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Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 10 Jun 2011
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 112-103
30-31 30-26 24-22 28-24
Position#3
Record71-30
FormWLWLW
Points / game99.7
Allowed / game95.2
vs
Position#4
Record72-29
FormWWLWL
Points / game100.2
Allowed / game93.4
USANBANBA - Final
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat
29 Dec 2026
DAL v MIA
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
DAL118
MIA108
13 Feb 2025
DAL118
MIA113
07 Mar 2024
DAL114
MIA108
20 Jan 2023
DAL115
MIA90
02 Nov 2021
DAL110
MIA125
01 Jan 2021
DAL93
MIA83
14 Dec 2019
DAL118
MIA122
13 Feb 2019
DAL101
MIA112
29 Jan 2018
DAL88
MIA95
27 Feb 2017
DAL96
MIA89
03 Feb 2016
DAL90
MIA93
09 Nov 2014
DAL96
MIA105
18 Feb 2014
DAL106
MIA117
20 Dec 2012
DAL95
MIA110
25 Dec 2011
DAL94
MIA105
09 Jun 2011
DAL112
MIA103
07 Jun 2011
DAL86
MIA83
05 Jun 2011
DAL86
MIA88
27 Nov 2010
DAL106
MIA95
20 Feb 2010
DAL97
MIA91
01 Apr 2009
DAL98
MIA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
122-86
122
86
+36
H08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
121-112
121
112
+9
H18/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
100-106
100
106
-6
H20/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A22/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
112-105 OT
112
105
+7
A24/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
100-96
100
96
+4
H26/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
84-92
84
92
-8
A01/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
95-93
95
93
+2
A03/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
86-88
86
88
-2
H06/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
86-83
86
83
+3
H08/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-23
36-16
23-23
36-24
20-27
35-21
35-31
31-33
31-26
26-33
19-18
24-29
27-12
25-24
18-20
23-31
22-31
32-28
23-22
24-20
26-27
26-28
20-21
28-20
17-16
27-27
17-22
23-27
28-28
23-23
20-24
24-18
22-29
20-18
22-20
22-21
21-21
24-26
20-22
21-14
194.7Avg total
99.9Scored
94.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (101)99.795.2194.9+4.470%
Season at home (51)101.194.5195.6+6.673%
Season away (50)98.295.9194.1+2.268%
Last 10 (10)99.994.8194.7+5.170%
Last 5 (5)90.290.4180.6-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (23)96.493.6190.0+2.865%
vs Weaker (7)103.790.6194.3+13.186%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
W
97-87
97
87
+10
H11/05
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
82-103
82
103
-21
A16/05
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
85-75
85
75
+10
A19/05
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
96-85
96
85
+11
H23/05
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
101-93 OT
101
93
+8
H25/05
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
83-80
83
80
+3
A27/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
W
92-84
92
84
+8
H01/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
L
93-95
93
95
-2
H03/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
W
88-86
88
86
+2
A06/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A08/06
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
31-25
24-24
26-14
23-20
25-28
15-24
19-31
19-26
29-20
23-19
14-10
18-15
25-25
25-25
28-20
16-19
28-27
19-22
22-17
21-25
17-20
19-17
26-18
16-17
27-27
22-17
27-23
28-28
23-23
24-20
18-24
29-22
18-20
20-22
21-22
21-21
26-24
22-20
14-21
177.4Avg total
90.0Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (101)100.293.4193.6+6.871%
Season at home (51)101.992.8194.7+9.176%
Season away (50)98.594.0192.4+4.566%
Last 10 (10)90.087.4177.4+2.670%
Last 5 (5)87.886.2174.0+1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)92.087.9179.9+4.173%
vs Weaker (15)102.093.9195.9+8.180%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: +1.5+1.5
Dallas MavericksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#6
W
63-39
63
39
+24
H08/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
55-48
55
48
+7
H18/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
57-59
57
59
-2
H20/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
W
52-36
52
36
+16
A22/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
54-59
54
59
-5
A24/05
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#7
L
52-55
52
55
-3
H26/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A01/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
D
51-51
51
51
+0
A03/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H06/06
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H08/06
NBA
99.9Avg total
51.5Scored
48.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.248.797.9+0.640%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.148.9100.0+2.136%-
Last 30 away (16)47.648.496.1-0.844%-
Last 10 (10)51.548.499.9+3.140%-
Last 5 (5)46.848.695.4-1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (23)48.848.597.3+0.339%-
vs Weaker (7)50.749.199.9+1.643%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boston Celtics
#5
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H11/05
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A16/05
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A19/05
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H23/05
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H25/05
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#1
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A27/05
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H01/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H03/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A06/06
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#3
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A08/06
NBA
91.2Avg total
45.6Scored
45.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.546.596.0+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.245.194.3+4.167%-
Last 30 away (15)49.847.997.7+1.953%-
Last 10 (10)45.645.691.2+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)45.245.490.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (15)46.544.791.2+1.753%-
vs Weaker (15)52.548.3100.9+4.267%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Dallas Mavericks wins
2
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/06/11HMiami Heat86-83
06/06/11HMiami Heat86-88
03/06/11AMiami Heat95-93
01/06/11AMiami Heat84-92
26/05/11HOklahoma City Thunder100-96
24/05/11AOklahoma City Thunder112-105 OT
22/05/11AOklahoma City Thunder93-87
20/05/11HOklahoma City Thunder100-106
18/05/11HOklahoma City Thunder121-112
08/05/11HLos Angeles Lakers122-86
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/06/11ADallas Mavericks83-86
06/06/11ADallas Mavericks88-86
03/06/11HDallas Mavericks93-95
01/06/11HDallas Mavericks92-84
27/05/11AChicago Bulls83-80
25/05/11HChicago Bulls101-93 OT
23/05/11HChicago Bulls96-85
19/05/11AChicago Bulls85-75
16/05/11AChicago Bulls82-103
11/05/11HBoston Celtics97-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW70%
HomeWLWLW73%
AwayWWWLW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1015150
Win %70%73%68%
Points / game99.7101.198.2
Allowed / game95.294.595.9
Point differential+4.4+6.6+2.2
Avg total194.9195.6194.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%35%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (35)59% (17)61% (18)
Overtime %2%0%4%
Miami Heat
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL71%
HomeWWWWL76%
AwayLWWWL66%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1015150
Win %71%76%66%
Points / game100.2101.998.5
Allowed / game93.492.894.0
Point differential+6.8+9.1+4.5
Avg total193.6194.7192.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%41%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won32% (25)25% (12)38% (13)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls98712772%97.690.8+6.8
2 San Antonio Spurs88632572%103.097.9+5.1
3 Miami Heat101722971%100.293.4+6.8
4 Dallas Mavericks101713070%99.795.2+4.4
5 Boston Celtics91613067%96.391.4+5.0
6 Los Angeles Lakers92613166%100.695.3+5.3
7 Oklahoma City Thunder99643565%104.4101.0+3.5
8 Orlando Magic88543461%98.593.3+5.2
9 Denver Nuggets87513659%106.9102.7+4.2
10 Portland Trail Blazers88503857%95.794.7+1.1
11 Memphis Grizzlies95534256%99.897.8+1.9
12 New Orleans Pelicans88484055%94.594.2+0.3
13 Atlanta Hawks94504453%93.995.2-1.3
14 Houston Rockets82433952%105.9103.7+2.2
15 New York Knicks86424449%105.8105.4+0.3
16 Phoenix Suns82404249%105.0105.9-0.9
17 Philadelphia 76ers87424548%98.397.3+1.0
18 Utah Jazz82394348%99.4101.3-1.8
19 Golden State Warriors82364644%103.4105.7-2.3
20 Indiana Pacers87384944%99.2100.7-1.4
21 Milwaukee Bucks82354743%91.992.7-0.8
22 Charlotte Hornets82344841%93.397.3-4.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers82325039%98.6101.8-3.1
24 Detroit Pistons82305237%97.0100.6-3.6
25 Sacramento Kings82245829%99.4104.7-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets82245829%94.2100.4-6.2
27 Washington Wizards82235928%97.3104.7-7.4
28 Toronto Raptors82226027%99.1105.4-6.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers82196323%95.5104.5-9.0
30 Minnesota Timberwolves82176521%101.1107.7-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks30302428112
Miami Heat31262224103
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