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Breogan vs Bonn Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 97-92 (OT)
21-19 15-20 21-17 23-24 17-12
Position#29
Record2-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game73.0
Allowed / game73.4
Breogan 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record3-2
FormWWLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game75.2
EuropeChampions LeagueRound 6· Pazo dos Deportes
European cup2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Breogan winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bonn winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BreoganLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBreogan
Date
Competition
Bonn
#9
L
71-86
71
86
-15
64avg 62
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
85-77
85
77
+8
76avg 62
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
65avg 62
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
L
83-87
83
87
-4
80avg 62
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
71avg 62
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
77avg 62
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
58-91
58
91
-33
38avg 62
A03/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
L
65-77
65
77
-12
56avg 62
A06/12
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
W
76-68
76
68
+8
72avg 62
A09/12
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
74-83
74
83
-9
67avg 62
H17/12
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-19
16-28
22-16
24-23
15-19
28-13
13-23
29-22
14-22
19-21
26-24
20-17
24-30
28-15
15-19
16-23
22-17
19-16
19-22
22-17
16-23
18-17
18-17
30-20
19-17
9-24
12-27
18-23
15-19
15-22
11-18
24-18
13-22
18-12
18-19
27-15
16-31
18-15
18-14
22-23
155.7Avg total
75.5Scored
80.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)73.073.4146.4-0.440%
Season at home (2)75.060.0135.0+15.0100%
Season away (3)71.782.3154.0-10.70%
Last 10 (10)75.580.2155.7-4.740%
Last 5 (5)71.079.2150.2-8.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)71.483.3154.7-11.98%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.676.9153.6-0.350%
vs Weaker (3)64.066.3130.3-2.333%
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Breogan
#29
W
86-71
86
71
+15
78avg 81
H08/11
Champions League
Bayern
#1
W
88-83 OT
88
83
+5
no box
H12/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
101-77
101
77
+24
99avg 81
A19/11
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
L
82-92
82
92
-10
76avg 81
H21/11
Champions League
Heidelberg
#16
W
92-69
92
69
+23
91avg 81
H26/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
102-94
102
94
+8
95avg 81
A03/12
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
72-65
72
65
+7
62avg 81
A06/12
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
78-86
78
86
-8
63avg 81
H10/12
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
L
76-80
76
80
-4
67avg 81
H13/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
78-97
78
97
-19
72avg 81
A16/12
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-9
28-16
16-22
23-24
20-20
12-23
26-14
17-18
17-18
33-17
28-23
23-19
24-19
18-25
26-29
14-19
28-19
24-14
17-21
23-15
29-27
31-28
24-19
18-20
20-16
21-21
13-18
18-10
19-22
24-25
15-25
20-14
23-19
23-21
13-20
17-20
16-34
11-12
23-24
28-27
166.9Avg total
85.5Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.075.2156.2+5.860%
Season at home (3)80.779.3160.0+1.333%
Season away (2)81.569.0150.5+12.5100%
Last 10 (10)85.581.4166.9+4.160%
Last 5 (5)81.284.4165.6-3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.084.5167.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (7)81.083.3164.3-2.343%
vs Weaker (20)88.575.8164.3+12.865%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -5.6-5.6Q1: +1.2+1.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
BreoganBonn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bonn
#9
L
25-47
25
47
-22
A08/11
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#10
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H11/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A15/11
Champions League
Basquet Girona
#14
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A18/11
ACB
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
Champions League
Basket Zaragoza
#12
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H26/11
ACB
Real Madrid
#1
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A03/12
ACB
Bursaspor
#24
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A06/12
Champions League
Bilbao
#13
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A09/12
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H17/12
ACB
75.3Avg total
35.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.138.972.9-4.823%-
Last 30 at home (14)35.237.772.9-2.536%-
Last 30 away (16)33.139.972.9-6.812%-
Last 10 (10)35.140.275.3-5.130%-
Last 5 (5)31.440.471.8-9.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.340.072.3-7.78%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)36.639.175.6-2.536%-
vs Weaker (3)30.033.063.0-3.033%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#29
W
47-25
47
25
+22
H08/11
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H12/11
BBL
Gottingen
#14
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A19/11
BBL
Bursaspor
#24
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H21/11
Champions League
Heidelberg
#16
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H26/11
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
60-55
60
55
+5
A03/12
BBL
Hapoel Holon
#10
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A06/12
Champions League
Bayern
#1
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H10/12
German Cup
Basketball Braunschweig
#12
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H13/12
BBL
Wurzburg
#4
L
27-46
27
46
-19
A16/12
BBL
84.5Avg total
44.0Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.438.981.3+3.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.736.177.9+5.660%-
Last 30 away (15)43.141.784.8+1.553%-
Last 10 (10)44.040.584.5+3.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.445.088.4-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)37.545.082.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.740.679.3-1.943%-
vs Weaker (20)44.637.482.0+7.370%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 74.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.716.9
48.7%
51.4%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.78.0
31.1%
34.9%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.416.9
75.4%
74.5%16.9
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
47%
34%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.620.5
54.5%
51.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.310.3
37.7%
34.9%30.9
🏀 Free throws16.812.5
74.4%
74.5%12.5
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Breogan
LWLLWWLLWL
Bonn
LLLWWWLWWW
#29
League position
#9
-6.3
Net rating
+2.2
100.2
Offensive rating
115.5
106.5
Defensive rating
113.3
47.8%
Effective FG%
55.4%
54.0%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
20.3%
Turnover %
16.9%
29.5%
Off. rebound %
32.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.26
31.1%
3-point %
37.7%
63.5%
Assist %
55.5%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 115.5Defence106.5 · 113.3Shooting47.8% · 55.4%3-point %31.1% · 37.7%Ball care20.3% · 16.9%Off. rebounds29.5% · 32.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Breogan   ■ Bonn
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Breogan wins
1
Bonn wins
DateGameScore
08/11/23Bonn v Breogan86-71
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/12/23HMurcia74-83
09/12/23ABilbao76-68
06/12/23ABursaspor65-77
03/12/23AReal Madrid58-91
26/11/23HBasket Zaragoza82-77
22/11/23HHapoel Holon82-72
18/11/23ABasquet Girona83-87
15/11/23AHapoel Holon79-84
11/11/23HJoventut Badalona85-77
08/11/23ABonn71-86
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AWurzburg78-97
13/12/23HBasketball Braunschweig76-80
10/12/23HBayern78-86
06/12/23AHapoel Holon72-65
03/12/23ABasketball Braunschweig102-94
26/11/23HHeidelberg92-69
21/11/23HBursaspor82-92
19/11/23AGottingen101-77
12/11/23HBayern88-83 OT
08/11/23HBreogan86-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Breogan
Champions League 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL40%
HomeWW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %40%100%0%
Points / game73.075.071.7
Allowed / game73.460.082.3
Point differential-0.4+15.0-10.7
Avg total146.4135.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Bonn
Champions League 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%33%100%
Points / game81.080.781.5
Allowed / game75.279.369.0
Point differential+5.8+1.3+12.5
Avg total156.2160.0150.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%33%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Athens550100%89.875.6+14.2
2 Murcia65183%86.271.2+15.0
3 Dijon65183%87.773.5+14.2
4 Hapoel Jerusalem65183%85.573.3+12.2
5 Tortona65183%83.380.7+2.7
6 Strasbourg97278%81.277.4+3.8
7 Obradoiro CAB32167%80.768.0+12.7
8 Rytas64267%84.875.8+9.0
9 Unicaja64267%81.773.7+8.0
10 Tenerife64267%81.773.8+7.8
11 Brindisi32167%74.772.3+2.3
12 Cholet96367%81.980.4+1.4
13 Norrkoping32167%77.776.3+1.3
14 Bonn53260%81.075.2+5.8
15 Hapoel Holon53260%77.876.2+1.6
16 Nes Ziona21150%83.067.5+15.5
17 Bakken Bears21150%85.578.5+7.0
18 Promitheas63350%86.079.2+6.8
19 Galatasaray63350%85.582.0+3.5
20 Le Mans63350%79.577.2+2.3
21 Legia21150%68.066.5+1.5
22 Karsiyaka63350%82.581.2+1.3
23 Den Bosch21150%79.581.0-1.5
24 Darussafaka63350%81.383.3-2.0
25 Fribourg Olympic21150%58.060.5-2.5
26 Varese21150%80.583.5-3.0
27 PAOK63350%75.879.7-3.8
28 Peristeri63350%77.282.2-5.0
29 Oostende63350%77.083.2-6.2
30 AEK Larnaca21150%66.576.5-10.0
31 Benfica94544%81.778.7+3.0
32 Breogan52340%73.073.4-0.4
33 Szczecin52340%78.479.8-1.4
34 Ludwigsburg52340%79.482.2-2.8
35 Bursaspor52340%72.879.8-7.0
36 Oldenburg62433%84.082.5+1.5
37 Tofas62433%88.791.8-3.2
38 VEF Riga62433%71.876.0-4.2
39 Szombathely62433%76.081.3-5.3
40 Sassari51420%82.492.4-10.0
41 FMP Beograd1010%71.073.0-2.0
42 CSM Oradea1010%74.077.0-3.0
43 Antwerp Giants1010%72.076.0-4.0
44 BC Kalev/Cramo1010%78.082.0-4.0
45 Jonava1010%78.083.0-5.0
46 Caledonia Gladiators1010%51.057.0-6.0
47 Levice1010%66.074.0-8.0
48 Gottingen1010%84.096.0-12.0
49 Igokea6060%72.587.0-14.5
50 Peja1010%79.0103.0-24.0
51 Opava6060%72.0102.0-30.0
52 Mornar Bar1010%56.090.0-34.0
53 Karhu Basket1010%56.092.0-36.0
54 TSU1010%62.0122.0-60.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 54 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Breogan211521231797
Bonn192017241292
← all games of the day
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