PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Brooklyn Nets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 101-102
30-31 34-35 18-13 19-23
Position#10
Record21-19
FormLWWLW
Points / game108.9
Allowed / game109.1
vs
Position#13
Record26-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game110.8
USANBA· Miami-Dade Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Miami Heat v Brooklyn Nets
14 Feb 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
12 Jan 2027
MIA v BKN
upcoming
05 Mar 2026
MIA126
BKN110
03 Mar 2026
MIA124
BKN98
23 Dec 2024
MIA110
BKN95
16 Nov 2023
MIA122
BKN115
01 Nov 2023
MIA105
BKN109
25 Mar 2023
MIA100
BKN129
08 Jan 2023
MIA101
BKN102
26 Mar 2022
MIA95
BKN110
12 Feb 2022
MIA115
BKN111
18 Apr 2021
MIA109
BKN107
29 Feb 2020
MIA116
BKN113
02 Mar 2019
MIA117
BKN88
20 Nov 2018
MIA92
BKN104
31 Mar 2018
MIA109
BKN110
29 Dec 2017
MIA87
BKN111
30 Jan 2017
MIA104
BKN96
28 Mar 2016
MIA110
BKN99
28 Dec 2015
MIA105
BKN111
11 Mar 2015
MIA104
BKN98
04 Jan 2015
MIA88
BKN84
14 May 2014
MIA96
BKN94
08 May 2014
MIA94
BKN82
06 May 2014
MIA107
BKN86
08 Apr 2014
MIA87
BKN88
12 Mar 2014
MIA95
BKN96
01 Dec 2012
MIA102
BKN89
07 Nov 2012
MIA103
BKN73
06 Mar 2012
MIA108
BKN78
06 Nov 2010
MIA101
BKN89
14 Apr 2010
MIA94
BKN86
14 Nov 2009
MIA81
BKN80
03 Jan 2009
MIA101
BKN96
10 Nov 2008
MIA99
BKN94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brooklyn Nets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
111-101
111
101
+10
105avg 101
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
103-113
103
113
-10
95avg 101
H21/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
108-111
108
111
-3
93avg 101
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
113-110
113
110
+3
98avg 101
H27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
112-98
112
98
+14
96avg 101
H29/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
119-124
119
124
-5
105avg 101
A31/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
126-123
126
123
+3
120avg 101
A01/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
110-100
110
100
+10
104avg 101
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
109-112
109
112
-3
96avg 101
A05/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
104-96
104
96
+8
92avg 101
A07/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-28
27-27
28-29
31-17
21-31
36-21
20-36
26-25
28-31
30-25
24-28
26-27
33-31
26-25
34-30
20-24
33-25
28-27
34-26
17-20
19-23
38-37
33-25
29-39
31-30
38-33
27-35
30-25
34-28
33-21
14-34
29-17
23-32
25-20
30-27
31-33
30-23
21-23
27-27
26-23
220.3Avg total
111.5Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)108.9109.1218.0-0.252%
Season at home (19)110.0109.7219.7+0.358%
Season away (21)107.9108.6216.5-0.748%
Last 10 (10)111.5108.8220.3+2.760%
Last 5 (5)113.6111.0224.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)111.8121.8233.5-10.025%
vs Similar ◀ (19)107.5105.8213.3+1.763%
vs Weaker (7)112.1111.0223.1+1.157%
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNets
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
119-116
119
116
+3
116avg 108
A17/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
124-121
124
121
+3
120avg 108
A18/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
143-113
143
113
+30
150avg 108
H22/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
118-100
118
100
+18
114avg 108
H24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
125-117
125
117
+8
123avg 108
A27/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
W
108-107
108
107
+1
104avg 108
A29/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
123-106
123
106
+17
123avg 108
A01/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
139-103
139
103
+36
140avg 108
H03/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
112-121
112
121
-9
97avg 108
A05/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
W
108-102
108
102
+6
103avg 108
A07/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
33-33
36-22
31-32
21-35
33-36
44-25
26-25
46-17
45-34
18-28
34-34
36-29
24-18
25-28
33-25
34-22
31-27
26-30
34-38
31-30
25-33
27-17
25-27
32-22
29-27
36-30
26-27
37-25
37-22
34-32
31-24
33-40
26-29
26-19
27-33
27-28
26-36
35-21
20-17
232.5Avg total
121.9Scored
110.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (39)114.9110.8225.7+4.167%
Season at home (18)116.3109.3225.6+6.972%
Season away (21)113.7112.1225.9+1.662%
Last 10 (10)121.9110.6232.5+11.390%
Last 5 (5)118.0107.8225.8+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)108.5110.0218.5-1.550%
vs Similar ◀ (21)115.0110.6225.6+4.371%
vs Weaker (7)118.0106.3224.3+11.7100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.4+1.4Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +5.5+5.5Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.5+0.5
Miami HeatBrooklyn Nets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H21/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H27/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H29/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A31/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
69-63
69
63
+6
A01/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
67-49
67
49
+18
A03/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#12
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A05/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A07/01
NBA
112.0Avg total
57.9Scored
54.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.354.4111.8+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (13)57.553.6111.1+3.877%-
Last 30 away (17)57.255.1112.3+2.253%-
Last 10 (10)57.954.1112.0+3.870%-
Last 5 (5)58.454.0112.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)54.562.2116.8-7.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)58.053.1111.1+4.979%-
vs Weaker (7)57.153.6110.7+3.657%-
This opponent (Brooklyn Nets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brooklyn NetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
52-62
52
62
-10
A17/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
54-71
54
71
-17
A18/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
W
91-51
91
51
+40
H22/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
W
60-47
60
47
+13
H24/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
65-49
65
49
+16
A27/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#16
L
56-63
56
63
-7
A29/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#27
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A01/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
74-47
74
47
+27
H03/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
59-69
59
69
-10
A05/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#15
L
53-64
53
64
-11
A07/01
NBA
119.7Avg total
62.5Scored
57.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.056.9116.9+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (12)65.153.5118.6+11.683%-
Last 30 away (18)56.659.2115.7-2.639%-
Last 10 (10)62.557.2119.7+5.350%-
Last 5 (5)60.658.4119.0+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)57.555.5113.0+2.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)59.857.7117.5+2.052%-
vs Weaker (7)61.354.9116.1+6.471%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 111.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.828.9
55.8%
54.5%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.812.2
33.2%
35.8%36.6
🏀 Free throws21.417.1
79.9%
78.1%17.1
They take 88.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brooklyn Netstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brooklyn Nets: 121.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers65.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.732.6
59.6%
54.5%65.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.013.8
46.0%
35.8%41.4
🏀 Free throws18.415.3
83.2%
78.1%15.3
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
WLWWLWWLLW
Brooklyn Nets
WLWWWWWWWW
#10
League position
#13
+2.7
Net rating
+11.3
113.0
Offensive rating
121.5
110.3
Defensive rating
110.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
62.9%
57.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
11.3%
Turnover %
12.7%
23.9%
Off. rebound %
16.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.2%
3-point %
46.0%
58.2%
Assist %
59.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 121.5Defence110.3 · 110.2Shooting53.3% · 62.9%3-point %33.2% · 46.0%Ball care11.3% · 12.7%Off. rebounds23.9% · 16.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Brooklyn Nets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Brooklyn Nets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23APhoenix Suns104-96
05/01/23ALos Angeles Lakers109-112
03/01/23ALos Angeles Clippers110-100
01/01/23AUtah Jazz126-123
31/12/22ADenver Nuggets119-124
29/12/22HLos Angeles Lakers112-98
27/12/22HMinnesota Timberwolves113-110
24/12/22HIndiana Pacers108-111
21/12/22HChicago Bulls103-113
17/12/22ASan Antonio Spurs111-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23ANew Orleans Pelicans108-102
05/01/23AChicago Bulls112-121
03/01/23HSan Antonio Spurs139-103
01/01/23ACharlotte Hornets123-106
29/12/22AAtlanta Hawks108-107
27/12/22ACleveland Cavaliers125-117
24/12/22HMilwaukee Bucks118-100
22/12/22HGolden State Warriors143-113
18/12/22ADetroit Pistons124-121
17/12/22AToronto Raptors119-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeLLLWW58%
AwayLWWLW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %52%58%48%
Points / game108.9110.0107.9
Allowed / game109.1109.7108.6
Point differential-0.2+0.3-0.7
Avg total218.0219.7216.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%11%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (20)70% (10)50% (10)
Overtime %8%5%10%
Brooklyn Nets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW67%
HomeWWWWW72%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games391821
Win %67%72%62%
Points / game114.9116.3113.7
Allowed / game110.8109.3112.1
Point differential+4.1+6.9+1.6
Avg total225.7225.6225.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (10)67% (3)86% (7)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics40281270%118.8113.0+5.8
2 Brooklyn Nets39261367%114.9110.8+4.1
3 Denver Nuggets39261367%116.7113.8+2.9
4 Memphis Grizzlies38251366%116.1111.1+4.9
5 Milwaukee Bucks39251464%112.4111.2+1.2
6 Cleveland Cavaliers40251562%111.5106.8+4.7
7 Philadelphia 76ers39241562%112.8109.2+3.6
8 New Orleans Pelicans40241660%117.1113.1+4.0
9 Dallas Mavericks40231757%112.5110.8+1.7
10 Indiana Pacers41231856%115.6115.6+0.0
11 New York Knicks40221855%114.2111.3+2.9
12 Sacramento Kings38201853%118.3117.3+1.1
13 Miami Heat40211952%108.9109.1-0.2
14 Los Angeles Clippers41212051%109.2110.2-1.0
15 Phoenix Suns40202050%113.1111.0+2.1
16 Golden State Warriors40202050%116.8117.5-0.8
17 Portland Trail Blazers39192049%112.2112.1+0.2
18 Utah Jazz42202248%117.5116.8+0.8
19 Chicago Bulls40192148%115.0115.5-0.4
20 Minnesota Timberwolves40192148%115.0115.5-0.6
21 Los Angeles Lakers40192148%116.8117.7-0.9
22 Atlanta Hawks39182146%115.3116.6-1.3
23 Oklahoma City Thunder39172244%116.4116.9-0.5
24 Toronto Raptors40172342%111.2111.2+0.0
25 Washington Wizards40172342%112.1113.1-1.0
26 Orlando Magic40152538%110.4113.9-3.5
27 San Antonio Spurs40132732%112.0120.6-8.6
28 Charlotte Hornets41113027%111.9118.1-6.2
29 Houston Rockets39102926%109.4116.2-6.8
30 Detroit Pistons43113226%111.7119.0-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat30341819101
Brooklyn Nets31351323102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.