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Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 121-117
31-31 39-22 28-36 23-28
Position#16
Record25-31
FormWWWLL
Points / game109.4
Allowed / game110.4
vs
Position#14
Record24-30
FormWLLLL
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game103.7
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks
23 Jan 2027
DEN v MIL
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
DEN108
MIL104
26 Mar 2025
DEN127
MIL117
29 Jan 2024
DEN113
MIL107
25 Mar 2023
DEN129
MIL106
26 Nov 2021
DEN109
MIL120
16 Aug 2021
DEN94
MIL87
08 Feb 2021
DEN112
MIL125
09 Mar 2020
DEN109
MIL95
11 Nov 2018
DEN114
MIL121
09 Jul 2018
DEN90
MIL83
01 Apr 2018
DEN128
MIL125
03 Feb 2017
DEN121
MIL117
11 Nov 2015
DEN103
MIL102
03 Mar 2015
DEN106
MIL95
05 Feb 2014
DEN110
MIL100
05 Feb 2013
DEN112
MIL104
02 Jan 2012
DEN91
MIL86
01 Dec 2010
DEN105
MIL94
20 Mar 2010
DEN97
MIL102
18 Nov 2008
DEN114
MIL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
125-112
125
112
+13
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
127-121
127
121
+6
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
104-118
104
118
-14
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
123-98
123
98
+25
H22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
108-111
108
111
-3
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
103-93
103
93
+10
H25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
127-120
127
120
+7
H27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
123-112
123
112
+11
A29/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
L
116-120
116
120
-4
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
99-119
99
119
-20
H02/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
39-36
30-25
31-22
25-29
40-26
26-28
35-30
26-37
23-28
35-31
23-33
23-26
27-18
32-27
36-26
28-27
29-28
29-34
26-22
24-27
18-22
33-17
29-28
23-26
35-29
22-32
39-31
31-28
21-33
38-28
36-22
28-29
30-30
29-24
17-27
40-39
18-27
31-35
20-25
30-32
227.9Avg total
115.5Scored
112.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)109.4110.4219.7-1.045%
Season at home (26)113.9111.9225.8+2.050%
Season away (30)105.5109.0214.5-3.640%
Last 10 (10)115.5112.4227.9+3.160%
Last 5 (5)113.6112.8226.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)108.0125.0233.0-17.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)109.4108.6218.0+0.950%
vs Weaker (10)119.1115.6234.7+3.560%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
98-111
98
111
-13
A15/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
104-113
104
113
-9
H16/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
92-111
92
111
-19
A19/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
96-112
96
112
-16
A21/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
97-109
97
109
-12
A22/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
127-114
127
114
+13
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
109-114
109
114
-5
H26/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
86-102
86
102
-16
A28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
108-112 OT
108
112
-4
H29/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
88-104
88
104
-16
A02/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
36-36
17-24
30-28
15-23
24-24
30-22
24-35
26-32
27-22
12-30
26-27
27-32
23-25
32-34
19-29
22-24
22-25
21-28
28-29
26-27
33-33
35-31
25-27
34-23
39-33
19-39
24-16
27-26
19-36
20-17
31-24
16-25
27-42
26-22
20-17
29-21
27-30
16-31
18-19
27-24
210.7Avg total
100.5Scored
110.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)102.7103.7206.4-1.044%
Season at home (28)107.9104.6212.6+3.354%
Season away (26)97.2102.7199.8-5.535%
Last 10 (10)100.5110.2210.7-9.710%
Last 5 (5)103.6109.2212.8-5.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)105.7109.3215.0-3.733%
vs Similar ◀ (21)104.8104.5209.3+0.243%
vs Weaker (3)103.0113.0216.0-10.00%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -5.0-5.0Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: -0.8-0.8
Denver NuggetsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orlando Magic
#26
W
69-61
69
61
+8
H16/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
66-54
66
54
+12
A18/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
58-59
58
59
-1
A20/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
59-45
59
45
+14
H22/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A23/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H25/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A29/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H02/02
NBA
114.3Avg total
58.5Scored
55.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)57.657.2114.8+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)58.656.2114.8+2.453%-
Last 30 away (15)56.758.1114.8-1.533%-
Last 10 (10)58.555.8114.3+2.750%-
Last 5 (5)55.055.4110.4-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)59.564.5124.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)56.454.2110.6+2.256%-
vs Weaker (10)58.959.0117.9-0.140%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
53-60
53
60
-7
A15/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
54-46
54
46
+8
H16/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
39-52
39
52
-13
A19/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A21/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
43-53
43
53
-10
A22/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H24/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H26/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A28/01
NBA
Boston Celtics
#4
L
53-64
53
64
-11
H29/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
43-61
43
61
-18
A02/02
NBA
108.9Avg total
50.5Scored
58.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.254.3108.5-0.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)58.853.5112.3+5.364%-
Last 30 away (16)50.254.9105.2-4.719%-
Last 10 (10)50.558.4108.9-7.920%-
Last 5 (5)52.262.8115.0-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)52.554.3106.8-1.833%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)54.553.6108.1+1.043%-
vs Weaker (3)55.759.0114.7-3.333%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 115.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.032.0
53.3%
50.2%64.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.89.8
38.0%
35.7%29.4
🏀 Free throws28.022.1
78.9%
77.0%22.1
They take 85.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 100.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.4 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers61.229.7
48.5%
50.2%59.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.7
34.7%
35.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws24.318.0
74.1%
77.0%18.0
They take 83.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 27% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWWWLWLWW
Milwaukee Bucks
LLLLWLLLLL
#16
League position
#14
+3.1
Net rating
-9.9
115.1
Offensive rating
102.3
112.0
Defensive rating
112.2
54.4%
Effective FG%
49.5%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
14.1%
Turnover %
16.0%
29.2%
Off. rebound %
25.4%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.29
38.0%
3-point %
34.7%
64.6%
Assist %
61.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence115.1 · 102.3Defence112.0 · 112.2Shooting54.4% · 49.5%3-point %38.0% · 34.7%Ball care14.1% · 16.0%Off. rebounds29.2% · 25.4%Free throws0.33 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 10%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies99-119
01/02/17ALos Angeles Lakers116-120
29/01/17APhoenix Suns123-112
27/01/17HPhoenix Suns127-120
25/01/17HUtah Jazz103-93
23/01/17AMinnesota Timberwolves108-111
22/01/17HLos Angeles Clippers123-98
20/01/17ASan Antonio Spurs104-118
18/01/17ALos Angeles Lakers127-121
16/01/17HOrlando Magic125-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/02/17AUtah Jazz88-104
29/01/17HBoston Celtics108-112 OT
28/01/17AToronto Raptors86-102
26/01/17HPhiladelphia 76ers109-114
24/01/17HHouston Rockets127-114
22/01/17AMiami Heat97-109
21/01/17AOrlando Magic96-112
19/01/17AHouston Rockets92-111
16/01/17HPhiladelphia 76ers104-113
15/01/17AAtlanta Hawks98-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL45%
HomeWWWWL50%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games562630
Win %45%50%40%
Points / game109.4113.9105.5
Allowed / game110.4111.9109.0
Point differential-1.0+2.0-3.6
Avg total219.7225.8214.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won39% (18)25% (8)50% (10)
Overtime %7%15%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL44%
HomeWLWLL54%
AwayLLLLL35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542826
Win %44%54%35%
Points / game102.7107.997.2
Allowed / game103.7104.6102.7
Point differential-1.0+3.3-5.5
Avg total206.4212.6199.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%29%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (15)33% (9)67% (6)
Overtime %6%7%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5749886%117.7104.8+12.9
2 San Antonio Spurs55421376%106.298.3+7.9
3 Houston Rockets60411968%114.3108.5+5.8
4 Boston Celtics57372065%107.9104.9+3.0
5 Cleveland Cavaliers54351965%109.1105.0+4.0
6 Utah Jazz56342261%99.295.3+3.9
7 Los Angeles Clippers56342261%106.6104.4+2.2
8 Atlanta Hawks57342360%103.0102.8+0.2
9 Washington Wizards56332359%106.9104.2+2.7
10 Memphis Grizzlies58342459%101.3100.0+1.3
11 Toronto Raptors57332458%108.3104.4+3.9
12 Oklahoma City Thunder55312456%105.6105.3+0.3
13 Indiana Pacers55302555%105.9106.0-0.1
14 Chicago Bulls58283048%102.6101.9+0.7
15 Detroit Pistons56263046%100.7100.6+0.1
16 Charlotte Hornets57263146%103.5103.6-0.1
17 Portland Trail Blazers57263146%107.0108.9-1.9
18 New York Knicks57263146%106.2108.4-2.2
19 Denver Nuggets56253145%109.4110.4-1.0
20 Milwaukee Bucks54243044%102.7103.7-1.0
21 Minnesota Timberwolves57243342%103.7104.0-0.3
22 Miami Heat58243441%100.6101.5-0.9
23 Sacramento Kings54213339%102.9106.0-3.1
24 Dallas Mavericks56213538%97.0100.3-3.4
25 Orlando Magic59223737%99.8105.4-5.6
26 New Orleans Pelicans56203636%103.6106.9-3.3
27 Philadelphia 76ers56203636%100.0106.2-6.2
28 Phoenix Suns55193635%106.2111.3-5.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers61194231%104.3109.9-5.6
30 Brooklyn Nets56104618%104.9114.0-9.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets31392823121
Milwaukee Bucks31223628117
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