PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 01 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 105-109
32-29 24-17 27-29 22-34
Position#18
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game104.5
Allowed / game112.2
vs
Position#22
Record1-2
FormLLLLW
Points / game122.0
Allowed / game120.0
USANBA· Kaseya Center (Miami)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
14 Feb 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
12 Jan 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
MIA126
BKN110
03 Mar 2026
MIA124
BKN98
23 Dec 2024
MIA110
BKN95
16 Nov 2023
MIA122
BKN115
01 Nov 2023
MIA105
BKN109
25 Mar 2023
MIA100
BKN129
08 Jan 2023
MIA101
BKN102
26 Mar 2022
MIA95
BKN110
12 Feb 2022
MIA115
BKN111
18 Apr 2021
MIA109
BKN107
29 Feb 2020
MIA116
BKN113
02 Mar 2019
MIA117
BKN88
20 Nov 2018
MIA92
BKN104
31 Mar 2018
MIA109
BKN110
29 Dec 2017
MIA87
BKN111
30 Jan 2017
MIA104
BKN96
28 Mar 2016
MIA110
BKN99
28 Dec 2015
MIA105
BKN111
11 Mar 2015
MIA104
BKN98
04 Jan 2015
MIA88
BKN84
14 May 2014
MIA96
BKN94
08 May 2014
MIA94
BKN82
06 May 2014
MIA107
BKN86
08 Apr 2014
MIA87
BKN88
12 Mar 2014
MIA95
BKN96
01 Dec 2012
MIA102
BKN89
07 Nov 2012
MIA103
BKN73
06 Mar 2012
MIA108
BKN78
06 Nov 2010
MIA101
BKN89
14 Apr 2010
MIA94
BKN86
14 Nov 2009
MIA81
BKN80
03 Jan 2009
MIA101
BKN96
10 Nov 2008
MIA99
BKN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
111-108
111
108
+3
106avg 100
A05/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
94-109
94
109
-15
72avg 100
H08/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
95-108
95
108
-13
88avg 100
H10/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
89-94
89
94
-5
69avg 100
A13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#5
W
107-90
107
90
+17
no box
A03/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#2
L
83-95
83
95
-12
no box
A06/07
California Classic
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
103-102
103
102
+1
91avg 100
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
111-119
111
119
-8
102avg 100
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
90-106
90
106
-16
78avg 100
A29/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
114-122
114
122
-8
109avg 100
A31/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
25-34
24-26
36-25
24-24
24-29
20-29
26-27
21-20
30-35
22-31
22-22
24-22
27-22
20-26
18-24
22-16
36-24
26-27
23-23
14-21
26-26
30-21
13-27
26-29
32-18
25-28
20-27
28-25
27-35
33-27
23-32
31-26
22-29
20-25
17-26
28-28
24-34
21-35
41-25
205.0Avg total
99.7Scored
105.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)104.5112.2216.8-7.825%
Season at home (1)103.0102.0205.0+1.0100%
Season away (3)105.0115.7220.7-10.70%
Last 10 (10)99.7105.3205.0-5.630%
Last 5 (5)100.2108.8209.0-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)102.0105.3207.3-3.333%
vs Similar ◀ (13)112.5108.5220.9+4.069%
vs Weaker (2)105.096.0201.0+9.0100%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
123-108
123
108
+15
122avg 106
A05/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
101-84
101
84
+17
93avg 106
H07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
105-134
105
134
-29
95avg 106
H09/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
101-121
101
121
-20
99avg 106
A15/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
84-96
84
96
-12
71avg 106
A17/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
97-102
97
102
-5
86avg 106
H20/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
88-96
88
96
-8
76avg 106
H22/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
L
113-114
113
114
-1
115avg 106
H25/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
120-125
120
125
-5
118avg 106
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
133-121
133
121
+12
129avg 106
A30/10
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
47-34
27-23
22-33
27-18
27-23
31-16
20-23
23-22
21-36
32-25
39-39
13-34
25-30
33-37
23-26
20-28
25-25
24-19
14-24
21-28
28-32
19-26
35-18
15-26
29-22
19-18
15-26
25-30
32-37
31-26
24-27
26-24
25-26
34-31
30-31
31-37
42-23
24-32
33-28
34-38
216.6Avg total
106.5Scored
110.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)122.0120.0242.0+2.033%
Season at home (1)113.0114.0227.0-1.00%
Season away (2)126.5123.0249.5+3.550%
Last 10 (10)106.5110.1216.6-3.630%
Last 5 (5)110.2111.6221.8-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)113.6114.7228.3-1.129%
vs Similar ◀ (18)107.6112.7220.3-5.128%
vs Weaker (5)119.8105.0224.8+14.8100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -5.0-5.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -3.4-3.4Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -5.0-5.0
Miami HeatBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A05/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
H08/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H10/06
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
51-44
51
44
+7
A13/06
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#5
W
58-40
58
40
+18
A03/07
California Classic
Sacramento Kings
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A06/07
California Classic
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H25/10
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A29/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A31/10
NBA
103.7Avg total
51.7Scored
52.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.453.6107.0-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (12)54.850.3105.1+4.467%-
Last 30 away (18)52.655.7108.3-3.233%-
Last 10 (10)51.752.0103.7-0.330%-
Last 5 (5)51.654.2105.8-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)51.253.4104.6-2.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)55.355.3110.6+0.054%-
vs Weaker (2)58.043.5101.5+14.5100%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
74-57
74
57
+17
A05/04
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
58-39
58
39
+19
H07/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
53-61
53
61
-8
H09/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A15/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A17/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
L
47-58
47
58
-11
H20/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#4
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H22/04
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#12
D
63-63
63
63
+0
H25/10
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-55
66
55
+11
A30/10
NBA
111.6Avg total
57.5Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.957.3114.2-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.153.0108.1+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)58.761.7120.3-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)57.554.1111.6+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)56.654.6111.2+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)57.462.4119.9-5.029%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)54.556.7111.2-2.244%-
vs Weaker (5)64.652.4117.0+12.280%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 100.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.625.1
45.1%
54.4%50.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.412.1
37.3%
36.3%36.3
🏀 Free throws16.613.8
83.1%
78.2%13.8
They take 88.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 106.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers37.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.226.2
55.5%
54.4%52.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.812.5
34.9%
36.3%37.5
🏀 Free throws21.716.6
76.5%
78.2%16.6
They take 83.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 01 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLLWLWLLLW
Brooklyn Nets
WLLLLLLLWW
#18
League position
#22
-5.5
Net rating
-3.7
104.9
Offensive rating
109.4
110.5
Defensive rating
113.1
49.1%
Effective FG%
54.2%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
10.8%
Turnover %
13.3%
20.9%
Off. rebound %
20.5%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.3%
3-point %
34.9%
64.0%
Assist %
66.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.9 · 109.4Defence110.5 · 113.1Shooting49.1% · 54.2%3-point %37.3% · 34.9%Ball care10.8% · 13.3%Off. rebounds20.9% · 20.5%Free throws0.19 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Brooklyn Nets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/23AMilwaukee Bucks114-122
29/10/23AMinnesota Timberwolves90-106
27/10/23ABoston Celtics111-119
25/10/23HDetroit Pistons103-102
06/07/23ASacramento Kings83-95
03/07/23ALos Angeles Lakers107-90
13/06/23ADenver Nuggets89-94
10/06/23HDenver Nuggets95-108
08/06/23HDenver Nuggets94-109
05/06/23ADenver Nuggets111-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/23ACharlotte Hornets133-121
28/10/23ADallas Mavericks120-125
25/10/23HCleveland Cavaliers113-114
22/04/23HPhiladelphia 76ers88-96
20/04/23HPhiladelphia 76ers97-102
17/04/23APhiladelphia 76ers84-96
15/04/23APhiladelphia 76ers101-121
09/04/23HPhiladelphia 76ers105-134
07/04/23HOrlando Magic101-84
05/04/23ADetroit Pistons123-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game104.5103.0105.0
Allowed / game112.2102.0115.7
Point differential-7.8+1.0-10.7
Avg total216.8205.0220.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game122.0113.0126.5
Allowed / game120.0114.0123.0
Point differential+2.0-1.0+3.5
Avg total242.0227.0249.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denver Nuggets440100%116.2102.0+14.2
2 Boston Celtics330100%117.7107.3+10.3
3 Dallas Mavericks330100%125.3116.3+9.0
4 Los Angeles Clippers43175%120.5104.0+16.5
5 Golden State Warriors43175%115.5104.8+10.8
6 Oklahoma City Thunder43175%112.8112.2+0.5
7 Philadelphia 76ers32167%119.0107.7+11.3
8 Indiana Pacers32167%124.3115.0+9.3
9 Sacramento Kings32167%125.3121.0+4.3
10 New Orleans Pelicans32167%103.0107.0-4.0
11 Phoenix Suns42250%110.8105.8+5.0
12 Atlanta Hawks42250%121.0116.2+4.8
13 Orlando Magic42250%105.8101.8+4.0
14 New York Knicks42250%106.5103.8+2.8
15 Los Angeles Lakers42250%110.0112.2-2.2
16 Milwaukee Bucks42250%115.2122.0-6.8
17 Chicago Bulls42250%105.5112.5-7.0
18 San Antonio Spurs42250%110.8121.2-10.5
19 Detroit Pistons52340%108.8107.6+1.2
20 Toronto Raptors52340%105.6104.4+1.2
21 Portland Trail Blazers52340%103.0108.6-5.6
22 Brooklyn Nets31233%122.0120.0+2.0
23 Minnesota Timberwolves31233%104.3104.7-0.3
24 Charlotte Hornets31233%112.0118.0-6.0
25 Washington Wizards31233%113.3125.0-11.7
26 Miami Heat41325%104.5112.2-7.8
27 Cleveland Cavaliers41325%105.8113.8-8.0
28 Utah Jazz41325%110.0121.0-11.0
29 Memphis Grizzlies4040%106.0114.2-8.2
30 Houston Rockets3030%101.0116.0-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat32242722105
Brooklyn Nets29172934109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.