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Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 116-108
42-30 23-18 26-26 25-34
Position#14
Record19-18
FormWWLLW
Points / game105.1
Allowed / game103.0
vs
Position#13
Record11-29
FormLWLLL
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game102.5
USANBA· BMO Harris Bradley Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Milwaukee Bucks v Miami Heat
12 Mar 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
28 Jan 2027
MIL v MIA
upcoming
24 Feb 2026
MIL128
MIA117
23 Feb 2025
MIL120
MIA113
23 Jan 2025
MIL125
MIA96
13 Feb 2024
MIL97
MIA123
30 Oct 2023
MIL122
MIA114
26 Apr 2023
MIL126
MIA128
19 Apr 2023
MIL138
MIA122
16 Apr 2023
MIL117
MIA130
24 Feb 2023
MIL128
MIA99
04 Feb 2023
MIL123
MIA115
02 Mar 2022
MIL120
MIA119
04 Dec 2021
MIL124
MIA102
24 May 2021
MIL132
MIA98
22 May 2021
MIL109
MIA107
15 May 2021
MIL122
MIA108
08 Sep 2020
MIL94
MIA103
02 Sep 2020
MIL114
MIA116
31 Aug 2020
MIL104
MIA115
06 Aug 2020
MIL130
MIA116
26 Oct 2019
MIL126
MIA131
22 Mar 2019
MIL116
MIA87
15 Jan 2019
MIL124
MIA86
17 Jan 2018
MIL101
MIA106
08 Feb 2017
MIL88
MIA106
13 Jan 2017
MIL116
MIA108
09 Mar 2016
MIL114
MIA108
29 Jan 2016
MIL103
MIA107
24 Mar 2015
MIL89
MIA88
05 Dec 2014
MIL109
MIA85
29 Mar 2014
MIL67
MIA88
28 Apr 2013
MIL77
MIA88
25 Apr 2013
MIL91
MIA104
15 Mar 2013
MIL94
MIA107
29 Dec 2012
MIL104
MIA85
13 Feb 2012
MIL96
MIA114
01 Feb 2012
MIL105
MIA97
07 Jan 2011
MIL95
MIA101
06 Dec 2010
MIL78
MIA88
26 Mar 2010
MIL74
MIA87
30 Jan 2010
MIL95
MIA84
14 Jan 2009
MIL99
MIA102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
W
123-96
123
96
+27
125avg 95
H24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
102-107
102
107
-5
94avg 95
A27/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
119-94
119
94
+25
122avg 95
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
99-116
99
116
-17
91avg 95
A31/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
116-96
116
96
+20
119avg 95
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
98-94
98
94
+4
88avg 95
H03/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
105-104
105
104
+1
97avg 95
A05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
111-116
111
116
-5
104avg 95
H07/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
101-107
101
107
-6
92avg 95
H08/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
109-107
109
107
+2
108avg 95
A11/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-29
36-29
27-20
23-18
27-28
30-25
27-29
18-25
31-28
31-26
28-21
29-19
21-34
27-21
23-30
28-31
22-27
27-24
31-25
36-20
22-30
28-26
29-16
19-22
27-25
25-27
21-35
32-17
33-32
32-21
31-30
15-33
31-24
26-25
21-33
23-25
23-23
30-36
30-30
26-18
212.0Avg total
108.3Scored
103.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)105.1103.0208.1+2.151%
Season at home (20)108.7104.2212.9+4.455%
Season away (17)100.9101.6202.5-0.747%
Last 10 (10)108.3103.7212.0+4.660%
Last 5 (5)104.8105.6210.4-0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)109.0109.3218.3-0.333%
vs Similar ◀ (20)104.5103.2207.8+1.345%
vs Weaker (4)105.095.2200.2+9.8100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
87-91
87
91
-4
81avg 91
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
94-106
94
106
-12
74avg 91
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 91
A30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
114-117
114
117
-3
113avg 91
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
98-107
98
107
-9
91avg 91
H01/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
90-99
90
99
-9
73avg 91
A04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
107-102
107
102
+5
105avg 91
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
100-127
100
127
-27
79avg 91
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
86-98
86
98
-12
73avg 91
A08/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
95-107
95
107
-12
86avg 91
A11/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
21-19
19-20
19-27
19-33
29-28
21-26
25-19
19-21
30-21
17-31
16-18
25-25
23-27
30-30
36-35
37-33
29-25
15-27
17-22
29-28
23-28
14-27
24-16
30-25
34-34
23-22
20-21
23-32
33-26
23-32
21-37
19-20
20-32
27-28
20-18
29-27
25-26
14-26
27-28
199.8Avg total
95.3Scored
104.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)98.0102.5200.5-4.428%
Season at home (18)101.2103.0204.2-1.828%
Season away (22)95.5102.0197.5-6.527%
Last 10 (10)95.3104.5199.8-9.210%
Last 5 (5)95.6106.6202.2-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.0107.0202.0-12.00%
vs Similar ◀ (22)97.5101.4198.8-3.932%
vs Weaker (7)105.6112.3217.9-6.729%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -0.1-0.1Q3: -6.6-6.6Q4Q4: +2.1+2.1Q4: -1.6-1.6
Milwaukee BucksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#9
W
73-58
73
58
+15
H24/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
57-53
57
53
+4
A27/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
62-54
62
54
+8
A29/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A31/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
49-51
49
51
-2
A01/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H03/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
D
52-52
52
52
+0
A05/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H07/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H08/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
53-59
53
59
-6
A11/01
NBA
110.6Avg total
56.6Scored
54.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.851.8105.5+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)55.550.6106.1+4.962%-
Last 30 away (14)51.853.1104.9-1.436%-
Last 10 (10)56.654.0110.6+2.650%-
Last 5 (5)55.453.8109.2+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)55.355.5110.8-0.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)53.651.6105.2+2.045%-
vs Weaker (4)52.246.899.0+5.5100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A24/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H01/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A08/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A11/01
NBA
106.0Avg total
52.5Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.553.0103.5-2.543%-
Last 30 at home (12)51.054.9105.9-3.942%-
Last 30 away (18)50.251.7101.9-1.644%-
Last 10 (10)52.553.5106.0-1.050%-
Last 5 (5)53.055.6108.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)54.053.0107.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)48.852.2101.0-3.441%-
vs Weaker (7)55.455.6111.0-0.143%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 108.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.932.1
54.5%
50.2%64.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.19.0
42.7%
35.7%27.0
🏀 Free throws22.617.1
75.7%
77.0%17.1
They take 80.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 95.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.327.7
47.5%
50.2%55.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.9
33.7%
35.7%26.7
🏀 Free throws18.513.2
71.4%
77.0%13.2
They take 84.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Milwaukee Bucks
WLLWWWLWLW
Miami Heat
LLLWLLLLLL
#14
League position
#13
+4.9
Net rating
-9.5
114.5
Offensive rating
97.9
109.6
Defensive rating
107.4
57.0%
Effective FG%
48.5%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
12.9%
Turnover %
13.4%
20.0%
Off. rebound %
19.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.22
42.7%
3-point %
33.7%
64.5%
Assist %
59.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 97.9Defence109.6 · 107.4Shooting57.0% · 48.5%3-point %42.7% · 33.7%Ball care12.9% · 13.4%Off. rebounds20.0% · 19.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Milwaukee Bucks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Milwaukee Bucks wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/17ASan Antonio Spurs109-107
08/01/17HWashington Wizards101-107
07/01/17HNew York Knicks111-116
05/01/17ANew York Knicks105-104
03/01/17HOklahoma City Thunder98-94
01/01/17AChicago Bulls116-96
31/12/16AMinnesota Timberwolves99-116
29/12/16ADetroit Pistons119-94
27/12/16AWashington Wizards102-107
24/12/16HWashington Wizards123-96
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/17AGolden State Warriors95-107
08/01/17ALos Angeles Clippers86-98
07/01/17ALos Angeles Lakers100-127
05/01/17ASacramento Kings107-102
04/01/17APhoenix Suns90-99
01/01/17HDetroit Pistons98-107
31/12/16ABoston Celtics114-117
30/12/16ACharlotte Hornets82-91
28/12/16HOklahoma City Thunder94-106
24/12/16ANew Orleans Pelicans87-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW51%
HomeLWWLL55%
AwayWLWWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games372017
Win %51%55%47%
Points / game105.1108.7100.9
Allowed / game103.0104.2101.6
Point differential+2.1+4.4-0.7
Avg total208.1212.9202.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%30%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (12)43% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %5%5%6%
Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL28%
HomeLLWLL28%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401822
Win %28%28%27%
Points / game98.0101.295.5
Allowed / game102.5103.0102.0
Point differential-4.4-1.8-6.5
Avg total200.5204.2197.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)0% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %5%11%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4034685%117.5105.5+12.1
2 San Antonio Spurs3931879%106.797.7+9.0
3 Houston Rockets41311076%114.6107.4+7.1
4 Cleveland Cavaliers38281074%109.1103.4+5.7
5 Toronto Raptors39261367%111.2104.6+6.6
6 Los Angeles Clippers41271466%107.8102.3+5.5
7 Boston Celtics39241562%107.0104.7+2.3
8 Utah Jazz40241660%98.494.9+3.5
9 Oklahoma City Thunder40241660%106.8104.8+2.0
10 Memphis Grizzlies41241759%99.298.7+0.5
11 Atlanta Hawks38221658%102.7102.6+0.1
12 Milwaukee Bucks37191851%105.1103.0+2.1
13 Indiana Pacers39201951%106.0107.1-1.1
14 Charlotte Hornets40202050%105.2103.9+1.2
15 Washington Wizards38191950%105.4106.1-0.7
16 Chicago Bulls40192148%101.2101.5-0.3
17 New York Knicks40182245%105.2108.1-2.9
18 Detroit Pistons41182344%100.3100.9-0.6
19 Portland Trail Blazers41182344%108.1110.3-2.2
20 Sacramento Kings38162242%102.2104.7-2.5
21 New Orleans Pelicans40162440%102.5105.1-2.7
22 Orlando Magic40162440%98.8103.8-4.9
23 Denver Nuggets38152339%108.8111.2-2.4
24 Los Angeles Lakers43152835%104.7110.3-5.6
25 Minnesota Timberwolves39132633%103.4104.5-1.1
26 Philadelphia 76ers37122532%99.3105.3-6.0
27 Dallas Mavericks39122731%95.6100.8-5.3
28 Phoenix Suns39122731%106.0112.0-6.0
29 Miami Heat40112928%98.0102.5-4.4
30 Brooklyn Nets3983121%105.1114.3-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Milwaukee Bucks42232625116
Miami Heat30182634108
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