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Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 110-95
39-28 19-29 25-21 27-17
Position#20
Record13-13
FormWWLLL
Points / game112.2
Allowed / game109.9
vs
Position#25
Record11-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game109.2
Allowed / game114.1
USANBA· Kaseya Center
NBA2024-25
Meetings · Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
14 Feb 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
12 Jan 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
MIA126
BKN110
03 Mar 2026
MIA124
BKN98
23 Dec 2024
MIA110
BKN95
16 Nov 2023
MIA122
BKN115
01 Nov 2023
MIA105
BKN109
25 Mar 2023
MIA100
BKN129
08 Jan 2023
MIA101
BKN102
26 Mar 2022
MIA95
BKN110
12 Feb 2022
MIA115
BKN111
18 Apr 2021
MIA109
BKN107
29 Feb 2020
MIA116
BKN113
02 Mar 2019
MIA117
BKN88
20 Nov 2018
MIA92
BKN104
31 Mar 2018
MIA109
BKN110
29 Dec 2017
MIA87
BKN111
30 Jan 2017
MIA104
BKN96
28 Mar 2016
MIA110
BKN99
28 Dec 2015
MIA105
BKN111
11 Mar 2015
MIA104
BKN98
04 Jan 2015
MIA88
BKN84
14 May 2014
MIA96
BKN94
08 May 2014
MIA94
BKN82
06 May 2014
MIA107
BKN86
08 Apr 2014
MIA87
BKN88
12 Mar 2014
MIA95
BKN96
01 Dec 2012
MIA102
BKN89
07 Nov 2012
MIA103
BKN73
06 Mar 2012
MIA108
BKN78
06 Nov 2010
MIA101
BKN89
14 Apr 2010
MIA94
BKN86
14 Nov 2009
MIA81
BKN80
03 Jan 2009
MIA101
BKN96
10 Nov 2008
MIA99
BKN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
121-111
121
111
+10
110avg 103
H30/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
116-119
116
119
-3
108avg 103
A01/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
89-108
89
108
-19
78avg 103
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
134-93
134
93
+41
146avg 103
H05/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
121-111
121
111
+10
119avg 103
H08/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
122-113
122
113
+9
120avg 103
H08/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
114-104
114
104
+10
108avg 103
H13/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
124-125 OT
124
125
-1
115avg 103
A17/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
97-104
97
104
-7
85avg 103
H21/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
114-121
114
121
-7
102avg 103
A22/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
38-40
38-23
25-27
24-34
36-31
27-33
29-21
25-28
20-32
18-25
26-23
34-26
35-26
36-20
29-21
26-29
27-29
34-24
34-29
21-25
38-26
31-29
32-33
23-27
35-24
31-25
25-28
32-33
27-30
22-34
33-17
25-30
22-20
23-31
27-23
40-28
36-28
30-28
8-37
226.1Avg total
115.2Scored
110.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)112.2109.9222.2+2.350%
Season at home (13)112.4106.9219.3+5.562%
Season away (13)112.1112.9225.0-0.838%
Last 10 (10)115.2110.9226.1+4.350%
Last 5 (5)114.2113.4227.6+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)95.2105.5200.8-10.238%
vs Similar (17)116.0113.9229.9+2.141%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)103.292.6195.8+10.6100%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#22
W
127-117
127
117
+10
124avg 99
A28/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
100-123
100
123
-23
93avg 99
H30/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
92-100
92
100
-8
76avg 99
H01/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
102-128
102
128
-26
87avg 99
A03/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
99-90
99
90
+9
92avg 99
H05/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
113-118
113
118
-5
104avg 99
H08/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
119-135
119
135
-16
111avg 99
A14/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
101-130
101
130
-29
91avg 99
H17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
101-94
101
94
+7
94avg 99
A20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
94-105
94
105
-11
85avg 99
H22/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-37
29-26
33-21
31-33
29-33
20-28
22-35
29-27
29-26
21-24
19-25
23-25
29-29
21-27
22-36
30-36
24-17
27-18
24-35
24-20
25-27
27-24
34-35
27-32
36-39
20-30
39-38
24-28
17-37
23-35
37-32
24-26
24-24
28-22
18-30
31-18
24-19
21-31
18-25
31-30
218.8Avg total
104.8Scored
114.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)109.2114.1223.3-5.039%
Season at home (13)107.8114.5222.2-6.738%
Season away (15)110.4113.9224.3-3.540%
Last 10 (10)104.8114.0218.8-9.230%
Last 5 (5)105.6116.4222.0-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)109.4115.3224.6-5.932%
vs Similar (5)103.2106.4209.6-3.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -4.6-4.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
Miami HeatBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H30/11
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
L
60-65
60
65
-5
A01/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
45-60
45
60
-15
A03/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
W
69-52
69
52
+17
H05/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#22
L
53-58
53
58
-5
H08/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
W
59-51
59
51
+8
H08/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H13/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#14
L
59-63
59
63
-4
A17/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#1
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H21/12
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
W
76-56
76
56
+20
A22/12
NBA
115.1Avg total
58.4Scored
56.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.954.3109.1+0.650%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.054.3111.3+2.754%-
Last 30 away (17)53.254.2107.5-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)58.456.7115.1+1.740%-
Last 5 (5)59.854.2114.0+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)49.653.2102.9-3.650%-
vs Similar (17)58.757.1115.8+1.647%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)50.246.296.4+4.060%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#22
D
63-63
63
63
+0
A28/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
L
49-61
49
61
-12
H30/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#15
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H01/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A03/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H05/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H08/12
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
56-69
56
69
-13
A14/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
40-72
40
72
-32
H17/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A20/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#30
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H22/12
NBA
106.1Avg total
50.8Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.756.1110.8-1.443%-
Last 30 at home (13)53.554.8108.3-1.254%-
Last 30 away (17)55.657.2112.8-1.635%-
Last 10 (10)50.855.3106.1-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)49.057.6106.6-8.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)55.456.8112.2-1.448%-
vs Similar (5)51.052.8103.8-1.820%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 115.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.926.5
55.3%
54.3%53.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.214.3
36.5%
35.9%42.9
🏀 Free throws24.419.3
79.1%
77.8%19.3
They take 87.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 39.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 104.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.4 points a game
49%
36%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.824.1
51.5%
54.3%48.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.113.2
34.6%
35.9%39.6
🏀 Free throws20.717.0
82.1%
77.8%17.0
They take 84.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLLWWWWLLW
Brooklyn Nets
LWLLLWLLLW
#20
League position
#25
+4.3
Net rating
-9.2
115.3
Offensive rating
105.2
111.0
Defensive rating
114.4
55.1%
Effective FG%
51.7%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
58.3%
12.8%
Turnover %
14.8%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
21.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.24
36.5%
3-point %
34.6%
65.4%
Assist %
64.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 105.2Defence111.0 · 114.4Shooting55.1% · 51.7%3-point %36.5% · 34.6%Ball care12.8% · 14.8%Off. rebounds22.9% · 21.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Brooklyn Nets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24AOrlando Magic114-121
21/12/24HOklahoma City Thunder97-104
17/12/24ADetroit Pistons124-125 OT
13/12/24HToronto Raptors114-104
08/12/24HCleveland Cavaliers122-113
08/12/24HPhoenix Suns121-111
05/12/24HLos Angeles Lakers134-93
03/12/24ABoston Celtics89-108
01/12/24AToronto Raptors116-119
30/11/24HToronto Raptors121-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/24HUtah Jazz94-105
20/12/24AToronto Raptors101-94
17/12/24HCleveland Cavaliers101-130
14/12/24AMemphis Grizzlies119-135
08/12/24HMilwaukee Bucks113-118
05/12/24HIndiana Pacers99-90
03/12/24AChicago Bulls102-128
01/12/24HOrlando Magic92-100
30/11/24HOrlando Magic100-123
28/11/24APhoenix Suns127-117

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL50%
HomeWWWWL62%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %50%62%38%
Points / game112.2112.4112.1
Allowed / game109.9106.9112.9
Point differential+2.3+5.5-0.8
Avg total222.2219.3225.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%38%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %12%8%15%
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL39%
HomeLWLLL38%
AwayWWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %39%38%40%
Points / game109.2107.8110.4
Allowed / game114.1114.5113.9
Point differential-5.0-6.7-3.5
Avg total223.3222.2224.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%8%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (4)33% (6)
Overtime %7%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers3026487%121.8110.2+11.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder2520580%114.8103.3+11.5
3 Boston Celtics2922776%119.1109.6+9.5
4 Houston Rockets2719870%114.4106.7+7.6
5 Memphis Grizzlies2920969%123.1112.9+10.2
6 New York Knicks2718967%117.1109.4+7.7
7 Dallas Mavericks2718967%118.9112.0+6.9
8 Orlando Magic30191163%107.2103.6+3.6
9 Denver Nuggets26151158%119.9117.3+2.5
10 Golden State Warriors26151158%114.0111.6+2.4
11 Los Angeles Lakers28161257%111.1113.7-2.6
12 Los Angeles Clippers29161355%109.4107.6+1.9
13 Milwaukee Bucks25131252%112.8112.4+0.4
14 Minnesota Timberwolves27141352%109.4106.9+2.6
15 Phoenix Suns27141352%114.3115.1-0.8
16 San Antonio Spurs29151452%111.6112.7-1.1
17 Miami Heat26131350%112.2109.9+2.3
18 Indiana Pacers29141548%114.9116.3-1.4
19 Atlanta Hawks27131448%117.2120.6-3.4
20 Chicago Bulls29131645%118.1121.4-3.4
21 Sacramento Kings30131743%114.8113.6+1.2
22 Detroit Pistons29121741%111.7114.6-2.9
23 Brooklyn Nets28111739%109.2114.1-5.0
24 Philadelphia 76ers27101737%105.9110.4-4.5
25 Portland Trail Blazers2891932%107.1116.3-9.2
26 Utah Jazz2872125%110.3119.5-9.2
27 Toronto Raptors2972224%111.6116.6-5.0
28 Charlotte Hornets2972224%106.4113.0-6.6
29 New Orleans Pelicans3052517%105.7117.2-11.5
30 Washington Wizards2642215%107.5122.2-14.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat39192527110
Brooklyn Nets2829211795
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