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Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 99-112
31-32 29-30 19-23 20-27
Position#17
Record25-30
FormWLWLW
Points / game110.9
Allowed / game111.8
vs
Position#24
Record21-35
FormLWLWL
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game105.8
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Minnesota Timberwolves
07 Mar 2027
DEN v MIN
upcoming
28 Dec 2026
DEN v MIN
upcoming
27 Apr 2026
DEN125
MIN113
20 Apr 2026
DEN114
MIN119
18 Apr 2026
DEN116
MIN105
01 Mar 2026
DEN108
MIN117
25 Dec 2025
DEN142
MIN138
01 Apr 2025
DEN139
MIN140
12 Mar 2025
DEN95
MIN115
19 May 2024
DEN90
MIN98
14 May 2024
DEN112
MIN97
06 May 2024
DEN80
MIN106
04 May 2024
DEN99
MIN106
10 Apr 2024
DEN116
MIN107
29 Mar 2024
DEN98
MIN111
25 Apr 2023
DEN112
MIN109
19 Apr 2023
DEN122
MIN113
16 Apr 2023
DEN109
MIN80
07 Feb 2023
DEN146
MIN112
18 Jan 2023
DEN122
MIN118
01 Apr 2022
DEN130
MIN136
15 Dec 2021
DEN107
MIN124
05 Jan 2021
DEN123
MIN116
23 Feb 2020
DEN128
MIN116
20 Dec 2019
DEN109
MIN100
10 Apr 2019
DEN99
MIN95
12 Mar 2019
DEN133
MIN107
05 Apr 2018
DEN100
MIN96
20 Dec 2017
DEN104
MIN112
15 Feb 2017
DEN99
MIN112
28 Dec 2016
DEN105
MIN103
11 Dec 2015
DEN111
MIN108
30 Oct 2015
DEN78
MIN95
17 Jan 2015
DEN105
MIN113
26 Dec 2014
DEN106
MIN102
03 Mar 2014
DEN128
MIN132
15 Nov 2013
DEN117
MIN113
09 Mar 2013
DEN111
MIN88
03 Jan 2013
DEN97
MIN101
11 Apr 2012
DEN113
MIN107
20 Feb 2012
DEN103
MIN101
09 Apr 2011
DEN130
MIN106
18 Dec 2010
DEN115
MIN113
11 Jan 2010
DEN105
MIN94
29 Nov 2009
DEN100
MIN106
10 Dec 2008
DEN116
MIN105
16 Nov 2008
DEN90
MIN84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Minnesota Timberwolves winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
123-112
123
112
+11
116avg 101
A29/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
116-120
116
120
-4
105avg 101
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
99-119
99
119
-20
92avg 101
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
121-117
121
117
+4
116avg 101
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
97-121
97
121
-24
83avg 101
A05/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
110-87
110
87
+23
112avg 101
H07/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
106-117
106
117
-11
91avg 101
A09/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
131-123
131
123
+8
128avg 101
A11/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
109-125
109
125
-16
94avg 101
A12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
132-110
132
110
+22
138avg 101
H14/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-33
38-28
36-22
28-29
30-30
29-24
17-27
40-39
18-27
31-35
20-25
30-32
31-31
39-22
28-36
23-28
27-30
23-26
22-35
25-30
29-24
30-13
23-30
28-20
30-39
25-33
32-26
19-19
34-32
30-34
36-22
31-35
33-28
22-31
23-33
31-33
42-30
37-24
28-31
25-25
229.5Avg total
114.4Scored
115.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (55)110.9111.8222.7-1.045%
Season at home (27)114.6111.8226.4+2.856%
Season away (28)107.2111.8219.0-4.636%
Last 10 (10)114.4115.1229.5-0.750%
Last 5 (5)117.6112.4230.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)110.2120.6230.8-10.420%
vs Similar ◀ (16)112.2110.0222.2+2.256%
vs Weaker (9)123.4118.4241.9+5.067%
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormTimberwolves
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
129-109
129
109
+20
124avg 97
H29/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
111-105 OT
111
105
+6
106avg 97
H31/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
97-125
97
125
-28
84avg 97
A02/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
108-116
108
116
-8
99avg 97
A04/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
99-107
99
107
-8
90avg 97
H05/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
113-115
113
115
-2
106avg 97
H07/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
W
112-109
112
109
+3
104avg 97
H09/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
L
106-122
106
122
-16
93avg 97
H11/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
117-89
117
89
+28
119avg 97
H12/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
108-116
108
116
-8
102avg 97
H15/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-26
30-29
29-23
37-31
26-23
26-28
28-28
18-19
32-36
28-27
19-30
18-32
18-24
34-29
24-30
32-33
31-15
17-33
19-21
32-38
33-40
24-31
31-22
25-22
25-33
28-30
30-25
29-21
40-28
25-33
24-37
17-24
34-17
23-23
27-25
33-24
30-26
31-43
32-24
15-23
221.3Avg total
110.0Scored
111.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (56)104.7105.8210.5-1.138%
Season at home (32)106.5104.2210.7+2.344%
Season away (24)102.2108.0210.2-5.729%
Last 10 (10)110.0111.3221.3-1.340%
Last 5 (5)111.2110.2221.4+1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)106.6110.3216.9-3.743%
vs Similar ◀ (18)103.1102.7205.7+0.439%
vs Weaker (5)111.6105.2216.8+6.480%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: +3.4+3.4Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.1-1.1
Denver NuggetsMinnesota Timberwolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A29/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A05/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H07/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A09/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A11/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H14/02
NBA
117.3Avg total
59.9Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)59.656.6116.2+3.047%-
Last 30 at home (17)60.253.8114.0+6.565%-
Last 30 away (13)58.860.4119.2-1.623%-
Last 10 (10)59.957.4117.3+2.540%-
Last 5 (5)62.457.6120.0+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.859.0119.8+1.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)58.654.6113.1+4.056%-
vs Weaker (9)60.859.0119.8+1.844%-
This opponent (Minnesota Timberwolves) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Minnesota TimberwolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H29/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
52-51
52
51
+1
H31/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A02/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
52-53
52
53
-1
A04/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H05/02
NBA
Miami Heat
#13
L
57-71
57
71
-14
H07/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H09/02
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#21
W
65-61
65
61
+4
H11/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H12/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
61-69
61
69
-8
H15/02
NBA
114.2Avg total
56.8Scored
57.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.853.6107.5+0.253%-
Last 30 at home (19)54.852.6107.4+2.268%-
Last 30 away (11)52.255.4107.5-3.227%-
Last 10 (10)56.857.4114.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)58.660.8119.4-2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)56.059.1115.1-3.143%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)52.551.2103.7+1.350%-
vs Weaker (5)55.654.6110.2+1.080%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 114.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers57.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers38.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers59.128.9
48.9%
50.2%57.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.312.7
40.6%
35.7%38.1
🏀 Free throws23.918.5
77.4%
77.0%18.5
They take 90.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Minnesota Timberwolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minnesota Timberwolves: 110.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀61%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers67.4 pts a game · 61% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers64.333.7
52.4%
50.2%67.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.77.6
35.0%
35.7%22.8
🏀 Free throws24.619.8
80.5%
77.0%19.8
They take 86.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 25% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WLWLWLWLLW
Minnesota Timberwolves
LWLWLLLLWW
#17
League position
#24
-0.7
Net rating
-1.3
114.1
Offensive rating
112.8
114.8
Defensive rating
114.1
53.0%
Effective FG%
52.4%
57.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
15.0%
Turnover %
11.7%
33.0%
Off. rebound %
25.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
40.6%
3-point %
35.0%
62.7%
Assist %
61.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.1 · 112.8Defence114.8 · 114.1Shooting53.0% · 52.4%3-point %40.6% · 35.0%Ball care15.0% · 11.7%Off. rebounds33.0% · 25.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Minnesota Timberwolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/02/17HGolden State Warriors132-110
12/02/17ACleveland Cavaliers109-125
11/02/17ANew York Knicks131-123
09/02/17AAtlanta Hawks106-117
07/02/17HDallas Mavericks110-87
05/02/17ASan Antonio Spurs97-121
04/02/17HMilwaukee Bucks121-117
02/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies99-119
01/02/17ALos Angeles Lakers116-120
29/01/17APhoenix Suns123-112
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/17HCleveland Cavaliers108-116
12/02/17HChicago Bulls117-89
11/02/17HNew Orleans Pelicans106-122
09/02/17HToronto Raptors112-109
07/02/17HMiami Heat113-115
05/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies99-107
04/02/17ADetroit Pistons108-116
02/02/17ACleveland Cavaliers97-125
31/01/17HOrlando Magic111-105 OT
29/01/17HBrooklyn Nets129-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW45%
HomeWLWWW56%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games552728
Win %45%56%36%
Points / game110.9114.6107.2
Allowed / game111.8111.8111.8
Point differential-1.0+2.8-4.6
Avg total222.7226.4219.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+24%41%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)38% (8)38% (8)
Overtime %5%11%0%
Minnesota Timberwolves
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL38%
HomeLWLWL44%
AwayLWWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games563224
Win %38%44%29%
Points / game104.7106.5102.2
Allowed / game105.8104.2108.0
Point differential-1.1+2.3-5.7
Avg total210.5210.7210.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%28%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (17)25% (8)44% (9)
Overtime %5%6%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5546984%118.4105.8+12.6
2 San Antonio Spurs56431377%106.798.4+8.4
3 Cleveland Cavaliers55391671%111.3106.0+5.4
4 Houston Rockets58401869%114.4108.0+6.4
5 Boston Celtics56371966%108.5105.7+2.8
6 Los Angeles Clippers55342162%108.1104.5+3.6
7 Washington Wizards54332161%108.0105.4+2.6
8 Utah Jazz56342261%100.095.8+4.2
9 Memphis Grizzlies58342459%100.899.5+1.3
10 Atlanta Hawks55322358%104.1104.3-0.2
11 Toronto Raptors57332458%108.5104.3+4.1
12 Oklahoma City Thunder56312555%105.8106.1-0.3
13 Indiana Pacers56292752%105.6106.3-0.7
14 Chicago Bulls56272948%102.1102.8-0.7
15 Detroit Pistons57273047%101.2101.7-0.4
16 Milwaukee Bucks55253045%105.7105.4+0.3
17 Denver Nuggets55253045%110.9111.8-1.0
18 Miami Heat57253244%101.5102.5-1.0
19 Charlotte Hornets56243243%104.5104.2+0.2
20 Sacramento Kings56243243%103.3105.6-2.4
21 Portland Trail Blazers55233242%107.6110.1-2.4
22 New York Knicks56233341%106.1109.1-3.0
23 New Orleans Pelicans57233440%103.4106.5-3.1
24 Dallas Mavericks56223439%98.1100.4-2.3
25 Minnesota Timberwolves56213538%104.7105.8-1.1
26 Philadelphia 76ers56213538%101.2106.8-5.6
27 Orlando Magic58213736%99.5106.1-6.6
28 Los Angeles Lakers57193833%104.5110.3-5.8
29 Phoenix Suns56173930%106.4112.6-6.2
30 Brooklyn Nets5694716%105.5114.2-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets3129192099
Minnesota Timberwolves32302327112
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