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Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 30 Jan 2018
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 88-95
26-22 20-29 15-24 27-20
Position#25
Record20-36
FormLWLLL
Points / game102.0
Allowed / game103.3
vs
Position#16
Record31-24
FormLWLLW
Points / game100.4
Allowed / game101.7
USANBA· American Airlines Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat
29 Dec 2026
DAL v MIA
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
DAL118
MIA108
13 Feb 2025
DAL118
MIA113
17 Jul 2024
DAL79
MIA92
07 Mar 2024
DAL114
MIA108
20 Jan 2023
DAL115
MIA90
02 Nov 2021
DAL110
MIA125
01 Jan 2021
DAL93
MIA83
14 Dec 2019
DAL118
MIA122
13 Feb 2019
DAL101
MIA112
29 Jan 2018
DAL88
MIA95
11 Jul 2017
DAL78
MIA73
27 Feb 2017
DAL96
MIA89
03 Feb 2016
DAL90
MIA93
09 Nov 2014
DAL96
MIA105
18 Feb 2014
DAL106
MIA117
20 Dec 2012
DAL95
MIA110
25 Dec 2011
DAL94
MIA105
09 Jun 2011
DAL112
MIA103
07 Jun 2011
DAL86
MIA83
05 Jun 2011
DAL86
MIA88
27 Nov 2010
DAL106
MIA95
20 Feb 2010
DAL97
MIA91
01 Apr 2009
DAL98
MIA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
L
96-100
96
100
-4
H08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
114-99
114
99
+15
H10/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
115-111
115
111
+4
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
101-107 OT
101
107
-6
H13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
102-105
102
105
-3
A17/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
108-117
108
117
-9
A21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
98-75
98
75
+23
H23/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
97-104
97
104
-7
H25/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
93-107
93
107
-14
H27/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
89-91
89
91
-2
A28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-33
27-23
19-19
25-25
25-19
18-29
39-27
32-24
20-28
39-24
24-25
32-34
20-31
32-15
21-24
22-25
27-30
21-31
21-25
33-19
20-33
25-29
34-29
29-26
22-22
31-15
18-17
27-21
28-38
17-13
22-34
30-19
25-17
19-35
24-23
25-32
26-30
16-20
32-16
15-25
202.9Avg total
101.3Scored
101.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)102.0103.3205.3-1.236%
Season at home (30)103.2100.7203.9+2.643%
Season away (26)100.7106.3207.0-5.727%
Last 10 (10)101.3101.6202.9-0.330%
Last 5 (5)97.098.8195.8-1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)101.5105.3206.8-3.833%
vs Similar ◀ (16)105.6101.8207.3+3.844%
vs Weaker (2)107.5112.0219.5-4.50%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
90-89
90
89
+1
A10/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
114-106
114
106
+8
A11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
97-79
97
79
+18
H14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
111-119
111
119
-8
A15/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
W
106-101
106
101
+5
A18/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
L
95-101
95
101
-6
A20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
106-105
106
105
+1
A21/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
90-99
90
99
-9
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H26/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
95-91
95
91
+4
H28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
29-20
21-23
18-25
38-26
20-21
26-31
30-28
21-23
20-20
30-16
26-20
25-32
23-23
24-29
39-35
30-25
22-32
26-22
28-22
24-21
29-22
16-24
26-34
31-27
26-21
16-35
33-22
33-25
17-21
18-25
22-28
17-19
30-28
25-24
16-18
22-26
32-22
17-30
24-13
197.1Avg total
99.2Scored
97.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)100.4101.7202.1-1.356%
Season at home (26)101.0101.9202.9-0.962%
Season away (29)99.9101.6201.4-1.752%
Last 10 (10)99.297.9197.1+1.360%
Last 5 (5)94.897.0191.8-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)94.5103.2197.8-8.850%
vs Similar ◀ (22)101.0100.6201.6+0.468%
vs Weaker (4)102.5100.0202.5+2.525%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -4.3-4.3Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +1.7+1.7
Dallas MavericksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#24
L
52-56
52
56
-4
H08/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H10/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
59-52
59
52
+7
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H13/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
48-61
48
61
-13
A17/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
45-62
45
62
-17
A21/01
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
53-37
53
37
+16
H23/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H25/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#7
L
44-52
44
52
-8
H27/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#12
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A28/01
NBA
99.8Avg total
48.3Scored
51.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.051.0104.0+2.153%-
Last 30 at home (15)52.749.7102.5+3.053%-
Last 30 away (15)53.352.2105.5+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)48.351.599.8-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)45.850.496.2-4.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)51.652.5104.1-0.942%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)54.349.6103.9+4.862%-
vs Weaker (2)51.553.0104.5-1.550%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Toronto Raptors
#3
W
51-41
51
41
+10
A10/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#9
W
58-47
58
47
+11
A11/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H14/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#23
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A15/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#17
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A18/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#22
W
53-43
53
43
+10
A20/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A21/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#1
W
50-46
50
46
+4
A23/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#27
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H26/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
54-48
54
48
+6
H28/01
NBA
98.6Avg total
51.1Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.451.5101.9-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)50.150.0100.1+0.150%-
Last 30 away (16)50.752.8103.4-2.150%-
Last 10 (10)51.147.598.6+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)52.246.498.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.549.0101.5+3.575%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)50.352.1102.4-1.850%-
vs Weaker (4)49.250.599.8-1.225%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Dallas Maverickstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Dallas Mavericks: 101.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.426.4
48.5%
51.0%52.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.810.5
34.1%
36.1%31.5
🏀 Free throws22.317.0
76.2%
76.5%17.0
They take 85.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Miami Heattheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Miami Heat: 99.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.928.4
50.8%
51.0%56.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.19.7
34.5%
36.1%29.1
🏀 Free throws18.413.3
72.3%
76.5%13.3
They take 84.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 30 Jan 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Dallas Mavericks
LLLWLLLWWL
Miami Heat
WLLWLWLWWW
#25
League position
#16
-0.3
Net rating
+1.3
104.6
Offensive rating
102.8
104.9
Defensive rating
101.5
49.5%
Effective FG%
51.1%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
9.2%
Turnover %
14.1%
15.6%
Off. rebound %
21.3%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.1%
3-point %
34.5%
55.8%
Assist %
63.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence104.6 · 102.8Defence104.9 · 101.5Shooting49.5% · 51.1%3-point %34.1% · 34.5%Ball care9.2% · 14.1%Off. rebounds15.6% · 21.3%Free throws0.26 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Dallas Mavericks   ■ Miami Heat
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dallas Mavericks wins
6
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/18ADenver Nuggets89-91
27/01/18HPortland Trail Blazers93-107
25/01/18HHouston Rockets97-104
23/01/18HWashington Wizards98-75
21/01/18APortland Trail Blazers108-117
17/01/18ADenver Nuggets102-105
13/01/18HLos Angeles Lakers101-107 OT
11/01/18ACharlotte Hornets115-111
10/01/18HOrlando Magic114-99
08/01/18HNew York Knicks96-100
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/18HCharlotte Hornets95-91
26/01/18HSacramento Kings88-89
23/01/18AHouston Rockets90-99
21/01/18ACharlotte Hornets106-105
20/01/18ABrooklyn Nets95-101
18/01/18AMilwaukee Bucks106-101
15/01/18AChicago Bulls111-119
14/01/18HMilwaukee Bucks97-79
11/01/18AIndiana Pacers114-106
10/01/18AToronto Raptors90-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL36%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayWWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games563026
Win %36%43%27%
Points / game102.0103.2100.7
Allowed / game103.3100.7106.3
Point differential-1.2+2.6-5.7
Avg total205.3203.9207.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%27%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (20)30% (10)40% (10)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Miami Heat
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeWWWLW62%
AwayLWLWL52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552629
Win %56%62%52%
Points / game100.4101.099.9
Allowed / game101.7101.9101.6
Point differential-1.3-0.9-1.7
Avg total202.1202.9201.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%15%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won78% (18)80% (10)75% (8)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors54421278%115.8107.4+8.5
2 Houston Rockets52381473%113.4105.7+7.7
3 Boston Celtics54391572%103.198.3+4.9
4 Toronto Raptors53361768%110.9103.7+7.2
5 San Antonio Spurs57362163%101.497.6+3.8
6 Minnesota Timberwolves56342261%109.0106.2+2.8
7 Oklahoma City Thunder53322160%105.9101.5+4.3
8 Portland Trail Blazers54312357%105.3103.0+2.3
9 Washington Wizards53302357%107.2105.4+1.7
10 Cleveland Cavaliers53302357%108.9109.1-0.2
11 Miami Heat55312456%100.4101.7-1.3
12 Indiana Pacers54302456%106.3105.0+1.4
13 Denver Nuggets54292554%106.1105.5+0.6
14 New Orleans Pelicans53282553%110.3110.8-0.6
15 Milwaukee Bucks53282553%104.7105.5-0.7
16 Philadelphia 76ers52262650%107.9106.8+1.0
17 Los Angeles Clippers54272750%107.6107.4+0.2
18 Utah Jazz52242846%102.1102.1-0.0
19 Detroit Pistons53242945%102.4102.9-0.4
20 Charlotte Hornets54223241%105.0105.3-0.2
21 New York Knicks55223340%104.3106.7-2.4
22 Memphis Grizzlies54213339%100.2101.8-1.6
23 Brooklyn Nets54213339%105.8108.4-2.5
24 Los Angeles Lakers55213438%105.9109.3-3.4
25 Chicago Bulls56213538%103.2109.0-5.8
26 Dallas Mavericks56203636%102.0103.3-1.2
27 Phoenix Suns55183733%105.0112.4-7.4
28 Orlando Magic54173731%104.5108.9-4.3
29 Atlanta Hawks55173831%102.8107.2-4.4
30 Sacramento Kings55163929%97.1105.9-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks2620152788
Miami Heat2229242095
← all games of the day
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