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Murcia vs Real Madrid Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 May 2018
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 61-63
12-18 13-13 18-16 18-16
Position#9
Record16-15
FormWLLLW
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#1
Record29-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game91.0
Allowed / game79.0
SpainACBRound 32
Domestic2017-18
Meetings · Murcia v Real Madrid
31 Jan 2027
MUR v MAD
upcoming
30 Dec 2025
MUR80
MAD91
03 Nov 2024
MUR64
MAD85
12 Jun 2024
MUR73
MAD84
14 Jan 2024
MUR73
MAD61
12 Feb 2023
MUR80
MAD88
19 Dec 2021
MUR71
MAD80
07 Mar 2021
MUR58
MAD74
02 May 2019
MUR80
MAD82
12 May 2018
MUR61
MAD63
05 Feb 2017
MUR61
MAD89
29 May 2016
MUR91
MAD87
03 Apr 2016
MUR99
MAD104
22 Mar 2015
MUR86
MAD79
27 Oct 2013
MUR81
MAD88
04 Nov 2012
MUR64
MAD79
08 Jan 2012
MUR60
MAD91
07 Feb 2010
MUR67
MAD96
15 Mar 2009
MUR77
MAD88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Murcia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MurciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMurcia
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
W
84-73
84
73
+11
119avg 103
A01/04
ACB
Karsiyaka
#12
W
81-72
81
72
+9
no box
H04/04
Champions League
Real Betis
#18
W
102-87
102
87
+15
132avg 103
A08/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
82-62
82
62
+20
109avg 103
H12/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
71-83
71
83
-12
no box
A15/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
W
84-73
84
73
+11
116avg 103
H22/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
L
75-92
75
92
-17
no box
H25/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
85-87
85
87
-2
114avg 103
A29/04
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
L
75-77
75
77
-2
no box
A04/05
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
85-74
85
74
+11
no box
A06/05
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-15
21-15
19-23
24-20
18-12
13-17
21-26
29-17
28-23
25-17
30-24
19-23
23-16
20-21
14-9
25-16
11-23
19-19
22-15
19-26
15-16
17-16
28-18
24-23
19-21
24-21
21-23
11-27
19-26
22-21
18-21
26-19
17-18
17-22
20-15
21-22
18-17
24-15
18-21
25-21
160.4Avg total
82.4Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.776.6154.4+1.152%
Season at home (15)74.972.3147.2+2.560%
Season away (16)80.480.7161.1-0.244%
Last 10 (10)82.478.0160.4+4.460%
Last 5 (5)80.880.6161.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)76.473.5149.9+2.950%
vs Similar (12)76.776.4153.1+0.250%
vs Weaker (10)78.374.0152.3+4.370%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
87-70
87
70
+17
119avg 118
H10/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
90-75
90
75
+15
117avg 118
A14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
67-95
67
95
-28
91avg 118
A17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
122avg 118
A19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
81-74
81
74
+7
111avg 118
H25/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
H27/04
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#10
W
92-75
92
75
+17
no box
A29/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
101-89
101
89
+12
130avg 118
H03/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
87-75
87
75
+12
113avg 118
H06/05
ACB
Real Betis
#18
W
104-89
104
89
+15
144avg 118
H09/05
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
24-14
24-19
17-19
23-22
17-13
30-13
20-27
13-26
17-20
14-31
23-18
16-21
20-19
32-21
21-21
17-17
23-17
17-19
24-21
19-14
32-21
27-25
11-22
21-16
23-15
30-20
18-24
25-24
27-20
23-18
26-27
12-22
31-11
31-20
13-22
21-22
28-23
29-21
26-23
169.3Avg total
88.7Scored
80.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)91.079.0170.0+11.991%
Season at home (17)92.177.7169.8+14.494%
Season away (15)89.780.5170.3+9.287%
Last 10 (10)88.780.6169.3+8.190%
Last 5 (5)94.682.0176.6+12.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)89.487.0176.4+2.440%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)87.779.2166.9+8.583%
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.3-1.3Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +6.9+6.9Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +5.0+5.0Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.5-2.5
MurciaReal Madrid
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MurciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Valencia
#4
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A01/04
ACB
Karsiyaka
#12
W
31-29
31
29
+2
H04/04
Champions League
Real Betis
#18
W
53-40
53
40
+13
A08/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H12/04
ACB
Gran Canaria
#5
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A15/04
ACB
Tecnyconta Zaragoza
#16
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H22/04
ACB
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H25/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A29/04
ACB
AEK Athens
#11
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A04/05
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#4
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A06/05
Champions League
76.1Avg total
39.0Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.035.572.5+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.334.870.2+0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)38.336.174.4+2.259%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.176.1+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)38.438.677.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)36.934.971.8+2.050%-
vs Similar (12)35.935.771.6+0.250%-
vs Weaker (10)38.435.974.3+2.560%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona
#15
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H10/04
ACB
Fuenlabrada
#11
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A14/04
ACB
Panathinaikos
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A17/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A19/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H25/04
Euroleague
Panathinaikos
#5
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H27/04
Euroleague
Estudiantes
#10
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A29/04
ACB
Baskonia
#2
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H03/05
ACB
Gipuzkoa
#13
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H06/05
ACB
Real Betis
#18
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H09/05
ACB
80.6Avg total
43.1Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.539.483.0+4.167%-
Last 30 at home (17)44.239.283.4+5.076%-
Last 30 away (13)42.739.882.5+2.954%-
Last 10 (10)43.137.580.6+5.680%-
Last 5 (5)47.837.685.4+10.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)42.440.883.2+1.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.738.982.6+4.867%-
This opponent (Murcia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Murciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Murcia: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.419.1
47.3%
51.8%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.89.1
41.7%
35.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.513.8
67.3%
74.6%13.8
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.521.7
56.4%
51.8%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.69.2
40.7%
35.4%27.6
🏀 Free throws23.116.9
73.2%
74.6%16.9
They take 61.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 May 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Murcia
WLLLWLWWWW
Real Madrid
WWWWWWWLWW
#9
League position
#1
+3.0
Net rating
+11.1
111.4
Offensive rating
114.4
108.5
Defensive rating
103.4
52.7%
Effective FG%
58.1%
50.0%
Opp. effective FG%
51.5%
16.1%
Turnover %
18.5%
34.9%
Off. rebound %
27.9%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.38
41.7%
3-point %
40.7%
53.9%
Assist %
60.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 114.4Defence108.5 · 103.4Shooting52.7% · 58.1%3-point %41.7% · 40.7%Ball care16.1% · 18.5%Off. rebounds34.9% · 27.9%Free throws0.33 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Murcia   ■ Real Madrid
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Murcia wins
8
Real Madrid wins
DateGameScore
10/12/17Real Madrid v Murcia87-85 OT
05/02/17Murcia v Real Madrid61-89
16/10/16Real Madrid v Murcia93-86
31/05/16Real Madrid v Murcia93-72
29/05/16Murcia v Real Madrid91-87
27/05/16Real Madrid v Murcia107-103
03/04/16Murcia v Real Madrid99-104 OT
06/12/15Real Madrid v Murcia101-80
22/03/15Murcia v Real Madrid86-79
16/11/14Real Madrid v Murcia90-65
Murcialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/05/18ALudwigsburg85-74
04/05/18AAEK Athens75-77
29/04/18ABaskonia85-87
25/04/18HJoventut Badalona75-92
22/04/18HTecnyconta Zaragoza84-73
15/04/18AGran Canaria71-83
12/04/18HFuenlabrada82-62
08/04/18AReal Betis102-87
04/04/18HKarsiyaka81-72
01/04/18AValencia84-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/18HReal Betis104-89
06/05/18HGipuzkoa87-75
03/05/18HBaskonia101-89
29/04/18AEstudiantes92-75
27/04/18HPanathinaikos89-82
25/04/18HPanathinaikos81-74
19/04/18APanathinaikos89-82
17/04/18APanathinaikos67-95
14/04/18AFuenlabrada90-75
10/04/18HJoventut Badalona87-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Murcia
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL52%
HomeWWWWL60%
AwayLWWLL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %52%60%44%
Points / game77.774.980.4
Allowed / game76.672.380.7
Point differential+1.1+2.5-0.2
Avg total154.4147.2161.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%33%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)60% (5)38% (8)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Real Madrid
ACB 2017-18
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW91%
HomeWWWWW94%
AwayLWWWW87%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %91%94%87%
Points / game91.092.189.7
Allowed / game79.077.780.5
Point differential+11.9+14.4+9.2
Avg total170.0169.8170.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+66%76%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)50% (2)75% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Real Madrid3229391%91.079.0+11.9
2 Barcelona3122971%89.679.1+10.5
3 Baskonia3122971%86.578.5+8.0
4 Valencia31211068%83.176.0+7.2
5 Unicaja31181358%81.676.7+5.0
6 Gran Canaria31181358%83.581.5+2.1
7 MoraBanc Andorra31171455%84.982.3+2.6
8 Murcia31161552%77.776.6+1.1
9 Tenerife31161552%77.977.5+0.5
10 Estudiantes31151648%84.785.6-0.8
11 Fuenlabrada31151648%76.281.9-5.7
12 Obradoiro CAB31131842%77.981.2-3.3
13 Gipuzkoa31121939%80.683.5-2.9
14 San Pablo Burgos31121939%81.186.3-5.2
15 Joventut Badalona31102132%78.883.0-4.3
16 Tecnyconta Zaragoza3192229%81.087.6-6.6
17 Bilbao3182326%76.183.6-7.5
18 Real Betis3272522%78.090.6-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Murcia1213181861
Real Madrid1813161663
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