PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 21 Feb 2010
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 97-91
21-27 23-25 27-12 26-27
Position#4
Record39-22
FormWLLWW
Points / game101.0
Allowed / game99.0
vs
Position#14
Record31-30
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.4
Allowed / game94.8
USANBA
NBA2009-10
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat
29 Dec 2026
DAL v MIA
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
DAL118
MIA108
13 Feb 2025
DAL118
MIA113
17 Jul 2024
DAL79
MIA92
07 Mar 2024
DAL114
MIA108
20 Jan 2023
DAL115
MIA90
02 Nov 2021
DAL110
MIA125
01 Jan 2021
DAL93
MIA83
14 Dec 2019
DAL118
MIA122
13 Feb 2019
DAL101
MIA112
29 Jan 2018
DAL88
MIA95
11 Jul 2017
DAL78
MIA73
27 Feb 2017
DAL96
MIA89
03 Feb 2016
DAL90
MIA93
09 Nov 2014
DAL96
MIA105
18 Feb 2014
DAL106
MIA117
20 Dec 2012
DAL95
MIA110
25 Dec 2011
DAL94
MIA105
09 Jun 2011
DAL112
MIA103
07 Jun 2011
DAL86
MIA83
05 Jun 2011
DAL86
MIA88
27 Nov 2010
DAL106
MIA95
20 Feb 2010
DAL97
MIA91
01 Apr 2009
DAL98
MIA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#5
L
106-112
106
112
-6
A29/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
112-114 OT
112
114
-2
H31/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
92-104
92
104
-12
A02/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#25
W
110-101
110
101
+9
H04/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
L
108-117
108
117
-9
H06/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#25
W
127-117
127
117
+10
A09/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
91-127
91
127
-36
A10/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A17/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#5
W
107-97
107
97
+10
H18/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#1
W
95-85
95
85
+10
A20/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-25
25-30
31-29
16-28
21-26
26-18
22-29
34-30
26-24
20-29
30-24
16-27
32-21
30-27
19-27
29-26
29-32
32-25
19-32
28-28
29-34
32-36
29-28
37-19
21-32
18-33
31-38
21-24
26-16
28-40
11-22
21-21
28-23
28-26
26-19
25-29
23-33
19-14
23-22
30-16
210.7Avg total
103.4Scored
107.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)101.099.0200.0+2.064%
Season at home (28)102.299.3201.5+3.068%
Season away (33)99.998.8198.7+1.261%
Last 10 (10)103.4107.3210.7-3.940%
Last 5 (5)101.2105.0206.2-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)95.085.0180.0+10.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (19)99.2103.6202.8-4.442%
vs Weaker (10)103.999.3203.2+4.670%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
84-95
84
95
-11
A31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
81-97
81
97
-16
H02/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#7
L
102-107
102
107
-5
A04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#16
L
91-95
91
95
-4
A07/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
99-66
99
66
+33
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
94-76
94
76
+18
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
105-78
105
78
+27
A17/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
87-84
87
84
+3
A18/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#18
W
100-87 OT
100
87
+13
A20/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-23
17-33
20-15
26-24
17-21
21-33
21-22
22-21
26-27
25-26
23-21
28-33
28-29
24-27
21-25
13-21
27-23
15-26
27-20
22-26
24-16
32-15
24-24
19-11
20-27
23-15
24-22
27-12
23-21
23-14
33-17
26-26
23-22
28-23
19-21
17-18
21-14
25-17
17-26
13-19
181.6Avg total
92.9Scored
88.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (61)96.494.8191.1+1.651%
Season at home (30)96.592.0188.5+4.553%
Season away (31)96.297.4193.6-1.248%
Last 10 (10)92.988.7181.6+4.250%
Last 5 (5)97.078.2175.2+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)92.797.9190.7-5.232%
vs Weaker (11)101.985.5187.4+16.582%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.9-2.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +0.2+0.2
Dallas MavericksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#5
W
59-55
59
55
+4
A29/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H31/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#6
L
46-53
46
53
-7
A02/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#25
W
62-48
62
48
+14
H04/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#29
W
61-57
61
57
+4
H06/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#25
L
61-70
61
70
-9
A09/02
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#8
L
39-65
39
65
-26
A10/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A17/02
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#5
W
56-49
56
49
+7
H18/02
NBA
Orlando Magic
#1
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A20/02
NBA
107.1Avg total
52.7Scored
54.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.852.1100.9-3.337%-
Last 30 at home (13)48.749.898.5-1.146%-
Last 30 away (17)48.853.9102.7-5.129%-
Last 10 (10)52.754.4107.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)50.457.4107.8-7.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)42.047.089.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)47.152.499.5-5.332%-
vs Weaker (10)52.652.0104.6+0.650%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
38-56
38
56
-18
A31/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#13
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H02/02
NBA
Boston Celtics
#7
L
51-53
51
53
-2
A04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#2
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#16
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A07/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
56-31
56
31
+25
H10/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#24
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A17/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A18/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#18
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A20/02
NBA
91.5Avg total
46.3Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.847.797.6+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (9)54.745.299.9+9.467%-
Last 30 away (21)47.848.896.6-1.052%-
Last 10 (10)46.345.291.5+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)48.436.885.2+11.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)48.850.499.2-1.642%-
vs Weaker (11)51.643.294.8+8.582%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Dallas Mavericks wins
0
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/10AOrlando Magic95-85
18/02/10HPhoenix Suns107-97
17/02/10AOklahoma City Thunder86-99
10/02/10ADenver Nuggets91-127
09/02/10AGolden State Warriors127-117
06/02/10HMinnesota Timberwolves108-117
04/02/10HGolden State Warriors110-101
02/02/10AUtah Jazz92-104
31/01/10HPortland Trail Blazers112-114 OT
29/01/10APhoenix Suns106-112
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/10AMemphis Grizzlies100-87 OT
18/02/10ABrooklyn Nets87-84
17/02/10APhiladelphia 76ers105-78
11/02/10AAtlanta Hawks94-76
10/02/10HHouston Rockets99-66
07/02/10AChicago Bulls91-95
05/02/10ACleveland Cavaliers86-102
04/02/10ABoston Celtics102-107
02/02/10HMilwaukee Bucks81-97
31/01/10AMilwaukee Bucks84-95

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW64%
HomeWLWLW68%
AwayLWLLW61%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games612833
Win %64%68%61%
Points / game101.0102.299.9
Allowed / game99.099.398.8
Point differential+2.0+3.0+1.2
Avg total200.0201.5198.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%21%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won74% (19)71% (14)80% (5)
Overtime %10%14%6%
Miami Heat
NBA 2009-10
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW51%
HomeWWLLW53%
AwayLWWWW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games613031
Win %51%53%48%
Points / game96.496.596.2
Allowed / game94.892.097.4
Point differential+1.6+4.5-1.2
Avg total191.1188.5193.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%37%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (14)40% (5)44% (9)
Overtime %3%3%3%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Los Angeles Lakers63471675%102.996.8+6.0
2 Cleveland Cavaliers62451773%101.094.8+6.1
3 Orlando Magic62431969%102.395.3+7.0
4 Boston Celtics60411968%98.592.8+5.7
5 Utah Jazz59392066%102.197.1+4.9
6 Denver Nuggets60392165%107.7102.7+5.0
7 Atlanta Hawks59382164%101.296.9+4.2
8 Dallas Mavericks61392264%101.099.0+2.0
9 San Antonio Spurs58342459%100.996.5+4.3
10 Oklahoma City Thunder59342558%98.496.3+2.1
11 Phoenix Suns63362757%109.2107.4+1.8
12 Toronto Raptors61332854%104.0104.5-0.6
13 Chicago Bulls61332854%96.296.9-0.7
14 Portland Trail Blazers63342954%97.595.7+1.8
15 Houston Rockets59302951%101.1100.8+0.3
16 Miami Heat61313051%96.494.8+1.6
17 New Orleans Pelicans61313051%99.0101.2-2.1
18 Memphis Grizzlies60293148%101.8103.3-1.6
19 Charlotte Hornets59283147%95.294.7+0.4
20 Milwaukee Bucks59283147%97.597.3+0.2
21 Los Angeles Clippers60263443%96.0100.0-4.0
22 Philadelphia 76ers61243739%97.7100.0-2.3
23 New York Knicks59223737%100.7103.6-2.9
24 Washington Wizards60223837%97.8101.8-4.1
25 Detroit Pistons60213935%92.597.6-5.1
26 Sacramento Kings59203934%101.7105.8-4.1
27 Indiana Pacers59203934%99.5104.7-5.2
28 Golden State Warriors60184230%107.6110.1-2.5
29 Minnesota Timberwolves63154824%97.8106.4-8.6
30 Brooklyn Nets6165510%90.3100.4-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks2123272697
Miami Heat2725122791
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.