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Sydney vs Illawarra Hawks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 04:30
Final 89-96
15-27 32-21 20-27 22-21
Position#4
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game90.5
Sydney
Australia
vs
Illawarra Hawks 🏆
Australia
Position#1
Record2-0
FormLLLWW
Points / game107.5
Allowed / game88.0
AustraliaNBLRound 2· Qudos Bank Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Sydney v Illawarra Hawks
25 Dec 2026
SYDN v ILLA
upcoming
27 Sep 2026
SYDN121
ILLA100
29 Jan 2026
SYDN122
ILLA104
25 Dec 2025
SYDN108
ILLA84
25 Dec 2024
SYDN108
ILLA111
29 Sep 2024
SYDN89
ILLA96
11 Feb 2024
SYDN95
ILLA106
25 Dec 2023
SYDN90
ILLA94
15 Jan 2023
SYDN84
ILLA79
20 Nov 2022
SYDN83
ILLA82
01 May 2022
SYDN99
ILLA87
24 Apr 2022
SYDN84
ILLA87
11 Dec 2021
SYDN84
ILLA92
11 Mar 2021
SYDN69
ILLA89
14 Feb 2021
SYDN82
ILLA85
14 Feb 2020
SYDN98
ILLA82
17 Nov 2019
SYDN92
ILLA87
13 Jan 2019
SYDN84
ILLA96
02 Nov 2018
SYDN86
ILLA79
05 Nov 2017
SYDN83
ILLA93
15 Oct 2017
SYDN103
ILLA87
23 Dec 2016
SYDN75
ILLA87
24 Oct 2016
SYDN90
ILLA73
09 Jan 2016
SYDN90
ILLA114
17 Oct 2015
SYDN86
ILLA100
15 Feb 2015
SYDN73
ILLA75
11 Oct 2014
SYDN86
ILLA83
15 Feb 2014
SYDN84
ILLA102
14 Dec 2013
SYDN63
ILLA69
15 Dec 2012
SYDN70
ILLA63
09 Nov 2012
SYDN65
ILLA51
24 Mar 2012
SYDN68
ILLA77
23 Oct 2011
SYDN95
ILLA89
21 Jan 2011
SYDN81
ILLA71
12 Dec 2010
SYDN80
ILLA95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sydney winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Illawarra Hawks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SydneyAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSydney
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
105-76
105
76
+29
107avg 88
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
98-104
98
104
-6
87avg 88
H21/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
98-104
98
104
-6
89avg 88
A25/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
98-86
98
86
+12
96avg 88
H28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
L
78-85
78
85
-7
66avg 88
A02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
95-106
95
106
-11
86avg 88
H11/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
122-67
122
67
+55
126avg 88
A17/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
L
76-83
76
83
-7
66avg 88
H28/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
102-94
102
94
+8
91avg 88
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#3
W
88-87
88
87
+1
73avg 88
A27/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-19
29-15
26-20
16-22
20-34
37-24
21-22
20-24
27-36
27-25
14-21
30-22
22-26
36-17
14-22
26-21
18-17
23-20
18-17
19-31
17-31
29-28
19-20
30-27
34-14
29-25
29-17
30-11
22-15
25-23
13-22
16-23
27-28
24-20
19-27
32-19
27-11
16-29
24-18
21-29
185.2Avg total
96.0Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)95.090.5185.5+4.5100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)95.090.5185.5+4.5100%
Last 10 (10)96.089.2185.2+6.850%
Last 5 (5)96.687.4184.0+9.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (17)92.993.3186.2-0.441%
vs Weaker (13)97.192.2189.3+4.854%
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHawks
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
82-95
82
95
-13
no box
H01/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
81-120
81
120
-39
no box
A15/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
100-105 OT
100
105
-5
no box
H22/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
H29/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
79-107
79
107
-28
no box
A06/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
100-112
100
112
-12
no box
A07/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
L
89-95
89
95
-6
no box
H12/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
74-93
74
93
-19
no box
A13/07
NBL1 East
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
102-75
102
75
+27
95avg 80
A21/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
W
113-101
113
101
+12
105avg 80
H27/09
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-29
14-19
19-23
26-24
15-28
27-27
18-30
21-35
21-23
18-21
24-19
22-22
25-19
20-29
14-22
34-27
16-23
15-30
20-26
28-28
23-24
23-34
23-26
31-28
20-23
24-21
17-20
28-31
19-21
14-21
14-26
27-25
26-21
28-24
18-15
30-15
38-25
21-35
30-20
24-21
191.3Avg total
91.3Scored
100.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)107.588.0195.5+19.5100%
Season at home (1)113.0101.0214.0+12.0100%
Season away (1)102.075.0177.0+27.0100%
Last 10 (10)91.3100.0191.3-8.720%
Last 5 (5)95.695.2190.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)84.6100.8185.4-16.212%
vs Similar (4)98.591.8190.2+6.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)107.588.0195.5+19.5100%
This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -5.7-5.7Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: +1.1+1.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
SydneyIllawarra Hawks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SydneyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
63-34
63
34
+29
H14/01
NBL
Perth
#3
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H21/01
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
L
54-61
54
61
-7
A25/01
NBL
Melbourne United
#1
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H28/01
NBL
Adelaide
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A02/02
NBL
Illawarra Hawks
#4
L
46-59
46
59
-13
H11/02
NBL
South East Melbourne
#10
W
63-39
63
39
+24
A17/02
NBL
New Zealand Breakers
#5
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H28/02
NBL
Adelaide
#6
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A22/09
NBL
Perth
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A27/09
NBL
98.0Avg total
52.3Scored
45.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.145.894.9+3.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.247.597.7+2.760%-
Last 30 away (15)47.944.192.0+3.967%-
Last 10 (10)52.345.798.0+6.670%-
Last 5 (5)50.044.894.8+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀no games
vs Similar (17)49.844.994.6+4.971%-
vs Weaker (13)48.247.095.2+1.254%-
This opponent (Illawarra Hawks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Illawarra HawksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Newcastle Falcons
#12
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H01/06
NBL1 East
Sydney Comets
#7
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A15/06
NBL1 East
BA CoE
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H22/06
NBL1 East
Central Coast Crusaders
#13
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H29/06
NBL1 East
Manly W.
#3
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A06/07
NBL1 East
Maitland M.
#1
L
46-58
46
58
-12
A07/07
NBL1 East
Hills Hornets
#8
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H12/07
NBL1 East
Sutherland Sharks
#11
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A13/07
NBL1 East
Cairns Taipans
#10
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A21/09
NBL
Brisbane Bullets
#8
L
59-60
59
60
-1
H27/09
NBL
92.7Avg total
43.0Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.849.092.8-5.233%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.049.394.3-4.329%-
Last 30 away (16)42.848.891.6-5.938%-
Last 10 (10)43.049.792.7-6.710%-
Last 5 (5)47.249.897.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (24)41.249.590.7-8.325%-
vs Similar (4)53.544.297.8+9.275%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)56.552.5109.0+4.050%-
This opponent (Sydney) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sydneytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sydney: 95.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.222.4
55.7%
52.3%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.211.4
34.3%
35.1%34.2
🏀 Free throws20.916.4
78.5%
74.7%16.4
They take 73.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Illawarra Hawkstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Illawarra Hawks: 93.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 92.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.524.6
51.8%
52.3%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.3
33.2%
35.1%24.9
🏀 Free throws26.819.5
72.8%
74.7%19.5
They take 72.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sydney
WWLWLLWLLW
Illawarra Hawks
WWLLLLLLLL
#4
League position
#1
+8.7
Net rating
+5.7
118.1
Offensive rating
115.8
109.5
Defensive rating
110.1
53.8%
Effective FG%
51.1%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
16.3%
Turnover %
15.4%
35.8%
Off. rebound %
38.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.37
34.3%
3-point %
33.2%
56.2%
Assist %
56.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence118.1 · 115.8Defence109.5 · 110.1Shooting53.8% · 51.1%3-point %34.3% · 33.2%Ball care16.3% · 15.4%Off. rebounds35.8% · 38.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Sydney   ■ Illawarra Hawks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Sydney wins
2
Illawarra Hawks wins
DateGameScore
11/02/24Sydney v Illawarra Hawks95-106
25/12/23Sydney v Illawarra Hawks90-94
03/11/23Illawarra Hawks v Sydney83-103
30/09/23Illawarra Hawks v Sydney81-96
15/01/23Sydney v Illawarra Hawks84-79
16/12/22Illawarra Hawks v Sydney79-86
20/11/22Sydney v Illawarra Hawks83-82
01/10/22Illawarra Hawks v Sydney97-106
01/05/22Sydney v Illawarra Hawks99-87
29/04/22Illawarra Hawks v Sydney79-89
Sydneylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/24APerth88-87
22/09/24AAdelaide102-94
28/02/24HNew Zealand Breakers76-83
17/02/24ASouth East Melbourne122-67
11/02/24HIllawarra Hawks95-106
02/02/24AAdelaide78-85
28/01/24HMelbourne United98-86
25/01/24ASouth East Melbourne98-104
21/01/24HPerth98-104
14/01/24HNew Zealand Breakers105-76
Illawarra Hawkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/09/24HBrisbane Bullets113-101
21/09/24ACairns Taipans102-75
13/07/24ASutherland Sharks74-93
12/07/24HHills Hornets89-95
07/07/24AMaitland M.100-112
06/07/24AManly W.79-107
29/06/24HCentral Coast Crusaders93-97
22/06/24HBA CoE100-105 OT
15/06/24ASydney Comets81-120
01/06/24HNewcastle Falcons82-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sydney
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game95.0-95.0
Allowed / game90.5-90.5
Point differential+4.5-+4.5
Avg total185.5-185.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%-0%
Illawarra Hawks
NBL 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game107.5113.0102.0
Allowed / game88.0101.075.0
Point differential+19.5+12.0+27.0
Avg total195.5214.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Illawarra Hawks220100%107.588.0+19.5
2 Sydney220100%95.090.5+4.5
3 New Zealand Breakers110100%91.087.0+4.0
4 Melbourne United32167%85.381.3+4.0
5 Perth21150%96.593.0+3.5
6 Tasmania JackJumpers21150%80.080.0+0.0
7 Cairns Taipans21150%88.099.5-11.5
8 Adelaide2020%95.5101.5-6.0
9 Brisbane Bullets2020%94.0102.0-8.0
10 South East Melbourne2020%91.0101.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sydney1532202289
Illawarra Hawks2721272196
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