62
14/02/26PAOK v AEK Athens71-88
09/11/25AEK Athens v PAOK76-78
27/04/25AEK Athens v PAOK89-85 OT
12/04/25PAOK v AEK Athens94-69
05/04/25AEK Athens v PAOK89-76
13/02/25PAOK v AEK Athens84-65
19/01/25AEK Athens v PAOK91-68
26/10/24PAOK v AEK Athens87-82
21/04/24AEK Athens v PAOK99-91
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HPanathinaikos74-83
04/11/26ASzombathely72-66
31/10/26AVikos84-95
24/10/26APAOK62-65
21/10/26HAntwerp Giants76-103
17/10/26HMykonos84-79
10/10/26AAris58-88
07/10/26HSalon Vilpas95-93
03/10/26HMaroussi91-70
30/05/26HOlympiacos68-95
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26ABalkan79-56
07/11/26HVikos93-67
03/11/26HBC Roma113-111
31/10/26AIraklis63-53
27/10/26ABahcesehir Kol.81-84
24/10/26HAEK Athens65-62
21/10/26HUlm87-78
17/10/26AKolossos Rhodes88-84
13/10/26ALietkabelis86-95
10/10/26HLefkadas86-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %33%67%0%
Points / game75.583.068.0
Allowed / game80.077.382.7
Point differential-4.5+5.7-14.7
Avg total155.5160.3150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game80.581.379.7
Allowed / game70.767.374.0
Point differential+9.8+14.0+5.7
Avg total151.2148.7153.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+18.0
2 PAOK660100%80.570.7+9.8
3 Panathinaikos65183%89.074.5+14.5
4 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
5 AS Karditsas64267%74.571.5+3.0
6 Kolossos Rhodes63350%80.781.8-1.2
7 Peristeri63350%80.587.5-7.0
8 Iraklis62433%77.073.8+3.2
9 Lefkadas62433%78.581.7-3.2
10 AEK Athens62433%75.580.0-4.5
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-5.7
12 Mykonos61517%73.584.5-11.0
13 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
14 Promitheas61517%70.286.5-16.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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