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Bayern vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 01 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 85-79
22-23 20-14 14-19 29-23
Position#1
Record25-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game73.9
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#3
Record23-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game77.9
GermanyBBLRound 27· SAP Garden
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Bayern v Alba Berlin
26 Sep 2026
BAY95
ABE61
21 Jun 2026
BAY81
ABE84
14 Jun 2026
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2026
BAY102
ABE94
01 May 2026
BAY85
ABE79
02 Feb 2025
BAY99
ABE86
14 Nov 2024
BAY115
ABE88
10 Jun 2024
BAY70
ABE79
08 Jun 2024
BAY79
ABE67
05 May 2024
BAY77
ABE53
05 Oct 2023
BAY80
ABE68
17 Mar 2023
BAY75
ABE76
18 Feb 2023
BAY83
ABE77
08 Jan 2023
BAY79
ABE80
19 Jun 2022
BAY81
ABE96
14 Jun 2022
BAY58
ABE71
10 May 2022
BAY78
ABE83
28 Jan 2022
BAY62
ABE56
13 Jun 2021
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2021
BAY69
ABE81
16 May 2021
BAY85
ABE79
25 Apr 2021
BAY62
ABE100
05 Feb 2021
BAY101
ABE95
10 Nov 2019
BAY84
ABE80
23 Dec 2018
BAY70
ABE78
16 Dec 2018
BAY83
ABE81
16 Jun 2018
BAY106
ABE85
10 Jun 2018
BAY72
ABE66
03 Jun 2018
BAY95
ABE106
25 Mar 2018
BAY72
ABE91
13 May 2017
BAY80
ABE73
06 May 2017
BAY95
ABE68
18 Feb 2017
BAY78
ABE70
16 Oct 2016
BAY97
ABE58
01 Mar 2016
BAY84
ABE75
28 Feb 2016
BAY96
ABE65
21 Feb 2016
BAY65
ABE67
02 Jun 2015
BAY89
ABE83
28 May 2015
BAY85
ABE73
26 Apr 2015
BAY70
ABE68
15 Jun 2014
BAY92
ABE86
08 Jun 2014
BAY88
ABE81
04 May 2014
BAY72
ABE80
12 May 2013
BAY89
ABE83
04 May 2013
BAY88
ABE67
10 Feb 2013
BAY79
ABE61
26 Nov 2011
BAY79
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
W
85-76
85
76
+9
78avg 79
H01/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
L
79-91
79
91
-12
73avg 79
A04/04
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
W
85-80
85
80
+5
85avg 79
A07/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
94-84
94
84
+10
95avg 79
A09/04
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#11
W
91-77
91
77
+14
86avg 79
H12/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
93-59
93
59
+34
96avg 79
H14/04
BBL
Barcelona
#8
L
69-95
69
95
-26
59avg 79
A17/04
Euroleague
Trier
#12
W
104-80
104
80
+24
106avg 79
A20/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
W
90-81
90
81
+9
92avg 79
A23/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
86-64
86
64
+22
80avg 79
H27/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-12
18-18
24-30
18-16
19-26
23-16
15-28
22-21
23-16
20-27
23-15
19-22
20-20
32-14
22-21
20-29
26-28
20-17
19-13
26-19
26-23
17-18
27-10
23-8
19-20
12-22
17-26
21-27
21-19
34-18
18-18
31-25
21-14
16-32
29-20
24-15
25-16
19-11
17-28
25-9
166.3Avg total
87.6Scored
78.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)88.173.9162.0+14.183%
Season at home (14)88.174.3162.4+13.993%
Season away (16)88.073.6161.6+14.475%
Last 10 (10)87.678.7166.3+8.980%
Last 5 (5)88.475.8164.2+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.580.3161.8+1.267%
vs Similar (8)84.286.6170.9-2.450%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)91.479.3170.7+12.169%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#1
L
88-93 OT
88
93
-5
80avg 81
H18/03
Champions League
Rostock
#8
W
89-85
89
85
+4
80avg 81
H20/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
94-73
94
73
+21
91avg 81
A29/03
BBL
Unicaja
#2
L
69-72
69
72
-3
62avg 81
A01/04
Champions League
Oldenburg
#10
L
79-81
79
81
-2
76avg 81
H05/04
BBL
Unicaja
#2
L
85-88 OT
85
88
-3
79avg 81
H08/04
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
101-77
101
77
+24
92avg 81
A11/04
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
91-75
91
75
+16
85avg 81
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
89-77
89
77
+12
83avg 81
A22/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
W
87-61
87
61
+26
82avg 81
A26/04
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
27-24
16-12
17-15
14-29
25-27
29-18
21-11
18-21
28-17
15-14
33-21
22-24
7-10
20-22
20-16
20-12
21-25
21-23
17-21
15-13
21-21
13-26
25-14
22-16
26-24
29-19
24-18
32-18
20-16
22-17
17-24
23-5
25-34
21-26
20-12
19-18
14-17
28-10
26-16
165.4Avg total
87.2Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.377.9164.1+8.474%
Season at home (15)84.175.7159.8+8.373%
Season away (16)88.379.9168.2+8.475%
Last 10 (10)87.278.2165.4+9.060%
Last 5 (5)90.675.6166.2+15.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)77.080.0157.0-3.00%
vs Similar (5)88.486.4174.8+2.060%
vs Weaker (23)85.675.4161.0+10.278%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +5.2+5.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +3.8+3.8Q4: +5.2+5.2
BayernAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fenerbahce
#4
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H01/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#13
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A04/04
BBL
Virtus Bologna
#17
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A07/04
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A09/04
Euroleague
Chemnitz
#11
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H12/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H14/04
BBL
Barcelona
#8
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A17/04
Euroleague
Trier
#12
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A20/04
BBL
Wurzburg
#5
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A23/04
BBL
Rostock
#8
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H27/04
BBL
82.3Avg total
43.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.139.582.7+3.660%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.937.379.3+4.673%-
Last 30 away (15)44.341.786.1+2.647%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.782.3+4.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.680.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.039.882.8+3.283%-
vs Similar (8)41.439.080.4+2.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)44.139.783.8+4.456%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEK Athens
#1
L
46-52
46
52
-6
H18/03
Champions League
Rostock
#8
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H20/03
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#17
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A29/03
BBL
Unicaja
#2
L
29-34
29
34
-5
A01/04
Champions League
Oldenburg
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H05/04
BBL
Unicaja
#2
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H08/04
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A11/04
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
52-34
52
34
+18
H20/04
BBL
Ulm
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A22/04
BBL
Frankfurt
#15
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A26/04
BBL
81.7Avg total
41.8Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.639.681.2+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.938.579.3+2.453%-
Last 30 away (15)42.340.783.1+1.653%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.981.7+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.436.479.8+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)32.534.066.5-1.550%-
vs Similar (5)47.044.491.4+2.680%-
vs Weaker (23)41.239.080.3+2.248%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.618.6
62.8%
53.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.89.1
36.7%
34.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws13.210.0
75.8%
73.5%10.0
They take 54.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 87.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.021.6
56.8%
53.8%43.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.38.5
30.0%
34.0%25.5
🏀 Free throws24.818.5
74.6%
73.5%18.5
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWWLWWWWLW
Alba Berlin
WWWWLLLWWL
#1
League position
#3
+12.5
Net rating
+10.5
76.8
Offensive rating
96.7
64.3
Defensive rating
86.2
59.3%
Effective FG%
51.8%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
49.2%
14.8%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.7%
3-point %
30.0%
80.5%
Assist %
61.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence76.8 · 96.7Defence64.3 · 86.2Shooting59.3% · 51.8%3-point %36.7% · 30.0%Ball care14.8% · 15.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bayern wins
4
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
26/10/25Alba Berlin v Bayern67-61
02/02/25Bayern v Alba Berlin99-86 OT
24/01/25Alba Berlin v Bayern84-99
05/01/25Alba Berlin v Bayern88-81
14/11/24Bayern v Alba Berlin115-88
14/06/24Alba Berlin v Bayern82-88
12/06/24Alba Berlin v Bayern63-67
10/06/24Bayern v Alba Berlin70-79
08/06/24Bayern v Alba Berlin79-67
10/05/24Alba Berlin v Bayern59-53
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/04/26HRostock86-64
23/04/26AWurzburg90-81
20/04/26ATrier104-80
17/04/26ABarcelona69-95
14/04/26HLudwigsburg93-59
12/04/26HChemnitz91-77
09/04/26AOlimpia Milano94-84
07/04/26AVirtus Bologna85-80
04/04/26ASyntainics MBC79-91
01/04/26HFenerbahce85-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/04/26AFrankfurt87-61
22/04/26AUlm89-77
20/04/26HBonn91-75
11/04/26ALudwigsburg101-77
08/04/26HUnicaja85-88 OT
05/04/26HOldenburg79-81
01/04/26AUnicaja69-72
29/03/26ABasketball Braunschweig94-73
20/03/26HRostock89-85
18/03/26HAEK Athens88-93 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW83%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLLLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %83%93%75%
Points / game88.188.188.0
Allowed / game73.974.373.6
Point differential+14.1+13.9+14.4
Avg total162.0162.4161.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+63%79%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW74%
HomeLWWLW73%
AwayLWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %74%73%75%
Points / game86.384.188.3
Allowed / game77.975.779.9
Point differential+8.4+8.3+8.4
Avg total164.1159.8168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%27%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)57% (7)33% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern3025583%88.173.9+14.1
2 Alba Berlin3123874%86.377.9+8.4
3 Bamberg31211068%89.382.0+7.4
4 Bonn32201262%83.479.8+3.6
5 Ulm32181456%82.278.2+4.0
6 Wurzburg31171455%81.281.0+0.2
7 Ludwigsburg31171455%82.883.5-0.6
8 Vechta31161552%90.288.4+1.8
9 Trier31161552%90.893.3-2.5
10 Rostock31141745%82.882.8-0.0
11 Oldenburg31141745%82.884.2-1.4
12 Chemnitz31141745%83.285.3-2.1
13 Hamburg31131842%86.087.9-1.9
14 Syntainics MBC31131842%85.187.1-2.0
15 Frankfurt32122038%81.485.6-4.2
16 Jena31112035%81.689.4-7.8
17 Basketball Braunschweig3182326%81.890.0-8.2
18 Heidelberg3182326%78.386.6-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2220142985
Alba Berlin2314192379
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