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AEK Athens vs Sassari Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 05 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 17:30
Final 110-79
31-18 24-17 26-24 29-20
Position#33
Record4-0
FormWLWWL
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game74.8
vs
Position#37
Record1-3
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game88.0
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 5· Ano Liosia Olympic Hall
European cup2023
Meetings · AEK Athens v Sassari
05 Dec 2023
AAT110
SAS79
08 Nov 2016
AAT78
SAS58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Athens winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sassari winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK AthensLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#17
W
100-70
100
70
+30
104avg 75
H21/10
Basket League
Sassari
#37
W
83-79
83
79
+4
84avg 75
A25/10
Champions League
Aris
#8
L
64-75
64
75
-11
50avg 75
A29/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
103-88
103
88
+15
104avg 75
H04/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
86-77
86
77
+9
83avg 75
A08/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
93-74
93
74
+19
96avg 75
H13/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
85-86
85
86
-1
76avg 75
A20/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
86-64
86
64
+22
79avg 75
H22/11
Champions League
PAOK
#10
W
90-70
90
70
+20
87avg 75
H25/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
95-100
95
100
-5
92avg 75
A02/12
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-16
17-25
26-18
26-11
20-33
12-13
26-15
25-18
15-22
9-9
20-21
20-23
34-26
25-15
27-20
17-27
19-19
21-17
22-16
24-25
27-26
24-21
24-11
18-16
18-25
19-23
29-15
19-23
17-16
19-10
25-22
25-16
17-25
19-20
28-8
26-17
18-26
22-33
27-19
28-22
166.8Avg total
88.5Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.874.8159.5+10.0100%
Season at home (2)85.071.5156.5+13.5100%
Season away (2)84.578.0162.5+6.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.578.3166.8+10.270%
Last 5 (5)89.878.8168.6+11.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)78.084.9162.9-6.925%
vs Similar (9)79.679.1158.7+0.456%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)90.078.4168.4+11.678%
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSassari
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
66-80
66
80
-14
52avg 78
A22/10
Lega A
AEK Athens
#33
L
79-83
79
83
-4
71avg 78
H25/10
Champions League
Tortona
#9
L
74-94
74
94
-20
66avg 78
H28/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
79-90
79
90
-11
68avg 78
A05/11
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
89-79
89
79
+10
91avg 78
A07/11
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
80-73
80
73
+7
75avg 78
H12/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
63-68
63
68
-5
55avg 78
A19/11
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
80-97
80
97
-17
72avg 78
H22/11
Champions League
Scafati
#14
W
79-76
79
76
+3
84avg 78
H25/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
89-83
89
83
+6
88avg 78
H03/12
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-18
15-27
15-19
16-16
33-20
13-12
15-26
18-25
20-22
12-27
19-31
23-14
17-28
23-24
22-19
17-19
23-24
22-14
23-21
21-20
15-22
30-6
27-24
8-21
17-24
17-18
15-10
14-16
18-24
23-30
11-21
28-22
14-21
21-12
19-21
25-22
20-14
21-16
24-28
24-25
160.1Avg total
77.8Scored
82.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)83.288.0171.2-4.825%
Season at home (2)79.590.0169.5-10.50%
Season away (2)87.086.0173.0+1.050%
Last 10 (10)77.882.3160.1-4.540%
Last 5 (5)78.279.4157.6-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)74.785.5160.2-10.820%
vs Similar (17)80.280.6160.8-0.453%
vs Weaker (3)86.078.3164.3+7.767%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +8.9+8.9Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
-11-6+0+6+11Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +8.9+8.9Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: -0.6-0.6
AEK AthensSassari
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apollon Patras
#17
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H21/10
Basket League
Sassari
#37
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A25/10
Champions League
Aris
#8
L
24-31
24
31
-7
A29/10
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#12
W
59-41
59
41
+18
H04/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A08/11
Champions League
Kolossos Rhodes
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H13/11
Basket League
Panathinaikos
#2
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/11
Basket League
Szczecin
#38
W
36-26
36
26
+10
H22/11
Champions League
PAOK
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H25/11
Basket League
Promitheas
#7
L
40-59
40
59
-19
A02/12
Basket League
82.3Avg total
40.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.341.881.1-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.641.684.2+1.156%-
Last 30 away (14)35.642.077.6-6.414%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.082.3-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.045.085.0-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.643.480.0-6.817%-
vs Similar (9)41.640.181.7+1.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.841.282.0-0.456%-
This opponent (Sassari) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SassariLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virtus Bologna
#2
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A22/10
Lega A
AEK Athens
#33
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H25/10
Champions League
Tortona
#9
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H28/10
Lega A
Varese
#12
L
40-52
40
52
-12
A05/11
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#26
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A07/11
Champions League
Trento
#6
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H12/11
Lega A
Pistoia
#10
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A19/11
Lega A
Ludwigsburg
#26
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H22/11
Champions League
Scafati
#14
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H25/11
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H03/12
Lega A
79.7Avg total
39.4Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.380.3-0.457%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.838.580.2+3.269%-
Last 30 away (14)37.942.480.4-4.543%-
Last 10 (10)39.440.379.7-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.237.476.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.440.178.5-1.750%-
vs Similar (17)39.940.880.8-0.953%-
vs Weaker (3)45.338.383.7+7.0100%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.722.7
55.8%
51.4%45.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.88.3
34.9%
34.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws23.417.2
73.5%
74.5%17.2
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sassaritheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sassari: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.019.6
51.6%
51.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.4
33.6%
34.9%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.215.8
86.8%
74.5%15.8
They take 60.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Athens
LWWLWWWLWW
Sassari
WWLLWWLLLL
#33
League position
#37
+13.7
Net rating
-6.3
117.3
Offensive rating
105.2
103.6
Defensive rating
111.4
54.5%
Effective FG%
51.2%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.4%
34.8%
Off. rebound %
26.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.9%
3-point %
33.6%
64.5%
Assist %
66.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence117.3 · 105.2Defence103.6 · 111.4Shooting54.5% · 51.2%3-point %34.9% · 33.6%Ball care16.5% · 19.4%Off. rebounds34.8% · 26.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ AEK Athens   ■ Sassari
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
AEK Athens wins
1
Sassari wins
DateGameScore
25/10/23Sassari v AEK Athens79-83
04/01/17Sassari v AEK Athens80-78
08/11/16AEK Athens v Sassari78-58
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/23APromitheas95-100
25/11/23HPAOK90-70
22/11/23HSzczecin86-64
20/11/23APanathinaikos85-86
13/11/23HKolossos Rhodes93-74
08/11/23ASzczecin86-77
04/11/23HAS Karditsas103-88
29/10/23AAris64-75
25/10/23ASassari83-79
21/10/23HApollon Patras100-70
Sassarilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/23HOlimpia Milano89-83
25/11/23HScafati79-76
22/11/23HLudwigsburg80-97
19/11/23APistoia63-68
12/11/23HTrento80-73
07/11/23ALudwigsburg89-79
05/11/23AVarese79-90
28/10/23HTortona74-94
25/10/23HAEK Athens79-83
22/10/23AVirtus Bologna66-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Athens
Champions League 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.885.084.5
Allowed / game74.871.578.0
Point differential+10.0+13.5+6.5
Avg total159.5156.5162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sassari
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game83.279.587.0
Allowed / game88.090.086.0
Point differential-4.8-10.5+1.0
Avg total171.2169.5173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dijon440100%94.573.5+21.0
2 AEK Athens440100%84.874.8+10.0
3 Tortona440100%87.080.8+6.2
4 Strasbourg76186%80.376.1+4.1
5 Murcia43175%85.069.2+15.8
6 Tenerife43175%81.870.2+11.5
7 Hapoel Jerusalem43175%86.277.8+8.5
8 Unicaja43175%82.275.2+7.0
9 Karsiyaka43175%82.878.0+4.8
10 Hapoel Holon43175%81.077.2+3.8
11 PAOK43175%78.880.5-1.8
12 Cholet75271%79.378.1+1.1
13 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
14 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
15 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
16 Benfica74357%86.374.9+11.4
17 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
18 Promitheas42250%87.076.8+10.2
19 Rytas42250%83.875.8+8.0
20 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
21 Bonn42250%83.277.8+5.5
22 Breogan42250%75.072.5+2.5
23 Le Mans42250%79.577.5+2.0
24 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
25 Ludwigsburg42250%84.282.8+1.5
26 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
27 Darussafaka42250%78.880.5-1.8
28 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
29 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
30 Peristeri42250%77.283.5-6.2
31 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
32 Oldenburg41325%82.580.5+2.0
33 Galatasaray41325%85.287.5-2.2
34 Szombathely41325%79.081.8-2.8
35 Sassari41325%83.288.0-4.8
36 VEF Riga41325%68.274.2-6.0
37 Szczecin41325%78.084.8-6.8
38 Tofas41325%89.599.0-9.5
39 Oostende41325%74.284.8-10.5
40 Bursaspor41325%71.883.5-11.8
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea4040%74.086.5-12.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
52 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
53 Opava4040%65.0104.2-39.2
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Athens31242629110
Sassari1817242079
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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