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Bayern vs Alba Berlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 26 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 13:40
Final 95-61
22-12 18-12 26-18 29-19
Position#1
Record1-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game108.0
Allowed / game72.0
Bayern 🏆
Germany
vs
Position#10
Record2-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game82.5
GermanyBBLRound 23· BMW Park
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Bayern v Alba Berlin
26 Sep 2026
BAY95
ABE61
21 Jun 2026
BAY81
ABE84
14 Jun 2026
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2026
BAY102
ABE94
01 May 2026
BAY85
ABE79
02 Feb 2025
BAY99
ABE86
14 Nov 2024
BAY115
ABE88
10 Jun 2024
BAY70
ABE79
08 Jun 2024
BAY79
ABE67
05 May 2024
BAY77
ABE53
05 Oct 2023
BAY80
ABE68
17 Mar 2023
BAY75
ABE76
18 Feb 2023
BAY83
ABE77
08 Jan 2023
BAY79
ABE80
19 Jun 2022
BAY81
ABE96
14 Jun 2022
BAY58
ABE71
10 May 2022
BAY78
ABE83
28 Jan 2022
BAY62
ABE56
13 Jun 2021
BAY79
ABE86
12 Jun 2021
BAY69
ABE81
16 May 2021
BAY85
ABE79
25 Apr 2021
BAY62
ABE100
05 Feb 2021
BAY101
ABE95
10 Nov 2019
BAY84
ABE80
23 Dec 2018
BAY70
ABE78
16 Dec 2018
BAY83
ABE81
16 Jun 2018
BAY106
ABE85
10 Jun 2018
BAY72
ABE66
03 Jun 2018
BAY95
ABE106
25 Mar 2018
BAY72
ABE91
13 May 2017
BAY80
ABE73
06 May 2017
BAY95
ABE68
18 Feb 2017
BAY78
ABE70
16 Oct 2016
BAY97
ABE58
01 Mar 2016
BAY84
ABE75
28 Feb 2016
BAY96
ABE65
21 Feb 2016
BAY65
ABE67
02 Jun 2015
BAY89
ABE83
28 May 2015
BAY85
ABE73
26 Apr 2015
BAY70
ABE68
15 Jun 2014
BAY92
ABE86
08 Jun 2014
BAY88
ABE81
04 May 2014
BAY72
ABE80
12 May 2013
BAY89
ABE83
04 May 2013
BAY88
ABE67
10 Feb 2013
BAY79
ABE61
26 Nov 2011
BAY79
ABE85
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bayern winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Alba Berlin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BayernGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBayern
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
W
83-78
83
78
+5
85avg 80
H30/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
91-69
91
69
+22
88avg 80
H01/06
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
77-57
77
57
+20
76avg 80
A04/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
102-94
102
94
+8
100avg 80
H12/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
79-86
79
86
-7
68avg 80
H14/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
91-83
91
83
+8
80avg 80
A17/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
61-71
61
71
-10
47avg 80
A19/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
L
81-84
81
84
-3
72avg 80
H21/06
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
108-72
108
72
+36
106avg 80
H20/09
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
W
86-84
86
84
+2
82avg 80
A24/09
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
12-13
20-24
33-20
23-15
27-12
20-27
21-15
19-17
18-8
24-21
16-11
27-27
31-28
21-21
23-18
18-24
27-16
15-24
19-22
25-24
18-16
18-20
30-23
23-26
22-16
9-16
7-13
25-20
22-7
19-26
15-31
30-13
25-15
28-22
25-22
16-21
28-18
24-18
18-27
163.7Avg total
85.9Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)108.072.0180.0+36.0100%
Season at home (1)108.072.0180.0+36.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.977.8163.7+8.170%
Last 5 (5)85.478.8164.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.779.3160.0+1.367%
vs Similar (3)82.786.3169.0-3.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)88.376.8165.2+11.579%
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBerlin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
72avg 82
A04/06
BBL
Bamberg
#2
L
67-81
67
81
-14
55avg 82
A06/06
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
97-66
97
66
+31
97avg 82
H09/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
94-102
94
102
-8
90avg 82
A12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
86-79
86
79
+7
78avg 82
A14/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
83-91
83
91
-8
73avg 82
H17/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
71-61
71
61
+10
67avg 82
H19/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
W
84-81
84
81
+3
82avg 82
A21/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#15
W
89-82
89
82
+7
89avg 82
H18/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#4
W
94-83
94
83
+11
96avg 82
H24/09
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
14-22
26-24
17-18
19-20
17-16
18-24
13-21
22-17
30-9
18-15
27-25
27-27
28-31
21-21
18-23
24-18
16-27
24-15
22-19
24-25
16-18
20-18
23-30
26-23
16-22
16-9
13-7
20-25
7-22
26-19
31-15
21-20
20-23
18-19
30-20
20-16
21-23
28-16
25-28
164.5Avg total
83.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.582.5174.0+9.0100%
Season at home (2)91.582.5174.0+9.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.880.7164.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)84.279.6163.8+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)82.882.4165.2+0.344%
vs Similar (8)86.679.6166.2+7.062%
vs Weaker (13)88.580.6169.1+7.869%
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +8.1+8.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +8.1+8.1Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.3+1.3
BayernAlba Berlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BayernLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#4
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H30/05
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
50-27
50
27
+23
H01/06
BBL
Bonn
#4
W
37-25
37
25
+12
A04/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H12/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H14/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A19/06
BBL
Alba Berlin
#3
W
47-27
47
27
+20
H21/06
BBL
Bamberg
#8
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H20/09
BBL
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#9
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A24/09
Euroleague
81.1Avg total
45.4Scored
35.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.737.782.4+6.977%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.236.881.9+8.488%-
Last 30 away (14)44.138.982.9+5.264%-
Last 10 (10)45.435.781.1+9.790%-
Last 5 (5)46.835.282.0+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)41.734.376.0+7.3100%-
vs Similar (3)42.039.781.7+2.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)45.437.983.3+7.579%-
This opponent (Alba Berlin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Alba BerlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bamberg
#2
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A04/06
BBL
Bamberg
#2
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A06/06
BBL
Bamberg
#2
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H09/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A12/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A14/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H17/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H19/06
BBL
Bayern
#1
L
27-47
27
47
-20
A21/06
BBL
Chemnitz
#15
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H18/09
BBL
Frankfurt
#4
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H24/09
BBL
82.5Avg total
40.4Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.741.483.1+0.343%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.240.783.9+2.559%-
Last 30 away (13)39.842.382.1-2.523%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.182.5-1.720%-
Last 5 (5)38.243.481.6-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)38.643.081.6-4.422%-
vs Similar (8)44.038.482.4+5.650%-
vs Weaker (13)42.542.284.7+0.454%-
This opponent (Bayern) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bayerntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bayern: 85.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.420.3
57.3%
55.7%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.810.3
35.8%
33.4%30.9
🏀 Free throws18.514.3
77.3%
73.2%14.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Alba Berlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Alba Berlin: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.3 points a game
49%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.219.8
57.9%
55.7%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.29.7
33.2%
33.4%29.1
🏀 Free throws22.015.1
68.6%
73.2%15.1
They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bayern
WWLLWLWWWW
Alba Berlin
WWWWLWLWLL
#1
League position
#10
+9.6
Net rating
+4.5
99.6
Offensive rating
96.5
89.9
Defensive rating
92.0
55.7%
Effective FG%
54.2%
50.3%
Opp. effective FG%
50.7%
15.1%
Turnover %
17.3%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.8%
3-point %
33.2%
58.2%
Assist %
66.1%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.6 · 96.5Defence89.9 · 92.0Shooting55.7% · 54.2%3-point %35.8% · 33.2%Ball care15.1% · 17.3%Free throws0.29 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Bayern   ■ Alba Berlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bayern wins
5
Alba Berlin wins
DateGameScore
21/06/26Bayern v Alba Berlin81-84
19/06/26Alba Berlin v Bayern71-61
17/06/26Alba Berlin v Bayern83-91
14/06/26Bayern v Alba Berlin79-86
12/06/26Bayern v Alba Berlin102-94
01/05/26Bayern v Alba Berlin85-79
26/10/25Alba Berlin v Bayern67-61
02/02/25Bayern v Alba Berlin99-86 OT
24/01/25Alba Berlin v Bayern84-99
05/01/25Alba Berlin v Bayern88-81
Bayernlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/26AHapoel Tel-Aviv86-84
20/09/26HBamberg108-72
21/06/26HAlba Berlin81-84
19/06/26AAlba Berlin61-71
17/06/26AAlba Berlin91-83
14/06/26HAlba Berlin79-86
12/06/26HAlba Berlin102-94
04/06/26ABonn77-57
01/06/26HBonn91-69
30/05/26HBonn83-78
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/09/26HFrankfurt94-83
18/09/26HChemnitz89-82
21/06/26ABayern84-81
19/06/26HBayern71-61
17/06/26HBayern83-91
14/06/26ABayern86-79
12/06/26ABayern94-102
09/06/26HBamberg97-66
06/06/26ABamberg67-81
04/06/26ABamberg73-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bayern
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game108.0108.0-
Allowed / game72.072.0-
Point differential+36.0+36.0-
Avg total180.0180.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Alba Berlin
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game91.591.5-
Allowed / game82.582.5-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total174.0174.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern110100%108.072.0+36.0
2 Oldenburg220100%86.574.5+12.0
3 Ulm220100%89.577.5+12.0
4 Alba Berlin220100%91.582.5+9.0
5 Basketball Braunschweig110100%116.0107.0+9.0
6 Trier21150%106.598.0+8.5
7 Rostock21150%90.086.5+3.5
8 Bamberg21150%90.087.5+2.5
9 Syntainics MBC21150%79.079.0+0.0
10 Bonn21150%88.089.0-1.0
11 Ludwigsburg21150%79.082.0-3.0
12 Hamburg21150%83.093.0-10.0
13 Chemnitz2020%86.091.5-5.5
14 Wurzburg1010%68.077.0-9.0
15 Frankfurt1010%83.094.0-11.0
16 Phoenix Hagen2020%85.097.5-12.5
17 Jena1010%62.077.0-15.0
18 Vechta1010%67.0108.0-41.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bayern2218262995
Alba Berlin1212181961
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