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Basket Zaragoza vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 02 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 11:30
Final 83-95
20-27 25-21 23-25 15-22
Position#17
Record2-2
FormWLWWL
Points / game94.8
Allowed / game88.5
vs
Position#2
Record3-1
FormWLWLW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game82.8
SpainACBRound 5· Pabellon Principe Felipe
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Basket Zaragoza v Real Madrid
20 Dec 2026
ZAR v MAD
upcoming
02 Nov 2025
ZAR83
MAD95
30 May 2025
ZAR89
MAD104
21 Apr 2024
ZAR70
MAD79
06 Nov 2022
ZAR94
MAD89
04 Dec 2021
ZAR65
MAD86
02 May 2021
ZAR89
MAD98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Basket Zaragoza winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Basket ZaragozaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZaragoza
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#15
W
111-104 OT
111
104
+7
107avg 82
A18/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
70avg 82
A24/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
89-104
89
104
-15
73avg 82
H30/05
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
107-88
107
88
+19
102avg 82
H05/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
86-89
86
89
-3
78avg 82
A12/10
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
97-82
97
82
+15
91avg 82
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
L
84-88
84
88
-4
76avg 82
H18/10
ACB
Anorthosis
#35
W
112-67
112
67
+45
116avg 82
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
102-89
102
89
+13
87avg 82
A25/10
ACB
Bakken Bears
#29
L
78-90
78
90
-12
62avg 82
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-25
28-28
21-20
14-10
26-19
16-25
22-24
15-21
23-28
17-32
28-20
21-24
23-20
25-14
24-26
35-28
19-24
29-26
17-21
21-18
20-19
27-21
24-14
26-28
19-16
24-27
24-23
17-22
29-11
29-11
23-25
31-20
25-23
25-21
27-26
25-19
20-20
23-28
14-17
21-25
183.5Avg total
94.5Scored
89.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)94.888.5183.2+6.250%
Season at home (2)95.588.0183.5+7.550%
Season away (2)94.089.0183.0+5.050%
Last 10 (10)94.589.0183.5+5.550%
Last 5 (5)94.683.2177.8+11.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)85.991.6177.5-5.720%
vs Similar (12)86.388.2174.5-1.833%
vs Weaker (8)92.085.8177.8+6.250%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#15
W
81-71
81
71
+10
77avg 81
H05/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
85-72
85
72
+13
88avg 81
H09/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
L
100-105
100
105
-5
93avg 81
A12/10
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
93-86
93
86
+7
94avg 81
H15/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
75-90
75
90
-15
60avg 81
A17/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
90-80
90
80
+10
84avg 81
H19/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
91-92
91
92
-1
88avg 81
A22/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
82avg 81
H26/10
ACB
Bayern
#14
L
84-90
84
90
-6
73avg 81
A28/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
84-58
84
58
+26
85avg 81
H30/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
22-15
27-23
10-15
27-19
21-18
18-16
19-19
34-18
24-31
23-28
19-28
24-12
28-21
23-23
18-30
25-20
14-23
14-24
22-23
25-20
16-26
27-22
22-12
27-17
21-40
26-19
17-16
21-17
21-18
23-20
22-20
25-27
32-17
10-25
17-21
25-16
24-6
15-13
20-23
168.9Avg total
87.0Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)89.582.8172.2+6.875%
Season at home (3)86.075.3161.3+10.7100%
Season away (1)100.0105.0205.0-5.00%
Last 10 (10)87.081.9168.9+5.160%
Last 5 (5)87.279.0166.2+8.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar (9)89.480.9170.3+8.678%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)86.180.0166.1+6.174%
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: +7.1+7.1Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: -2.1-2.1
Basket ZaragozaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Basket ZaragozaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bilbao
#15
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A18/05
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A24/05
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H30/05
ACB
Baskonia
#3
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H05/10
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#6
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A12/10
ACB
Szombathely
#16
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Breogan
#11
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H18/10
ACB
Anorthosis
#35
W
58-22
58
22
+36
A22/10
FIBA Europe Cup
San Pablo Burgos
#13
W
50-44
50
44
+6
A25/10
ACB
Bakken Bears
#29
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
90.5Avg total
46.7Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.243.987.1-0.637%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.442.884.2-1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)45.144.990.0+0.127%-
Last 10 (10)46.743.890.5+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)48.239.487.6+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)42.844.787.5-1.940%-
vs Similar (12)42.244.486.6-2.233%-
vs Weaker (8)45.442.087.4+3.438%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria
#15
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H05/10
ACB
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#20
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H09/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#3
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A12/10
ACB
Partizan
#15
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H15/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#9
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A17/10
Euroleague
San Pablo Burgos
#13
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H19/10
ACB
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#12
L
48-57
48
57
-9
A22/10
Euroleague
Manresa
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H26/10
ACB
Bayern
#14
W
57-44
57
44
+13
A28/10
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#4
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H30/10
Euroleague
87.7Avg total
47.8Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.140.384.4+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.738.882.5+4.867%-
Last 30 away (12)44.742.687.2+2.142%-
Last 10 (10)47.839.987.7+7.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.440.888.2+6.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.051.095.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (9)45.241.286.4+4.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)44.039.183.1+4.958%-
This opponent (Basket Zaragoza) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Basket Zaragozatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Basket Zaragoza: 93.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.123.8
57.9%
50.0%47.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.1
33.5%
42.2%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.918.6
77.8%
74.7%18.6
They take 68.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.4 points a game
42%
39%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.7
56.3%
50.0%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.59.3
33.8%
42.2%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.519.1
81.3%
74.7%19.1
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Nov 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Basket Zaragoza
LWWLWLWLLW
Real Madrid
WLWLWLWLWW
#17
League position
#2
+5.9
Net rating
+6.9
118.0
Offensive rating
114.9
112.1
Defensive rating
108.0
54.8%
Effective FG%
53.8%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
18.2%
Turnover %
19.3%
37.1%
Off. rebound %
34.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.5%
3-point %
33.8%
59.9%
Assist %
62.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 114.9Defence112.1 · 108.0Shooting54.8% · 53.8%3-point %33.5% · 33.8%Ball care18.2% · 19.3%Off. rebounds37.1% · 34.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Basket Zaragoza   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Basket Zaragoza wins
9
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/10/25ABakken Bears78-90
25/10/25ASan Pablo Burgos102-89
22/10/25AAnorthosis112-67
18/10/25HBreogan84-88
15/10/25HSzombathely97-82
12/10/25AJoventut Badalona86-89
05/10/25HBaskonia107-88
30/05/25HReal Madrid89-104
24/05/25AJoventut Badalona79-89
18/05/25ABilbao111-104 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/25HFenerbahce84-58
28/10/25ABayern84-90
26/10/25HManresa87-75
22/10/25AMaccabi Tel Aviv91-92
19/10/25HSan Pablo Burgos90-80
17/10/25ACrvena zvezda75-90
15/10/25HPartizan93-86
12/10/25ABaskonia100-105
09/10/25HLyon-Villeurbanne85-72
05/10/25HGran Canaria81-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Basket Zaragoza
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game94.895.594.0
Allowed / game88.588.089.0
Point differential+6.2+7.5+5.0
Avg total183.2183.5183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Real Madrid
ACB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game89.586.0100.0
Allowed / game82.875.3105.0
Point differential+6.8+10.7-5.0
Avg total172.2161.3205.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tenerife440100%97.879.0+18.8
2 Valencia440100%101.884.8+17.0
3 Joventut Badalona54180%89.880.0+9.8
4 Murcia43175%89.278.8+10.5
5 Real Madrid43175%89.582.8+6.8
6 Unicaja53260%83.677.8+5.8
7 Forca Lleida53260%84.685.0-0.4
8 Basket Zaragoza42250%94.888.5+6.2
9 Barcelona42250%87.586.5+1.0
10 Baskonia42250%90.094.0-4.0
11 Gran Canaria52340%82.682.4+0.2
12 Manresa52340%82.084.6-2.6
13 Bilbao52340%78.084.4-6.4
14 Breogan52340%85.291.6-6.4
15 San Pablo Burgos41325%87.891.5-3.8
16 Basquet Girona51420%83.896.2-12.4
17 MoraBanc Andorra51420%79.897.4-17.6
18 Granada5050%77.489.4-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Basket Zaragoza2025231583
Real Madrid2721252295
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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