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CSKA Moscow vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Nov 2020
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 74-73
17-20 18-18 23-17 16-18
Position#1
Record7-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#7
Record6-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game78.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 11
European cup2020
Meetings · CSKA Moscow v Real Madrid
26 Nov 2020
CMO74
MAD73
17 May 2019
CMO95
MAD90
08 Feb 2019
CMO82
MAD78
18 May 2018
CMO83
MAD92
01 Feb 2018
CMO93
MAD87
11 Nov 2016
CMO91
MAD90
07 Jan 2016
CMO95
MAD81
23 Jan 2014
CMO85
MAD71
28 Mar 2013
CMO81
MAD72
17 Dec 2008
CMO78
MAD82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CSKA Moscow winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CSKA MoscowLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoscow
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
L
88-93
88
93
-5
84avg 82
H16/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
84-86 OT
84
86
-2
no box
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
84-75
84
75
+9
72avg 82
H29/10
Euroleague
Enisey
#11
W
109-60
109
60
+49
112avg 82
H01/11
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
89-83
89
83
+6
83avg 82
A06/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#7
L
78-86
78
86
-8
69avg 82
A09/11
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
W
89-86
89
86
+3
78avg 82
H12/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
78avg 82
A17/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
79avg 82
A19/11
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#9
W
95-61
95
61
+34
no box
A22/11
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
32-30
14-21
23-25
20-18
23-17
8-11
22-27
17-16
27-19
18-23
22-17
24-12
31-22
20-13
34-13
24-24
27-18
14-16
24-25
18-12
23-23
14-21
23-30
23-16
24-19
19-23
23-28
26-17
19-21
21-20
21-20
18-17
18-22
28-21
25-21
24-16
26-15
18-9
27-21
168.1Avg total
89.2Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)83.080.7163.7+2.370%
Season at home (4)84.281.5165.8+2.875%
Season away (6)82.280.2162.3+2.067%
Last 10 (10)89.278.9168.1+10.370%
Last 5 (5)87.678.4166.0+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)78.386.0164.3-7.733%
vs Weaker (27)89.974.7164.7+15.281%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#16
W
84-65
84
65
+19
78avg 81
A27/10
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
100-82
100
82
+18
95avg 81
H29/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
86-78
86
78
+8
83avg 81
A01/11
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
85-83
85
83
+2
77avg 81
A04/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
93-90
93
90
+3
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
W
79-68
79
68
+11
69avg 81
H08/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
73-67
73
67
+6
69avg 81
A13/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
79-63
79
63
+16
78avg 81
H18/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
94-74
94
74
+20
97avg 81
H20/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
100-78
100
78
+22
98avg 81
H22/11
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-17
12-14
26-18
27-16
27-17
22-28
21-16
30-21
28-6
22-19
20-30
16-23
23-12
21-17
14-31
27-23
32-24
16-30
19-19
26-17
18-24
15-16
28-11
18-17
21-26
15-16
23-11
14-14
29-18
16-14
17-18
17-13
28-12
21-24
23-15
22-23
25-18
22-22
26-18
27-20
162.1Avg total
87.3Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)81.578.7160.2+2.860%
Season at home (5)88.879.4168.2+9.480%
Season away (5)74.278.0152.2-3.840%
Last 10 (10)87.374.8162.1+12.5100%
Last 5 (5)85.070.0155.0+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)72.079.0151.0-7.00%
vs Similar ◀ (9)84.480.7165.1+3.856%
vs Weaker (18)88.673.6162.2+15.0100%
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
CSKA MoscowReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CSKA MoscowLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alba Berlin
#15
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/10
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#17
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A22/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#8
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H29/10
Euroleague
Enisey
#11
W
55-34
55
34
+21
H01/11
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#16
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A06/11
Euroleague
Khimki M.
#7
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A09/11
VTB United League
Baskonia
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H12/11
Euroleague
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A17/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#5
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A19/11
Euroleague
Parma Perm
#9
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A22/11
VTB United League
83.4Avg total
46.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.336.782.1+8.680%-
Last 30 at home (12)50.237.287.4+13.192%-
Last 30 away (18)42.136.478.5+5.672%-
Last 10 (10)46.337.183.4+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)43.835.679.4+8.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)40.340.380.7+0.033%-
vs Weaker (27)45.936.382.2+9.685%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#16
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A27/10
ACB
Bayern
#5
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H29/10
Euroleague
Valencia
#4
W
50-25
50
25
+25
A01/11
ACB
Bilbao
#17
W
44-29
44
29
+15
A04/11
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#11
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A06/11
Euroleague
Fuenlabrada
#14
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H08/11
ACB
Crvena zvezda
#17
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A13/11
Euroleague
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#13
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H18/11
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#9
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H20/11
Euroleague
Manresa
#11
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H22/11
ACB
80.6Avg total
43.2Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.137.079.1+5.163%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.738.181.9+5.671%-
Last 30 away (16)40.636.076.6+4.656%-
Last 10 (10)43.237.480.6+5.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.038.080.0+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)27.048.075.0-21.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)42.739.882.4+2.956%-
vs Weaker (18)41.834.276.0+7.767%-
This opponent (CSKA Moscow) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CSKA Moscowtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CSKA Moscow: 90.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.018.7
55.0%
52.7%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.011.5
41.1%
38.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws25.118.1
72.1%
79.3%18.1
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.2 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.519.2
59.1%
52.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.811.6
37.7%
38.1%34.8
🏀 Free throws17.013.5
79.4%
79.3%13.5
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2020 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CSKA Moscow
WWWWLWWWLL
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWWWW
#1
League position
#7
+19.7
Net rating
+17.4
125.5
Offensive rating
117.2
105.8
Defensive rating
99.8
58.0%
Effective FG%
57.8%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.0%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.9%
37.5%
Off. rebound %
28.7%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.27
41.1%
3-point %
37.7%
60.9%
Assist %
66.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence125.5 · 117.2Defence105.8 · 99.8Shooting58.0% · 57.8%3-point %41.1% · 37.7%Ball care15.5% · 16.9%Off. rebounds37.5% · 28.7%Free throws0.40 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ CSKA Moscow   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
CSKA Moscow wins
3
Real Madrid wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/20AParma Perm95-61
19/11/20ABayern89-81
17/11/20AZalgiris Kaunas87-78
12/11/20HBaskonia89-86
09/11/20AKhimki M.78-86
06/11/20APanathinaikos89-83
01/11/20HEnisey109-60
29/10/20HValencia84-75
22/10/20ACrvena zvezda84-86 OT
16/10/20HAlba Berlin88-93
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/20HManresa100-78
20/11/20HFenerbahce94-74
18/11/20HMaccabi Tel Aviv79-63
13/11/20ACrvena zvezda73-67
08/11/20HFuenlabrada79-68
06/11/20AZalgiris Kaunas93-90
04/11/20ABilbao85-83
01/11/20AValencia86-78
29/10/20HBayern100-82
27/10/20AReal Betis84-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CSKA Moscow
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW70%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %70%75%67%
Points / game83.084.282.2
Allowed / game80.781.580.2
Point differential+2.3+2.8+2.0
Avg total163.7165.8162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %20%0%33%
Real Madrid
Euroleague 2020
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW60%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayLLLWW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game81.588.874.2
Allowed / game78.779.478.0
Point differential+2.8+9.4-3.8
Avg total160.2168.2152.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Barcelona98189%82.369.4+12.9
2 Zenit Petersburg75271%73.170.1+3.0
3 Bayern107370%80.477.2+3.2
4 CSKA Moscow107370%83.080.7+2.3
5 Valencia96367%81.779.0+2.7
6 Olympiacos85362%76.673.9+2.8
7 Real Madrid106460%81.578.7+2.8
8 Olimpia Milano74357%82.781.9+0.9
9 Anadolu Efes95456%81.978.9+3.0
10 Zalgiris Kaunas105550%79.881.0-1.2
11 Baskonia94544%79.875.4+4.3
12 Crvena zvezda104640%75.276.2-1.0
13 Fenerbahce104640%72.878.2-5.4
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv103730%78.779.0-0.3
15 Panathinaikos82625%79.484.5-5.1
16 Alba Berlin82625%73.884.6-10.9
17 Khimki M.92722%77.485.6-8.1
18 Lyon-Villeurbanne71614%70.678.9-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CSKA Moscow1718231674
Real Madrid2018171873
← all games of the day
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