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AEK Larnaca vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-95
19-24 20-24 19-19 26-28
Position#22
Record2-2
FormWLWLW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Jonava 🏆
Position#33
Record3-1
FormWWLWL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game83.5
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 5· Kition Athletic Center
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

AEK Larnaca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Jonava winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

AEK LarnacaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Benfica
#28
L
59-87
59
87
-28
48avg 70
A27/09
Champions League
AEL
#5
W
96-94 OT
96
94
+2
no box
A09/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
93-71
93
71
+22
100avg 70
H14/10
Division A
Rostock
#5
W
78-76
78
76
+2
69avg 70
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
L
60-62
60
62
-2
47avg 70
A22/10
Division A
Jonava
#33
W
87-80
87
80
+7
76avg 70
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Karhu Basket
#42
L
66-75
66
75
-9
56avg 70
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#3
W
76-58
76
58
+18
71avg 70
H04/11
Division A
Rostock
#5
L
73-86
73
86
-13
70avg 70
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
90-71
90
71
+19
90avg 70
A12/11
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-24
16-23
18-15
10-25
12-13
21-21
21-23
22-19
26-20
29-13
18-17
20-21
24-27
22-18
15-20
17-11
12-14
17-14
17-18
14-16
21-13
22-22
18-22
26-23
16-16
17-15
20-21
13-23
26-14
18-17
17-20
15-7
25-25
13-22
19-27
16-12
23-22
25-16
21-10
21-23
153.8Avg total
77.8Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.079.2155.2-3.250%
Season at home (2)72.075.5147.5-3.550%
Season away (2)80.083.0163.0-3.050%
Last 10 (10)77.876.0153.8+1.860%
Last 5 (5)78.474.0152.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.083.0153.0-13.033%
vs Similar (7)78.074.9152.9+3.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)84.664.2148.8+20.589%
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJonava
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
W
93-92
93
92
+1
88avg 75
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
69-86
69
86
-17
61avg 75
A15/10
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
104-88
104
88
+16
106avg 75
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
L
71-83
71
83
-12
68avg 75
H21/10
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
80-87
80
87
-7
82avg 75
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
W
88-77
88
77
+11
88avg 75
H29/10
LKL
Rostock
#5
W
84-65
84
65
+19
84avg 75
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
L
79-84
79
84
-5
80avg 75
A04/11
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
99avg 75
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gargzdai
#12
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 75
A12/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
22-27
19-18
29-18
10-27
15-20
20-22
24-17
18-14
24-27
31-16
31-31
20-19
19-18
18-23
14-23
13-21
22-22
22-18
23-26
21-21
17-23
34-23
16-10
28-14
14-21
21-16
21-14
13-16
24-21
22-23
20-24
25-24
19-23
27-19
16-21
19-21
25-25
18-22
18-18
168.8Avg total
84.6Scored
84.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)91.583.5175.0+8.075%
Season at home (3)87.382.0169.3+5.367%
Season away (1)104.088.0192.0+16.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.684.2168.8+0.450%
Last 5 (5)85.881.2167.0+4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)77.783.8161.4-6.125%
vs Similar (12)85.480.6166.0+4.875%
vs Weaker (5)82.482.0164.4+0.480%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
AEK LarnacaJonava
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#28
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A27/09
Champions League
AEL
#5
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A09/10
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
55-33
55
33
+22
H14/10
Division A
Rostock
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Apoel BC
#4
W
29-28
29
28
+1
A22/10
Division A
Jonava
#33
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Karhu Basket
#42
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Anorthosis
#3
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H04/11
Division A
Rostock
#5
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A12/11
Division A
76.9Avg total
40.0Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.434.075.4+7.473%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.830.673.4+12.293%-
Last 30 away (16)40.237.177.2+3.156%-
Last 10 (10)40.036.976.9+3.170%-
Last 5 (5)41.236.477.6+4.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.346.384.7-8.033%-
vs Similar (7)38.437.976.3+0.643%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)42.831.374.1+11.589%-
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
JonavaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#11
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A08/10
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A15/10
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Wolves
#3
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H21/10
LKL
AEK Larnaca
#22
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H25/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Neptunas
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H29/10
LKL
Rostock
#5
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H01/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Lietkabelis
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A04/11
LKL
Karhu Basket
#42
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H08/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Gargzdai
#12
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A12/11
LKL
82.4Avg total
39.1Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.341.982.2-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.842.383.1-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)39.741.581.2-1.733%-
Last 10 (10)39.143.382.4-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)41.041.882.8-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.541.780.2-3.233%-
vs Similar (12)42.542.184.6+0.458%-
vs Weaker (5)38.443.481.8-5.00%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.2
48.2%
52.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.67.1
32.9%
33.8%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.614.9
76.0%
73.0%14.9
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Jonavatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jonava: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.0 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.1
56.8%
52.2%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.710.1
37.8%
33.8%30.3
🏀 Free throws21.115.3
72.5%
73.0%15.3
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
AEK Larnaca
WLWLWLWWWL
Jonava
LWLWWLLWLW
#22
League position
#33
+3.0
Net rating
+0.8
100.2
Offensive rating
114.6
97.2
Defensive rating
113.8
48.6%
Effective FG%
56.8%
46.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.2%
18.3%
Turnover %
19.2%
25.6%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.35
32.9%
3-point %
37.8%
58.2%
Assist %
74.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 114.6Defence97.2 · 113.8Shooting48.6% · 56.8%3-point %32.9% · 37.8%Ball care18.3% · 19.2%Off. rebounds25.6% · 31.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ AEK Larnaca   ■ Jonava
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
AEK Larnaca wins
0
Jonava wins
DateGameScore
25/10/23Jonava v AEK Larnaca80-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AETHA Engomi90-71
08/11/23ARostock73-86
04/11/23HAnorthosis76-58
01/11/23HKarhu Basket66-75
25/10/23AJonava87-80
22/10/23AApoel BC60-62
18/10/23HRostock78-76
14/10/23HAchilleas K.93-71
09/10/23AAEL96-94 OT
27/09/23ABenfica59-87
Jonavalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AGargzdai80-86
08/11/23HKarhu Basket98-94 OT
04/11/23ALietkabelis79-84
01/11/23HRostock84-65
29/10/23HNeptunas88-77
25/10/23HAEK Larnaca80-87
21/10/23HBC Wolves71-83
18/10/23AKarhu Basket104-88
15/10/23AZalgiris Kaunas69-86
08/10/23APieno Zvaigzdes93-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

AEK Larnaca
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game76.072.080.0
Allowed / game79.275.583.0
Point differential-3.2-3.5-3.0
Avg total155.2147.5163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Jonava
FIBA Europe Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeLWW67%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%67%100%
Points / game91.587.3104.0
Allowed / game83.582.088.0
Point differential+8.0+5.3+16.0
Avg total175.0169.3192.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%33%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chemnitz440100%89.566.8+22.8
2 Bilbao440100%88.568.0+20.5
3 Bnei Herzliya220100%92.075.5+16.5
4 Legia440100%87.575.8+11.8
5 Balkan220100%84.574.0+10.5
6 Basket Zaragoza550100%87.076.8+10.2
7 Gottingen440100%88.279.0+9.2
8 FC Porto65183%84.374.0+10.3
9 Manisa65183%81.875.0+6.8
10 Bahcesehir Kol.54180%88.879.2+9.6
11 Nymburk43175%88.276.8+11.5
12 Varese43175%95.086.0+9.0
13 Jonava43175%91.583.5+8.0
14 Leiden43175%56.849.2+7.5
15 Caledonia Gladiators43175%75.076.0-1.0
16 Rostock75271%87.476.9+10.6
17 Gravelines-Dunkerque32167%75.357.3+18.0
18 Rapid Bucuresti32167%75.770.7+5.0
19 CSM Oradea42250%84.880.2+4.5
20 Boras21150%91.590.0+1.5
21 BC Kalev/Cramo21150%74.074.0+0.0
22 Tindastoll21150%69.069.5-0.5
23 Kormend21150%89.592.0-2.5
24 Levice42250%75.878.5-2.8
25 Spojnia Stargard42250%77.580.2-2.8
26 AEK Larnaca42250%76.079.2-3.2
27 Chernomorets21150%97.0100.5-3.5
28 Sabah Baku84450%76.281.9-5.6
29 Jamtland21150%71.078.5-7.5
30 Peja42250%79.290.0-10.8
31 Trepca42250%64.275.8-11.5
32 Donar Groningen31233%67.368.7-1.3
33 Alba Fehervar31233%87.791.0-3.3
34 Sporting CP31233%85.088.7-3.7
35 Anwil Wloclawek41325%73.066.5+6.5
36 Mornar Bar41325%71.878.0-6.2
37 TSU41325%78.085.2-7.2
38 Norrkoping41325%65.577.8-12.2
39 Karhu Basket51420%82.891.8-9.0
40 Keravnos61517%80.383.0-2.7
41 Kataja61517%73.782.0-8.3
42 Pardubice2020%82.085.5-3.5
43 Bakken Bears4040%75.882.8-7.0
44 Parnu2020%64.573.0-8.5
45 Den Bosch4040%76.085.2-9.2
46 Brindisi3030%76.386.0-9.7
47 Rabotnicki3030%66.778.3-11.7
48 Nevezis2020%86.099.0-13.0
49 Anorthosis2020%75.089.0-14.0
50 Galil Elyon1010%0.020.0-20.0
51 CSU Sibiu4040%60.086.0-26.0
52 Feniks 20102020%66.0104.0-38.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 52 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
AEK Larnaca1920192684
Jonava2424192895
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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