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Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Feb 2021
Tip-off: 02:30
Final 112-125
42-37 20-22 26-34 24-32
Position#6
Record14-11
FormWLWLL
Points / game116.0
Allowed / game110.6
vs
Position#5
Record15-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game119.8
Allowed / game112.6
USANBA· Ball Arena
NBA2020-21
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks
23 Jan 2027
DEN v MIL
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
DEN108
MIL104
26 Mar 2025
DEN127
MIL117
29 Jan 2024
DEN113
MIL107
25 Mar 2023
DEN129
MIL106
26 Nov 2021
DEN109
MIL120
08 Feb 2021
DEN112
MIL125
09 Mar 2020
DEN109
MIL95
11 Nov 2018
DEN114
MIL121
01 Apr 2018
DEN128
MIL125
03 Feb 2017
DEN121
MIL117
11 Nov 2015
DEN103
MIL102
03 Mar 2015
DEN106
MIL95
05 Feb 2014
DEN110
MIL100
05 Feb 2013
DEN112
MIL104
02 Jan 2012
DEN91
MIL86
01 Dec 2010
DEN105
MIL94
20 Mar 2010
DEN97
MIL102
18 Nov 2008
DEN114
MIL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#1
L
105-109
105
109
-4
93avg 107
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
119-101
119
101
+18
113avg 107
H20/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
130-126 OT
130
126
+4
123avg 107
A23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
W
120-112 OT
120
112
+8
113avg 107
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
117-113
117
113
+4
117avg 107
A26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
109-82
109
82
+27
106avg 107
A28/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
109-119
109
119
-10
104avg 107
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
128-117
128
117
+11
124avg 107
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
93-114
93
114
-21
76avg 107
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
114-119
114
119
-5
107avg 107
A06/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-32
27-21
21-28
26-28
31-31
34-21
32-22
22-27
25-34
29-34
37-27
23-19
28-30
30-31
15-16
25-21
38-31
32-27
22-36
25-19
26-12
32-21
16-32
35-17
30-37
25-24
31-26
23-32
43-29
36-25
24-37
25-26
30-27
28-19
17-37
18-31
25-26
27-27
29-34
33-32
225.6Avg total
114.4Scored
111.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)116.0110.6226.5+5.456%
Season at home (12)118.2110.3228.5+7.858%
Season away (13)113.9110.8224.7+3.254%
Last 10 (10)114.4111.2225.6+3.260%
Last 5 (5)110.6110.2220.8+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)109.2113.6222.8-4.420%
vs Similar ◀ (16)115.0109.9224.9+5.156%
vs Weaker (9)117.7111.8229.4+5.956%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
123-125
123
125
-2
102avg 111
A19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
106-113
106
113
-7
103avg 111
H22/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
129-115
129
115
+14
130avg 111
H25/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
115-108
115
108
+7
114avg 111
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
126-131
126
131
-5
121avg 111
A30/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
114-126
114
126
-12
108avg 111
A31/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
134-106
134
106
+28
139avg 111
H02/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
130-110
130
110
+20
127avg 111
H04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
123-105
123
105
+18
119avg 111
A06/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
124-99
124
99
+25
118avg 111
A07/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-28
22-29
33-37
34-31
33-29
24-34
24-23
25-27
32-15
34-32
28-36
35-32
33-33
30-21
20-28
32-26
21-35
24-33
44-35
37-28
31-39
33-29
30-29
20-29
46-36
33-20
34-21
21-29
29-21
39-30
38-21
24-38
26-33
34-30
34-26
29-16
25-22
34-32
35-23
30-22
236.2Avg total
122.4Scored
113.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)119.8112.6232.4+7.258%
Season at home (13)120.2110.7230.8+9.569%
Season away (13)119.4114.5233.9+4.846%
Last 10 (10)122.4113.8236.2+8.660%
Last 5 (5)125.0109.2234.2+15.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)114.0120.4234.4-6.425%
vs Weaker (22)119.5109.7229.2+9.764%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +5.0+5.0Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -5.1-5.1Q3: +4.1+4.1Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.9+0.9
Denver NuggetsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Utah Jazz
#1
W
58-53
58
53
+5
H18/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#27
W
65-52
65
52
+13
H20/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A23/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#3
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A24/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#9
W
70-58
70
58
+12
A26/01
NBA
Miami Heat
#15
W
58-33
58
33
+25
A28/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#22
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A30/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#1
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H31/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
W
58-46
58
46
+12
A05/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A06/02
NBA
114.6Avg total
60.7Scored
53.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.055.8115.8+4.257%-
Last 30 at home (14)62.955.5118.4+7.471%-
Last 30 away (16)57.456.1113.5+1.444%-
Last 10 (10)60.753.9114.6+6.860%-
Last 5 (5)60.449.4109.8+11.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)55.660.8116.4-5.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)61.454.4115.9+7.069%-
vs Weaker (9)59.955.4115.3+4.456%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#4
L
56-57
56
57
-1
A19/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#8
L
57-63
57
63
-6
H22/01
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#10
W
66-47
66
47
+19
H25/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#24
W
63-54
63
54
+9
A28/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#20
L
45-68
45
68
-23
A30/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#21
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A31/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#12
W
79-56
79
56
+23
H02/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#17
W
68-51
68
51
+17
H04/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A06/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#26
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A07/02
NBA
119.8Avg total
61.7Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.555.1115.6+5.463%-
Last 30 at home (15)62.753.6116.3+9.173%-
Last 30 away (15)58.356.6114.9+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)61.758.1119.8+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)66.058.4124.4+7.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)58.156.5114.6+1.650%-
vs Weaker (22)61.454.6116.0+6.868%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.929.9
50.8%
52.8%59.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.113.1
38.4%
36.6%39.3
🏀 Free throws18.715.3
81.8%
77.7%15.3
They take 93.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 34.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 122.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.8 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers42.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 111.8 points a game
51%
34%
15%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.832.4
57.0%
52.8%64.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.714.2
38.7%
36.6%42.6
🏀 Free throws20.615.0
72.8%
77.7%15.0
They take 93.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Feb 2021 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LLWLWWWWWL
Milwaukee Bucks
WWWWLLWWLL
#6
League position
#5
+3.2
Net rating
+8.3
114.1
Offensive rating
118.5
110.9
Defensive rating
110.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
57.4%
55.2%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
12.3%
Turnover %
11.4%
28.9%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.20
Free-throw rate
0.22
38.4%
3-point %
38.7%
61.4%
Assist %
61.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 118.5Defence110.9 · 110.2Shooting53.3% · 57.4%3-point %38.4% · 38.7%Ball care12.3% · 11.4%Off. rebounds28.9% · 24.1%Free throws0.20 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Denver Nuggets wins
3
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/21ASacramento Kings114-119
05/02/21ALos Angeles Lakers93-114
31/01/21HUtah Jazz128-117
30/01/21ASan Antonio Spurs109-119
28/01/21AMiami Heat109-82
26/01/21ADallas Mavericks117-113
24/01/21APhoenix Suns120-112 OT
23/01/21APhoenix Suns130-126 OT
20/01/21HOklahoma City Thunder119-101
18/01/21HUtah Jazz105-109
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/21ACleveland Cavaliers124-99
06/02/21ACleveland Cavaliers123-105
04/02/21HIndiana Pacers130-110
02/02/21HPortland Trail Blazers134-106
31/01/21ACharlotte Hornets114-126
30/01/21ANew Orleans Pelicans126-131
28/01/21AToronto Raptors115-108
25/01/21HAtlanta Hawks129-115
22/01/21HLos Angeles Lakers106-113
19/01/21ABrooklyn Nets123-125

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeLWLWW58%
AwayWWLLL54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251213
Win %56%58%54%
Points / game116.0118.2113.9
Allowed / game110.6110.3110.8
Point differential+5.4+7.8+3.2
Avg total226.5228.5224.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%50%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)0% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %16%17%15%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2020-21
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW58%
HomeWLWWW69%
AwayWLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %58%69%46%
Points / game119.8120.2119.4
Allowed / game112.6110.7114.5
Point differential+7.2+9.5+4.8
Avg total232.4230.8233.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+46%62%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Utah Jazz2722581%114.7105.1+9.6
2 Los Angeles Lakers2822679%112.6104.2+8.4
3 Philadelphia 76ers2619773%113.8109.6+4.2
4 Los Angeles Clippers28171161%112.9108.5+4.4
5 Brooklyn Nets27161159%121.1117.0+4.1
6 Milwaukee Bucks26151158%119.8112.6+7.2
7 Denver Nuggets25141156%116.0110.6+5.4
8 Memphis Grizzlies23121152%111.4110.3+1.2
9 Houston Rockets27141352%110.8108.4+2.4
10 Phoenix Suns27141352%109.0108.1+0.9
11 Golden State Warriors27141352%113.6113.2+0.4
12 San Antonio Spurs27141352%110.2112.3-2.1
13 Sacramento Kings27141352%113.3117.7-4.4
14 New Orleans Pelicans24121250%112.3111.5+0.8
15 Boston Celtics24121250%109.5109.3+0.2
16 Portland Trail Blazers26131350%113.5116.7-3.2
17 New York Knicks29141548%102.3102.1+0.2
18 Toronto Raptors27131448%112.9111.1+1.7
19 Atlanta Hawks27131448%112.6111.9+0.7
20 Dallas Mavericks28131546%112.4113.7-1.3
21 Charlotte Hornets29131645%111.0111.0+0.0
22 Indiana Pacers27121544%112.3111.9+0.3
23 Chicago Bulls27121544%113.7114.2-0.5
24 Oklahoma City Thunder25111444%107.6113.7-6.0
25 Cleveland Cavaliers29121741%103.4109.9-6.5
26 Miami Heat25101540%107.1110.6-3.6
27 Orlando Magic28111739%106.4112.9-6.5
28 Washington Wizards2471729%112.0118.1-6.0
29 Detroit Pistons2772026%106.3110.4-4.1
30 Minnesota Timberwolves2772026%108.1115.9-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets42202624112
Milwaukee Bucks37223432125
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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