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Real Madrid vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Apr 2019
Tip-off: 19:15
Final 75-72
21-17 22-18 15-17 17-20
Position#3
Record22-8
FormWWLWW
Points / game85.9
Allowed / game78.1
Real Madrid 🏆
vs
Panathinaikos
Position#7
Record16-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game78.5
EuropeEuroleagueEuroleague - Final
European cup2018
Meetings · Real Madrid v Panathinaikos
04 Nov 2026
MAD112
PAO115
13 Nov 2025
MAD77
PAO87
17 Oct 2024
MAD90
PAO86
26 May 2024
MAD80
PAO95
29 Feb 2024
MAD86
PAO97
01 Feb 2023
MAD83
PAO68
15 Oct 2021
MAD88
PAO65
27 Jan 2021
MAD76
PAO66
19 Apr 2019
MAD78
PAO63
17 Apr 2019
MAD75
PAO72
19 Dec 2018
MAD89
PAO68
27 Apr 2018
MAD89
PAO82
25 Apr 2018
MAD81
PAO74
08 Mar 2018
MAD92
PAO75
16 Nov 2016
MAD87
PAO84
22 Jan 2015
MAD83
PAO65
21 Mar 2013
MAD73
PAO74
12 Oct 2012
MAD85
PAO78
05 Nov 2009
MAD80
PAO70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Panathinaikos winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#13
W
100-75
100
75
+25
140avg 113
A14/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
W
91-57
91
57
+34
124avg 113
H17/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
92-89
92
89
+3
81avg 113
H20/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 113
A22/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
64avg 113
H24/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
W
74-73
74
73
+1
65avg 113
A28/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
W
91-82
91
82
+9
88avg 113
A31/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
86-93
86
93
-7
81avg 113
H04/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
W
77-71
77
71
+6
71avg 113
A07/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
94-70
94
70
+24
95avg 113
H14/04
ACB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
27-16
19-12
30-25
29-13
17-25
23-6
22-13
19-33
31-23
24-19
18-14
18-22
18-17
17-25
23-22
17-17
23-28
17-17
19-20
14-32
19-13
20-14
21-14
22-22
27-18
26-19
16-23
27-25
10-21
23-20
26-27
14-18
13-17
24-14
26-22
20-22
25-21
26-13
23-14
163.5Avg total
85.7Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)85.978.1164.0+7.973%
Season at home (15)91.979.3171.3+12.687%
Season away (15)79.976.8156.7+3.160%
Last 10 (10)85.777.8163.5+7.970%
Last 5 (5)84.477.8162.2+6.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)85.882.0167.8+3.860%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)86.479.8166.2+6.671%
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPanathinaikos
Date
Competition
Olympiacos
#2
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
A17/03
Basket League
Baskonia
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
63avg 101
H20/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
95-83
95
83
+12
91avg 101
A22/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
95-68
95
68
+27
no box
H25/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
L
73-74
73
74
-1
59avg 101
H28/03
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
L
72-80
72
80
-8
no box
A31/03
Basket League
Buducnost
#15
W
87-67
87
67
+20
87avg 101
H04/04
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
89-51
89
51
+38
no box
H07/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
104-72
104
72
+32
no box
A10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
no box
H13/04
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
–
–
–
–
26-10
22-17
8-21
16-22
23-20
21-27
28-17
23-19
15-16
29-9
28-21
23-22
32-14
13-19
14-20
14-21
22-20
23-16
15-19
12-25
23-21
26-15
17-20
21-11
24-16
22-12
25-12
18-11
27-18
28-19
25-17
24-18
14-21
24-13
22-21
27-21
143.5Avg total
79.4Scored
64.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)79.678.5158.2+1.153%
Season at home (15)83.877.6161.4+6.273%
Season away (15)75.579.5154.9-4.033%
Last 10 (10)79.464.1143.5+15.380%
Last 5 (5)87.869.2157.0+18.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)76.277.8154.0-1.550%
vs Similar (7)78.678.6157.1+0.057%
vs Weaker (19)80.861.4142.2+19.595%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +6.8+6.8Q3Q3: +6.0+6.0Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +3.0+3.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
Real MadridPanathinaikos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Khimki M.
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A14/03
Euroleague
Manresa
#8
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H17/03
ACB
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
50-56
50
56
-6
H20/03
Euroleague
Baskonia
#8
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A22/03
Euroleague
Barcelona
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H24/03
ACB
Panathinaikos
#7
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A28/03
Euroleague
Tenerife
#7
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A31/03
ACB
Zalgiris Kaunas
#9
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H04/04
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#11
L
27-35
27
35
-8
A07/04
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H14/04
ACB
83.9Avg total
41.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.140.583.6+2.657%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.942.487.3+2.560%-
Last 30 away (15)41.338.679.9+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.442.583.9-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)38.241.880.0-3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)42.240.682.8+1.640%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)43.040.883.8+2.358%-
This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baskonia
#8
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H20/03
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#11
L
44-47
44
47
-3
A22/03
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H25/03
Basket League
Real Madrid
#3
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H28/03
Euroleague
Peristeri
#4
W
45-36
45
36
+9
A31/03
Basket League
Buducnost
#15
W
49-36
49
36
+13
H04/04
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H07/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#3
W
55-37
55
37
+18
A10/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H13/04
Basket League
79.7Avg total
46.0Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)44.635.980.6+8.782%-
Last 30 at home (12)47.233.180.3+14.2100%-
Last 30 away (16)42.738.180.8+4.669%-
Last 10 (9)46.033.779.7+12.389%-
Last 5 (5)46.634.280.8+12.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)37.839.877.5-2.050%-
vs Similar (7)44.038.082.0+6.057%-
vs Weaker (17)46.534.280.7+12.4100%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 84.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.7
52.2%
52.7%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.910.4
36.0%
37.0%31.2
🏀 Free throws20.916.3
78.0%
76.7%16.3
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.2 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.926.6
54.4%
52.7%53.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.26.0
34.9%
37.0%18.0
🏀 Free throws18.012.6
70.0%
76.7%12.6
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 26% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WWLWWLLWWW
Panathinaikos
WWWWLLWWWW
#3
League position
#7
+10.7
Net rating
+11.4
115.1
Offensive rating
112.4
104.4
Defensive rating
101.0
53.0%
Effective FG%
53.9%
49.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
15.8%
Turnover %
15.5%
34.2%
Off. rebound %
32.7%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.0%
3-point %
34.9%
62.2%
Assist %
59.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 112.4Defence104.4 · 101.0Shooting53.0% · 53.9%3-point %36.0% · 34.9%Ball care15.8% · 15.5%Off. rebounds34.2% · 32.7%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 80%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Panathinaikos
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Real Madrid wins
3
Panathinaikos wins
DateGameScore
28/03/19Panathinaikos v Real Madrid73-74
19/12/18Real Madrid v Panathinaikos89-68
27/04/18Real Madrid v Panathinaikos89-82
25/04/18Real Madrid v Panathinaikos81-74
19/04/18Panathinaikos v Real Madrid82-89
17/04/18Panathinaikos v Real Madrid95-67
08/03/18Real Madrid v Panathinaikos92-75
24/11/17Panathinaikos v Real Madrid82-80
16/03/17Panathinaikos v Real Madrid88-82
16/11/16Real Madrid v Panathinaikos87-84
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/04/19HObradoiro CAB94-70
07/04/19AGran Canaria77-71
04/04/19HZalgiris Kaunas86-93
31/03/19ATenerife91-82
28/03/19APanathinaikos74-73
24/03/19HBarcelona76-82
22/03/19ABaskonia76-86
20/03/19HOlimpia Milano92-89
17/03/19HManresa91-57
14/03/19AKhimki M.100-75
Panathinaikoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/04/19HPromitheas87-76
10/04/19AAEK Athens104-72
07/04/19HPAOK89-51
04/04/19HBuducnost87-67
31/03/19APeristeri72-80
28/03/19HReal Madrid73-74
25/03/19HKolossos Rhodes95-68
22/03/19AOlimpia Milano95-83
20/03/19HBaskonia72-70
17/03/19AOlympiacos20-0

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL73%
HomeWWWWL87%
AwayLLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %73%87%60%
Points / game85.991.979.9
Allowed / game78.179.376.8
Point differential+7.9+12.6+3.1
Avg total164.0171.3156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%67%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)67% (3)50% (6)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Panathinaikos
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW53%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayLWWWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301515
Win %53%73%33%
Points / game79.683.875.5
Allowed / game78.577.679.5
Point differential+1.1+6.2-4.0
Avg total158.2161.4154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)40% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %3%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce3126584%84.174.7+9.4
2 CSKA Moscow3125681%87.079.9+7.1
3 Real Madrid3022873%85.978.1+7.9
4 Anadolu Efes31211068%85.179.8+5.3
5 Barcelona31181358%78.676.3+2.3
6 Panathinaikos30161453%79.678.5+1.1
7 Olympiacos30151550%77.976.9+1.0
8 Baskonia31151648%81.480.1+1.3
9 Zalgiris Kaunas31151648%78.578.4+0.1
10 Maccabi Tel Aviv30141647%79.278.2+1.0
11 Olimpia Milano30141647%87.387.2+0.1
12 Bayern30141647%79.180.8-1.7
13 Khimki M.3092130%78.281.8-3.7
14 Gran Canaria3082227%77.787.8-10.0
15 Buducnost3062420%74.385.0-10.7
16 Darussafaka3052517%74.685.9-11.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2122151775
Panathinaikos1718172072
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