PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Nov 2015
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 103-102
25-32 28-32 34-16 16-22
Position#22
Record3-4
FormLWLLW
Points / game98.9
Allowed / game103.6
vs
Position#23
Record4-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game95.9
Allowed / game100.8
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2015-16
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks
23 Jan 2027
DEN v MIL
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
DEN108
MIL104
26 Mar 2025
DEN127
MIL117
29 Jan 2024
DEN113
MIL107
25 Mar 2023
DEN129
MIL106
26 Nov 2021
DEN109
MIL120
08 Feb 2021
DEN112
MIL125
09 Mar 2020
DEN109
MIL95
11 Nov 2018
DEN114
MIL121
01 Apr 2018
DEN128
MIL125
03 Feb 2017
DEN121
MIL117
11 Nov 2015
DEN103
MIL102
03 Mar 2015
DEN106
MIL95
05 Feb 2014
DEN110
MIL100
05 Feb 2013
DEN112
MIL104
02 Jan 2012
DEN91
MIL86
01 Dec 2010
DEN105
MIL94
20 Mar 2010
DEN97
MIL102
18 Nov 2008
DEN114
MIL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
122-111
122
111
+11
no box
H12/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
103-110
103
110
-7
no box
A14/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
126-133
126
133
-7
no box
A16/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 88
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
78-95
78
95
-17
57avg 88
H31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
93-117
93
117
-24
72avg 88
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
120-109
120
109
+11
122avg 88
A04/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
L
84-96
84
96
-12
74avg 88
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
104-119
104
119
-15
92avg 88
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
108-104
108
104
+4
103avg 88
H10/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
37-28
23-31
34-25
28-27
31-31
26-23
21-29
25-27
23-35
44-36
33-29
26-33
27-21
26-28
23-14
29-22
16-26
23-23
24-30
15-16
22-29
28-29
20-37
23-22
30-36
30-21
33-26
27-26
24-19
18-21
22-25
20-31
23-40
21-34
31-25
29-20
29-33
28-25
22-22
29-24
212.2Avg total
104.3Scored
107.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)98.9103.6202.4-4.743%
Season at home (3)90.098.3188.3-8.333%
Season away (4)105.5107.5213.0-2.050%
Last 10 (10)104.3107.9212.2-3.640%
Last 5 (5)101.8109.0210.8-7.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)105.4114.5219.9-9.113%
vs Similar ◀ (11)105.299.9205.1+5.373%
vs Weaker (4)102.892.8195.5+10.075%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#9
W
94-88
94
88
+6
no box
A28/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
L
66-120
66
120
-54
no box
H30/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
97-122
97
122
-25
83avg 87
H29/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
L
113-118
113
118
-5
103avg 87
H31/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
87-106
87
106
-19
82avg 87
A01/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
103-96
103
96
+7
99avg 87
A03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
91-87
91
87
+4
78avg 87
H05/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
99-92
99
92
+7
90avg 87
A07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 87
H08/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
83-99
83
99
-16
72avg 87
H11/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-22
29-27
24-21
18-18
16-34
17-31
19-26
14-29
23-27
28-36
22-27
24-32
33-22
32-39
27-21
21-36
19-24
22-31
30-26
16-25
33-33
26-15
21-32
23-16
29-21
18-24
21-22
23-20
30-20
26-33
19-20
24-19
18-24
26-20
23-17
27-25
24-24
18-22
17-30
24-23
194.1Avg total
92.7Scored
101.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)95.9100.8196.6-4.950%
Season at home (5)95.6102.4198.0-6.840%
Season away (3)96.398.0194.3-1.767%
Last 10 (10)92.7101.4194.1-8.750%
Last 5 (5)94.092.0186.0+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)92.1105.7197.9-13.60%
vs Similar ◀ (19)97.399.9197.2-2.653%
vs Weaker (4)96.893.0189.8+3.875%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -3.6-3.6Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: -1.9-1.9Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: -2.9-2.9
Denver NuggetsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
60-59
60
59
+1
H12/04
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
57-54
57
54
+3
A14/04
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A16/04
NBA
Houston Rockets
#19
W
53-49
53
49
+4
A29/10
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#26
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H31/10
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#4
L
50-58
50
58
-8
A02/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
60-57
60
57
+3
A04/11
NBA
Utah Jazz
#18
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H06/11
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
44-74
44
74
-30
A07/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
L
57-58
57
58
-1
H10/11
NBA
109.8Avg total
52.9Scored
56.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.354.6106.9-2.347%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.851.3103.1+0.557%-
Last 30 away (16)52.857.4110.2-4.738%-
Last 10 (10)52.956.9109.8-4.050%-
Last 5 (5)50.657.4108.0-6.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)51.158.5109.7-7.427%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)52.851.8104.6+1.064%-
vs Weaker (4)55.247.2102.5+8.075%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago Bulls
#9
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A28/04
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
L
33-65
33
65
-32
H30/04
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
L
51-63
51
63
-12
H29/10
NBA
Washington Wizards
#15
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H31/10
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#5
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A01/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A03/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#30
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H05/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#24
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A07/11
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#28
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H08/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H11/11
NBA
101.9Avg total
49.0Scored
52.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.150.9100.0-1.843%-
Last 30 at home (18)48.450.999.3-2.639%-
Last 30 away (12)50.250.8100.9-0.650%-
Last 10 (10)49.052.9101.9-3.950%-
Last 5 (5)49.647.296.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)44.450.695.0-6.114%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)50.451.0101.4-0.647%-
vs Weaker (4)51.050.8101.8+0.275%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 98.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.1 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.628.6
46.4%
49.0%57.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.7
33.5%
35.3%23.1
🏀 Free throws25.118.6
73.9%
75.5%18.6
They take 84.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 95.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.2 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 102.3 points a game
58%
25%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.227.6
46.6%
49.0%55.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.9
34.8%
35.3%20.6
🏀 Free throws24.220.0
82.5%
75.5%20.0
They take 79.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 29%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/8 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2015 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLWLLWLLW
Milwaukee Bucks
LWWWWLLLLW
#22
League position
#23
-4.7
Net rating
-5.1
99.0
Offensive rating
100.8
103.7
Defensive rating
106.0
47.5%
Effective FG%
48.0%
49.0%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
15.5%
Turnover %
15.8%
25.2%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.31
33.5%
3-point %
34.8%
59.1%
Assist %
65.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence99.0 · 100.8Defence103.7 · 106.0Shooting47.5% · 48.0%3-point %33.5% · 34.8%Ball care15.5% · 15.8%Off. rebounds25.2% · 24.3%Free throws0.30 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/15HPortland Trail Blazers108-104
07/11/15AGolden State Warriors104-119
06/11/15HUtah Jazz84-96
04/11/15ALos Angeles Lakers120-109
02/11/15AOklahoma City Thunder93-117
31/10/15HMinnesota Timberwolves78-95
29/10/15AHouston Rockets105-85
16/04/15AGolden State Warriors126-133
14/04/15ALos Angeles Clippers103-110
12/04/15HSacramento Kings122-111
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/15HBoston Celtics83-99
08/11/15HBrooklyn Nets94-86
07/11/15ANew York Knicks99-92
05/11/15HPhiladelphia 76ers91-87
03/11/15ABrooklyn Nets103-96
01/11/15AToronto Raptors87-106
31/10/15HWashington Wizards113-118
29/10/15HNew York Knicks97-122
30/04/15HChicago Bulls66-120
28/04/15AChicago Bulls94-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW43%
HomeLLW33%
AwayWLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game98.990.0105.5
Allowed / game103.698.3107.5
Point differential-4.7-8.3-2.0
Avg total202.4188.3213.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2015-16
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL50%
HomeLLWWL40%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games853
Win %50%40%67%
Points / game95.995.696.3
Allowed / game100.8102.498.0
Point differential-4.9-6.8-1.7
Avg total196.6198.0194.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors990100%113.295.7+17.6
2 Cleveland Cavaliers87188%104.195.5+8.6
3 Atlanta Hawks108280%104.4100.1+4.3
4 San Antonio Spurs75271%102.391.7+10.6
5 Detroit Pistons75271%99.096.1+2.9
6 Toronto Raptors96367%102.397.8+4.6
7 Oklahoma City Thunder85362%114.8107.0+7.8
8 Miami Heat85362%97.190.1+7.0
9 Los Angeles Clippers85362%105.8103.5+2.2
10 Chicago Bulls85362%101.499.8+1.6
11 Utah Jazz74357%96.389.7+6.6
12 Minnesota Timberwolves74357%100.999.3+1.6
13 Indiana Pacers95456%95.395.3+0.0
14 Charlotte Hornets84450%101.499.5+1.9
15 Portland Trail Blazers84450%103.8102.8+1.0
16 Dallas Mavericks84450%102.1103.5-1.4
17 Milwaukee Bucks84450%95.9100.8-4.9
18 Houston Rockets84450%102.2108.2-6.0
19 New York Knicks94544%100.6100.8-0.2
20 Orlando Magic94544%101.0101.3-0.3
21 Boston Celtics73443%101.198.0+3.1
22 Phoenix Suns73443%102.1102.3-0.1
23 Denver Nuggets73443%98.9103.6-4.7
24 Washington Wizards73443%102.3110.4-8.1
25 Memphis Grizzlies93633%90.2100.7-10.4
26 Los Angeles Lakers81712%101.6108.2-6.6
27 Sacramento Kings81712%102.9110.6-7.8
28 New Orleans Pelicans81712%104.2112.4-8.1
29 Brooklyn Nets81712%92.4102.2-9.9
30 Philadelphia 76ers8080%92.9106.5-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets25283416103
Milwaukee Bucks32321622102
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.