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Denver Nuggets vs Charlotte Hornets Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 05 Mar 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 102-112
23-31 29-30 27-29 23-22
Position#16
Record32-37
FormLWLWW
Points / game110.0
Allowed / game110.5
vs
Position#20
Record29-39
FormLWLWL
Points / game103.4
Allowed / game104.1
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Charlotte Hornets
16 Jan 2027
DEN v CHA
upcoming
18 Jan 2026
DEN87
CHA110
20 Feb 2025
DEN129
CHA115
16 Jul 2024
DEN66
CHA80
01 Jan 2024
DEN111
CHA93
18 Dec 2022
DEN119
CHA115
23 Dec 2021
DEN107
CHA115
17 Mar 2021
DEN129
CHA104
15 Jan 2020
DEN100
CHA86
05 Jan 2019
DEN123
CHA110
05 Feb 2018
DEN121
CHA104
04 Mar 2017
DEN102
CHA112
10 Jan 2016
DEN95
CHA92
31 Jan 2015
DEN86
CHA104
29 Jan 2014
DEN98
CHA101
22 Dec 2012
DEN110
CHA88
02 Mar 2011
DEN120
CHA80
25 Jan 2010
DEN104
CHA93
30 Jan 2009
DEN110
CHA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Charlotte Hornets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
106-117
106
117
-11
A09/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
W
131-123
131
123
+8
A11/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
109-125
109
125
-16
A12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
132-110
132
110
+22
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
99-112
99
112
-13
H16/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
100-116
100
116
-16
A24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
129-109
129
109
+20
H25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
98-105
98
105
-7
H26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
W
125-107
125
107
+18
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
110-98
110
98
+12
A02/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-39
25-33
32-26
19-19
34-32
30-34
36-22
31-35
33-28
22-31
23-33
31-33
42-30
37-24
28-31
25-25
31-32
29-30
19-23
20-27
26-29
18-32
26-26
30-29
30-25
34-28
37-22
28-34
19-22
28-28
21-18
30-37
22-25
34-34
35-24
34-24
32-15
31-22
23-29
24-32
226.1Avg total
113.9Scored
112.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (69)110.0110.5220.6-0.546%
Season at home (32)114.1110.9225.0+3.253%
Season away (37)106.5110.2216.8-3.741%
Last 10 (10)113.9112.2226.1+1.750%
Last 5 (5)112.4107.0219.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)110.2120.6230.8-10.420%
vs Similar ◀ (16)112.1109.2221.3+2.856%
vs Weaker (9)120.2117.1237.3+3.156%
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
111-107
111
107
+4
H08/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
L
95-107
95
107
-12
H10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
102-107
102
107
-5
H11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
99-105
99
105
-6
H14/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
85-90
85
90
-5
A16/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
L
108-114 OT
108
114
-6
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
99-85
99
85
+14
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
121-124 OT
121
124
-3
A27/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
109-104
109
104
+5
A01/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
103-120
103
120
-17
A03/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-16
30-21
27-35
30-35
29-23
25-27
22-36
19-21
27-29
24-24
19-24
32-30
22-31
25-17
25-32
27-25
20-31
21-13
34-14
10-32
28-23
34-27
23-20
15-30
24-19
27-21
28-18
20-27
24-32
27-27
29-25
33-29
27-31
31-24
22-27
29-22
32-28
26-33
33-33
12-26
209.5Avg total
103.2Scored
106.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (68)103.4104.1207.5-0.643%
Season at home (32)104.2101.4205.5+2.856%
Season away (36)102.8106.4209.2-3.731%
Last 10 (10)103.2106.3209.5-3.130%
Last 5 (5)108.0109.4217.4-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)101.6113.8215.4-12.20%
vs Similar ◀ (18)104.9104.8209.8+0.128%
vs Weaker (7)106.7106.3213.0+0.457%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +2.2+2.2Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +2.6+2.6Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -5.0-5.0
Denver NuggetsCharlotte Hornets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#11
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A09/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#23
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A11/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#5
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A12/02
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
W
79-54
79
54
+25
H14/02
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#21
L
60-62
60
62
-2
H16/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
44-61
44
61
-17
A24/02
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H25/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#12
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H26/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#17
L
56-59
56
59
-3
A01/03
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
63-37
63
37
+26
A02/03
NBA
116.0Avg total
58.7Scored
57.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.556.3114.8+2.237%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.053.8112.8+5.250%-
Last 30 away (14)57.959.1117.1-1.221%-
Last 10 (10)58.757.3116.0+1.430%-
Last 5 (5)54.852.0106.8+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)60.859.0119.8+1.820%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)57.654.2111.9+3.438%-
vs Weaker (9)58.858.3117.1+0.444%-
This opponent (Charlotte Hornets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Charlotte HornetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#30
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H08/02
NBA
Houston Rockets
#3
W
54-50
54
50
+4
H10/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
51-53
51
53
-2
H11/02
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#27
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H14/02
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#7
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A16/02
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#19
W
62-50
62
50
+12
A24/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A25/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
L
51-59
51
59
-8
A27/02
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#29
W
58-55
58
55
+3
A01/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#28
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A03/03
NBA
102.4Avg total
52.7Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.053.7105.7-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.951.4103.3+0.546%-
Last 30 away (17)52.055.5107.5-3.529%-
Last 10 (10)52.749.7102.4+3.050%-
Last 5 (5)56.053.0109.0+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)50.858.8109.6-8.040%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)51.253.6104.7-2.428%-
vs Weaker (7)54.950.6105.4+4.357%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers58.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers40.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers55.629.4
52.9%
50.2%58.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.113.6
38.7%
35.7%40.8
🏀 Free throws18.614.3
76.9%
77.0%14.3
They take 90.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Charlotte Hornetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Charlotte Hornets: 103.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers51.824.6
47.5%
50.2%49.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.911.7
34.5%
35.7%35.1
🏀 Free throws22.418.9
84.4%
77.0%18.9
They take 85.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Mar 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
WWLWLLWLWL
Charlotte Hornets
LWLWLLLLLW
#16
League position
#20
+1.7
Net rating
-3.1
114.4
Offensive rating
102.3
112.7
Defensive rating
105.4
54.9%
Effective FG%
49.2%
55.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
14.4%
Turnover %
12.9%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
17.7%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.26
38.7%
3-point %
34.5%
61.6%
Assist %
59.0%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence114.4 · 102.3Defence112.7 · 105.4Shooting54.9% · 49.2%3-point %38.7% · 34.5%Ball care14.4% · 12.9%Off. rebounds30.0% · 17.7%Free throws0.21 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 30%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Charlotte Hornets
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
02/03/17AMilwaukee Bucks110-98
01/03/17AChicago Bulls125-107
26/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies98-105
25/02/17HBrooklyn Nets129-109
24/02/17ASacramento Kings100-116
16/02/17HMinnesota Timberwolves99-112
14/02/17HGolden State Warriors132-110
12/02/17ACleveland Cavaliers109-125
11/02/17ANew York Knicks131-123
09/02/17AAtlanta Hawks106-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/03/17APhoenix Suns103-120
01/03/17ALos Angeles Lakers109-104
27/02/17ALos Angeles Clippers121-124 OT
25/02/17ASacramento Kings99-85
24/02/17ADetroit Pistons108-114 OT
16/02/17AToronto Raptors85-90
14/02/17HPhiladelphia 76ers99-105
11/02/17HLos Angeles Clippers102-107
10/02/17HHouston Rockets95-107
08/02/17HBrooklyn Nets111-107

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW46%
HomeWWLWL53%
AwayWLLWW41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games693237
Win %46%53%41%
Points / game110.0114.1106.5
Allowed / game110.5110.9110.2
Point differential-0.5+3.2-3.7
Avg total220.6225.0216.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%41%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (19)33% (9)50% (10)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Charlotte Hornets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL43%
HomeLWLLL56%
AwayLWLWL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games683236
Win %43%56%31%
Points / game103.4104.2102.8
Allowed / game104.1101.4106.4
Point differential-0.6+2.8-3.7
Avg total207.5205.5209.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won35% (20)44% (9)27% (11)
Overtime %9%3%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors68561282%117.0104.9+12.1
2 San Antonio Spurs66511577%105.897.9+8.0
3 Houston Rockets68472169%115.3108.5+6.8
4 Cleveland Cavaliers67442366%110.2106.5+3.7
5 Boston Celtics69452465%107.7104.8+2.9
6 Utah Jazz68412760%100.195.9+4.2
7 Washington Wizards67402760%107.7104.8+2.9
8 Memphis Grizzlies68402859%101.8100.0+1.7
9 Los Angeles Clippers68402859%106.4104.7+1.7
10 Toronto Raptors69402958%107.3103.8+3.5
11 Atlanta Hawks68392957%103.2103.3-0.1
12 Oklahoma City Thunder66372956%106.2105.9+0.3
13 Indiana Pacers67343351%105.5106.1-0.6
14 Chicago Bulls69343549%102.7103.0-0.2
15 Detroit Pistons68333549%101.3101.1+0.2
16 Miami Heat71333846%102.5101.6+0.9
17 Denver Nuggets69323746%110.0110.5-0.5
18 Milwaukee Bucks67313646%103.8104.3-0.5
19 Minnesota Timberwolves68303844%104.6104.1+0.5
20 Portland Trail Blazers67293843%106.9109.3-2.3
21 Charlotte Hornets68293943%103.4104.1-0.6
22 New York Knicks68293943%106.0108.5-2.6
23 Sacramento Kings66273941%102.5105.4-2.9
24 Dallas Mavericks68274140%97.4100.1-2.7
25 New Orleans Pelicans68254337%103.3106.8-3.5
26 Orlando Magic69254436%99.6105.7-6.1
27 Philadelphia 76ers69254436%101.3107.7-6.5
28 Phoenix Suns68244435%107.1111.7-4.6
29 Los Angeles Lakers70214930%104.2110.5-6.3
30 Brooklyn Nets66115517%104.9113.9-9.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets23292723102
Charlotte Hornets31302922112
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