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Denver Nuggets vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 02 Apr 2018
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 128-125 (OT)
22-34 41-20 16-38 32-19 17-14
Position#12
Record41-35
FormWWLLW
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game108.8
vs
Position#15
Record41-35
FormWWLWW
Points / game106.3
Allowed / game106.4
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2017-18
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Milwaukee Bucks
23 Jan 2027
DEN v MIL
upcoming
11 Jan 2026
DEN108
MIL104
26 Mar 2025
DEN127
MIL117
29 Jan 2024
DEN113
MIL107
25 Mar 2023
DEN129
MIL106
26 Nov 2021
DEN109
MIL120
08 Feb 2021
DEN112
MIL125
09 Mar 2020
DEN109
MIL95
11 Nov 2018
DEN114
MIL121
01 Apr 2018
DEN128
MIL125
03 Feb 2017
DEN121
MIL117
11 Nov 2015
DEN103
MIL102
03 Mar 2015
DEN106
MIL95
05 Feb 2014
DEN110
MIL100
05 Feb 2013
DEN112
MIL104
02 Jan 2012
DEN91
MIL86
01 Dec 2010
DEN105
MIL94
20 Mar 2010
DEN97
MIL102
18 Nov 2008
DEN114
MIL105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
130-104
130
104
+26
137avg 103
H11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
103-112
103
112
-9
96avg 103
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
120-113
120
113
+7
116avg 103
H16/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
94-101
94
101
-7
79avg 103
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
141-149 OT
141
149
-8
126avg 103
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
135-102
135
102
+33
142avg 103
A22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
108-100
108
100
+8
99avg 103
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
L
104-123
104
123
-19
92avg 103
A26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
L
110-114
110
114
-4
102avg 103
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
126-125 OT
126
125
+1
126avg 103
A31/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-25
34-24
35-19
29-36
22-35
25-13
35-29
21-35
33-29
32-22
33-33
22-29
17-34
31-19
27-31
19-17
37-36
26-28
28-28
27-26
39-25
38-21
36-24
22-32
23-16
32-27
23-33
30-24
27-23
32-28
15-34
30-38
23-25
35-33
27-24
25-32
27-28
35-30
30-21
22-35
231.4Avg total
117.1Scored
114.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)110.0108.8218.7+1.254%
Season at home (37)112.2106.1218.3+6.273%
Season away (39)107.8111.3219.1-3.536%
Last 10 (10)117.1114.3231.4+2.850%
Last 5 (5)116.6112.8229.4+3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)110.8117.8228.5-7.025%
vs Similar ◀ (18)117.8115.9233.7+1.861%
vs Weaker (8)114.8105.9220.6+8.975%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBucks
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
121-103
121
103
+18
127avg 96
A13/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
117-126
117
126
-9
105avg 96
A14/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
122-117
122
117
+5
121avg 96
H17/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
117-124
117
124
-7
107avg 96
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
120-127
120
127
-7
114avg 96
H22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
118-105
118
105
+13
110avg 96
A24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
W
106-103
106
103
+3
98avg 96
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
98-105
98
105
-7
91avg 96
A28/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
116-107
116
107
+9
113avg 96
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
124-122 OT
124
122
+2
110avg 96
A31/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-24
32-26
26-23
31-30
20-36
32-25
28-30
37-35
26-31
30-19
39-37
27-30
25-26
32-38
28-29
32-31
24-38
33-26
26-33
37-30
24-34
37-27
29-21
28-23
27-15
20-32
41-28
18-28
29-35
27-27
26-16
16-27
29-27
29-22
34-23
24-35
39-34
29-23
29-26
15-29
229.8Avg total
115.9Scored
113.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (76)106.3106.4212.7-0.254%
Season at home (38)106.8106.1212.9+0.761%
Season away (38)105.7106.8212.5-1.147%
Last 10 (10)115.9113.9229.8+2.060%
Last 5 (5)112.4108.4220.8+4.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)112.4108.2220.6+4.280%
vs Similar ◀ (18)105.5106.9212.4-1.439%
vs Weaker (7)113.7106.1219.9+7.686%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +7.5+7.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +7.5+7.5Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: -5.7-5.7Q4: -3.3-3.3
Denver NuggetsMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#24
W
66-49
66
49
+17
H11/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
L
47-48
47
48
-1
A14/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
65-51
65
51
+14
H16/03
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A18/03
NBA
Miami Heat
#16
L
63-64
63
64
-1
A19/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
W
77-46
77
46
+31
A22/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#18
W
55-43
55
43
+12
A23/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#5
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A26/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#3
D
58-58
58
58
+0
A27/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#11
W
62-58
62
58
+4
A31/03
NBA
112.1Avg total
60.0Scored
52.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.756.5116.2+3.360%-
Last 30 at home (15)59.256.9116.1+2.360%-
Last 30 away (15)60.356.0116.3+4.360%-
Last 10 (10)60.052.1112.1+7.960%-
Last 5 (5)62.251.2113.4+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)52.860.8113.5-8.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)60.057.2117.2+2.861%-
vs Weaker (8)62.652.8115.4+9.988%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Memphis Grizzlies
#29
W
64-50
64
50
+14
A13/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A14/03
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#28
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H17/03
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#6
L
57-64
57
64
-7
A19/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
57-64
57
64
-7
H22/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#25
D
61-61
61
61
+0
A24/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#13
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H25/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#17
L
56-62
56
62
-6
A28/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#2
W
58-49
58
49
+9
A30/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#21
W
68-57
68
57
+11
A31/03
NBA
114.1Avg total
57.6Scored
56.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)54.653.6108.2+1.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)54.254.6108.8-0.443%-
Last 30 away (16)54.952.7107.6+2.256%-
Last 10 (10)57.656.5114.1+1.140%-
Last 5 (5)58.055.2113.2+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)56.857.8114.6-1.060%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)53.853.2107.0+0.750%-
vs Weaker (7)55.051.6106.6+3.443%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 117.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.4 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.528.6
52.5%
51.0%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.713.8
40.9%
36.1%41.4
🏀 Free throws23.718.5
78.1%
76.5%18.5
They take 88.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Milwaukee Buckstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Milwaukee Bucks: 115.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers69.4 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 106.1 points a game
55%
30%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers62.134.7
55.9%
51.0%69.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.010.1
38.8%
36.1%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.116.2
80.6%
76.5%16.2
They take 88.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 34%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Apr 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLLWWLLWLW
Milwaukee Bucks
WWLWWLLWLW
#12
League position
#15
+2.7
Net rating
+2.0
115.0
Offensive rating
114.9
112.2
Defensive rating
113.0
55.9%
Effective FG%
56.6%
54.3%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
12.7%
Turnover %
12.6%
22.5%
Off. rebound %
20.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.23
40.9%
3-point %
38.8%
63.4%
Assist %
63.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence115.0 · 114.9Defence112.2 · 113.0Shooting55.9% · 56.6%3-point %40.9% · 38.8%Ball care12.7% · 12.6%Off. rebounds22.5% · 20.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Milwaukee Bucks
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Denver Nuggets wins
2
Milwaukee Bucks wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/18AOklahoma City Thunder126-125 OT
27/03/18AToronto Raptors110-114
26/03/18APhiladelphia 76ers104-123
23/03/18AWashington Wizards108-100
22/03/18AChicago Bulls135-102
19/03/18AMiami Heat141-149 OT
18/03/18AMemphis Grizzlies94-101
16/03/18HDetroit Pistons120-113
14/03/18ALos Angeles Lakers103-112
11/03/18HSacramento Kings130-104
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/03/18ALos Angeles Lakers124-122 OT
30/03/18AGolden State Warriors116-107
28/03/18ALos Angeles Clippers98-105
25/03/18HSan Antonio Spurs106-103
24/03/18AChicago Bulls118-105
22/03/18HLos Angeles Clippers120-127
19/03/18ACleveland Cavaliers117-124
17/03/18HAtlanta Hawks122-117
14/03/18AOrlando Magic117-126
13/03/18AMemphis Grizzlies121-103

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW54%
HomeLLWWW73%
AwayWWLLW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763739
Win %54%73%36%
Points / game110.0112.2107.8
Allowed / game108.8106.1111.3
Point differential+1.2+6.2-3.5
Avg total218.7218.3219.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%30%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won45% (20)54% (13)29% (7)
Overtime %7%3%10%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2017-18
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW54%
HomeLWWLW61%
AwayLWLWW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games763838
Win %54%61%47%
Points / game106.3106.8105.7
Allowed / game106.4106.1106.8
Point differential-0.2+0.7-1.1
Avg total212.7212.9212.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%11%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won61% (23)79% (14)33% (9)
Overtime %7%3%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Houston Rockets77621581%113.1104.1+9.0
2 Toronto Raptors76552172%112.3104.5+7.8
3 Golden State Warriors76552172%113.9107.0+6.9
4 Boston Celtics76532370%104.2100.1+4.1
5 Portland Trail Blazers76472962%106.0103.2+2.8
6 Cleveland Cavaliers77473061%110.5109.6+0.9
7 Philadelphia 76ers76463061%108.9105.2+3.7
8 Indiana Pacers77463160%105.7103.9+1.8
9 San Antonio Spurs77453258%102.599.2+3.2
10 Oklahoma City Thunder78453358%107.4104.3+3.1
11 Utah Jazz77443357%103.7100.1+3.6
12 Minnesota Timberwolves78443456%109.6107.7+1.9
13 New Orleans Pelicans77433456%111.1110.9+0.2
14 Washington Wizards77423555%106.8105.8+0.9
15 Denver Nuggets76413554%110.0108.8+1.2
16 Milwaukee Bucks76413554%106.3106.4-0.2
17 Los Angeles Clippers77413653%109.3108.4+0.9
18 Miami Heat77413653%103.3102.7+0.6
19 Detroit Pistons77374048%103.3103.6-0.3
20 Los Angeles Lakers75334244%108.5109.9-1.4
21 Charlotte Hornets78344444%107.5107.9-0.4
22 New York Knicks77275035%104.5108.1-3.6
23 Chicago Bulls77265134%103.0109.5-6.6
24 Brooklyn Nets77255232%106.4110.5-4.1
25 Sacramento Kings77245331%99.4106.8-7.4
26 Dallas Mavericks77235430%102.3104.9-2.6
27 Orlando Magic76225429%103.8108.7-4.9
28 Atlanta Hawks77225529%103.4108.9-5.4
29 Memphis Grizzlies76215528%98.8104.7-5.9
30 Phoenix Suns77195825%103.8113.5-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Denver Nuggets2241163217128
Milwaukee Bucks3420381914125
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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