PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Bayern vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 10 May 2022
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 78-83
16-20 18-21 22-17 22-25
Position#3
Record25-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#1
Record26-6
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game72.8
GermanyBBLRound 26
Domestic2021-22
Meetings · Bayern v Alba Berlin
26 Sep 2026
BAY95
ABE61
21 Jun 2026
BAY81
ABE84
14 Jun 2026
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2026
BAY102
ABE94
01 May 2026
BAY85
ABE79
02 Feb 2025
BAY99
ABE86
14 Nov 2024
BAY115
ABE88
10 Jun 2024
BAY70
ABE79
08 Jun 2024
BAY79
ABE67
05 May 2024
BAY77
ABE53
05 Oct 2023
BAY80
ABE68
17 Mar 2023
BAY75
ABE76
18 Feb 2023
BAY83
ABE77
08 Jan 2023
BAY79
ABE80
19 Jun 2022
BAY81
ABE96
14 Jun 2022
BAY58
ABE71
10 May 2022
BAY78
ABE83
28 Jan 2022
BAY62
ABE56
13 Jun 2021
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2021
BAY69
ABE81
16 May 2021
BAY85
ABE79
25 Apr 2021
BAY62
ABE100
05 Feb 2021
BAY101
ABE95
10 Nov 2019
BAY84
ABE80
23 Dec 2018
BAY70
ABE78
16 Dec 2018
BAY83
ABE81
16 Jun 2018
BAY106
ABE85
10 Jun 2018
BAY72
ABE66
03 Jun 2018
BAY95
ABE106
25 Mar 2018
BAY72
ABE91
13 May 2017
BAY80
ABE73
06 May 2017
BAY95
ABE68
18 Feb 2017
BAY78
ABE70
16 Oct 2016
BAY97
ABE58
01 Mar 2016
BAY84
ABE75
28 Feb 2016
BAY96
ABE65
21 Feb 2016
BAY65
ABE67
02 Jun 2015
BAY89
ABE83
28 May 2015
BAY85
ABE73
26 Apr 2015
BAY70
ABE68
15 Jun 2014
BAY92
ABE86
08 Jun 2014
BAY88
ABE81
04 May 2014
BAY72
ABE80
12 May 2013
BAY89
ABE83
04 May 2013
BAY88
ABE67
10 Feb 2013
BAY79
ABE61
26 Nov 2011
BAY79
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
77-58
77
58
+19
79avg 73
A16/04
BBL
Barcelona
#1
L
67-77
67
77
-10
61avg 73
A19/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
W
90-75
90
75
+15
85avg 73
A21/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
L
83-87
83
87
-4
76avg 73
A24/04
BBL
Barcelona
#1
L
66-75
66
75
-9
56avg 73
H27/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
W
59-52
59
52
+7
55avg 73
H29/04
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
92-57
92
57
+35
96avg 73
H01/05
BBL
Barcelona
#1
L
72-81
72
81
-9
63avg 73
A03/05
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
77-65
77
65
+12
77avg 73
A06/05
BBL
Gottingen
#10
W
87-64
87
64
+23
88avg 73
H08/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-13
12-23
21-11
26-11
22-20
11-23
18-19
16-15
23-18
25-17
19-21
23-19
13-24
25-17
29-25
16-21
17-26
14-23
18-10
17-16
18-12
18-13
14-9
9-18
24-13
24-10
19-21
25-13
19-18
18-13
15-29
20-21
19-19
20-13
20-20
18-13
16-17
25-21
23-13
23-13
146.1Avg total
77.0Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.673.7155.3+7.976%
Season at home (16)84.069.9153.9+14.188%
Season away (17)79.477.3156.6+2.165%
Last 10 (10)77.069.1146.1+7.960%
Last 5 (5)77.463.8141.2+13.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)75.677.1152.8-1.538%
vs Similar (9)76.474.6151.0+1.944%
vs Weaker (13)81.571.8153.2+9.777%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
66avg 78
A08/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
95-66
95
66
+29
97avg 78
A10/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
W
92-86
92
86
+6
93avg 78
H12/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
78-73
78
73
+5
73avg 78
H15/04
BBL
Gottingen
#10
W
92-86
92
86
+6
96avg 78
A17/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
W
78-70
78
70
+8
79avg 78
A20/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
89-57
89
57
+32
91avg 78
H22/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
96-81
96
81
+15
no box
H27/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
W
110-70
110
70
+40
123avg 78
H01/05
BBL
Giessen
#18
W
109-80
109
80
+29
114avg 78
H04/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
15-23
17-19
20-23
25-17
27-17
19-10
24-22
24-26
27-22
19-20
22-18
25-18
18-24
27-16
8-15
23-24
21-29
27-21
21-12
23-27
19-15
18-15
18-13
23-8
18-16
23-17
25-16
28-21
28-21
24-17
16-22
27-16
24-18
36-11
23-25
30-22
31-21
25-17
23-20
167.3Avg total
91.3Scored
76.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)87.272.8159.9+14.481%
Season at home (17)89.871.8161.6+18.076%
Season away (15)84.173.8157.9+10.387%
Last 10 (10)91.376.0167.3+15.390%
Last 5 (5)96.471.6168.0+24.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)78.084.3162.3-6.333%
vs Similar (6)76.574.0150.5+2.583%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)89.672.5162.1+17.194%
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +7.2+7.2Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +1.4+1.4
BayernAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ludwigsburg
#4
L
30-36
30
36
-6
A16/04
BBL
Barcelona
#1
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A19/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
W
48-35
48
35
+13
A21/04
Euroleague
Hamburg
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A24/04
BBL
Barcelona
#1
L
31-49
31
49
-18
H27/04
Euroleague
Barcelona
#1
W
36-25
36
25
+11
H29/04
Euroleague
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#12
W
48-23
48
23
+25
H01/05
BBL
Barcelona
#1
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A03/05
Euroleague
Ulm
#5
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A06/05
BBL
Gottingen
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H08/05
BBL
73.4Avg total
38.1Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.437.574.9-0.157%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.834.774.5+5.277%-
Last 30 away (17)35.539.675.2-4.141%-
Last 10 (10)38.135.373.4+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.229.870.0+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)37.639.176.8-1.562%-
vs Similar (9)33.439.472.9-6.033%-
vs Weaker (13)40.035.275.2+4.869%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Monaco
#8
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A08/04
Euroleague
Syntainics MBC
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A10/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#11
W
51-48
51
48
+3
H12/04
BBL
Ulm
#5
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H15/04
BBL
Gottingen
#10
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A17/04
BBL
Crailsheim Merlins
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A20/04
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
41-24
41
24
+17
H22/04
BBL
Hamburg
#7
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H27/04
BBL
Heidelberg
#14
W
51-34
51
34
+17
H01/05
BBL
Giessen
#18
W
61-43
61
43
+18
H04/05
BBL
88.9Avg total
47.8Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.638.581.1+4.170%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.137.481.6+6.788%-
Last 30 away (14)40.939.780.6+1.150%-
Last 10 (10)47.841.188.9+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)50.237.087.2+13.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.241.078.2-3.833%-
vs Similar (6)39.336.075.3+3.383%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)45.538.584.0+7.078%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.017.1
51.8%
54.4%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.1
36.0%
35.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws17.814.5
81.5%
73.1%14.5
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 90.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.5
55.7%
54.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.411.7
39.8%
35.4%35.1
🏀 Free throws18.514.4
77.8%
73.1%14.4
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 May 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLWWLLWLW
Alba Berlin
WWWWWWWWWL
#3
League position
#1
+11.5
Net rating
+20.6
113.2
Offensive rating
120.4
101.7
Defensive rating
99.8
52.7%
Effective FG%
57.5%
48.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.9%
Turnover %
18.9%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
38.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.28
36.0%
3-point %
39.8%
62.6%
Assist %
78.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 120.4Defence101.7 · 99.8Shooting52.7% · 57.5%3-point %36.0% · 39.8%Ball care16.9% · 18.9%Off. rebounds33.3% · 38.5%Free throws0.31 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Bayern   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Bayern wins
4
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
28/01/22Bayern v Alba Berlin62-56
12/12/21Alba Berlin v Bayern73-80
28/10/21Alba Berlin v Bayern69-82
13/06/21Bayern v Alba Berlin79-86
12/06/21Bayern v Alba Berlin69-81
10/06/21Alba Berlin v Bayern66-76
09/06/21Alba Berlin v Bayern89-86
16/05/21Bayern v Alba Berlin85-79
25/04/21Bayern v Alba Berlin62-100
05/02/21Bayern v Alba Berlin101-95 OT
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/22HGottingen87-64
06/05/22AUlm77-65
03/05/22ABarcelona72-81
01/05/22Hs.Oliver Wurzburg92-57
29/04/22HBarcelona59-52
27/04/22HBarcelona66-75
24/04/22AHamburg83-87
21/04/22ABarcelona90-75
19/04/22ABarcelona67-77
16/04/22ALudwigsburg77-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/22HGiessen109-80
01/05/22HHeidelberg110-70
27/04/22HHamburg96-81
22/04/22HBamberg89-57
20/04/22ACrailsheim Merlins78-70
17/04/22AGottingen92-86
15/04/22HUlm78-73
12/04/22HOldenburg92-86
10/04/22ASyntainics MBC95-66
08/04/22AMonaco74-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW76%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWLW65%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %76%88%65%
Points / game81.684.079.4
Allowed / game73.769.977.3
Point differential+7.9+14.1+2.1
Avg total155.3153.9156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%62%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %9%12%6%
Alba Berlin
BBL 2021-22
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW81%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayWLWWW87%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %81%76%87%
Points / game87.289.884.1
Allowed / game72.871.873.8
Point differential+14.4+18.0+10.3
Avg total159.9161.6157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%65%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %3%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Alba Berlin3226681%87.272.8+14.4
2 Bonn3426876%87.980.9+7.0
3 Bayern3325876%81.673.7+7.9
4 Ludwigsburg33221167%80.476.5+3.8
5 Ulm34221265%82.779.7+3.0
6 Chemnitz34221265%81.178.2+2.9
7 Hamburg34191556%85.280.8+4.4
8 Bamberg34181653%84.186.1-2.0
9 Crailsheim Merlins34171750%84.685.8-1.2
10 Gottingen34161847%80.482.4-2.1
11 Oldenburg34142041%86.486.7-0.3
12 s.Oliver Wurzburg34142041%82.686.7-4.1
13 Basketball Braunschweig33122136%83.184.5-1.3
14 Heidelberg33112233%78.283.7-5.5
15 Syntainics MBC34112332%83.589.9-6.4
16 Bayreuth34112332%79.185.5-6.5
17 Frankfurt3492526%73.679.6-6.0
18 Giessen3482624%79.686.6-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern1618222278
Alba Berlin2021172583
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.