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Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Feb 2009
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 96-111
15-24 34-33 21-28 26-26
Position#14
Record25-20
FormLWWWL
Points / game96.6
Allowed / game96.1
vs
Position#9
Record26-19
FormWLWLW
Points / game100.2
Allowed / game99.2
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks
26 Oct 2026
MIA109
DAL113
24 Nov 2025
MIA106
DAL102
24 Nov 2024
MIA123
DAL118
10 Apr 2024
MIA92
DAL111
01 Apr 2023
MIA129
DAL122
15 Feb 2022
MIA99
DAL107
04 May 2021
MIA113
DAL127
28 Feb 2020
MIA126
DAL118
28 Mar 2019
MIA105
DAL99
22 Dec 2017
MIA113
DAL101
19 Jan 2017
MIA99
DAL95
01 Jan 2016
MIA106
DAL82
30 Jan 2015
MIA72
DAL93
15 Nov 2013
MIA110
DAL104
02 Jan 2013
MIA119
DAL109
29 Mar 2012
MIA106
DAL85
12 Jun 2011
MIA95
DAL105
02 Jun 2011
MIA93
DAL95
31 May 2011
MIA92
DAL84
20 Dec 2010
MIA96
DAL98
11 Dec 2009
MIA93
DAL106
31 Jan 2009
MIA96
DAL111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
105-108
105
108
-3
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
99-96
99
96
+3
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
W
102-99
102
99
+3
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
86-93
86
93
-7
A18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
104-94
104
94
+10
A19/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
83-98
83
98
-15
H22/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
W
103-97
103
97
+6
H25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H27/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
93-71
93
71
+22
H29/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
103-114
103
114
-11
A31/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
30-24
22-27
32-31
20-21
26-31
27-24
26-20
28-24
27-31
25-18
22-26
21-25
15-20
28-24
22-24
31-27
26-23
27-23
20-21
10-29
24-28
30-21
19-20
32-29
24-23
27-16
20-29
17-14
29-13
18-24
31-28
18-23
23-16
29-17
23-15
26-29
23-37
24-27
30-21
192.2Avg total
97.3Scored
94.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)96.696.1192.6+0.556%
Season at home (22)95.591.0186.5+4.568%
Season away (23)97.5100.9198.4-3.443%
Last 10 (10)97.394.9192.2+2.460%
Last 5 (5)95.491.8187.2+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)92.394.9187.1-2.643%
vs Similar ◀ (14)94.394.4188.7-0.157%
vs Weaker (9)103.199.0202.1+4.178%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
100-128
100
128
-28
A10/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
L
95-102
95
102
-7
A12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
97-99
97
99
-2
A14/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
L
97-104
97
104
-7
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
115-108
115
108
+7
H18/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
W
95-93
95
93
+2
A19/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
L
99-133
99
133
-34
A22/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
112-91
112
91
+21
A24/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
100-124
100
124
-24
A25/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
117-93
117
93
+24
H29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-29
27-35
19-40
23-24
27-29
28-20
23-28
17-25
26-33
21-27
25-18
25-21
30-26
26-25
23-28
18-25
17-23
38-28
28-30
32-27
16-22
26-24
32-17
21-30
30-22
28-42
27-37
14-32
31-25
32-26
27-21
22-19
23-38
24-36
31-29
22-21
31-25
38-22
23-23
25-23
210.2Avg total
102.7Scored
107.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)100.299.2199.5+1.058%
Season at home (21)102.199.2201.3+2.967%
Season away (24)98.699.2197.9-0.650%
Last 10 (10)102.7107.5210.2-4.840%
Last 5 (5)104.6106.8211.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)100.0124.0224.0-24.00%
vs Similar ◀ (15)101.5103.3204.7-1.853%
vs Weaker (14)99.994.2194.1+5.779%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +0.3+0.3Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -2.8-2.8
Miami HeatDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
W
51-50
51
50
+1
A12/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
L
46-52
46
52
-6
A14/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
D
55-55
55
55
+0
A15/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#8
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
57-50
57
50
+7
A19/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
34-57
34
57
-23
H22/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
W
56-52
56
52
+4
H25/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
W
46-27
46
27
+19
H27/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#28
W
41-39
41
39
+2
H29/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
49-66
49
66
-17
A31/01
NBA
96.4Avg total
47.1Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.948.896.7-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.544.889.3-0.350%-
Last 30 away (16)50.952.3103.2-1.438%-
Last 10 (10)47.149.396.4-2.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.248.293.4-3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)46.146.993.0-0.743%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)46.048.194.1-2.136%-
vs Weaker (9)52.251.3103.6+0.956%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#12
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A10/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#30
W
55-49
55
49
+6
A12/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
47-60
47
60
-13
A14/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#10
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H15/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#11
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H18/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A19/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#20
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A22/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
63-51
63
51
+12
A24/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
47-74
47
74
-27
A25/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
69-47
69
47
+22
H29/01
NBA
110.7Avg total
55.0Scored
55.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.351.7102.0-1.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)50.950.3101.2+0.540%-
Last 30 away (15)49.753.0102.7-3.333%-
Last 10 (10)55.055.7110.7-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)55.856.4112.2-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)47.074.0121.0-27.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)51.252.3103.5-1.133%-
vs Weaker (14)49.649.498.9+0.243%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Miami Heat wins
0
Dallas Mavericks wins
No previous meetings.
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/09AIndiana Pacers103-114
29/01/09HWashington Wizards93-71
27/01/09HAtlanta Hawks95-79
25/01/09HOrlando Magic103-97
22/01/09HBoston Celtics83-98
19/01/09AOklahoma City Thunder104-94
18/01/09AHouston Rockets86-93
15/01/09AMilwaukee Bucks102-99
14/01/09AMinnesota Timberwolves99-96
12/01/09ALos Angeles Lakers105-108
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/09HGolden State Warriors117-93
25/01/09ABoston Celtics100-124
24/01/09ADetroit Pistons112-91
22/01/09AMilwaukee Bucks99-133
19/01/09APhiladelphia 76ers95-93
18/01/09HUtah Jazz115-108
15/01/09HNew Orleans Pelicans97-104
14/01/09ADenver Nuggets97-99
12/01/09ASacramento Kings95-102
10/01/09APhoenix Suns100-128

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL56%
HomeLLWWW68%
AwayWWLWL43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %56%68%43%
Points / game96.695.597.5
Allowed / game96.191.0100.9
Point differential+0.5+4.5-3.4
Avg total192.6186.5198.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%27%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)100% (4)67% (9)
Overtime %7%5%9%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW58%
HomeWWLWW67%
AwayLWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452124
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game100.2102.198.6
Allowed / game99.299.299.2
Point differential+1.0+2.9-0.6
Avg total199.5201.3197.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%24%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (11)88% (8)33% (3)
Overtime %4%5%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Boston Celtics4839981%101.291.2+10.0
2 Cleveland Cavaliers4536980%101.290.9+10.3
3 Los Angeles Lakers4536980%108.299.6+8.6
4 Orlando Magic45351078%102.394.1+8.2
5 San Antonio Spurs45311469%97.294.1+3.1
6 Denver Nuggets47311666%104.1100.3+3.8
7 New Orleans Pelicans43281565%96.192.6+3.5
8 Portland Trail Blazers45281762%98.294.4+3.7
9 Houston Rockets47281960%97.795.1+2.6
10 Atlanta Hawks46271959%98.596.7+1.8
11 Dallas Mavericks45261958%100.299.2+1.0
12 Phoenix Suns44251957%103.8103.0+0.8
13 Miami Heat45252056%96.696.1+0.5
14 Detroit Pistons45252056%93.293.2+0.0
15 Utah Jazz47262155%101.999.4+2.5
16 Philadelphia 76ers46232350%96.495.8+0.6
17 Milwaukee Bucks50232746%98.198.0+0.1
18 New York Knicks46212546%104.1106.1-2.0
19 Brooklyn Nets48212744%97.9101.0-3.2
20 Chicago Bulls47202743%99.4101.8-2.4
21 Charlotte Hornets47192840%92.094.0-2.0
22 Toronto Raptors48192940%97.799.7-2.1
23 Indiana Pacers48192940%104.7107.0-2.2
24 Minnesota Timberwolves45162936%98.7102.1-3.4
25 Golden State Warriors47153232%106.7111.2-4.6
26 Memphis Grizzlies45113424%92.899.7-6.9
27 Oklahoma City Thunder47113623%96.3102.6-6.3
28 Los Angeles Clippers46103622%92.9100.9-8.0
29 Sacramento Kings48103821%98.9108.2-9.3
30 Washington Wizards4693720%93.8101.3-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat1534212696
Dallas Mavericks24332826111
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