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Boston Celtics vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 108-89
28-25 32-20 25-18 23-26
Position#3
Record16-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game120.7
Allowed / game110.8
vs
Position#20
Record9-9
FormWLWWL
Points / game111.3
Allowed / game109.9
USANBA· TD Garden
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Boston Celtics v Miami Heat
02 Apr 2027
BOS v MIA
upcoming
25 Dec 2026
BOS v MIA
upcoming
06 Feb 2026
BOS98
MIA96
19 Dec 2025
BOS129
MIA116
02 Apr 2025
BOS103
MIA124
02 Dec 2024
BOS108
MIA89
01 May 2024
BOS118
MIA84
24 Apr 2024
BOS101
MIA111
21 Apr 2024
BOS114
MIA94
27 Oct 2023
BOS119
MIA111
29 May 2023
BOS84
MIA103
25 May 2023
BOS110
MIA97
19 May 2023
BOS105
MIA111
17 May 2023
BOS116
MIA123
02 Dec 2022
BOS116
MIA120
30 Nov 2022
BOS134
MIA121
27 May 2022
BOS103
MIA111
23 May 2022
BOS102
MIA82
21 May 2022
BOS103
MIA109
30 Mar 2022
BOS98
MIA106
31 Jan 2022
BOS122
MIA92
11 May 2021
BOS121
MIA129
09 May 2021
BOS124
MIA130
25 Sep 2020
BOS121
MIA108
17 Sep 2020
BOS101
MIA106
15 Sep 2020
BOS114
MIA117
04 Dec 2019
BOS112
MIA93
01 Apr 2019
BOS110
MIA105
21 Jan 2019
BOS107
MIA99
20 Dec 2017
BOS89
MIA90
26 Mar 2017
BOS112
MIA108
30 Dec 2016
BOS117
MIA114
13 Apr 2016
BOS98
MIA88
27 Feb 2016
BOS101
MIA89
25 Mar 2015
BOS86
MIA93
01 Feb 2015
BOS75
MIA83
19 Mar 2014
BOS101
MIA96
18 Mar 2013
BOS103
MIA105
27 Jan 2013
BOS100
MIA98
07 Jun 2012
BOS79
MIA98
03 Jun 2012
BOS93
MIA91
01 Jun 2012
BOS101
MIA91
24 Apr 2012
BOS78
MIA66
01 Apr 2012
BOS91
MIA72
09 May 2011
BOS90
MIA98
07 May 2011
BOS97
MIA81
13 Feb 2011
BOS85
MIA82
26 Oct 2010
BOS88
MIA80
27 Apr 2010
BOS96
MIA86
20 Apr 2010
BOS106
MIA77
17 Apr 2010
BOS85
MIA76
03 Feb 2010
BOS107
MIA102
10 Apr 2009
BOS105
MIA98
18 Mar 2009
BOS112
MIA108
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Boston Celtics winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
113-107
113
107
+6
106avg 113
A10/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
L
116-117
116
117
-1
113avg 113
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
139-114
139
114
+25
138avg 113
A14/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
126-123 OT
126
123
+3
116avg 113
H17/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
120-117
120
117
+3
119avg 113
H20/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
108-96
108
96
+12
97avg 113
A23/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
107-105
107
105
+2
97avg 113
H24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
126-94
126
94
+32
127avg 113
H26/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
138-129
138
129
+9
129avg 113
A30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
111-115
111
115
-4
94avg 113
A01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-40
28-29
29-15
26-23
31-29
34-25
26-30
25-33
32-34
33-26
38-29
36-25
28-26
28-28
30-31
28-29
26-20
39-28
28-40
27-29
29-27
20-24
26-21
33-24
24-27
31-25
29-21
23-32
27-20
51-29
21-29
27-16
39-30
28-37
29-29
42-33
24-28
25-23
35-21
27-43
232.1Avg total
120.4Scored
111.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)120.7110.8231.4+9.980%
Season at home (9)118.4110.6229.0+7.978%
Season away (11)122.5111.0233.5+11.582%
Last 10 (10)120.4111.7232.1+8.780%
Last 5 (5)118.0107.8225.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)115.5116.0231.5-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)117.2108.2225.4+9.086%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
95-94
95
94
+1
86avg 103
A11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
121-123 OT
121
123
-2
107avg 103
A13/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
124-111
124
111
+13
116avg 103
A16/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
110-119
110
119
-9
95avg 103
A17/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
W
106-89
106
89
+17
103avg 103
H19/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
123-118 OT
123
118
+5
110avg 103
H24/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
103-106
103
106
-3
98avg 103
H27/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
98-94
98
94
+4
95avg 103
A28/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
121-111
121
111
+10
110avg 103
H30/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
116-119
116
119
-3
108avg 103
A01/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-20
25-31
16-20
27-23
21-32
30-25
31-34
29-20
26-29
35-26
37-30
26-26
20-28
29-24
26-33
35-34
25-33
28-23
35-16
18-17
33-28
23-23
33-33
25-30
20-31
31-34
29-20
23-21
26-26
24-13
25-19
23-36
20-21
38-40
38-23
25-27
24-34
36-31
27-33
29-21
220.1Avg total
111.7Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)111.3109.9221.2+1.350%
Season at home (8)109.1108.1217.2+1.050%
Season away (10)113.0111.4224.4+1.650%
Last 10 (10)111.7108.4220.1+3.360%
Last 5 (5)112.2109.6221.8+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)92.3104.4196.8-12.133%
vs Similar (14)112.9112.7225.6+0.236%
vs Weaker (7)108.495.6204.0+12.9100%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -4.0-4.0Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.5+0.5
Boston CelticsMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A10/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#18
W
65-54
65
54
+11
H13/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#25
W
65-60
65
60
+5
A14/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H17/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
65-48
65
48
+17
H20/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A23/11
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
55-52
55
52
+3
H24/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#8
W
78-49
78
49
+29
H26/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
D
67-67
67
67
+0
A30/11
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A01/12
NBA
116.2Avg total
60.7Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.855.5115.3+4.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.951.7111.6+8.173%-
Last 30 away (15)59.759.3119.0+0.547%-
Last 10 (10)60.755.5116.2+5.260%-
Last 5 (5)59.654.0113.6+5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)57.049.5106.5+7.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)60.055.9115.9+4.161%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Minnesota Timberwolves
#7
W
52-51
52
51
+1
A11/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A13/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
61-55
61
55
+6
A16/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A17/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#26
L
53-56
53
56
-3
H19/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#17
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H24/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H27/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A28/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H30/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A01/12
NBA
109.3Avg total
54.1Scored
55.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.053.2106.2-0.250%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.653.3107.9+1.354%-
Last 30 away (17)51.753.1104.8-1.447%-
Last 10 (10)54.155.2109.3-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)55.056.2111.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)47.155.8102.9-8.733%-
vs Similar (14)55.854.8110.6+1.050%-
vs Weaker (7)54.946.7101.6+8.171%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 120.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.0 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers58.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.322.0
56.0%
54.3%44.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers49.919.6
39.3%
35.9%58.8
🏀 Free throws22.017.6
80.0%
77.8%17.6
They take 89.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 49.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 56% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 111.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers44.7 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.524.5
51.6%
54.3%49.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.614.9
36.7%
35.9%44.7
🏀 Free throws22.518.0
80.0%
77.8%18.0
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 40.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Boston Celtics
LWWWWWWWLW
Miami Heat
LWWLWWLWLW
#3
League position
#20
+8.7
Net rating
+3.3
120.6
Offensive rating
111.3
111.8
Defensive rating
108.0
57.6%
Effective FG%
53.2%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
10.8%
Turnover %
12.1%
21.9%
Off. rebound %
20.6%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.3%
3-point %
36.7%
65.6%
Assist %
62.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence120.6 · 111.3Defence111.8 · 108.0Shooting57.6% · 53.2%3-point %39.3% · 36.7%Ball care10.8% · 12.1%Off. rebounds21.9% · 20.6%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 60%
■ Boston Celtics   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Boston Celtics wins
2
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24ACleveland Cavaliers111-115
30/11/24AChicago Bulls138-129
26/11/24HLos Angeles Clippers126-94
24/11/24HMinnesota Timberwolves107-105
23/11/24AWashington Wizards108-96
20/11/24HCleveland Cavaliers120-117
17/11/24HToronto Raptors126-123 OT
14/11/24ABrooklyn Nets139-114
13/11/24HAtlanta Hawks116-117
10/11/24AMilwaukee Bucks113-107
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/24AToronto Raptors116-119
30/11/24HToronto Raptors121-111
28/11/24ACharlotte Hornets98-94
27/11/24HMilwaukee Bucks103-106
24/11/24HDallas Mavericks123-118 OT
19/11/24HPhiladelphia 76ers106-89
17/11/24AIndiana Pacers110-119
16/11/24AIndiana Pacers124-111
13/11/24ADetroit Pistons121-123 OT
11/11/24AMinnesota Timberwolves95-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Boston Celtics
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeLWWWW78%
AwayWWWWL82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games20911
Win %80%78%82%
Points / game120.7118.4122.5
Allowed / game110.8110.6111.0
Point differential+9.8+7.9+11.5
Avg total231.4229.0233.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%33%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)80% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %15%22%9%
Miami Heat
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL50%
HomeLWWLW50%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game111.3109.1113.0
Allowed / game109.9108.1111.4
Point differential+1.3+1.0+1.6
Avg total221.2217.2224.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%25%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)33% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %11%12%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers2118386%122.0112.5+9.5
2 Boston Celtics2016480%120.7110.8+9.8
3 Oklahoma City Thunder2015575%114.0104.0+10.0
4 Houston Rockets2115671%114.6106.3+8.2
5 Orlando Magic2215768%108.0102.3+5.8
6 Memphis Grizzlies2114767%121.7112.9+8.8
7 Golden State Warriors1912763%116.2109.8+6.4
8 Dallas Mavericks2113862%117.9111.4+6.5
9 New York Knicks2012860%117.8111.5+6.3
10 Los Angeles Lakers2012860%114.0115.2-1.2
11 Los Angeles Clippers2213959%109.3107.0+2.3
12 Phoenix Suns1911858%113.2113.9-0.7
13 Denver Nuggets1810856%118.0116.4+1.6
14 San Antonio Spurs2011955%111.1110.8+0.3
15 Milwaukee Bucks1910953%113.3112.4+0.9
16 Miami Heat189950%111.3109.9+1.3
17 Atlanta Hawks21101148%116.1119.4-3.2
18 Minnesota Timberwolves1991047%111.2110.3+0.8
19 Sacramento Kings2191243%114.2114.0+0.2
20 Brooklyn Nets2191243%110.9114.1-3.2
21 Indiana Pacers2191243%114.7119.0-4.3
22 Detroit Pistons2291341%109.8111.7-1.9
23 Chicago Bulls2181338%118.5124.2-5.8
24 Portland Trail Blazers2181338%107.2114.7-7.5
25 Charlotte Hornets2061430%107.5112.1-4.6
26 Toronto Raptors2161529%112.8116.8-4.0
27 Philadelphia 76ers1841422%105.1112.1-7.0
28 Utah Jazz2041620%108.3117.8-9.5
29 New Orleans Pelicans2141719%102.9115.7-12.8
30 Washington Wizards1821611%108.1123.1-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Boston Celtics28322523108
Miami Heat2520182689
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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