PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Varese vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 88-68
26-12 22-16 14-19 26-21
Position#8
Record10-13
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game76.2
Varese 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#15
Record5-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game84.2
ItalyLega ARound 24
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Varese v Pesaro
11 Feb 2024
VAR91
PES80
11 Mar 2023
VAR110
PES99
20 Mar 2022
VAR76
PES87
14 Mar 2021
VAR81
PES68
15 Dec 2019
VAR103
PES87
28 Apr 2019
VAR81
PES75
31 Mar 2018
VAR88
PES68
12 Mar 2017
VAR93
PES78
18 Oct 2015
VAR88
PES81
01 Feb 2015
VAR70
PES80
01 Dec 2013
VAR91
PES77
28 Apr 2013
VAR85
PES70
14 Apr 2012
VAR63
PES67
17 Oct 2010
VAR87
PES78
24 Jan 2010
VAR89
PES86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Varese winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

VareseItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
L
72-80
72
80
-8
A07/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
89-92
89
92
-3
H14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
75-63
75
63
+12
A21/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
76-72
76
72
+4
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
89-85
89
85
+4
A05/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
100-72
100
72
+28
H11/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A04/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
74-82
74
82
-8
A10/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
91-87
91
87
+4
A25/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
17-22
26-21
15-15
22-18
29-22
18-25
20-27
21-17
15-15
19-20
20-11
17-19
25-17
14-17
20-19
33-25
23-26
22-18
11-16
29-18
34-21
21-17
16-16
16-17
14-16
18-22
17-19
20-17
11-24
21-19
22-22
26-14
18-19
21-24
17-18
27-22
25-17
16-23
23-25
159.5Avg total
81.3Scored
78.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)78.376.2154.4+2.143%
Season at home (11)82.474.9157.3+7.564%
Season away (12)74.577.3151.8-2.825%
Last 10 (10)81.378.2159.5+3.160%
Last 5 (5)82.478.0160.4+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.278.2156.5+0.050%
vs Similar (20)77.776.0153.8+1.750%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)79.777.7157.3+2.033%
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
71-72
71
72
-1
A07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
96-104
96
104
-8
H27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A03/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
90-95
90
95
-5
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
79-92
79
92
-13
A04/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
W
84-81 OT
84
81
+3
H11/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
83-93
83
93
-10
A18/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
62-77
62
77
-15
H25/03
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-23
19-17
18-22
19-10
26-23
21-18
18-23
23-21
20-21
20-16
13-27
17-24
22-22
23-26
20-25
31-31
12-30
20-21
15-15
20-19
24-25
19-24
24-26
23-20
26-33
15-21
18-20
20-18
18-16
13-29
24-17
15-8
17-23
19-29
24-17
23-24
17-15
10-28
14-17
21-17
166.2Avg total
79.0Scored
87.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)76.884.2161.0-7.422%
Season at home (12)77.481.8159.2-4.433%
Season away (11)76.186.8162.9-10.79%
Last 10 (10)79.087.2166.2-8.220%
Last 5 (5)79.687.6167.2-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)79.085.7164.7-6.723%
vs Similar (6)80.082.0162.0-2.033%
vs Weaker (2)70.077.0147.0-7.050%
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +2.0+2.0
VaresePesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
VareseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cremona
#10
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A07/01
Lega A
Torino
#12
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H14/01
Lega A
Venezia
#2
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/01
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#1
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H29/01
Lega A
Cantu
#9
W
56-51
56
51
+5
A05/02
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H11/02
Lega A
Pistoia
#13
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A04/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A10/03
Lega A
Avellino
#4
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H18/03
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A25/03
Lega A
82.4Avg total
43.6Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.839.078.8+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.937.381.2+6.679%-
Last 30 away (16)36.240.576.8-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)43.638.882.4+4.870%-
Last 5 (5)44.037.081.0+7.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.843.082.8-3.225%-
vs Similar (20)40.538.779.2+1.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)37.737.375.0+0.350%-
This opponent (Pesaro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A07/01
Lega A
Sassari
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
H13/01
Lega A
Brescia
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A21/01
Lega A
Reggiana
#11
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H27/01
Lega A
Virtus Bologna
#7
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A03/02
Lega A
Torino
#12
L
43-49
43
49
-6
H11/02
Lega A
Cremona
#10
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A04/03
Lega A
Capo d'Orlando
#16
L
31-45
31
45
-14
H11/03
Lega A
Brindisi
#14
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A18/03
Lega A
Trento
#5
L
27-43
27
43
-16
H25/03
Lega A
83.6Avg total
37.6Scored
46.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.742.781.4-4.130%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.340.277.5-2.933%-
Last 30 away (15)40.145.385.3-5.227%-
Last 10 (10)37.646.083.6-8.420%-
Last 5 (5)35.648.684.2-13.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.943.182.0-4.327%-
vs Similar (6)40.842.082.8-1.250%-
vs Weaker (2)30.040.570.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Varese) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Varesetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Varese: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.518.5
49.3%
51.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.410.2
41.8%
34.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws16.913.1
77.5%
73.0%13.1
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.5 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.7 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.8
52.2%
51.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.96.5
29.7%
34.9%19.5
🏀 Free throws17.012.9
75.9%
73.0%12.9
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Varese
WWLLWWWWLL
Pesaro
LLWLLLLLWL
#8
League position
#15
+4.3
Net rating
-13.4
112.5
Offensive rating
101.1
108.2
Defensive rating
114.5
54.6%
Effective FG%
49.5%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
19.3%
Turnover %
18.0%
35.3%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.27
41.8%
3-point %
29.7%
63.4%
Assist %
42.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence112.5 · 101.1Defence108.2 · 114.5Shooting54.6% · 49.5%3-point %41.8% · 29.7%Ball care19.3% · 18.0%Off. rebounds35.3% · 26.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)60% · 20%
■ Varese   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Varese wins
3
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
03/12/17Pesaro v Varese74-71
12/03/17Varese v Pesaro93-78
13/11/16Pesaro v Varese83-87
31/01/16Pesaro v Varese76-71
18/10/15Varese v Pesaro88-81
01/02/15Varese v Pesaro70-80
19/10/14Pesaro v Varese85-96
16/03/14Pesaro v Varese79-86
01/12/13Varese v Pesaro91-77
28/04/13Varese v Pesaro85-70
Vareselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/18ASassari91-87
18/03/18HAvellino82-75
10/03/18ATrento74-82
04/03/18APistoia65-74
11/02/18HBrescia100-72
05/02/18ACantu89-85
29/01/18HOlimpia Milano76-72
21/01/18AVenezia75-63
14/01/18HTorino89-92
07/01/18ACremona72-80
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/18HTrento62-77
18/03/18ABrindisi83-93
11/03/18HCapo d'Orlando84-81 OT
04/03/18ACremona79-92
11/02/18HTorino90-95
03/02/18AVirtus Bologna67-85
27/01/18HReggiana96-104
21/01/18ABrescia70-88
13/01/18HSassari88-85
07/01/18AVenezia71-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Varese
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW43%
HomeLLWWW64%
AwayWWLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %43%64%25%
Points / game78.382.474.5
Allowed / game76.274.977.3
Point differential+2.1+7.5-2.8
Avg total154.4157.3151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%36%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (9)33% (3)33% (6)
Overtime %9%9%8%
Pesaro
Lega A 2017-18
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL22%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %22%33%9%
Points / game76.877.476.1
Allowed / game84.281.886.8
Point differential-7.4-4.4-10.7
Avg total161.0159.2162.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)57% (7)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olimpia Milano2318578%80.072.6+7.5
2 Venezia2317674%82.079.2+2.8
3 Brescia2316770%79.374.3+5.0
4 Avellino2315865%83.877.4+6.4
5 Virtus Bologna23131057%79.175.7+3.3
6 Trento24131154%79.376.2+3.1
7 Sassari23121152%85.982.9+3.0
8 Cremona22111150%83.381.5+1.8
9 Cantu24121250%87.088.2-1.1
10 Torino24121250%80.582.3-1.8
11 Reggiana21101148%75.776.4-0.7
12 Varese23101343%78.376.2+2.1
13 Pistoia2491538%76.381.0-4.7
14 Brindisi2371630%77.181.1-4.0
15 Pesaro2351822%76.884.2-7.4
16 Capo d'Orlando2451921%70.084.4-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Varese2622142688
Pesaro1216192168
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.