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Olimpia Milano vs Varese Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Nov 2019
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 93-69
26-14 20-16 28-15 19-24
Position#4
Record3-3
FormLWLLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game74.3
vs
Position#10
Record3-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game72.2
ItalyLega ARound 7
Domestic2019-20
Meetings · Olimpia Milano v Varese
03 Jan 2027
MIL v VAR
upcoming
26 Jan 2026
MIL74
VAR84
02 Feb 2025
MIL119
VAR92
03 Mar 2024
MIL94
VAR63
26 Dec 2022
MIL96
VAR84
26 Mar 2022
MIL95
VAR77
05 Apr 2021
MIL81
VAR83
10 Sep 2020
MIL91
VAR77
03 Nov 2019
MIL93
VAR69
23 Dec 2018
MIL72
VAR67
08 Oct 2017
MIL74
VAR73
16 Oct 2016
MIL79
VAR71
11 Oct 2015
MIL90
VAR62
15 Mar 2015
MIL79
VAR69
20 Oct 2013
MIL84
VAR72
23 Dec 2012
MIL77
VAR83
09 Oct 2011
MIL89
VAR75
29 Dec 2010
MIL84
VAR80
31 Jan 2010
MIL74
VAR70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olimpia Milano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Varese winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Olimpia MilanoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMilano
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
79-77 OT
79
77
+2
no box
A05/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
93-88
93
88
+5
85avg 110
H12/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
74-82
74
82
-8
65avg 110
H18/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
76-61
76
61
+15
65avg 110
H20/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
75-53
75
53
+22
74avg 110
A26/09
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
53avg 110
H29/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
no box
H06/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
89-92
89
92
-3
84avg 110
H13/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
78-82
78
82
-4
71avg 110
A20/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
W
79-73
79
73
+6
no box
A27/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-11
16-19
6-17
17-19
14-22
39-21
14-22
26-23
20-13
13-26
19-20
22-23
13-18
29-12
16-14
18-17
23-19
12-14
21-9
19-11
10-21
21-10
17-23
17-19
23-14
21-14
21-20
23-25
24-24
22-29
15-21
28-18
24-16
13-24
17-23
24-19
16-29
14-14
32-15
17-15
155.0Avg total
79.6Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)79.074.3153.3+4.750%
Season at home (3)80.779.3160.0+1.333%
Season away (3)77.369.3146.7+8.067%
Last 10 (10)79.675.4155.0+4.260%
Last 5 (5)79.878.6158.4+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)92.299.5191.8-7.20%
vs Similar ◀ (11)82.283.3165.5-1.145%
vs Weaker (14)85.776.6162.4+9.179%
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVarese
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
86-89
86
89
-3
no box
A17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
160avg 114
A20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
81-75
81
75
+6
74avg 114
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
98-70
98
70
+28
93avg 114
H05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
72-84
72
84
-12
56avg 114
A12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
52-74
52
74
-22
35avg 114
H26/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
92-62
92
62
+30
88avg 114
A29/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
83-60
83
60
+23
75avg 114
H06/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
80-87
80
87
-7
66avg 114
A19/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
102-78
102
78
+24
no box
H27/10
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-30
21-16
27-29
27-14
25-18
15-21
13-23
22-22
19-22
19-8
19-28
24-17
18-14
22-13
28-23
30-20
19-17
18-28
22-22
13-17
15-15
9-25
17-17
11-17
29-13
25-12
12-20
26-17
17-15
32-16
21-15
13-14
22-21
12-19
21-17
25-30
26-19
24-17
27-23
25-19
158.4Avg total
82.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)81.872.2154.0+9.660%
Season at home (3)79.070.7149.7+8.367%
Season away (2)86.074.5160.5+11.550%
Last 10 (10)82.176.3158.4+5.850%
Last 5 (5)81.872.2154.0+9.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)67.080.0147.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)84.481.9166.3+2.550%
vs Weaker (16)79.972.9152.8+7.162%
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: +1.7+1.7Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: +2.9+2.9
Olimpia MilanoVarese
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Olimpia MilanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trento
#6
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A05/05
Lega A
Trieste
#10
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H12/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H18/05
Lega A
Avellino
#9
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H20/05
Lega A
Treviso
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A26/09
Lega A
Brescia
#3
D
31-31
31
31
+0
H29/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H06/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
L
46-53
46
53
-7
H13/10
Lega A
Cremona
#6
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A20/10
Lega A
Virtus Roma
#15
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A27/10
Lega A
76.4Avg total
39.4Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.840.282.1+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (18)42.939.882.7+3.244%-
Last 30 away (12)40.240.981.1-0.850%-
Last 10 (10)39.437.076.4+2.450%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.076.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)48.548.897.2-0.250%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)41.041.882.8-0.836%-
vs Weaker (14)41.036.577.5+4.557%-
This opponent (Varese) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
s.Oliver Wurzburg
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A17/04
FIBA Europe Cup
Cantu
#8
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/04
Lega A
Pesaro
#15
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H28/04
Lega A
Pistoia
#16
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H05/05
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#11
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A12/05
Lega A
Sassari
#2
L
24-40
24
40
-16
H26/09
Lega A
Trieste
#14
W
54-25
54
25
+29
A29/09
Lega A
Fortitudo Bologna
#9
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H06/10
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A19/10
Lega A
Brindisi
#5
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H27/10
Lega A
75.7Avg total
39.8Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.076.9+2.960%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.135.375.4+4.773%-
Last 30 away (15)39.738.778.5+1.047%-
Last 10 (10)39.835.975.7+3.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.234.476.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)29.039.368.3-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)44.639.283.8+5.480%-
vs Weaker (16)39.034.873.8+4.262%-
This opponent (Olimpia Milano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olimpia Milanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olimpia Milano: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.820.2
54.9%
52.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.97.4
32.3%
35.1%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.017.0
77.3%
73.6%17.0
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.6 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.0
51.6%
52.0%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.011.0
35.5%
35.1%33.0
🏀 Free throws14.810.2
68.9%
73.6%10.2
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Nov 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olimpia Milano
WLLWLWWLWW
Varese
WLWWLLWWLL
#4
League position
#10
+6.9
Net rating
+9.0
109.2
Offensive rating
116.2
102.3
Defensive rating
107.2
52.4%
Effective FG%
52.4%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
17.2%
Turnover %
11.9%
27.3%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.3%
3-point %
35.5%
52.2%
Assist %
47.0%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence109.2 · 116.2Defence102.3 · 107.2Shooting52.4% · 52.4%3-point %32.3% · 35.5%Ball care17.2% · 11.9%Off. rebounds27.3% · 31.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Olimpia Milano   ■ Varese
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Olimpia Milano wins
1
Varese wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/19AVirtus Roma79-73
20/10/19ACremona78-82
13/10/19HBrindisi89-92
06/10/19HTrieste88-73
29/09/19HBrescia65-73
26/09/19ATreviso75-53
20/05/19HAvellino76-61
18/05/19HAvellino74-82
12/05/19HTrieste93-88
05/05/19ATrento79-77 OT
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/19HBrindisi102-78
19/10/19AVirtus Bologna80-87
06/10/19HFortitudo Bologna83-60
29/09/19ATrieste92-62
26/09/19HSassari52-74
12/05/19AVirtus Bologna72-84
05/05/19HPistoia98-70
28/04/19HPesaro81-75
20/04/19ACantu75-84
17/04/19As.Oliver Wurzburg86-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olimpia Milano
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW50%
HomeLWL33%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %50%33%67%
Points / game79.080.777.3
Allowed / game74.379.369.3
Point differential+4.7+1.3+8.0
Avg total153.3160.0146.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Varese
Lega A 2019-20
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game81.879.086.0
Allowed / game72.270.774.5
Point differential+9.6+8.3+11.5
Avg total154.0149.7160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virtus Bologna770100%82.773.3+9.4
2 Sassari65183%83.868.5+15.3
3 Brindisi75271%84.681.6+3.0
4 Fortitudo Bologna64267%75.576.0-0.5
5 Varese53260%81.872.2+9.6
6 Reggiana74357%81.176.6+4.6
7 Brescia63350%81.276.5+4.7
8 Olimpia Milano63350%79.074.3+4.7
9 Trento63350%76.578.0-1.5
10 Venezia73443%74.771.9+2.9
11 Virtus Roma73443%76.082.0-6.0
12 Cremona52340%78.282.8-4.6
13 Trieste52340%69.878.2-8.4
14 Cantu52340%67.678.2-10.6
15 Treviso62433%76.278.0-1.8
16 Pistoia6060%72.585.0-12.5
17 Pesaro5050%78.894.2-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olimpia Milano2620281993
Varese1416152469
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