PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 22 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 99-104
31-29 21-22 22-24 25-29
Position#17
Record16-15
FormLLWWW
Points / game115.5
Allowed / game115.9
vs
Position#21
Record15-16
FormWLWLL
Points / game111.2
Allowed / game109.8
USANBA· Target Center
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Minnesota Timberwolves v Dallas Mavericks
24 Mar 2027
MIN v DAL
upcoming
12 Nov 2026
MIN v DAL
upcoming
20 Feb 2026
MIN122
DAL111
17 Nov 2025
MIN120
DAL96
29 Oct 2024
MIN114
DAL120
30 May 2024
MIN103
DAL124
24 May 2024
MIN108
DAL109
22 May 2024
MIN105
DAL108
31 Jan 2024
MIN121
DAL87
28 Dec 2023
MIN118
DAL110
21 Dec 2022
MIN99
DAL104
19 Dec 2022
MIN116
DAL106
25 Mar 2022
MIN116
DAL95
19 Dec 2021
MIN111
DAL105
16 May 2021
MIN136
DAL121
24 Mar 2021
MIN108
DAL128
01 Apr 2020
MIN v DAL
upcoming
01 Mar 2020
MIN91
DAL111
11 Jan 2019
MIN115
DAL119
10 Dec 2017
MIN97
DAL92
04 Nov 2017
MIN112
DAL99
24 Feb 2017
MIN97
DAL84
09 Jan 2017
MIN101
DAL92
03 Apr 2016
MIN78
DAL88
10 Jan 2016
MIN87
DAL93
21 Jan 2015
MIN75
DAL98
30 Dec 2013
MIN98
DAL100
08 Nov 2013
MIN116
DAL108
10 Mar 2013
MIN77
DAL100
15 Dec 2012
MIN114
DAL106
10 Feb 2012
MIN97
DAL104
01 Jan 2012
MIN99
DAL82
07 Mar 2011
MIN105
DAL108
08 Mar 2010
MIN112
DAL125
13 Nov 2009
MIN77
DAL89
31 Mar 2009
MIN88
DAL108
01 Nov 2008
MIN85
DAL95
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minnesota Timberwolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
109-101
109
101
+8
94avg 110
H01/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
128-135
128
135
-7
122avg 110
H04/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
121-115
121
115
+6
116avg 110
H08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
118-108
118
108
+10
120avg 110
A10/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
118-124
118
124
-6
105avg 110
A11/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
112-133
112
133
-21
98avg 110
A13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
L
88-99
88
99
-11
77avg 110
A15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
112-110
112
110
+2
102avg 110
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
150-126
150
126
+24
157avg 110
H19/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
116-106
116
106
+10
104avg 110
H20/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
17-22
31-24
34-29
29-32
28-31
44-34
27-38
35-17
28-44
27-29
31-25
28-24
33-22
21-33
36-29
27-32
39-33
26-29
26-30
27-33
32-37
25-36
28-27
21-19
22-19
22-29
23-32
30-28
33-22
25-41
24-19
32-34
39-31
42-32
37-29
21-30
36-14
37-30
22-32
232.9Avg total
117.2Scored
115.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)115.5115.9231.3-0.452%
Season at home (16)118.1117.6235.7+0.656%
Season away (15)112.6114.1226.7-1.547%
Last 10 (10)117.2115.7232.9+1.560%
Last 5 (5)115.6114.8230.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)129.0124.0253.0+5.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (24)115.0116.2231.2-1.250%
vs Weaker (5)115.0114.2229.2+0.840%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMavericks
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#8
W
121-100
121
100
+21
111avg 101
A03/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
130-111
130
111
+19
124avg 101
H06/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
116-115
116
115
+1
115avg 101
A07/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
105-106
105
106
-1
90avg 101
H10/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
115-144
115
144
-29
102avg 101
A11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
121-114
121
114
+7
112avg 101
H13/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
90-105
90
105
-15
75avg 101
H15/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
130-110
130
110
+20
127avg 101
H17/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
99-100 OT
99
100
-1
85avg 101
A18/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
106-116
106
116
-10
100avg 101
A20/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-32
32-27
41-15
28-26
33-15
34-26
29-34
34-36
36-29
28-29
27-28
25-29
33-32
15-20
36-21
21-33
30-40
23-42
32-31
30-31
23-28
43-24
31-38
24-24
19-26
22-34
27-23
22-22
31-32
41-31
38-22
20-25
29-27
20-20
26-20
21-29
30-21
14-36
30-37
32-22
225.4Avg total
113.3Scored
112.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)111.2109.8221.0+1.448%
Season at home (17)111.8105.4217.2+6.471%
Season away (14)110.4115.1225.6-4.721%
Last 10 (10)113.3112.1225.4+1.250%
Last 5 (5)109.2109.0218.2+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)106.8107.0213.8-0.233%
vs Similar ◀ (20)111.8110.0221.8+1.855%
vs Weaker (4)116.0113.5229.5+2.550%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -0.2-0.2Q4: -2.0-2.0
Minnesota TimberwolvesDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
44-48
44
48
-4
H01/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H04/12
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
63-61
63
61
+2
H08/12
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
61-46
61
46
+15
A10/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
66-65
66
65
+1
A11/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
L
59-70
59
70
-11
A13/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#14
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A15/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
63-50
63
50
+13
A17/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H19/12
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#21
W
57-44
57
44
+13
H20/12
NBA
113.4Avg total
58.4Scored
55.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.057.4115.4+0.653%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.459.9117.3-2.540%-
Last 30 away (15)58.654.9113.5+3.767%-
Last 10 (10)58.455.0113.4+3.470%-
Last 5 (5)58.653.4112.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)67.050.0117.0+17.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)57.158.1115.2-1.050%-
vs Weaker (5)60.455.6116.0+4.860%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#8
L
52-59
52
59
-7
A03/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
67-41
67
41
+26
H06/12
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#2
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A07/12
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#1
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H10/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
53-82
53
82
-29
A11/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#20
W
66-52
66
52
+14
H13/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
41-60
41
60
-19
H15/12
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#26
W
72-63
72
63
+9
H17/12
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A18/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#17
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A20/12
NBA
112.7Avg total
55.6Scored
57.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.855.7112.5+1.157%-
Last 30 at home (17)57.651.6109.2+6.071%-
Last 30 away (13)55.861.1116.8-5.338%-
Last 10 (10)55.657.1112.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)54.455.8110.2-1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)55.357.5112.8-2.267%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)56.554.4110.9+2.155%-
vs Weaker (4)60.559.5120.0+1.050%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 117.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.532.3
57.2%
54.5%64.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.811.5
38.6%
35.8%34.5
🏀 Free throws24.018.1
75.4%
78.1%18.1
They take 86.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 113.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀46%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers51.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.521.3
53.9%
54.5%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.117.2
38.1%
35.8%51.6
🏀 Free throws24.819.1
77.0%
78.1%19.1
They take 84.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 45.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2022 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minnesota Timberwolves
WWWLLLWWLW
Dallas Mavericks
LLWLWLLWWW
#17
League position
#21
+1.4
Net rating
+1.2
112.7
Offensive rating
114.2
111.3
Defensive rating
113.0
57.4%
Effective FG%
55.7%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
54.8%
14.5%
Turnover %
12.1%
19.6%
Off. rebound %
19.7%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.6%
3-point %
38.1%
56.6%
Assist %
59.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence112.7 · 114.2Defence111.3 · 113.0Shooting57.4% · 55.7%3-point %38.6% · 38.1%Ball care14.5% · 12.1%Off. rebounds19.6% · 19.7%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Minnesota Timberwolves   ■ Dallas Mavericks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/22HDallas Mavericks116-106
19/12/22HChicago Bulls150-126
17/12/22AOklahoma City Thunder112-110
15/12/22ALos Angeles Clippers88-99
13/12/22APortland Trail Blazers112-133
11/12/22APortland Trail Blazers118-124
10/12/22AUtah Jazz118-108
08/12/22HIndiana Pacers121-115
04/12/22HOklahoma City Thunder128-135
01/12/22HMemphis Grizzlies109-101
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/22AMinnesota Timberwolves106-116
18/12/22ACleveland Cavaliers99-100 OT
17/12/22HPortland Trail Blazers130-110
15/12/22HCleveland Cavaliers90-105
13/12/22HOklahoma City Thunder121-114
11/12/22AChicago Bulls115-144
10/12/22HMilwaukee Bucks105-106
07/12/22ADenver Nuggets116-115
06/12/22HPhoenix Suns130-111
03/12/22ANew York Knicks121-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW52%
HomeWLWWW56%
AwayWLLLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %52%56%47%
Points / game115.5118.1112.6
Allowed / game115.9117.6114.1
Point differential-0.4+0.6-1.5
Avg total231.3235.7226.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%25%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL48%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayWWLLL21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %48%71%21%
Points / game111.2111.8110.4
Allowed / game109.8105.4115.1
Point differential+1.4+6.4-4.7
Avg total221.0217.2225.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%24%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (14)75% (8)33% (6)
Overtime %13%6%21%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks3122971%112.9108.9+3.9
2 Boston Celtics32221069%118.0112.3+5.7
3 Cleveland Cavaliers33221167%111.0104.5+6.5
4 Memphis Grizzlies30191163%115.4111.2+4.1
5 Denver Nuggets30191163%115.4114.0+1.5
6 Brooklyn Nets32201262%114.0111.5+2.5
7 New Orleans Pelicans30181260%117.3112.5+4.8
8 Philadelphia 76ers30181260%111.2107.4+3.9
9 Phoenix Suns32191359%115.7110.7+5.0
10 New York Knicks32181456%114.4111.7+2.8
11 Los Angeles Clippers32181456%107.0107.6-0.6
12 Sacramento Kings29161355%117.8115.8+2.0
13 Portland Trail Blazers31171455%112.6112.1+0.5
14 Utah Jazz34181653%116.9116.0+0.9
15 Minnesota Timberwolves31161552%115.5115.9-0.4
16 Indiana Pacers32161650%114.7115.5-0.8
17 Atlanta Hawks32161650%114.1115.2-1.1
18 Miami Heat32161650%108.0109.1-1.1
19 Dallas Mavericks31151648%111.2109.8+1.4
20 Golden State Warriors33151845%116.5117.9-1.4
21 Toronto Raptors32141844%111.2110.9+0.2
22 Los Angeles Lakers30131743%115.1116.7-1.6
23 Chicago Bulls31131842%113.1114.5-1.4
24 Oklahoma City Thunder31131842%115.5117.1-1.5
25 Washington Wizards32122038%110.7113.6-2.8
26 Orlando Magic32112134%109.4113.2-3.8
27 San Antonio Spurs30102033%110.3119.5-9.2
28 Houston Rockets3092130%109.5115.4-5.8
29 Charlotte Hornets3182326%110.8117.5-6.7
30 Detroit Pistons3482624%110.8118.0-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minnesota Timberwolves3121222599
Dallas Mavericks29222429104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.