PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Denver Nuggets vs Washington Wizards Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 09 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 113-123
28-35 22-32 35-30 28-26
Position#16
Record33-38
FormLWWLW
Points / game109.9
Allowed / game110.4
vs
Position#8
Record42-27
FormWWLWW
Points / game108.1
Allowed / game105.2
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Washington Wizards
21 Jan 2027
DEN v WAS
upcoming
17 Jan 2026
DEN121
WAS115
15 Mar 2025
DEN123
WAS126
22 Feb 2024
DEN130
WAS110
14 Dec 2022
DEN141
WAS128
13 Dec 2021
DEN113
WAS107
25 Feb 2021
DEN110
WAS112
22 Jul 2020
DEN89
WAS82
26 Nov 2019
DEN117
WAS104
31 Mar 2019
DEN90
WAS95
23 Oct 2017
DEN104
WAS109
08 Mar 2017
DEN113
WAS123
12 Mar 2016
DEN116
WAS100
25 Jan 2015
DEN115
WAS117
23 Mar 2014
DEN105
WAS102
18 Jan 2013
DEN108
WAS112
25 Mar 2011
DEN114
WAS94
16 Mar 2010
DEN97
WAS87
20 Mar 2009
DEN116
WAS105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Washington Wizards winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
109-125
109
125
-16
A12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
132-110
132
110
+22
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
99-112
99
112
-13
H16/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
100-116
100
116
-16
A24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
129-109
129
109
+20
H25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
98-105
98
105
-7
H26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
125-107
125
107
+18
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
110-98
110
98
+12
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
102-112
102
112
-10
H05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
108-96
108
96
+12
H07/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-28
22-31
23-33
31-33
42-30
37-24
28-31
25-25
31-32
29-30
19-23
20-27
26-29
18-32
26-26
30-29
30-25
34-28
37-22
28-34
19-22
28-28
21-18
30-37
22-25
34-34
35-24
34-24
32-15
31-22
23-29
24-32
23-31
29-30
27-29
23-22
25-24
32-26
33-23
18-23
220.2Avg total
111.2Scored
109.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (71)109.9110.4220.2-0.546%
Season at home (34)113.5110.5224.0+3.053%
Season away (37)106.5110.2216.8-3.741%
Last 10 (10)111.2109.0220.2+2.250%
Last 5 (5)108.6103.6212.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)110.2120.6230.8-10.420%
vs Similar ◀ (16)111.9109.8221.7+2.150%
vs Weaker (9)118.7114.0232.7+4.767%
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
112-107
112
107
+5
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
120-98
120
98
+22
H14/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
111-98
111
98
+13
A17/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
112-120
112
120
-8
A25/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
92-102
92
102
-10
H26/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
112-108
112
108
+4
H01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
105-96
105
96
+9
A02/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
106-114
106
114
-8
H04/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
115-114
115
114
+1
H05/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
131-127
131
127
+4
A08/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-27
26-32
27-22
26-26
38-32
29-22
34-19
19-25
34-27
28-25
28-25
21-21
28-26
21-35
32-34
31-25
24-24
15-25
21-24
32-29
40-26
21-23
24-36
27-23
24-26
38-20
20-14
23-36
27-35
26-27
25-17
28-35
25-28
20-33
34-29
36-24
38-25
30-36
26-31
37-35
220.0Avg total
111.6Scored
108.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)108.1105.2213.3+2.961%
Season at home (38)109.7103.9213.6+5.874%
Season away (31)106.2106.9213.1-0.745%
Last 10 (10)111.6108.4220.0+3.270%
Last 5 (5)113.8111.8225.6+2.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)112.0108.0220.0+4.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (18)110.0104.8214.8+5.267%
vs Weaker (11)113.1107.4220.5+5.782%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: +3.5+3.5Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: +0.1+0.1
Denver NuggetsWashington Wizards
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H16/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
63-37
63
37
+26
A02/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
L
52-61
52
61
-9
H05/03
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
57-50
57
50
+7
H07/03
NBA
112.3Avg total
57.7Scored
54.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.556.3114.8+2.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.053.9112.9+5.156%-
Last 30 away (14)57.959.1117.1-1.221%-
Last 10 (10)57.754.6112.3+3.140%-
Last 5 (5)55.051.4106.4+3.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.859.0119.8+1.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)57.855.0112.8+2.838%-
vs Weaker (9)58.457.2115.7+1.256%-
This opponent (Washington Wizards) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Washington WizardsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Indiana Pacers
#15
D
59-59
59
59
+0
H11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
67-54
67
54
+13
H14/02
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#15
W
62-52
62
52
+10
A17/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A25/02
NBA
Utah Jazz
#9
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H26/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H01/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A02/03
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
53-62
53
62
-9
H04/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
L
45-61
45
61
-16
H05/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
W
68-61
68
61
+7
A08/03
NBA
111.9Avg total
56.5Scored
55.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.453.5111.9+4.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)57.453.8111.2+3.762%-
Last 30 away (14)59.553.1112.6+6.471%-
Last 10 (10)56.555.4111.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)57.855.8113.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.049.0110.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)58.652.9111.4+5.767%-
vs Weaker (11)57.954.8112.7+3.164%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 111.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers56.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.128.0
52.7%
50.2%56.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.512.9
38.5%
35.7%38.7
🏀 Free throws20.816.5
79.3%
77.0%16.5
They take 86.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Washington Wizardstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Washington Wizards: 111.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws22.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.829.3
48.2%
50.2%58.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.3
41.0%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws27.522.1
80.4%
77.0%22.1
They take 85.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWWLWLLWL
Washington Wizards
WWLWWLLWWW
#16
League position
#8
+2.2
Net rating
+3.2
112.6
Offensive rating
109.9
110.4
Defensive rating
106.8
54.7%
Effective FG%
52.1%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
13.8%
26.8%
Off. rebound %
23.3%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
38.5%
3-point %
41.0%
63.3%
Assist %
62.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence112.6 · 109.9Defence110.4 · 106.8Shooting54.7% · 52.1%3-point %38.5% · 41.0%Ball care15.0% · 13.8%Off. rebounds26.8% · 23.3%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Washington Wizards
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/17HSacramento Kings108-96
05/03/17HCharlotte Hornets102-112
02/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks110-98
01/03/17AChicago Bulls125-107
26/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies98-105
25/02/17HBrooklyn Nets129-109
24/02/17ASacramento Kings100-116
16/02/17HMinnesota Timberwolves99-112
14/02/17HGolden State Warriors132-110
12/02/17ACleveland Cavaliers109-125
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/03/17APhoenix Suns131-127
05/03/17HOrlando Magic115-114
04/03/17HToronto Raptors106-114
02/03/17AToronto Raptors105-96
01/03/17HGolden State Warriors112-108
26/02/17HUtah Jazz92-102
25/02/17APhiladelphia 76ers112-120
17/02/17AIndiana Pacers111-98
14/02/17HOklahoma City Thunder120-98
11/02/17HIndiana Pacers112-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW46%
HomeLWLLW53%
AwayWLLWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games713437
Win %46%53%41%
Points / game109.9113.5106.5
Allowed / game110.4110.5110.2
Point differential-0.5+3.0-3.7
Avg total220.2224.0216.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%41%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (19)33% (9)50% (10)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Washington Wizards
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeWLWLW74%
AwayWWLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693831
Win %61%74%45%
Points / game108.1109.7106.2
Allowed / game105.2103.9106.9
Point differential+2.9+5.8-0.7
Avg total213.3213.6213.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%29%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (24)83% (12)50% (12)
Overtime %9%5%13%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors70581283%117.0105.0+12.0
2 San Antonio Spurs69541578%105.998.0+7.9
3 Houston Rockets71482368%115.2108.6+6.6
4 Cleveland Cavaliers68442465%110.0106.5+3.5
5 Boston Celtics71452663%107.6105.0+2.6
6 Utah Jazz71442762%100.396.1+4.2
7 Washington Wizards69422761%108.1105.2+2.9
8 Toronto Raptors70412959%107.1103.6+3.5
9 Los Angeles Clippers70412959%106.3104.7+1.6
10 Memphis Grizzlies70403057%101.9100.7+1.3
11 Atlanta Hawks71403156%103.3103.5-0.1
12 Oklahoma City Thunder68373154%106.1106.2-0.0
13 Indiana Pacers70363451%105.3105.8-0.5
14 Detroit Pistons70343649%101.4101.2+0.2
15 Miami Heat73353848%102.6101.5+1.0
16 Chicago Bulls71343748%102.5103.0-0.5
17 Milwaukee Bucks69333648%103.9104.0-0.1
18 Denver Nuggets71333846%109.9110.4-0.5
19 Portland Trail Blazers69313845%107.5109.5-2.0
20 Minnesota Timberwolves70313944%104.4103.8+0.6
21 Charlotte Hornets71314044%103.5103.9-0.4
22 New York Knicks71304142%105.9108.5-2.6
23 Dallas Mavericks70294141%97.9100.1-2.3
24 Sacramento Kings69274239%102.6105.7-3.1
25 New Orleans Pelicans71264537%102.8106.3-3.5
26 Orlando Magic72264636%99.8105.7-5.9
27 Phoenix Suns70254536%107.4111.9-4.5
28 Philadelphia 76ers70254536%101.2107.8-6.6
29 Los Angeles Lakers72215129%104.2110.6-6.3
30 Brooklyn Nets69125717%105.3114.0-8.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets28223528113
Washington Wizards35323026123
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.