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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 May 2011
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 97-87
16-24 31-25 24-24 26-14
Position#4
Record65-26
FormWWWLW
Points / game101.3
Allowed / game94.0
vs
Position#5
Record61-29
FormWLLWL
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game91.3
USANBANBA - Quarter-finals
NBA2010-11
Meetings · Miami Heat v Boston Celtics
27 Mar 2027
MIA v BOS
upcoming
01 Apr 2026
MIA129
BOS147
15 Jan 2026
MIA114
BOS119
14 Mar 2025
MIA91
BOS103
10 Feb 2025
MIA85
BOS103
29 Apr 2024
MIA88
BOS102
27 Apr 2024
MIA84
BOS104
11 Feb 2024
MIA106
BOS110
25 Jan 2024
MIA110
BOS143
27 May 2023
MIA103
BOS104
23 May 2023
MIA99
BOS116
21 May 2023
MIA128
BOS102
24 Jan 2023
MIA98
BOS95
21 Oct 2022
MIA104
BOS111
29 May 2022
MIA96
BOS100
25 May 2022
MIA80
BOS93
19 May 2022
MIA102
BOS127
17 May 2022
MIA118
BOS107
04 Nov 2021
MIA78
BOS95
06 Jan 2021
MIA105
BOS107
27 Sep 2020
MIA125
BOS113
23 Sep 2020
MIA112
BOS109
19 Sep 2020
MIA106
BOS117
04 Aug 2020
MIA112
BOS106
11 Apr 2020
MIA v BOS
upcoming
28 Jan 2020
MIA101
BOS109
03 Apr 2019
MIA102
BOS112
10 Jan 2019
MIA115
BOS99
22 Nov 2017
MIA104
BOS98
28 Oct 2017
MIA90
BOS96
18 Dec 2016
MIA95
BOS105
28 Nov 2016
MIA104
BOS112
30 Nov 2015
MIA95
BOS105
09 Mar 2015
MIA90
BOS100
21 Dec 2014
MIA100
BOS84
21 Jan 2014
MIA93
BOS86
09 Nov 2013
MIA110
BOS111
12 Apr 2013
MIA109
BOS101
30 Oct 2012
MIA120
BOS107
09 Jun 2012
MIA101
BOS88
05 Jun 2012
MIA90
BOS94
30 May 2012
MIA115
BOS111
28 May 2012
MIA93
BOS79
10 Apr 2012
MIA107
BOS115
27 Dec 2011
MIA115
BOS107
11 May 2011
MIA97
BOS87
03 May 2011
MIA102
BOS91
01 May 2011
MIA99
BOS90
10 Apr 2011
MIA100
BOS77
11 Nov 2010
MIA107
BOS112
25 Apr 2010
MIA101
BOS92
23 Apr 2010
MIA98
BOS100
06 Jan 2010
MIA106
BOS112
29 Nov 2009
MIA85
BOS92
11 Mar 2009
MIA107
BOS99
21 Jan 2009
MIA83
BOS98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#28
W
97-79
97
79
+18
A14/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H16/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
94-73
94
73
+21
H18/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
100-94
100
94
+6
A22/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
L
82-86
82
86
-4
A24/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
97-91
97
91
+6
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
99-90
99
90
+9
H01/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
102-91
102
91
+11
H03/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
81-97
81
97
-16
A08/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
98-90 OT
98
90
+8
A09/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-20
21-31
20-18
27-10
19-31
35-18
26-20
17-20
19-13
30-18
26-21
19-21
21-29
29-23
23-23
27-19
16-28
31-18
19-18
16-22
27-23
18-19
27-25
25-24
20-14
31-22
25-26
23-28
27-26
20-16
25-25
30-24
21-27
25-17
15-28
20-25
28-31
22-22
19-20
17-13
182.7Avg total
94.7Scored
88.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (91)101.394.0195.4+7.371%
Season at home (46)102.593.2195.8+9.376%
Season away (45)100.094.9194.9+5.267%
Last 10 (10)94.788.0182.7+6.780%
Last 5 (5)95.491.8187.2+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)95.792.6188.4+3.164%
vs Weaker (19)102.693.5196.2+9.179%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#27
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
A11/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
112-102
112
102
+10
H14/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
87-85
87
85
+2
H17/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
96-93
96
93
+3
H19/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
113-96
113
96
+17
A22/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
101-89
101
89
+12
A24/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
90-99
90
99
-9
A01/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
91-102
91
102
-11
A03/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
97-81
97
81
+16
H08/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
90-98 OT
90
98
-8
H09/05
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
21-18
16-23
24-24
27-28
34-29
25-27
26-18
24-23
15-28
20-13
28-21
23-21
21-24
30-22
22-26
27-20
25-24
34-19
27-33
29-23
26-15
27-34
19-17
14-20
22-31
26-25
28-23
26-27
16-20
25-25
24-30
27-21
17-25
28-15
25-20
31-28
22-22
20-19
13-17
191.1Avg total
97.1Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (90)96.491.3187.7+5.168%
Season at home (45)98.991.2190.0+7.780%
Season away (45)94.091.4185.4+2.556%
Last 10 (10)97.194.0191.1+3.160%
Last 5 (5)93.893.8187.6+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)89.393.5182.7-4.227%
vs Weaker (19)94.388.6182.9+5.768%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +2.1+2.1Q2Q2: +5.8+5.8Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +1.5+1.5Q4: +0.7+0.7
Miami HeatBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#28
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A14/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
54-49
54
49
+5
H16/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H18/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A22/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A24/04
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#17
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H27/04
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H01/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H03/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A08/05
NBA
Boston Celtics
#5
L
50-53
50
53
-3
A09/05
NBA
93.5Avg total
48.9Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.447.198.5+4.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)51.245.196.2+6.182%-
Last 30 away (13)51.749.8101.5+1.946%-
Last 10 (10)48.944.693.5+4.370%-
Last 5 (5)47.843.491.2+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)49.545.695.2+3.973%-
vs Weaker (19)52.547.9100.4+4.563%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#27
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A11/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H14/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
39-51
39
51
-12
H17/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H19/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A22/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#15
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A24/04
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
36-51
36
51
-15
A01/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A03/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H08/05
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H09/05
NBA
93.6Avg total
47.0Scored
46.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.746.792.3-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (13)47.546.694.2+0.969%-
Last 30 away (17)44.246.790.9-2.535%-
Last 10 (10)47.046.693.6+0.450%-
Last 5 (5)46.046.492.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (11)44.649.494.0-4.727%-
vs Weaker (19)46.345.191.4+1.263%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Miami Heat wins
5
Boston Celtics wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/11ABoston Celtics98-90 OT
08/05/11ABoston Celtics81-97
03/05/11HBoston Celtics102-91
01/05/11HBoston Celtics99-90
27/04/11HPhiladelphia 76ers97-91
24/04/11APhiladelphia 76ers82-86
22/04/11APhiladelphia 76ers100-94
18/04/11HPhiladelphia 76ers94-73
16/04/11HPhiladelphia 76ers97-89
14/04/11AToronto Raptors97-79
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/05/11HMiami Heat90-98 OT
08/05/11HMiami Heat97-81
03/05/11AMiami Heat91-102
01/05/11AMiami Heat90-99
24/04/11ANew York Knicks101-89
22/04/11ANew York Knicks113-96
19/04/11HNew York Knicks96-93
17/04/11HNew York Knicks87-85
14/04/11HNew York Knicks112-102
11/04/11AWashington Wizards94-95 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW71%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayWWLLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games914645
Win %71%76%67%
Points / game101.3102.5100.0
Allowed / game94.093.294.9
Point differential+7.3+9.3+5.2
Avg total195.4195.8194.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+41%41%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (21)27% (11)30% (10)
Overtime %5%4%7%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2010-11
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL68%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games904545
Win %68%80%56%
Points / game96.498.994.0
Allowed / game91.391.291.4
Point differential+5.1+7.7+2.5
Avg total187.7190.0185.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%42%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (34)70% (20)50% (14)
Overtime %6%7%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls92692375%98.291.1+7.2
2 San Antonio Spurs88632572%103.097.9+5.1
3 Miami Heat91652671%101.394.0+7.3
4 Dallas Mavericks92652771%99.995.2+4.7
5 Boston Celtics90612968%96.491.3+5.1
6 Oklahoma City Thunder91613067%104.9101.2+3.7
7 Los Angeles Lakers92613166%100.695.3+5.3
8 Orlando Magic88543461%98.593.3+5.2
9 Denver Nuggets87513659%106.9102.7+4.2
10 Portland Trail Blazers88503857%95.794.7+1.1
11 Memphis Grizzlies92524057%100.297.9+2.3
12 New Orleans Pelicans88484055%94.594.2+0.3
13 Atlanta Hawks93504354%94.195.2-1.1
14 Houston Rockets82433952%105.9103.7+2.2
15 New York Knicks86424449%105.8105.4+0.3
16 Phoenix Suns82404249%105.0105.9-0.9
17 Philadelphia 76ers87424548%98.397.3+1.0
18 Utah Jazz82394348%99.4101.3-1.8
19 Golden State Warriors82364644%103.4105.7-2.3
20 Indiana Pacers87384944%99.2100.7-1.4
21 Milwaukee Bucks82354743%91.992.7-0.8
22 Charlotte Hornets82344841%93.397.3-4.0
23 Los Angeles Clippers82325039%98.6101.8-3.1
24 Detroit Pistons82305237%97.0100.6-3.6
25 Sacramento Kings82245829%99.4104.7-5.3
26 Brooklyn Nets82245829%94.2100.4-6.2
27 Washington Wizards82235928%97.3104.7-7.4
28 Toronto Raptors82226027%99.1105.4-6.3
29 Cleveland Cavaliers82196323%95.5104.5-9.0
30 Minnesota Timberwolves82176521%101.1107.7-6.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat1631242697
Boston Celtics2425241487
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