PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Nov 2021
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 109-120
16-27 31-31 26-32 36-30
Position#11
Record9-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game102.4
Allowed / game102.6
vs
Position#5
Record11-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game108.9
Allowed / game106.4
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2021-22
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks
23 Jan 2027
DEN v MIL
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
DEN108
MIL104
26 Mar 2025
DEN127
MIL117
29 Jan 2024
DEN113
MIL107
25 Mar 2023
DEN129
MIL106
26 Nov 2021
DEN109
MIL120
08 Feb 2021
DEN112
MIL125
09 Mar 2020
DEN109
MIL95
11 Nov 2018
DEN114
MIL121
01 Apr 2018
DEN128
MIL125
03 Feb 2017
DEN121
MIL117
11 Nov 2015
DEN103
MIL102
03 Mar 2015
DEN106
MIL95
05 Feb 2014
DEN110
MIL100
05 Feb 2013
DEN112
MIL104
02 Jan 2012
DEN91
MIL86
01 Dec 2010
DEN105
MIL94
20 Mar 2010
DEN97
MIL102
18 Nov 2008
DEN114
MIL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
W
95-94
95
94
+1
82avg 106
H06/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
113-96
113
96
+17
108avg 106
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
W
101-98
101
98
+3
88avg 106
H11/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
105-96
105
96
+9
99avg 106
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
124-95
124
95
+29
123avg 106
H15/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
L
101-111
101
111
-10
93avg 106
A16/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
89-103
89
103
-14
77avg 106
H19/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
108-114
108
114
-6
100avg 106
H20/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
97-126
97
126
-29
79avg 106
A22/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
100-119
100
119
-19
96avg 106
A24/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-27
20-20
26-24
23-23
30-25
34-24
27-21
22-26
23-20
21-24
25-21
32-33
32-25
17-21
30-23
26-27
33-18
34-35
24-26
33-16
32-35
26-14
25-30
18-32
23-24
29-34
17-29
20-16
30-30
22-23
26-35
30-26
28-48
32-25
18-27
19-26
27-33
25-33
27-24
21-29
208.5Avg total
103.3Scored
105.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)102.4102.6205.1-0.250%
Season at home (10)103.096.6199.6+6.470%
Season away (8)101.8110.1211.9-8.425%
Last 10 (10)103.3105.2208.5-1.950%
Last 5 (5)99.0114.6213.6-15.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)103.5112.0215.5-8.550%
vs Similar ◀ (23)107.9111.0218.8-3.139%
vs Weaker (5)104.899.4204.2+5.480%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
L
94-101
94
101
-7
76avg 108
A07/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
118-109
118
109
+9
107avg 108
A10/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
112-100
112
100
+12
109avg 108
A11/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
L
113-122 OT
113
122
-9
97avg 108
A13/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
100-120
100
120
-20
86avg 108
A14/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
109-102
109
102
+7
103avg 108
H18/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
96-89
96
89
+7
90avg 108
H20/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
117-108
117
108
+9
117avg 108
H21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
123-92
123
92
+31
119avg 108
H23/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
114-93
114
93
+21
113avg 108
H25/11
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-26
28-23
19-33
23-19
30-39
31-19
30-35
27-16
31-22
20-20
31-24
30-34
30-30
25-21
26-37
27-20
24-32
20-26
33-31
23-31
30-32
34-21
21-30
24-19
34-24
24-23
22-21
16-21
36-24
26-26
34-21
21-37
36-16
41-20
28-20
18-36
32-26
32-26
24-22
26-19
213.2Avg total
109.6Scored
103.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)108.9106.4215.3+2.558%
Season at home (10)108.0102.3210.3+5.760%
Season away (9)109.9110.9220.8-1.056%
Last 10 (10)109.6103.6213.2+6.070%
Last 5 (5)111.896.8208.6+15.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)109.9109.8219.7+0.055%
vs Weaker (8)111.197.9209.0+13.288%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: +5.6+5.6Q3Q3: -1.5-1.5Q3: -0.6-0.6Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.7-1.7
Denver NuggetsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Houston Rockets
#30
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H06/11
NBA
Miami Heat
#4
W
64-49
64
49
+15
H09/11
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#26
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H11/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H13/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H15/11
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#7
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A16/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
L
52-58
52
58
-6
H19/11
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#13
L
52-53
52
53
-1
H20/11
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#1
L
60-73
60
73
-13
A22/11
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#25
L
52-66
52
66
-14
A24/11
NBA
108.2Avg total
54.4Scored
53.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.456.3111.7-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)55.753.1108.9+2.653%-
Last 30 away (15)55.059.5114.5-4.527%-
Last 10 (10)54.453.8108.2+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)54.859.8114.6-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.565.5121.0-10.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (23)55.856.3112.2-0.543%-
vs Weaker (5)53.252.6105.8+0.640%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Washington Wizards
#21
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A07/11
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#8
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A10/11
NBA
New York Knicks
#19
W
51-42
51
42
+9
A11/11
NBA
Boston Celtics
#6
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A13/11
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#17
L
44-58
44
58
-14
A14/11
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#23
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H18/11
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
58-47
58
47
+11
H20/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
62-50
62
50
+12
H21/11
NBA
Orlando Magic
#29
W
77-36
77
36
+41
H23/11
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#28
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H25/11
NBA
108.4Avg total
58.8Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.252.3108.5+4.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.251.1111.3+9.173%-
Last 30 away (15)52.353.5105.7-1.260%-
Last 10 (10)58.849.6108.4+9.290%-
Last 5 (5)65.047.6112.6+17.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (22)54.053.9107.8+0.155%-
vs Weaker (8)62.547.9110.4+14.6100%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 103.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.526.0
51.5%
53.1%52.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.212.3
34.0%
35.3%36.9
🏀 Free throws18.514.4
77.8%
77.4%14.4
They take 86.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 109.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers47.1 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 110.2 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.224.0
49.8%
53.1%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.215.7
38.1%
35.3%47.1
🏀 Free throws20.314.5
71.4%
77.4%14.5
They take 89.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 41.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Nov 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLLLLWWWWW
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWWLLWWL
#11
League position
#5
-2.0
Net rating
+6.1
109.1
Offensive rating
108.7
111.1
Defensive rating
102.6
51.3%
Effective FG%
53.2%
53.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.0%
11.0%
Turnover %
12.3%
22.7%
Off. rebound %
23.0%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.23
34.0%
3-point %
38.1%
60.8%
Assist %
58.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence109.1 · 108.7Defence111.1 · 102.6Shooting51.3% · 53.2%3-point %34.0% · 38.1%Ball care11.0% · 12.3%Off. rebounds22.7% · 23.0%Free throws0.21 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/11/21APortland Trail Blazers100-119
22/11/21APhoenix Suns97-126
20/11/21HChicago Bulls108-114
19/11/21HPhiladelphia 76ers89-103
16/11/21ADallas Mavericks101-111
15/11/21HPortland Trail Blazers124-95
13/11/21HAtlanta Hawks105-96
11/11/21HIndiana Pacers101-98
09/11/21HMiami Heat113-96
06/11/21HHouston Rockets95-94
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/21HDetroit Pistons114-93
23/11/21HOrlando Magic123-92
21/11/21HOrlando Magic117-108
20/11/21HOklahoma City Thunder96-89
18/11/21HLos Angeles Lakers109-102
14/11/21AAtlanta Hawks100-120
13/11/21ABoston Celtics113-122 OT
11/11/21ANew York Knicks112-100
10/11/21APhiladelphia 76ers118-109
07/11/21AWashington Wizards94-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWWLL70%
AwayLLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%70%25%
Points / game102.4103.0101.8
Allowed / game102.696.6110.1
Point differential-0.2+6.4-8.4
Avg total205.1199.6211.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%30%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2021-22
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW58%
HomeWWWWW60%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %58%60%56%
Points / game108.9108.0109.9
Allowed / game106.4102.3110.9
Point differential+2.5+5.7-1.0
Avg total215.3210.3220.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%30%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %5%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors1816289%114.3100.8+13.5
2 Phoenix Suns1916384%112.6104.9+7.7
3 Brooklyn Nets1914574%109.6104.9+4.6
4 Utah Jazz1812667%112.3103.4+8.9
5 Chicago Bulls2013765%108.2103.8+4.3
6 Miami Heat1912763%108.8102.4+6.4
7 Washington Wizards1912763%105.4104.7+0.7
8 Charlotte Hornets2113862%112.9112.5+0.3
9 Dallas Mavericks1710759%104.1105.4-1.3
10 Los Angeles Clippers1911858%106.0102.5+3.5
11 Milwaukee Bucks1911858%108.9106.4+2.5
12 Atlanta Hawks2011955%111.4108.2+3.2
13 Portland Trail Blazers1910953%110.9109.6+1.4
14 Philadelphia 76ers1910953%107.1106.2+0.9
15 New York Knicks1910953%106.7107.0-0.3
16 Boston Celtics20101050%107.0105.9+1.1
17 Denver Nuggets189950%102.4102.6-0.2
18 Los Angeles Lakers20101050%110.1113.2-3.1
19 Minnesota Timberwolves1991047%107.8106.3+1.6
20 Cleveland Cavaliers1991047%102.9103.5-0.5
21 Memphis Grizzlies1991047%109.7116.4-6.6
22 Toronto Raptors2091145%106.3106.6-0.2
23 Indiana Pacers2191243%108.0105.8+2.3
24 Sacramento Kings1971237%109.1111.1-2.0
25 Oklahoma City Thunder1961332%99.0105.9-6.9
26 San Antonio Spurs1851328%106.7109.6-2.9
27 Detroit Pistons1941521%98.6108.1-9.4
28 New Orleans Pelicans2041620%102.0109.3-7.3
29 Orlando Magic2041620%100.2111.2-11.1
30 Houston Rockets1821611%101.2111.5-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets16312636109
Milwaukee Bucks27313230120
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.