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Denver Nuggets vs Boston Celtics Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 119-99
35-25 30-29 29-26 25-19
Position#17
Record29-35
FormWWLWL
Points / game110.6
Allowed / game111.4
vs
Position#5
Record41-24
FormWWLLW
Points / game107.7
Allowed / game105.3
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Boston Celtics
18 Nov 2026
DEN v BOS
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
DEN103
BOS84
07 Jan 2025
DEN106
BOS118
07 Mar 2024
DEN115
BOS109
01 Jan 2023
DEN123
BOS111
20 Mar 2022
DEN104
BOS124
11 Apr 2021
DEN87
BOS105
22 Nov 2019
DEN96
BOS92
05 Nov 2018
DEN115
BOS107
29 Jan 2018
DEN110
BOS111
10 Mar 2017
DEN119
BOS99
21 Feb 2016
DEN101
BOS121
23 Jan 2015
DEN99
BOS100
07 Jan 2014
DEN129
BOS98
19 Feb 2013
DEN97
BOS90
17 Mar 2012
DEN98
BOS91
24 Feb 2011
DEN89
BOS75
21 Feb 2010
DEN114
BOS105
23 Feb 2009
DEN76
BOS114
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Boston Celtics winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
132-110
132
110
+22
138avg 101
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
99-112
99
112
-13
88avg 101
H16/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
100-116
100
116
-16
90avg 101
A24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
129-109
129
109
+20
126avg 101
H25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
98-105
98
105
-7
90avg 101
H26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
125-107
125
107
+18
127avg 101
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
110-98
110
98
+12
104avg 101
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
102-112
102
112
-10
96avg 101
H05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
108-96
108
96
+12
108avg 101
H07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
113-123
113
123
-10
108avg 101
H09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
42-30
37-24
28-31
25-25
31-32
29-30
19-23
20-27
26-29
18-32
26-26
30-29
30-25
34-28
37-22
28-34
19-22
28-28
21-18
30-37
22-25
34-34
35-24
34-24
32-15
31-22
23-29
24-32
23-31
29-30
27-29
23-22
25-24
32-26
33-23
18-23
28-35
22-32
35-30
28-26
220.4Avg total
111.6Scored
108.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (64)110.6111.4222.0-0.745%
Season at home (33)113.5111.4224.8+2.152%
Season away (31)107.6111.4219.0-3.739%
Last 10 (10)111.6108.8220.4+2.850%
Last 5 (5)111.6107.2218.8+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)108.0119.0227.0-11.025%
vs Similar ◀ (16)110.8109.8220.6+0.944%
vs Weaker (10)119.9114.9234.8+5.070%
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCeltics
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
W
116-108
116
108
+8
106avg 97
H16/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
103-104
103
104
-1
95avg 97
A17/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
97-107
97
107
-10
86avg 97
A25/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
104-98
104
98
+6
97avg 97
A26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
98-114
98
114
-16
83avg 97
H28/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
W
103-99
103
99
+4
104avg 97
H02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
115-95
115
95
+20
115avg 97
A04/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
106-109
106
109
-3
95avg 97
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
102-116
102
116
-14
89avg 97
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
99-86
99
86
+13
96avg 97
A09/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-29
32-32
26-18
29-29
25-22
33-30
20-29
25-23
29-18
26-27
22-29
20-33
27-23
27-27
25-24
25-24
24-24
23-27
24-33
27-30
20-26
29-24
25-21
29-28
35-26
35-19
23-33
22-17
22-19
20-30
35-32
29-28
25-22
21-21
25-32
31-41
25-28
21-22
26-24
27-12
207.9Avg total
104.3Scored
103.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (65)107.7105.3213.0+2.463%
Season at home (30)109.3105.9215.2+3.470%
Season away (35)106.4104.8211.2+1.657%
Last 10 (10)104.3103.6207.9+0.750%
Last 5 (5)105.0101.0206.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)99.086.0185.0+13.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (20)109.1108.2217.3+0.965%
vs Weaker (9)110.8105.1215.9+5.767%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +2.4+2.4Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: -0.1-0.1
Denver NuggetsBoston Celtics
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#24
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H16/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
63-37
63
37
+26
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#9
L
50-67
50
67
-17
H09/03
NBA
112.6Avg total
57.2Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.056.3114.3+1.740%-
Last 30 at home (17)58.554.6113.1+3.853%-
Last 30 away (13)57.558.5115.9-1.023%-
Last 10 (10)57.255.4112.6+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)55.654.8110.4+0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)60.056.8116.8+3.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)56.955.1112.0+1.938%-
vs Weaker (10)59.058.1117.1+0.950%-
This opponent (Boston Celtics) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Boston CelticsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
D
61-61
61
61
+0
H16/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
58-52
58
52
+6
A17/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
55-45
55
45
+10
A25/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
54-50
54
50
+4
A26/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
47-51
47
51
-4
H28/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H02/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
70-45
70
45
+25
A04/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A05/03
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A07/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A09/03
NBA
102.4Avg total
52.8Scored
49.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)55.252.0107.2+3.157%-
Last 30 at home (15)56.154.7110.7+1.447%-
Last 30 away (15)54.349.4103.7+4.967%-
Last 10 (10)52.849.6102.4+3.250%-
Last 5 (5)50.647.498.0+3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.050.096.0-4.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)54.551.6106.2+2.965%-
vs Weaker (9)57.653.1110.7+4.444%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers39.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.028.6
54.0%
50.2%57.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.613.0
39.9%
35.7%39.0
🏀 Free throws20.315.4
75.9%
77.0%15.4
They take 85.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Boston Celticstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Boston Celtics: 104.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.424.0
49.6%
50.2%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.711.7
34.7%
35.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws26.921.2
78.8%
77.0%21.2
They take 82.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLWWLWLLW
Boston Celtics
WLLWWLWLLW
#17
League position
#5
+2.8
Net rating
+0.7
113.2
Offensive rating
104.3
110.3
Defensive rating
103.6
56.2%
Effective FG%
50.6%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
15.4%
Turnover %
13.7%
25.7%
Off. rebound %
18.5%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.33
39.9%
3-point %
34.7%
64.2%
Assist %
65.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 104.3Defence110.3 · 103.6Shooting56.2% · 50.6%3-point %39.9% · 34.7%Ball care15.4% · 13.7%Off. rebounds25.7% · 18.5%Free throws0.24 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Boston Celtics
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Denver Nuggets wins
6
Boston Celtics wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/17HWashington Wizards113-123
07/03/17HSacramento Kings108-96
05/03/17HCharlotte Hornets102-112
02/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks110-98
01/03/17AChicago Bulls125-107
26/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies98-105
25/02/17HBrooklyn Nets129-109
24/02/17ASacramento Kings100-116
16/02/17HMinnesota Timberwolves99-112
14/02/17HGolden State Warriors132-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/17AGolden State Warriors99-86
07/03/17ALos Angeles Clippers102-116
05/03/17APhoenix Suns106-109
04/03/17ALos Angeles Lakers115-95
02/03/17HCleveland Cavaliers103-99
28/02/17HAtlanta Hawks98-114
26/02/17ADetroit Pistons104-98
25/02/17AToronto Raptors97-107
17/02/17AChicago Bulls103-104
16/02/17HPhiladelphia 76ers116-108

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL45%
HomeWLLWL52%
AwayWLLWW39%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games643331
Win %45%52%39%
Points / game110.6113.5107.6
Allowed / game111.4111.4111.4
Point differential-0.7+2.1-3.7
Avg total222.0224.8219.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%39%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)38% (8)38% (8)
Overtime %5%9%0%
Boston Celtics
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW63%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayWWLLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games653035
Win %63%70%57%
Points / game107.7109.3106.4
Allowed / game105.3105.9104.8
Point differential+2.4+3.4+1.6
Avg total213.0215.2211.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%20%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (21)80% (10)55% (11)
Overtime %5%3%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors65521380%116.8105.3+11.5
2 San Antonio Spurs64501478%106.598.5+8.0
3 Houston Rockets66452168%115.1108.2+6.9
4 Cleveland Cavaliers63422167%110.6106.5+4.1
5 Utah Jazz65412463%100.596.2+4.3
6 Boston Celtics65412463%107.7105.3+2.4
7 Washington Wizards63392462%108.6106.1+2.5
8 Los Angeles Clippers65392660%107.8104.8+3.0
9 Toronto Raptors65382758%107.6103.8+3.8
10 Memphis Grizzlies65362955%101.4100.7+0.6
11 Oklahoma City Thunder65362955%106.3106.3+0.0
12 Atlanta Hawks65362955%103.9104.6-0.7
13 Indiana Pacers65333251%104.8105.7-0.9
14 Detroit Pistons65323349%102.1102.3-0.1
15 Milwaukee Bucks64313348%105.1104.5+0.7
16 Miami Heat65313448%102.3101.9+0.5
17 Chicago Bulls65313448%102.1103.3-1.2
18 Denver Nuggets64293545%110.6111.4-0.7
19 Charlotte Hornets65293645%105.0104.0+1.0
20 Portland Trail Blazers63283544%108.3110.4-2.1
21 Dallas Mavericks63273643%98.399.8-1.5
22 Minnesota Timberwolves64273742%104.8104.8+0.0
23 New York Knicks65263940%105.6108.6-3.0
24 Sacramento Kings64253939%102.6105.7-3.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans65254038%102.6105.8-3.3
26 Orlando Magic66244236%99.7105.9-6.3
27 Philadelphia 76ers64234136%101.8108.0-6.1
28 Phoenix Suns65214432%107.8112.9-5.1
29 Los Angeles Lakers65204531%104.3111.0-6.7
30 Brooklyn Nets63115217%105.7114.3-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets35302925119
Boston Celtics2529261999
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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