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Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Apr 2009
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 98-96
26-27 20-20 25-26 27-23
Position#10
Record47-34
FormWWLLW
Points / game101.2
Allowed / game99.8
vs
Position#14
Record41-39
FormWLLWL
Points / game97.8
Allowed / game98.0
USANBA
NBA2008-09
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat
29 Dec 2026
DAL v MIA
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
DAL118
MIA108
13 Feb 2025
DAL118
MIA113
17 Jul 2024
DAL79
MIA92
07 Mar 2024
DAL114
MIA108
20 Jan 2023
DAL115
MIA90
02 Nov 2021
DAL110
MIA125
01 Jan 2021
DAL93
MIA83
14 Dec 2019
DAL118
MIA122
13 Feb 2019
DAL101
MIA112
29 Jan 2018
DAL88
MIA95
11 Jul 2017
DAL78
MIA73
27 Feb 2017
DAL96
MIA89
03 Feb 2016
DAL90
MIA93
09 Nov 2014
DAL96
MIA105
18 Feb 2014
DAL106
MIA117
20 Dec 2012
DAL95
MIA110
25 Dec 2011
DAL94
MIA105
09 Jun 2011
DAL112
MIA103
07 Jun 2011
DAL86
MIA83
05 Jun 2011
DAL86
MIA88
27 Nov 2010
DAL106
MIA95
20 Feb 2010
DAL97
MIA91
01 Apr 2009
DAL98
MIA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
93-89
93
89
+4
A12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
L
110-119
110
119
-9
A14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
100-107
100
107
-7
A15/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
103-101
103
101
+2
H18/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A19/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
94-92
94
92
+2
A20/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
128-106
128
106
+22
H26/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
101-103
101
103
-2
H28/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
L
74-102
74
102
-28
A29/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
108-88
108
88
+20
A01/04
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
30-19
20-23
19-22
31-29
23-31
24-29
32-30
28-37
26-29
26-21
20-20
29-21
25-24
26-21
23-35
29-23
16-33
27-20
15-19
25-23
26-23
26-30
17-16
37-26
26-30
32-27
33-23
26-25
26-32
24-29
25-17
30-20
19-27
11-30
14-25
36-21
25-26
24-22
23-19
200.0Avg total
99.8Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (81)101.299.8201.1+1.458%
Season at home (38)105.7101.0206.7+4.771%
Season away (43)97.398.8196.1-1.547%
Last 10 (10)99.8100.2200.0-0.450%
Last 5 (5)101.098.2199.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)92.8100.8193.5-8.025%
vs Similar ◀ (15)99.3100.6199.9-1.360%
vs Weaker (11)112.3100.4212.6+11.982%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#12
W
140-129 OT
140
129
+11
H14/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
77-85
77
85
-8
A15/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#19
L
88-96
88
96
-8
A20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
101-96
101
96
+5
A22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
94-82
94
82
+12
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
L
88-90
88
90
-2
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
87-106
87
106
-19
A27/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
102-85
102
85
+17
H28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
95-101
95
101
-6
H30/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-29
32-26
32-25
24-27
22-29
21-17
25-15
9-24
21-34
33-15
22-26
24-25
17-21
22-30
24-16
25-29
20-23
23-24
24-26
34-23
30-16
26-24
24-22
14-20
24-27
25-21
19-19
20-23
25-26
24-21
14-32
24-27
28-23
30-20
19-20
25-22
21-26
22-20
26-24
26-31
196.2Avg total
98.0Scored
98.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (80)97.898.0195.8-0.251%
Season at home (41)100.396.4196.7+4.066%
Season away (39)95.199.7194.7-4.636%
Last 10 (10)98.098.2196.2-0.240%
Last 5 (5)93.292.8186.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)97.1105.6202.7-8.414%
vs Similar ◀ (20)101.2101.5202.7-0.355%
vs Weaker (3)105.796.0201.7+9.767%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: -2.6-2.6
Dallas MavericksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
W
54-44
54
44
+10
A12/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A14/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#2
L
54-66
54
66
-12
A15/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H18/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#13
L
45-56
45
56
-11
A19/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
51-46
51
46
+5
A20/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#24
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H26/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#5
L
52-57
52
57
-5
H28/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A29/03
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#25
W
61-47
61
47
+14
A01/04
NBA
106.1Avg total
53.7Scored
52.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.250.5104.7+3.757%-
Last 30 at home (15)57.249.8107.0+7.467%-
Last 30 away (15)51.251.2102.4+0.047%-
Last 10 (10)53.752.4106.1+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)55.250.6105.8+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.050.0102.0+2.075%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)52.349.9102.1+2.447%-
vs Weaker (11)57.651.5109.2+6.164%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#12
L
51-55
51
55
-4
H14/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#16
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A15/03
NBA
Boston Celtics
#3
W
54-49
54
49
+5
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#19
L
39-51
39
51
-12
A20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A22/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#26
W
56-40
56
40
+16
H23/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
49-48
49
48
+1
A25/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A27/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#21
W
58-43
58
43
+15
H28/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H30/03
NBA
95.7Avg total
48.5Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.549.898.4-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.550.8102.3+0.750%-
Last 30 away (14)45.148.793.9-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)48.547.295.7+1.350%-
Last 5 (5)51.044.895.8+6.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)46.354.0100.3-7.714%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)48.549.297.7-0.845%-
vs Weaker (3)54.344.398.7+10.0100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Dallas Mavericks wins
0
Miami Heat wins
DateGameScore
01/02/09Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks96-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/04/09AMinnesota Timberwolves108-88
29/03/09ACleveland Cavaliers74-102
28/03/09HDenver Nuggets101-103
26/03/09HGolden State Warriors128-106
20/03/09AIndiana Pacers94-92
19/03/09AAtlanta Hawks87-95
18/03/09HDetroit Pistons103-101
15/03/09ALos Angeles Lakers100-107
14/03/09AGolden State Warriors110-119
12/03/09APortland Trail Blazers93-89
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/09HOrlando Magic95-101
28/03/09HMilwaukee Bucks102-85
27/03/09AChicago Bulls87-106
25/03/09AIndiana Pacers88-90
23/03/09HMemphis Grizzlies94-82
22/03/09ADetroit Pistons101-96
20/03/09ABrooklyn Nets88-96
18/03/09ABoston Celtics108-112 OT
15/03/09APhiladelphia 76ers77-85
14/03/09HUtah Jazz140-129 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW58%
HomeWWWWL71%
AwayLLWLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games813843
Win %58%71%47%
Points / game101.2105.797.3
Allowed / game99.8101.098.8
Point differential+1.4+4.7-1.5
Avg total201.1206.7196.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%34%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won73% (22)80% (15)57% (7)
Overtime %5%8%2%
Miami Heat
NBA 2008-09
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL51%
HomeWWWWL66%
AwayLLWLL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games804139
Win %51%66%36%
Points / game97.8100.395.1
Allowed / game98.096.499.7
Point differential-0.2+4.0-4.6
Avg total195.8196.7194.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%29%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (24)88% (8)56% (16)
Overtime %9%10%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Cleveland Cavaliers80641680%99.390.6+8.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers79621778%106.399.3+7.0
3 Orlando Magic78591976%102.094.7+7.3
4 Boston Celtics82622076%100.692.7+7.8
5 Denver Nuggets82552767%103.9100.3+3.6
6 Houston Rockets79522766%98.394.3+4.0
7 New Orleans Pelicans78512765%96.193.1+3.0
8 Portland Trail Blazers80503062%99.094.9+4.1
9 San Antonio Spurs80503062%96.492.8+3.6
10 Utah Jazz80493161%103.199.7+3.4
11 Dallas Mavericks81473458%101.299.8+1.4
12 Atlanta Hawks82473557%97.796.3+1.4
13 Phoenix Suns81443754%107.6105.8+1.9
14 Philadelphia 76ers78403851%97.496.7+0.7
15 Miami Heat80413951%97.898.0-0.2
16 Detroit Pistons80404050%93.693.8-0.2
17 Chicago Bulls83404348%101.7102.3-0.6
18 Indiana Pacers82364644%103.9105.0-1.1
19 Charlotte Hornets82344841%93.594.8-1.3
20 Brooklyn Nets82344841%98.5101.4-2.9
21 Milwaukee Bucks82334940%98.6100.5-1.9
22 New York Knicks80324840%105.6108.0-2.4
23 Toronto Raptors78304838%98.0100.9-2.9
24 Golden State Warriors77275035%108.4112.0-3.6
25 Minnesota Timberwolves81255631%97.7102.3-4.7
26 Oklahoma City Thunder75215428%96.9102.7-5.7
27 Memphis Grizzlies81225927%93.399.4-6.1
28 Los Angeles Clippers80206025%95.4103.6-8.2
29 Washington Wizards82196323%94.7102.6-7.9
30 Sacramento Kings79166320%100.3108.6-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks2620252798
Miami Heat2720262396
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