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Miami Heat vs Houston Rockets Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 18 Jan 2017
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 109-103
27-32 26-21 26-26 30-24
Position#13
Record11-30
FormWLLLL
Points / game98.3
Allowed / game102.8
vs
Position#3
Record32-11
FormWWLLW
Points / game114.9
Allowed / game107.6
USANBA· AmericanAirlines Arena
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Miami Heat v Houston Rockets
16 Nov 2026
MIA v HOU
upcoming
28 Feb 2026
MIA115
HOU105
21 Mar 2025
MIA98
HOU102
08 Jan 2024
MIA120
HOU113
10 Feb 2023
MIA97
HOU95
07 Mar 2022
MIA123
HOU106
19 Apr 2021
MIA113
HOU91
03 Nov 2019
MIA129
HOU100
20 Dec 2018
MIA101
HOU99
07 Feb 2018
MIA101
HOU109
17 Jan 2017
MIA109
HOU103
01 Nov 2015
MIA109
HOU89
04 Nov 2014
MIA91
HOU108
16 Mar 2014
MIA113
HOU104
06 Feb 2013
MIA114
HOU108
22 Apr 2012
MIA97
HOU88
27 Mar 2011
MIA125
HOU119
09 Feb 2010
MIA99
HOU66
24 Nov 2008
MIA98
HOU107
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Houston Rockets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHeat
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
94-106
94
106
-12
74avg 92
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
82-91
82
91
-9
76avg 92
A30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
114-117
114
117
-3
113avg 92
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
98-107
98
107
-9
91avg 92
H01/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
90-99
90
99
-9
73avg 92
A04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
107-102
107
102
+5
105avg 92
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
100-127
100
127
-27
79avg 92
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
86-98
86
98
-12
73avg 92
A08/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
95-107
95
107
-12
86avg 92
A11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
108-116
108
116
-8
101avg 92
A14/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-33
29-28
21-26
25-19
19-21
30-21
17-31
16-18
25-25
23-27
30-30
36-35
37-33
29-25
15-27
17-22
29-28
23-28
14-27
24-16
30-25
34-34
23-22
20-21
23-32
33-26
23-32
21-37
19-20
20-32
27-28
20-18
29-27
25-26
14-26
27-28
30-42
18-23
26-26
34-25
204.4Avg total
97.4Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)98.3102.8201.1-4.527%
Season at home (18)101.2103.0204.2-1.828%
Season away (23)96.0102.6198.7-6.626%
Last 10 (10)97.4107.0204.4-9.610%
Last 5 (5)99.2110.0209.2-10.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)95.0107.0202.0-12.00%
vs Similar (22)98.0103.3201.3-5.327%
vs Weaker (7)105.6112.3217.9-6.729%
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRockets
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
140-116
140
116
+24
141avg 103
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
129-122
129
122
+7
123avg 103
H01/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
W
101-91
101
91
+10
91avg 103
H03/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
118-116
118
116
+2
111avg 103
H06/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
100-93
100
93
+7
94avg 103
A07/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
129-122
129
122
+7
122avg 103
A08/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
121-114
121
114
+7
116avg 103
H11/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
105-119
105
119
-14
89avg 103
A12/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
105-110
105
110
-5
87avg 103
H14/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
137-112
137
112
+25
135avg 103
A15/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-23
37-34
34-41
32-18
27-32
42-23
30-37
30-30
14-29
27-24
37-17
23-21
33-38
34-18
30-27
21-33
19-22
25-30
35-23
21-18
27-37
34-26
34-36
34-23
32-26
35-21
29-32
25-35
23-30
31-25
23-34
28-30
31-25
33-26
21-32
20-27
37-36
37-30
30-24
33-22
230.0Avg total
118.5Scored
111.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (43)114.9107.6222.5+7.374%
Season at home (20)115.9105.1221.0+10.880%
Season away (23)114.0109.8223.7+4.270%
Last 10 (10)118.5111.5230.0+7.080%
Last 5 (5)119.4115.4234.8+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)132.0127.0259.0+5.0100%
vs Similar (7)111.4110.3221.7+1.157%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)118.6107.5226.0+11.186%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +7.8+7.8Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -2.6-2.6Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +7.8+7.8Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
Miami HeatHouston Rockets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
L
48-61
48
61
-13
H28/12
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A30/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
48-52
48
52
-4
A31/12
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
66-58
66
58
+8
H01/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A04/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A05/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
56-58
56
58
-2
A07/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A08/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
54-53
54
53
+1
A11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
L
48-65
48
65
-17
A14/01
NBA
108.0Avg total
52.4Scored
55.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.553.6104.1-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (11)51.355.5106.8-4.345%-
Last 30 away (19)50.152.4102.5-2.442%-
Last 10 (10)52.455.6108.0-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)52.257.4109.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)54.053.0107.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (22)48.853.0101.7-4.241%-
vs Weaker (7)55.455.6111.0-0.143%-
This opponent (Houston Rockets) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Houston RocketsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H31/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
69-55
69
55
+14
H01/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
41-53
41
53
-12
H03/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
67-56
67
56
+11
H06/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A07/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A08/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
67-47
67
47
+20
H11/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
54-55
54
55
-1
A12/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
64-51
64
51
+13
H14/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
74-66
74
66
+8
A15/01
NBA
117.0Avg total
61.5Scored
55.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.653.2112.8+6.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.650.4111.0+10.280%-
Last 30 away (15)58.656.0114.6+2.660%-
Last 10 (10)61.555.5117.0+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)64.056.4120.4+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.059.0123.0+5.0100%-
vs Similar (7)52.655.6108.1-3.029%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)61.652.2113.8+9.582%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 97.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.727.8
49.0%
50.2%55.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.3
33.7%
35.7%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.013.9
73.2%
77.0%13.9
They take 84.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Houston Rocketstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Houston Rockets: 118.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.3 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.725.4
58.1%
50.2%50.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.615.1
35.4%
35.7%45.3
🏀 Free throws28.922.4
77.5%
77.0%22.4
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Jan 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Miami Heat
LLLLWLLLLL
Houston Rockets
WLLWWWWWWW
#13
League position
#3
-9.9
Net rating
+6.8
100.4
Offensive rating
115.6
110.2
Defensive rating
108.8
49.5%
Effective FG%
55.7%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
12.8%
Turnover %
12.5%
18.1%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.7%
3-point %
35.4%
62.3%
Assist %
64.4%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 115.6Defence110.2 · 108.8Shooting49.5% · 55.7%3-point %33.7% · 35.4%Ball care12.8% · 12.5%Off. rebounds18.1% · 21.1%Free throws0.23 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)10% · 80%
■ Miami Heat   ■ Houston Rockets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Miami Heat wins
4
Houston Rockets wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/17AMilwaukee Bucks108-116
11/01/17AGolden State Warriors95-107
08/01/17ALos Angeles Clippers86-98
07/01/17ALos Angeles Lakers100-127
05/01/17ASacramento Kings107-102
04/01/17APhoenix Suns90-99
01/01/17HDetroit Pistons98-107
31/12/16ABoston Celtics114-117
30/12/16ACharlotte Hornets82-91
28/12/16HOklahoma City Thunder94-106
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/17ABrooklyn Nets137-112
14/01/17HMemphis Grizzlies105-110
12/01/17AMinnesota Timberwolves105-119
11/01/17HCharlotte Hornets121-114
08/01/17AToronto Raptors129-122
07/01/17AOrlando Magic100-93
06/01/17HOklahoma City Thunder118-116
03/01/17HWashington Wizards101-91
01/01/17HNew York Knicks129-122
31/12/16HLos Angeles Clippers140-116

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeLLWLL28%
AwayWLLLL26%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games411823
Win %27%28%26%
Points / game98.3101.296.0
Allowed / game102.8103.0102.6
Point differential-4.5-1.8-6.6
Avg total201.1204.2198.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%4%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)0% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Houston Rockets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW74%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWWWLW70%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games432023
Win %74%80%70%
Points / game114.9115.9114.0
Allowed / game107.6105.1109.8
Point differential+7.3+10.8+4.2
Avg total222.5221.0223.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%45%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (12)67% (6)83% (6)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4135685%117.7105.1+12.6
2 San Antonio Spurs4031978%106.798.0+8.7
3 Houston Rockets43321174%114.9107.6+7.3
4 Cleveland Cavaliers40291172%109.0104.1+4.8
5 Toronto Raptors40271368%111.3104.5+6.8
6 Los Angeles Clippers43291467%108.2102.1+6.2
7 Boston Celtics41261563%107.0104.5+2.5
8 Utah Jazz43271663%99.294.9+4.3
9 Atlanta Hawks41241759%103.0102.6+0.4
10 Oklahoma City Thunder43251858%106.5105.2+1.3
11 Memphis Grizzlies43251858%99.699.1+0.5
12 Washington Wizards40211952%105.8105.7+0.2
13 Indiana Pacers40211952%105.8106.8-1.0
14 Milwaukee Bucks40202050%105.2103.6+1.6
15 Chicago Bulls42212150%101.5101.5+0.0
16 Charlotte Hornets41202149%105.0104.0+1.0
17 Detroit Pistons43192444%99.8101.0-1.3
18 New York Knicks42182443%105.2108.3-3.1
19 Portland Trail Blazers43182542%107.9110.7-2.7
20 Denver Nuggets39162341%109.3111.2-2.0
21 Sacramento Kings40162440%102.8105.5-2.8
22 Orlando Magic43172640%99.7104.6-4.9
23 New Orleans Pelicans42162638%102.2105.0-2.8
24 Minnesota Timberwolves41142734%102.9103.9-1.1
25 Los Angeles Lakers45153033%104.3110.2-5.8
26 Philadelphia 76ers39132633%99.5105.3-5.9
27 Dallas Mavericks40132732%95.7100.5-4.8
28 Phoenix Suns41132832%105.9111.7-5.8
29 Miami Heat41113027%98.3102.8-4.5
30 Brooklyn Nets4083220%105.2114.9-9.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat27262630109
Houston Rockets32212624103
← all games of the day
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