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Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 100-129
36-28 33-37 18-39 13-25
Position#10
Record40-34
FormWWLWW
Points / game109.3
Allowed / game109.7
vs
Position#13
Record39-34
FormLLLLL
Points / game113.3
Allowed / game112.9
USANBA· Miami-Dade Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
14 Feb 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
12 Jan 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
MIA126
BKN110
03 Mar 2026
MIA124
BKN98
23 Dec 2024
MIA110
BKN95
16 Nov 2023
MIA122
BKN115
01 Nov 2023
MIA105
BKN109
25 Mar 2023
MIA100
BKN129
08 Jan 2023
MIA101
BKN102
26 Mar 2022
MIA95
BKN110
12 Feb 2022
MIA115
BKN111
18 Apr 2021
MIA109
BKN107
29 Feb 2020
MIA116
BKN113
02 Mar 2019
MIA117
BKN88
20 Nov 2018
MIA92
BKN104
31 Mar 2018
MIA109
BKN110
29 Dec 2017
MIA87
BKN111
30 Jan 2017
MIA104
BKN96
28 Mar 2016
MIA110
BKN99
28 Dec 2015
MIA105
BKN111
11 Mar 2015
MIA104
BKN98
04 Jan 2015
MIA88
BKN84
14 May 2014
MIA96
BKN94
08 May 2014
MIA94
BKN82
06 May 2014
MIA107
BKN86
08 Apr 2014
MIA87
BKN88
12 Mar 2014
MIA95
BKN96
01 Dec 2012
MIA102
BKN89
07 Nov 2012
MIA103
BKN73
06 Mar 2012
MIA108
BKN78
06 Nov 2010
MIA101
BKN89
14 Apr 2010
MIA94
BKN86
14 Nov 2009
MIA81
BKN80
03 Jan 2009
MIA101
BKN96
10 Nov 2008
MIA99
BKN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
117-109
117
109
+8
118avg 100
H05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
130-128
130
128
+2
125avg 100
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
100-104
100
104
-4
96avg 100
H09/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
119-115
119
115
+4
116avg 100
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
114-126 OT
114
126
-12
95avg 100
A12/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
119-115
119
115
+4
109avg 100
H13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
138-119
138
119
+19
141avg 100
H15/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
99-113
99
113
-14
89avg 100
A19/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
112-100
112
100
+12
115avg 100
A19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
127-120
127
120
+7
122avg 100
H22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-26
37-23
21-26
30-34
30-43
33-25
29-28
38-32
30-26
23-31
29-30
18-17
27-26
23-33
32-30
37-26
24-34
31-24
23-23
30-27
33-26
23-31
34-33
29-25
29-27
34-24
42-26
33-42
19-33
26-37
32-20
22-23
26-29
26-18
22-34
38-19
31-32
33-29
28-25
35-34
232.4Avg total
117.5Scored
114.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (74)109.3109.7218.9-0.454%
Season at home (38)111.0109.4220.4+1.566%
Season away (36)107.5109.9217.4-2.442%
Last 10 (10)117.5114.9232.4+2.670%
Last 5 (5)119.0113.4232.4+5.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)105.0104.6209.6+0.460%
vs Similar ◀ (21)111.6113.9225.5-2.352%
vs Weaker (4)107.2106.2213.5+1.050%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
102-86
102
86
+16
91avg 107
H05/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
118-96
118
96
+22
109avg 107
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
113-118
113
118
-5
94avg 107
A10/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
124-123 OT
124
123
+1
112avg 107
A11/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
122-120
122
120
+2
115avg 107
A12/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
107-121
107
121
-14
100avg 107
A15/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
96-101
96
101
-5
85avg 107
H16/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
102-108
102
108
-6
94avg 107
H19/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
109-115
109
115
-6
101avg 107
H21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
114-116
114
116
-2
109avg 107
H23/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-21
34-20
16-21
16-24
27-32
32-22
33-24
26-18
20-37
27-27
33-23
33-31
26-33
34-35
37-20
17-26
30-30
31-39
37-18
24-33
33-24
29-28
20-38
25-31
24-24
17-30
30-28
25-19
21-33
27-30
23-28
31-17
30-23
25-38
23-33
31-21
33-31
28-29
30-25
23-31
221.1Avg total
110.7Scored
110.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)113.3112.9226.2+0.453%
Season at home (35)113.4110.2223.5+3.254%
Season away (38)113.2115.4228.7-2.253%
Last 10 (10)110.7110.4221.1+0.340%
Last 5 (5)105.6112.2217.8-6.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)109.7117.2226.8-7.533%
vs Similar ◀ (21)113.8117.9231.7-4.138%
vs Weaker (3)114.0104.0218.0+10.067%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: +3.1+3.1Q4: +0.0+0.0
Miami HeatBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H05/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H07/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
53-57
53
57
-4
H09/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
L
55-58
55
58
-3
A12/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H13/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
63-51
63
51
+12
H15/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
45-70
45
70
-25
A19/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
52-47
52
47
+5
A19/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
64-61
64
61
+3
H22/03
NBA
114.4Avg total
56.7Scored
57.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.458.5113.9-3.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.359.5115.8-3.127%-
Last 30 away (15)54.557.5111.9-3.040%-
Last 10 (10)56.757.7114.4-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)56.057.2113.2-1.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)54.058.2112.2-4.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)55.759.4115.1-3.829%-
vs Weaker (4)55.853.8109.5+2.075%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
70-41
70
41
+29
H05/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#28
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A08/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
47-64
47
64
-17
A10/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
60-68
60
68
-8
A11/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
61-69
61
69
-8
A12/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A15/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H16/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
48-63
48
63
-15
H19/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H21/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
61-60
61
60
+1
H23/03
NBA
115.0Avg total
56.4Scored
58.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.360.3115.7-5.037%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.055.1111.1+0.953%-
Last 30 away (15)54.765.5120.2-10.920%-
Last 10 (10)56.458.6115.0-2.240%-
Last 5 (5)53.458.0111.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)54.266.0120.2-11.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)54.660.0114.7-5.433%-
vs Weaker (3)62.751.0113.7+11.7100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 117.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws23.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.127.8
57.8%
54.5%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.612.8
39.3%
35.8%38.4
🏀 Free throws27.623.5
85.1%
78.1%23.5
They take 80.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 110.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.025.4
51.8%
54.5%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.013.3
35.0%
35.8%39.9
🏀 Free throws24.820.0
80.6%
78.1%20.0
They take 87.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 38.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWLWWLWLWW
Brooklyn Nets
LLLLLWWLWW
#10
League position
#13
+2.6
Net rating
+0.3
119.3
Offensive rating
110.3
116.7
Defensive rating
110.0
58.2%
Effective FG%
52.1%
57.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
14.6%
Turnover %
11.7%
23.0%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.29
39.3%
3-point %
35.0%
63.5%
Assist %
61.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence119.3 · 110.3Defence116.7 · 110.0Shooting58.2% · 52.1%3-point %39.3% · 35.0%Ball care14.6% · 11.7%Off. rebounds23.0% · 21.1%Free throws0.34 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 40%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Brooklyn Nets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/23HNew York Knicks127-120
19/03/23ADetroit Pistons112-100
19/03/23AChicago Bulls99-113
15/03/23HMemphis Grizzlies138-119
13/03/23HUtah Jazz119-115
12/03/23AOrlando Magic114-126 OT
11/03/23HCleveland Cavaliers119-115
09/03/23HCleveland Cavaliers100-104
07/03/23HAtlanta Hawks130-128
05/03/23HAtlanta Hawks117-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/23HCleveland Cavaliers114-116
21/03/23HCleveland Cavaliers109-115
19/03/23HDenver Nuggets102-108
16/03/23HSacramento Kings96-101
15/03/23AOklahoma City Thunder107-121
12/03/23ADenver Nuggets122-120
11/03/23AMinnesota Timberwolves124-123 OT
10/03/23AMilwaukee Bucks113-118
08/03/23AHouston Rockets118-96
05/03/23HCharlotte Hornets102-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW54%
HomeLWWWW66%
AwayLWLLW42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743836
Win %54%66%42%
Points / game109.3111.0107.5
Allowed / game109.7109.4109.9
Point differential-0.4+1.5-2.4
Avg total218.9220.4217.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (39)70% (23)50% (16)
Overtime %7%3%11%
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL53%
HomeWLLLL54%
AwayWLWWL53%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733538
Win %53%54%53%
Points / game113.3113.4113.2
Allowed / game112.9110.2115.4
Point differential+0.4+3.2-2.2
Avg total226.2223.5228.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%29%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (23)38% (8)67% (15)
Overtime %3%3%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks73532073%116.8112.2+4.7
2 Boston Celtics74512369%117.9112.0+5.9
3 Philadelphia 76ers73492467%115.4110.3+5.1
4 Denver Nuggets73492467%116.7112.8+3.9
5 Memphis Grizzlies73462763%116.7112.3+4.4
6 Cleveland Cavaliers75472863%112.2106.7+5.5
7 Sacramento Kings73442960%121.1118.6+2.5
8 New York Knicks75423356%115.3112.8+2.5
9 Miami Heat74403454%109.3109.7-0.4
10 Brooklyn Nets73393453%113.3112.9+0.4
11 Los Angeles Clippers74393553%112.9112.3+0.5
12 Phoenix Suns73383552%113.5112.1+1.5
13 Golden State Warriors75393652%118.5118.0+0.5
14 Atlanta Hawks74373750%118.0117.8+0.2
15 Los Angeles Lakers74373750%116.5116.6-0.1
16 Minnesota Timberwolves74373750%116.1116.3-0.3
17 New Orleans Pelicans73363749%114.0112.8+1.3
18 Oklahoma City Thunder74363849%117.4116.3+1.1
19 Toronto Raptors74363849%113.0112.0+1.0
20 Dallas Mavericks74363849%113.8113.5+0.4
21 Chicago Bulls73353848%113.3112.3+1.0
22 Utah Jazz73353848%117.3117.8-0.4
23 Washington Wizards74334145%113.0113.8-0.9
24 Indiana Pacers75334244%115.8118.6-2.8
25 Portland Trail Blazers73324144%114.2116.2-2.0
26 Orlando Magic74314342%111.7114.3-2.6
27 Charlotte Hornets75245132%111.2117.3-6.1
28 San Antonio Spurs74195526%112.3122.3-10.0
29 Houston Rockets74185624%110.6118.7-8.2
30 Detroit Pistons74165822%110.7118.6-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat36331813100
Brooklyn Nets28373925129
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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