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Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 129-106
37-38 26-28 34-19 32-21
Position#2
Record49-24
FormLWLWW
Points / game116.7
Allowed / game112.8
vs
Position#1
Record53-20
FormWLWWW
Points / game116.8
Allowed / game112.2
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2022-23
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks
23 Jan 2027
DEN v MIL
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
DEN108
MIL104
26 Mar 2025
DEN127
MIL117
29 Jan 2024
DEN113
MIL107
25 Mar 2023
DEN129
MIL106
26 Nov 2021
DEN109
MIL120
08 Feb 2021
DEN112
MIL125
09 Mar 2020
DEN109
MIL95
11 Nov 2018
DEN114
MIL121
01 Apr 2018
DEN128
MIL125
03 Feb 2017
DEN121
MIL117
11 Nov 2015
DEN103
MIL102
03 Mar 2015
DEN106
MIL95
05 Feb 2014
DEN110
MIL100
05 Feb 2013
DEN112
MIL104
02 Jan 2012
DEN91
MIL86
01 Dec 2010
DEN105
MIL94
20 Mar 2010
DEN97
MIL102
18 Nov 2008
DEN114
MIL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
W
113-97
113
97
+16
112avg 113
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
118-113
118
113
+5
115avg 113
H07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
L
96-117
96
117
-21
87avg 113
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
120-128
120
128
-8
113avg 113
A11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
L
120-122
120
122
-2
116avg 113
H12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
110-125
110
125
-15
108avg 113
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
W
119-100
119
100
+19
116avg 113
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
L
110-116
110
116
-6
105avg 113
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
108-102
108
102
+6
110avg 113
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
W
118-104
118
104
+14
116avg 113
A22/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-27
22-31
30-22
33-17
29-34
29-27
25-27
35-25
29-25
23-26
24-36
20-30
38-26
29-42
26-30
27-30
30-30
39-31
18-37
33-24
30-49
26-23
36-26
18-27
29-28
29-36
28-22
33-14
28-36
39-26
24-29
19-25
33-21
30-27
28-23
17-31
31-29
24-28
39-16
24-31
225.6Avg total
113.2Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)116.7112.8229.4+3.967%
Season at home (36)120.6110.1230.7+10.483%
Season away (37)112.8115.3228.2-2.551%
Last 10 (10)113.2112.4225.6+0.850%
Last 5 (5)113.0109.4222.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)109.8111.6221.5-1.846%
vs Weaker (17)120.9112.9233.8+8.076%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
W
117-111
117
111
+6
116avg 108
A06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
134-123
134
123
+11
136avg 108
A08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
118-113
118
113
+5
115avg 108
H10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
116-125 OT
116
125
-9
106avg 108
A12/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
W
133-124
133
124
+9
133avg 108
A14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
116-104
116
104
+12
107avg 108
A15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
L
123-139
123
139
-16
116avg 108
H17/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
118-111
118
111
+7
123avg 108
H20/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
130-94
130
94
+36
121avg 108
H23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
144-116
144
116
+28
150avg 108
A25/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-28
25-20
24-32
34-31
36-26
34-34
32-32
32-31
37-20
27-27
23-33
31-33
26-28
23-22
28-30
34-31
27-32
26-30
37-25
43-37
29-24
28-24
28-36
31-20
40-30
24-25
37-49
22-35
33-29
25-27
31-39
29-16
33-28
33-23
34-21
30-22
40-25
32-33
43-27
29-31
240.9Avg total
124.9Scored
116.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (73)116.8112.2229.0+4.773%
Season at home (37)119.9111.9231.8+8.181%
Season away (36)113.6112.4226.1+1.264%
Last 10 (10)124.9116.0240.9+8.980%
Last 5 (5)126.2112.8239.0+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)119.0111.4230.4+7.684%
vs Weaker (11)132.8118.5251.3+14.491%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.8+2.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +6.5+6.5Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +2.8+2.8
Denver NuggetsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#5
L
50-58
50
58
-8
H04/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H07/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#19
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H09/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
L
67-68
67
68
-1
A11/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H12/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
L
56-72
56
72
-16
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#30
L
58-64
58
64
-6
A16/03
NBA
New York Knicks
#8
W
67-62
67
62
+5
A18/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
63-48
63
48
+15
A19/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#23
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A22/03
NBA
119.7Avg total
59.5Scored
60.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.558.5119.0+2.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.056.7118.7+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)59.260.1119.2-0.938%-
Last 10 (10)59.560.2119.7-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)59.860.6120.4-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (13)57.259.3116.5-2.138%-
vs Weaker (17)63.057.9120.9+5.159%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#23
W
59-48
59
48
+11
A06/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#25
W
70-60
70
60
+10
A08/03
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#13
W
64-47
64
47
+17
H10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#11
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A12/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#7
L
53-62
53
62
-9
A14/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#9
W
57-48
57
48
+9
A15/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#24
W
64-55
64
55
+9
H17/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#18
W
58-56
58
56
+2
H20/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#29
W
66-51
66
51
+15
H23/03
NBA
Utah Jazz
#22
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A25/03
NBA
114.7Avg total
61.2Scored
53.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)61.855.9117.7+5.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)62.857.6120.4+5.169%-
Last 30 away (14)60.753.9114.6+6.864%-
Last 10 (10)61.253.5114.7+7.780%-
Last 5 (5)63.453.6117.0+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (19)57.554.7112.2+2.758%-
vs Weaker (11)69.357.9127.2+11.482%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.631.1
57.0%
54.5%62.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.711.4
37.1%
35.8%34.2
🏀 Free throws21.216.8
79.2%
78.1%16.8
They take 85.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 124.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers48.9 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 114.1 points a game
52%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.529.5
60.8%
54.5%59.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.016.3
38.8%
35.8%48.9
🏀 Free throws22.717.0
74.9%
78.1%17.0
They take 90.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 42.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLLLLWW
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWLWWLWWW
#2
League position
#1
+0.8
Net rating
+8.4
116.9
Offensive rating
117.5
116.1
Defensive rating
109.2
56.5%
Effective FG%
59.6%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.5%
12.7%
Turnover %
13.0%
25.1%
Off. rebound %
21.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.25
37.1%
3-point %
38.8%
68.5%
Assist %
65.3%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 117.5Defence116.1 · 109.2Shooting56.5% · 59.6%3-point %37.1% · 38.8%Ball care12.7% · 13.0%Off. rebounds25.1% · 21.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Denver Nuggets wins
5
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/23AWashington Wizards118-104
19/03/23ABrooklyn Nets108-102
18/03/23ANew York Knicks110-116
16/03/23ADetroit Pistons119-100
14/03/23AToronto Raptors110-125
12/03/23HBrooklyn Nets120-122
11/03/23ASan Antonio Spurs120-128
09/03/23HChicago Bulls96-117
07/03/23HToronto Raptors118-113
04/03/23HMemphis Grizzlies113-97
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/23AUtah Jazz144-116
23/03/23HSan Antonio Spurs130-94
20/03/23HToronto Raptors118-111
17/03/23HIndiana Pacers123-139
15/03/23APhoenix Suns116-104
14/03/23ASacramento Kings133-124
12/03/23AGolden State Warriors116-125 OT
10/03/23HBrooklyn Nets118-113
08/03/23AOrlando Magic134-123
06/03/23AWashington Wizards117-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW67%
HomeWWWLL83%
AwayLWLWW51%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733637
Win %67%83%51%
Points / game116.7120.6112.8
Allowed / game112.8110.1115.3
Point differential+3.9+10.4-2.5
Avg total229.4230.7228.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%53%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (21)62% (13)88% (8)
Overtime %4%6%3%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeLWLWW81%
AwayWLWWW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games733736
Win %73%81%64%
Points / game116.8119.9113.6
Allowed / game112.2111.9112.4
Point differential+4.7+8.1+1.2
Avg total229.0231.8226.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%43%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)57% (7)83% (6)
Overtime %7%3%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Milwaukee Bucks73532073%116.8112.2+4.7
2 Boston Celtics74512369%117.9112.0+5.9
3 Philadelphia 76ers73492467%115.4110.3+5.1
4 Denver Nuggets73492467%116.7112.8+3.9
5 Memphis Grizzlies73462763%116.7112.3+4.4
6 Cleveland Cavaliers75472863%112.2106.7+5.5
7 Sacramento Kings73442960%121.1118.6+2.5
8 New York Knicks75423356%115.3112.8+2.5
9 Brooklyn Nets74403454%113.5112.7+0.8
10 Miami Heat75403553%109.1109.9-0.8
11 Los Angeles Clippers74393553%112.9112.3+0.5
12 Phoenix Suns73383552%113.5112.1+1.5
13 Golden State Warriors75393652%118.5118.0+0.5
14 Atlanta Hawks74373750%118.0117.8+0.2
15 Los Angeles Lakers74373750%116.5116.6-0.1
16 Minnesota Timberwolves74373750%116.1116.3-0.3
17 New Orleans Pelicans73363749%114.0112.8+1.3
18 Oklahoma City Thunder74363849%117.4116.3+1.1
19 Toronto Raptors74363849%113.0112.0+1.0
20 Dallas Mavericks74363849%113.8113.5+0.4
21 Chicago Bulls73353848%113.3112.3+1.0
22 Utah Jazz73353848%117.3117.8-0.4
23 Washington Wizards74334145%113.0113.8-0.9
24 Indiana Pacers75334244%115.8118.6-2.8
25 Portland Trail Blazers73324144%114.2116.2-2.0
26 Orlando Magic74314342%111.7114.3-2.6
27 Charlotte Hornets75245132%111.2117.3-6.1
28 San Antonio Spurs74195526%112.3122.3-10.0
29 Houston Rockets74185624%110.6118.7-8.2
30 Detroit Pistons74165822%110.7118.6-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets37263432129
Milwaukee Bucks38281921106
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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