Adelaide vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	88.2	92.3	180.5	-4.1	41%
Season at home (13)	88.5	88.3	176.8	+0.2	62%
Season away (14)	87.9	96.1	183.9	-8.2	21%
Last 10 (10)	92.9	91.4	184.3	+1.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	89.8	177.6	-2.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	87.9	93.1	181.1	-5.2	41%
vs Similar (10)	91.6	95.0	186.6	-3.4	40%
vs Weaker (3)	97.0	93.3	190.3	+3.7	67%

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand Breakers Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormBreakers

Date

Competition

Perth

102-108

102

108

-6

99avg 81

H07/01

NBL

Melbourne United

81-82

-1

72avg 81

H12/01

NBL

Sydney

76-105

105

-29

62avg 81

A14/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

106-75

106

+31

104avg 81

H20/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

94-88

85avg 81

H26/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

85-89

-4

68avg 81

A28/01

NBL

Perth

89-78

+11

81avg 81

A04/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

88-85

81avg 81

H09/02

NBL

Melbourne United

81-94

-13

65avg 81

A11/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

103-87

103

+16

96avg 81

H16/02

NBL

35-24

23-29

19-34

25-21

22-17

22-22

18-23

19-20

19-34

15-29

20-26

22-16

25-10

27-27

25-26

29-12

24-20

33-19

12-21

25-28

22-22

26-20

20-22

17-25

21-16

25-23

25-24

18-15

18-21

23-21

27-19

20-24

22-27

17-28

16-23

26-16

26-21

29-19

20-23

28-24

179.6Avg total

90.5Scored

89.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	89.9	89.0	179.0	+0.9	48%
Season at home (14)	91.6	87.8	179.4	+3.8	57%
Season away (13)	88.2	90.4	178.5	-2.2	38%
Last 10 (10)	90.5	89.1	179.6	+1.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	89.2	86.6	175.8	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	88.4	91.9	180.3	-3.4	43%
vs Similar (18)	86.7	86.2	172.8	+0.5	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	93.2	89.6	182.8	+3.6	40%

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

AdelaideNew Zealand Breakers

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.0	25.2	48.3	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.9	25.4	49.4	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.2	25.1	47.3	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	22.2	45.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	22.2	43.6	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	21.8	25.6	47.4	-3.8	35%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.0	23.6	47.6	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (3)	26.7	28.7	55.3	-2.0	33%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.8	44.5	+1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.1	20.1	44.2	+3.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.5	23.4	44.9	-1.9	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	21.2	44.6	+2.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	21.4	43.2	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.1	24.0	46.1	-1.9	43%	-
vs Similar (18)	22.2	21.5	43.7	+0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	25.6	19.6	45.2	+6.0	80%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	21.9	43.5	-0.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.5	23.9	46.4	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.6	20.7	45.3	+3.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	23.2	46.0	-0.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	20.1	21.8	41.9	-1.6	24%	-
vs Similar (10)	24.1	22.6	46.7	+1.5	70%	-
vs Weaker (3)	21.7	20.3	42.0	+1.3	33%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.5	22.0	44.5	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	21.8	44.0	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.7	22.3	45.0	+0.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.0	23.7	47.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	22.2	46.2	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.3	20.4	42.7	+1.9	57%	-
vs Similar (18)	22.2	21.8	44.1	+0.4	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	23.6	25.0	48.6	-1.4	40%	-

AdelaideLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Illawarra Hawks

41-40

A31/12

NBL

Melbourne United

46-42

H06/01

NBL

Sydney

42-27

+15

H11/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

56-53

A13/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

68-40

+28

A17/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

42-39

A20/01

NBL

Cairns Taipans

53-38

+15

H27/01

NBL

Sydney

37-41

-4

H02/02

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

45-57

-12

A04/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

44-52

-8

A09/02

NBL

90.3Avg total

47.4Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.6	47.1	91.8	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	44.5	45.1	89.6	-0.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.8	48.9	93.7	-4.2	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	42.9	90.3	+4.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	45.4	89.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	41.9	47.4	89.3	-5.4	18%	-
vs Similar (10)	48.1	46.2	94.3	+1.9	60%	-
vs Weaker (3)	48.3	49.0	97.3	-0.7	33%	-

This opponent (New Zealand Breakers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

New Zealand BreakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Perth

58-53

H07/01

NBL

Melbourne United

44-39

H12/01

NBL

Sydney

34-63

-29

A14/01

NBL

South East Melbourne

#10

52-37

+15

H20/01

NBL

Tasmania JackJumpers

57-39

+18

H26/01

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

48-42

A28/01

NBL

Perth

46-39

A04/02

NBL

Illawarra Hawks

41-42

-1

H09/02

NBL

Melbourne United

39-55

-16

A11/02

NBL

Brisbane Bullets

55-40

+15

H16/02

NBL

92.3Avg total

47.4Scored

44.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	43.8	89.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.3	41.9	88.2	+4.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.2	45.7	89.9	-1.5	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.4	44.9	92.3	+2.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.8	43.6	89.4	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	44.4	44.4	88.9	+0.0	57%	-
vs Similar (18)	44.4	43.3	87.8	+1.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	49.2	44.6	93.8	+4.6	80%	-

This opponent (Adelaide) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	23.0	45.1	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	21.9	43.4	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	22.7	23.9	46.6	-1.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	22.7	45.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	21.2	43.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	22.7	23.5	46.2	-0.8	53%	-
vs Similar (10)	20.5	23.2	43.7	-2.7	40%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.3	19.0	43.3	+5.3	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	22.4	44.4	-0.4	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.7	22.1	44.8	+0.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	22.6	43.9	-1.3	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	24.1	44.3	-3.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.2	43.8	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	22.6	43.0	-2.1	29%	-
vs Similar (18)	22.5	21.8	44.3	+0.7	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	22.4	24.0	46.4	-1.6	20%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	23.1	23.1	46.2	-0.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.4	22.8	47.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	23.4	45.2	-1.5	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	24.1	46.1	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	23.2	44.4	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	23.3	22.2	45.5	+1.1	47%	-
vs Similar (10)	22.3	23.9	46.2	-1.6	30%	-
vs Weaker (3)	24.3	25.3	49.7	-1.0	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	21.9	42.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	22.5	44.4	-0.7	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.0	21.3	41.3	-1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.9	20.1	43.0	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.8	42.6	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	23.6	24.9	48.4	-1.3	29%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	21.6	21.0	42.6	+0.6	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.2	46.1	91.3	-0.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.9	44.6	90.6	+1.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	44.6	47.3	91.9	-2.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.8	46.8	91.6	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	44.4	88.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	46.0	45.8	91.8	+0.2	41%	-
vs Similar (10)	42.8	47.1	89.9	-4.3	30%	-
vs Weaker (3)	48.7	44.3	93.0	+4.3	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	44.3	87.2	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.5	44.7	89.2	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.3	43.9	85.2	-2.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.1	44.2	87.3	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	43.0	86.4	+0.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	44.0	47.4	91.4	-3.4	29%	-
vs Similar (18)	42.2	42.8	85.1	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)	44.0	45.0	89.0	-1.0	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Adelaidetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Adelaide: 90.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀56%

🏀🏀🏀24%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 56% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 24% of the points

🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game

51%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.4	25.1	53.0%	50.9%	50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	7.1	28.6%	33.9%	21.3
🏀 Free throws	24.2	18.7	77.3%	73.8%	18.7

They take 72.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

New Zealand Breakerstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

New Zealand Breakers: 89.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 89.2 points a game

51%

30%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.1	22.5	53.4%	50.9%	45.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.3	10.0	39.5%	33.9%	30.0
🏀 Free throws	20.3	14.7	72.4%	73.8%	14.7

They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	48.1	23.6	49.1%	50.9%	47.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.9	9.2	33.0%	33.9%	27.6
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.5	76.3%	73.8%	14.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.8	22.3	49.8%	50.9%	44.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	21.6	8.2	38.0%	33.9%	24.6
🏀 Free throws	25.9	18.7	72.2%	73.8%	18.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	46.7	23.5	50.4%	50.9%	47.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.4	7.0	30.1%	33.9%	21.1
🏀 Free throws	24.2	18.7	77.4%	73.8%	18.7

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.7	21.8	53.6%	50.9%	43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	9.9	38.0%	33.9%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	21.0	15.7	74.6%	73.8%	15.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.6	23.7	49.8%	50.9%	47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.2	9.9	33.9%	33.9%	29.8
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.6	73.0%	73.8%	13.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.2	22.1	50.1%	50.9%	44.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	22.7	8.6	37.6%	33.9%	25.7
🏀 Free throws	24.1	18.2	75.5%	73.8%	18.2

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Adelaide

LLWWWWLWWL

New Zealand Breakers

WLWWLWWLLL

League position

+1.1

Net rating

+2.3

109.3

Offensive rating

113.7

108.2

Defensive rating

111.5

49.5%

Effective FG%

55.6%

49.2%

Opp. effective FG%

52.1%

15.6%

Turnover %

15.3%

31.9%

Off. rebound %

25.6%

0.34

Free-throw rate

0.30

28.6%

3-point %

39.5%

53.1%

Assist %

51.4%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Adelaide ■ New Zealand Breakers

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Adelaide wins

New Zealand Breakers wins

Date	Game	Score
30/11/23	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	96-83
26/10/23	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	85-97
08/01/23	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	83-85
20/11/22	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	89-83
28/10/22	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	70-99
24/04/22	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	60-93
12/03/22	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	84-75
12/12/21	Adelaide v New Zealand Breakers	98-85
25/05/21	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	94-76
26/04/21	New Zealand Breakers v Adelaide	93-77

Adelaidelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/02/24	A	Brisbane Bullets	84-102
04/02/24	A	Tasmania JackJumpers	86-109
02/02/24	H	Sydney	85-78
27/01/24	H	Cairns Taipans	88-71
20/01/24	A	Illawarra Hawks	96-89
17/01/24	A	South East Melbourne	110-85
13/01/24	A	Cairns Taipans	101-111 OT
11/01/24	H	Sydney	95-82
06/01/24	H	Melbourne United	100-96
31/12/23	A	Illawarra Hawks	84-91

New Zealand Breakerslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/02/24	H	Brisbane Bullets	103-87
11/02/24	A	Melbourne United	81-94
09/02/24	H	Illawarra Hawks	88-85
04/02/24	A	Perth	89-78
28/01/24	A	Illawarra Hawks	85-89
26/01/24	H	Tasmania JackJumpers	94-88
20/01/24	H	South East Melbourne	106-75
14/01/24	A	Sydney	76-105
12/01/24	H	Melbourne United	81-82
07/01/24	H	Perth	102-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Adelaide

NBL 2023-24

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	41%
Home	LWWWW	62%
Away	LWWLL	21%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	41%	62%	21%
Points / game	88.2	88.5	87.9
Allowed / game	92.3	88.3	96.1
Point differential	-4.1	+0.2	-8.2
Avg total	180.5	176.8	183.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	23%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

New Zealand Breakers

NBL 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	48%
Home	LWWWW	57%
Away	WLLWL	38%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	48%	57%	38%
Points / game	89.9	91.6	88.2
Allowed / game	89.0	87.8	90.4
Point differential	+0.9	+3.8	-2.2
Avg total	179.0	179.4	178.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	36%	23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (9)	25% (4)	40% (5)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Melbourne United	28	20	8	71%	93.4	87.6	+5.8
2	Perth	28	17	11	61%	93.9	91.5	+2.4
3	Tasmania JackJumpers	28	16	12	57%	91.6	84.9	+6.6
4	Illawarra Hawks	28	14	14	50%	91.0	89.9	+1.0
5	New Zealand Breakers	27	13	14	48%	89.9	89.0	+0.9
6	Sydney	28	13	15	46%	95.4	92.9	+2.5
7	Brisbane Bullets	28	13	15	46%	87.8	90.5	-2.7
8	Cairns Taipans	28	12	16	43%	89.5	92.5	-3.0
9	Adelaide	27	11	16	41%	88.2	92.3	-4.1
10	South East Melbourne	28	10	18	36%	86.6	96.1	-9.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Adelaide	17	20	21	18	76
New Zealand Breakers	14	21	12	23	70

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Adelaide vs New Zealand Breakers Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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