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Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 122-115
30-27 30-25 35-31 27-32
Position#18
Record7-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game109.6
Allowed / game109.8
Miami Heat 🏆
USA
vs
Brooklyn Nets
USA
Position#22
Record6-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game114.2
Allowed / game112.5
USANBA· Kaseya Center (Miami)
NBA2023-24
Meetings · Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
14 Feb 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
12 Jan 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
MIA126
BKN110
03 Mar 2026
MIA124
BKN98
23 Dec 2024
MIA110
BKN95
16 Nov 2023
MIA122
BKN115
01 Nov 2023
MIA105
BKN109
25 Mar 2023
MIA100
BKN129
08 Jan 2023
MIA101
BKN102
26 Mar 2022
MIA95
BKN110
12 Feb 2022
MIA115
BKN111
18 Apr 2021
MIA109
BKN107
29 Feb 2020
MIA116
BKN113
02 Mar 2019
MIA117
BKN88
20 Nov 2018
MIA92
BKN104
31 Mar 2018
MIA109
BKN110
29 Dec 2017
MIA87
BKN111
30 Jan 2017
MIA104
BKN96
28 Mar 2016
MIA110
BKN99
28 Dec 2015
MIA105
BKN111
11 Mar 2015
MIA104
BKN98
04 Jan 2015
MIA88
BKN84
14 May 2014
MIA96
BKN94
08 May 2014
MIA94
BKN82
06 May 2014
MIA107
BKN86
08 Apr 2014
MIA87
BKN88
12 Mar 2014
MIA95
BKN96
01 Dec 2012
MIA102
BKN89
07 Nov 2012
MIA103
BKN73
06 Mar 2012
MIA108
BKN78
06 Nov 2010
MIA101
BKN89
14 Apr 2010
MIA94
BKN86
14 Nov 2009
MIA81
BKN80
03 Jan 2009
MIA101
BKN96
10 Nov 2008
MIA99
BKN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
111-119
111
119
-8
102avg 100
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
90-106
90
106
-16
78avg 100
A29/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
114-122
114
122
-8
109avg 100
A31/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
105-109
105
109
-4
94avg 100
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
121-114
121
114
+7
126avg 100
H04/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
108-107
108
107
+1
105avg 100
H07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
108-102
108
102
+6
104avg 100
A09/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
117-109
117
109
+8
109avg 100
A12/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
W
118-113
118
113
+5
109avg 100
A13/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
111-105
111
105
+6
106avg 100
A15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
27-35
33-27
23-32
31-26
22-29
20-25
17-26
28-28
24-34
21-35
41-25
32-29
24-17
27-29
22-34
34-34
26-20
41-27
20-33
33-33
29-26
28-20
18-28
33-26
21-20
23-30
31-26
41-24
22-28
30-30
24-27
15-29
35-24
32-31
36-29
24-32
33-16
30-32
24-25
220.9Avg total
110.3Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)109.6109.8219.5-0.264%
Season at home (4)109.2108.0217.2+1.275%
Season away (7)109.9110.9220.7-1.057%
Last 10 (10)110.3110.6220.9-0.360%
Last 5 (5)112.4107.2219.6+5.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)102.0105.3207.3-3.333%
vs Similar ◀ (9)106.9105.4212.3+1.456%
vs Weaker (6)111.3104.3215.7+7.0100%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
L
120-125
120
125
-5
118avg 106
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
133-121
133
121
+12
129avg 106
A30/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
W
109-105
109
105
+4
106avg 106
A01/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
109-107
109
107
+2
100avg 106
A04/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
114-124
114
124
-10
95avg 106
H05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
125-129
125
129
-4
112avg 106
H07/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
W
100-93
100
93
+7
90avg 106
H09/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
107-121
107
121
-14
103avg 106
A11/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
102-94
102
94
+8
95avg 106
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
124-104
124
104
+20
118avg 106
H15/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-26
34-31
30-31
31-37
42-23
24-32
33-28
34-38
29-32
17-24
29-27
34-22
35-30
24-28
19-22
31-27
34-34
24-36
30-21
26-33
32-29
35-34
27-33
31-33
13-21
33-28
27-22
27-22
33-38
21-28
30-27
23-28
30-15
19-26
29-31
24-22
33-24
24-36
31-26
36-18
226.6Avg total
114.3Scored
112.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)114.2112.5226.6+1.755%
Season at home (6)113.0109.7222.7+3.350%
Season away (5)115.6115.8231.4-0.260%
Last 10 (10)114.3112.3226.6+2.060%
Last 5 (5)111.6108.2219.8+3.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)113.6115.4229.0-1.727%
vs Similar ◀ (15)104.6107.3211.9-2.740%
vs Weaker (4)120.2109.2229.5+11.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.3+1.3Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: +1.7+1.7
Miami HeatBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#1
L
55-60
55
60
-5
A27/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#4
L
53-55
53
55
-2
A29/10
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A31/10
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
56-46
56
46
+10
H01/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
60-54
60
54
+6
H04/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#16
W
62-59
62
59
+3
H07/11
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#24
W
54-46
54
46
+8
A09/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#21
W
63-52
63
52
+11
A12/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#26
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A13/11
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A15/11
NBA
109.7Avg total
56.2Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.551.7105.2+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (12)55.850.8106.6+5.175%-
Last 30 away (18)51.952.3104.2-0.444%-
Last 10 (10)56.253.5109.7+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)57.251.6108.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)51.253.4104.6-2.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)55.451.3106.8+4.178%-
vs Weaker (6)56.248.0104.2+8.283%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dallas Mavericks
#6
W
59-57
59
57
+2
A28/10
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#28
W
66-55
66
55
+11
A30/10
NBA
Miami Heat
#18
L
46-56
46
56
-10
A01/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#20
W
59-58
59
58
+1
A04/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
58-70
58
70
-12
H05/11
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#8
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H07/11
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#7
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H09/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#1
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A11/11
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H12/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
57-60
57
60
-3
H15/11
NBA
113.6Avg total
56.1Scored
57.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.856.5112.3-0.747%-
Last 30 at home (18)53.954.7108.7-0.844%-
Last 30 away (12)58.759.2117.8-0.550%-
Last 10 (10)56.157.5113.6-1.450%-
Last 5 (5)54.655.8110.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)57.261.9119.1-4.727%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)53.553.7107.3-0.253%-
vs Weaker (4)60.852.0112.8+8.875%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 110.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.7 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.927.5
53.0%
54.4%55.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.512.2
36.4%
36.3%36.6
🏀 Free throws22.018.7
85.0%
78.2%18.7
They take 85.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 114.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.3 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 113.5 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.826.4
53.0%
54.4%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.016.1
38.3%
36.3%48.3
🏀 Free throws17.413.2
75.9%
78.2%13.2
They take 91.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WWWWWWLLLL
Brooklyn Nets
WWLWLLWWWL
#18
League position
#22
-0.3
Net rating
+2.0
109.9
Offensive rating
113.1
110.2
Defensive rating
111.1
53.6%
Effective FG%
55.1%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
13.8%
Turnover %
12.3%
21.4%
Off. rebound %
24.5%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.19
36.4%
3-point %
38.3%
65.2%
Assist %
58.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.9 · 113.1Defence110.2 · 111.1Shooting53.6% · 55.1%3-point %36.4% · 38.3%Ball care13.8% · 12.3%Off. rebounds21.4% · 24.5%Free throws0.26 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Miami Heat wins
6
Brooklyn Nets wins
DateGameScore
01/11/23Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets105-109
26/03/23Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets100-129
16/02/23Brooklyn Nets v Miami Heat116-105
08/01/23Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets101-102
27/03/22Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets95-110
04/03/22Brooklyn Nets v Miami Heat107-113
13/02/22Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets115-111
27/10/21Brooklyn Nets v Miami Heat93-106
18/04/21Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets109-107
26/01/21Brooklyn Nets v Miami Heat98-85
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23ACharlotte Hornets111-105
13/11/23ASan Antonio Spurs118-113
12/11/23AAtlanta Hawks117-109
09/11/23AMemphis Grizzlies108-102
07/11/23HLos Angeles Lakers108-107
04/11/23HWashington Wizards121-114
01/11/23HBrooklyn Nets105-109
31/10/23AMilwaukee Bucks114-122
29/10/23AMinnesota Timberwolves90-106
27/10/23ABoston Celtics111-119
Brooklyn Netslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/23HOrlando Magic124-104
12/11/23HWashington Wizards102-94
11/11/23ABoston Celtics107-121
09/11/23HLos Angeles Clippers100-93
07/11/23HMilwaukee Bucks125-129
05/11/23HBoston Celtics114-124
04/11/23AChicago Bulls109-107
01/11/23AMiami Heat109-105
30/10/23ACharlotte Hornets133-121
28/10/23ADallas Mavericks120-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW64%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayLWWWW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %64%75%57%
Points / game109.6109.2109.9
Allowed / game109.8108.0110.9
Point differential-0.2+1.2-1.0
Avg total219.5217.2220.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW55%
HomeLLWWW50%
AwayLWWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %55%50%60%
Points / game114.2113.0115.6
Allowed / game112.5109.7115.8
Point differential+1.7+3.3-0.2
Avg total226.6222.7231.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%17%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)0% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics119282%119.4106.0+13.4
2 Denver Nuggets119282%114.5106.3+8.2
3 Dallas Mavericks129375%123.4118.7+4.8
4 Philadelphia 76ers118373%119.9112.2+7.7
5 Minnesota Timberwolves118373%112.2105.6+6.5
6 Houston Rockets96367%111.0105.8+5.2
7 Oklahoma City Thunder117464%116.5111.6+4.9
8 Indiana Pacers117464%126.5123.4+3.2
9 Miami Heat117464%109.6109.8-0.2
10 Milwaukee Bucks117464%117.0117.7-0.7
11 Sacramento Kings106460%114.6114.0+0.6
12 New York Knicks116555%109.1105.2+3.9
13 Atlanta Hawks116555%120.3117.2+3.1
14 Brooklyn Nets116555%114.2112.5+1.7
15 Orlando Magic116555%108.3106.6+1.6
16 Golden State Warriors126650%112.9110.8+2.2
17 Los Angeles Lakers126650%112.8115.9-3.1
18 Phoenix Suns115645%113.7112.4+1.4
19 Cleveland Cavaliers115645%110.5112.2-1.6
20 Toronto Raptors115645%108.5110.9-2.4
21 New Orleans Pelicans115645%111.1115.6-4.5
22 Utah Jazz114736%114.0119.5-5.5
23 Chicago Bulls124833%108.5112.2-3.8
24 Los Angeles Clippers103730%113.2111.7+1.5
25 Charlotte Hornets103730%115.0121.9-6.9
26 Portland Trail Blazers113827%104.7111.7-7.0
27 San Antonio Spurs113827%110.6124.1-13.5
28 Memphis Grizzlies112918%108.5115.9-7.5
29 Washington Wizards112918%115.5123.2-7.7
30 Detroit Pistons1221017%110.6115.2-4.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat30303527122
Brooklyn Nets27253132115
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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