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Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 21 Dec 2012
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 95-110
20-31 22-27 19-33 34-19
Position#15
Record15-16
FormWLLLW
Points / game99.3
Allowed / game99.9
vs
Position#1
Record20-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game100.7
Allowed / game96.4
USANBA
NBA2012-13
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Miami Heat
29 Dec 2026
DAL v MIA
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
DAL118
MIA108
13 Feb 2025
DAL118
MIA113
17 Jul 2024
DAL79
MIA92
07 Mar 2024
DAL114
MIA108
20 Jan 2023
DAL115
MIA90
02 Nov 2021
DAL110
MIA125
01 Jan 2021
DAL93
MIA83
14 Dec 2019
DAL118
MIA122
13 Feb 2019
DAL101
MIA112
29 Jan 2018
DAL88
MIA95
11 Jul 2017
DAL78
MIA73
27 Feb 2017
DAL96
MIA89
03 Feb 2016
DAL90
MIA93
09 Nov 2014
DAL96
MIA105
18 Feb 2014
DAL106
MIA117
20 Dec 2012
DAL95
MIA110
25 Dec 2011
DAL94
MIA105
09 Jun 2011
DAL112
MIA103
07 Jun 2011
DAL86
MIA83
05 Jun 2011
DAL86
MIA88
27 Nov 2010
DAL106
MIA95
20 Feb 2010
DAL97
MIA91
01 Apr 2009
DAL98
MIA96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#12
L
78-101
78
101
-23
A29/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H02/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
90-112
90
112
-22
A06/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
W
97-94
97
94
+3
A07/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
W
116-109
116
109
+7
A09/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
119-96
119
96
+23
H11/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
115-117 OT
115
117
-2
A13/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
74-95
74
95
-21
A15/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
L
106-114 OT
106
114
-8
A16/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
W
107-100
107
100
+7
H19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
19-34
16-19
20-24
24-27
18-21
25-11
25-18
18-29
24-31
26-23
22-29
23-23
17-21
29-18
28-32
39-24
24-42
21-23
32-20
36-29
29-14
23-27
31-26
25-27
18-21
27-28
26-20
25-24
16-30
14-15
19-26
32-22
13-32
25-26
32-22
28-23
29-29
19-22
31-26
200.9Avg total
99.4Scored
101.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)99.399.9199.1-0.648%
Season at home (15)104.296.6200.8+7.673%
Season away (16)94.6102.9197.6-8.325%
Last 10 (10)99.4101.5200.9-2.150%
Last 5 (5)104.2104.4208.6-0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)83.0100.0183.0-17.00%
vs Similar (22)98.7101.0199.7-2.245%
vs Weaker (6)102.795.2197.8+7.567%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
W
110-108
110
108
+2
H25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
105-100
105
100
+5
H30/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
W
102-89
102
89
+13
H02/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
101-105
101
105
-4
A05/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
L
92-112
92
112
-20
H07/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
W
106-90
106
90
+16
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
101-92
101
92
+9
H11/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
95-97
95
97
-2
H13/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
102-72
102
72
+30
H16/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
W
103-92
103
92
+11
H19/12
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
22-30
29-20
33-29
22-27
25-17
26-32
32-24
16-24
34-35
32-19
20-11
25-30
29-30
24-22
23-23
26-23
27-30
27-37
12-22
31-32
33-15
22-25
20-18
28-26
28-28
26-20
19-18
28-29
24-24
22-24
21-20
26-14
24-22
29-10
23-26
21-27
31-22
28-23
23-20
197.4Avg total
101.7Scored
95.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)100.796.4197.1+4.367%
Season at home (19)104.096.2200.2+7.874%
Season away (11)95.096.7191.7-1.755%
Last 10 (10)101.795.7197.4+6.070%
Last 5 (5)101.488.6190.0+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)97.1101.6198.7-4.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)102.593.8196.3+8.775%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -6.8-6.8Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q4Q4: +2.3+2.3Q4: +1.5+1.5
Dallas MavericksMiami Heat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#12
L
42-58
42
58
-16
A29/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#24
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H02/12
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#4
L
42-60
42
60
-18
A06/12
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#27
L
40-44
40
44
-4
A07/12
NBA
Houston Rockets
#11
L
63-66
63
66
-3
A09/12
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
65-43
65
43
+22
H11/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#16
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A13/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#19
L
41-54
41
54
-13
A15/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
L
45-54
45
54
-9
A16/12
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#18
W
57-52
57
52
+5
H19/12
NBA
100.7Avg total
48.0Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.350.7101.0-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (14)52.148.1100.3+4.064%-
Last 30 away (16)48.653.0101.6-4.438%-
Last 10 (10)48.052.7100.7-4.720%-
Last 5 (5)50.250.2100.4+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)41.056.597.5-15.50%-
vs Similar (22)50.251.1101.3-0.950%-
vs Weaker (6)53.747.5101.2+6.267%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#28
L
48-59
48
59
-11
H25/11
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H30/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#9
L
50-59
50
59
-9
H02/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A05/12
NBA
New York Knicks
#7
D
53-53
53
53
+0
H07/12
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#26
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H09/12
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#14
W
56-54
56
54
+2
H11/12
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#10
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H13/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#25
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H16/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#22
W
52-49
52
49
+3
H19/12
NBA
104.0Avg total
52.6Scored
51.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.649.8102.4+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (19)54.450.2104.6+4.263%-
Last 30 away (11)49.549.298.6+0.345%-
Last 10 (10)52.651.4104.0+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)54.847.8102.6+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)51.551.7103.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)53.148.9102.0+4.260%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Dallas Mavericks wins
4
Miami Heat wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/12HPhiladelphia 76ers107-100
16/12/12AMinnesota Timberwolves106-114 OT
15/12/12AToronto Raptors74-95
13/12/12ABoston Celtics115-117 OT
11/12/12HSacramento Kings119-96
09/12/12AHouston Rockets116-109
07/12/12APhoenix Suns97-94
06/12/12ALos Angeles Clippers90-112
02/12/12HDetroit Pistons92-77
29/11/12AChicago Bulls78-101
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/12HMinnesota Timberwolves103-92
16/12/12HWashington Wizards102-72
13/12/12HGolden State Warriors95-97
11/12/12HAtlanta Hawks101-92
09/12/12HNew Orleans Pelicans106-90
07/12/12HNew York Knicks92-112
05/12/12AWashington Wizards101-105
02/12/12HBrooklyn Nets102-89
30/11/12HSan Antonio Spurs105-100
25/11/12HCleveland Cavaliers110-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW48%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %48%73%25%
Points / game99.3104.294.6
Allowed / game99.996.6102.9
Point differential-0.6+7.6-8.3
Avg total199.1200.8197.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%47%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)67% (3)25% (4)
Overtime %13%7%19%
Miami Heat
NBA 2012-13
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW67%
HomeWWLWW74%
AwayWLWWL55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301911
Win %67%74%55%
Points / game100.7104.095.0
Allowed / game96.496.296.7
Point differential+4.3+7.8-1.7
Avg total197.1200.2191.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%42%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)80% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %3%5%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Oklahoma City Thunder3325876%103.996.1+7.8
2 Los Angeles Clippers3324973%99.892.4+7.4
3 New York Knicks3122971%101.697.1+4.5
4 San Antonio Spurs33221167%103.898.2+5.7
5 Memphis Grizzlies30201067%96.992.0+5.0
6 Miami Heat30201067%100.796.4+4.3
7 Golden State Warriors33221167%99.697.6+2.1
8 Chicago Bulls31191261%92.389.6+2.6
9 Atlanta Hawks30181260%97.194.3+2.8
10 Minnesota Timberwolves30171357%94.391.7+2.6
11 Houston Rockets32181456%104.6103.0+1.6
12 Indiana Pacers33181555%91.590.8+0.7
13 Philadelphia 76ers33181555%95.295.8-0.5
14 Utah Jazz35191654%99.197.1+1.9
15 Brooklyn Nets31161552%95.595.4+0.2
16 Denver Nuggets33171652%100.2100.4-0.2
17 Milwaukee Bucks32161650%95.396.4-1.2
18 Boston Celtics31151648%96.897.3-0.5
19 Dallas Mavericks31151648%99.399.9-0.6
20 Portland Trail Blazers30141647%97.599.5-2.1
21 Phoenix Suns33151845%98.099.7-1.6
22 Orlando Magic33141942%94.096.6-2.6
23 Sacramento Kings32131941%96.5100.6-4.1
24 Toronto Raptors33132039%97.499.6-2.2
25 Los Angeles Lakers34122235%98.299.8-1.5
26 Detroit Pistons36112531%92.696.1-3.4
27 New Orleans Pelicans3392427%89.896.0-6.2
28 Charlotte Hornets3382524%94.6102.7-8.1
29 Cleveland Cavaliers3372621%93.8100.4-6.6
30 Washington Wizards3162519%91.397.7-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks2022193495
Miami Heat31273319110
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