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Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Feb 2017
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 132-110
42-30 37-24 28-31 25-25
Position#17
Record24-30
FormLWLWL
Points / game110.5
Allowed / game111.9
vs
Position#1
Record46-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game118.6
Allowed / game105.3
USANBA· Pepsi Center
NBA2016-17
Meetings · Denver Nuggets v Golden State Warriors
12 Mar 2027
DEN v GSW
upcoming
26 Oct 2026
DEN114
GSW134
29 Mar 2026
DEN116
GSW93
07 Nov 2025
DEN129
GSW104
03 Dec 2024
DEN119
GSW115
25 Dec 2023
DEN120
GSW114
08 Nov 2023
DEN108
GSW105
02 Apr 2023
DEN112
GSW110
02 Feb 2023
DEN134
GSW117
24 Apr 2022
DEN126
GSW121
21 Apr 2022
DEN113
GSW118
10 Mar 2022
DEN102
GSW113
07 Mar 2022
DEN131
GSW124
14 Jan 2021
DEN114
GSW104
03 Mar 2020
DEN100
GSW116
15 Jan 2019
DEN111
GSW142
21 Oct 2018
DEN100
GSW98
03 Feb 2018
DEN115
GSW108
04 Nov 2017
DEN108
GSW127
13 Feb 2017
DEN132
GSW110
10 Nov 2016
DEN101
GSW125
13 Jan 2016
DEN112
GSW110
22 Nov 2015
DEN105
GSW118
13 Mar 2015
DEN114
GSW103
16 Apr 2014
DEN112
GSW116
23 Dec 2013
DEN81
GSW89
30 Apr 2013
DEN107
GSW100
23 Apr 2013
DEN117
GSW131
20 Apr 2013
DEN97
GSW95
13 Jan 2013
DEN116
GSW105
23 Nov 2012
DEN102
GSW91
09 Apr 2012
DEN123
GSW84
09 Feb 2012
DEN101
GSW109
11 Apr 2011
DEN134
GSW111
05 Jan 2010
DEN123
GSW122
01 Dec 2009
DEN135
GSW107
28 Mar 2009
DEN129
GSW116
13 Dec 2008
DEN123
GSW105
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Denver Nuggets winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Golden State Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNuggets
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
127-120
127
120
+7
126avg 100
H27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
W
123-112
123
112
+11
116avg 100
A29/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
L
116-120
116
120
-4
105avg 100
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
99-119
99
119
-20
92avg 100
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
121-117
121
117
+4
116avg 100
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
97-121
97
121
-24
83avg 100
A05/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
110-87
110
87
+23
112avg 100
H07/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
106-117
106
117
-11
91avg 100
A09/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
W
131-123
131
123
+8
128avg 100
A11/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
109-125
109
125
-16
94avg 100
A12/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
35-29
22-32
39-31
31-28
21-33
38-28
36-22
28-29
30-30
29-24
17-27
40-39
18-27
31-35
20-25
30-32
31-31
39-22
28-36
23-28
27-30
23-26
22-35
25-30
29-24
30-13
23-30
28-20
30-39
25-33
32-26
19-19
34-32
30-34
36-22
31-35
33-28
22-31
23-33
31-33
230.0Avg total
113.9Scored
116.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)110.5111.9222.3-1.444%
Season at home (26)114.0111.9225.8+2.154%
Season away (28)107.2111.8219.0-4.636%
Last 10 (10)113.9116.1230.0-2.250%
Last 5 (5)110.6114.6225.2-4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)104.8123.2228.0-18.50%
vs Similar (17)111.0110.1221.1+0.953%
vs Weaker (9)123.4118.4241.9+5.067%
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWarriors
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#13
L
102-105
102
105
-3
94avg 111
A24/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
113-103
113
103
+10
107avg 111
A26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
144-98
144
98
+46
150avg 111
H29/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
113-111
113
111
+2
109avg 111
A30/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
126-111
126
111
+15
124avg 111
H02/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
133-120
133
120
+13
133avg 111
A03/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
L
106-109 OT
106
109
-3
93avg 111
A05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
123-92
123
92
+31
131avg 111
H09/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
122-107
122
107
+15
119avg 111
A11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
130-114
130
114
+16
123avg 111
A12/02
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-28
18-18
25-31
29-28
29-28
24-19
22-33
38-23
31-22
41-29
45-23
27-24
33-24
20-26
31-24
29-37
41-21
36-35
31-27
18-28
33-22
32-33
39-32
29-33
31-27
25-29
26-26
16-16
30-17
25-24
31-29
37-22
29-22
33-27
36-28
24-30
30-24
43-26
32-37
25-27
228.2Avg total
121.2Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)118.6105.3223.8+13.385%
Season at home (26)122.3104.7227.0+17.588%
Season away (28)115.1105.8220.9+9.382%
Last 10 (10)121.2107.0228.2+14.280%
Last 5 (5)122.8108.4231.2+14.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)118.9104.8223.7+14.287%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +8.2+8.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +8.2+8.2Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: +3.1+3.1Q3Q3: -1.1-1.1Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriors
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
57-61
57
61
-4
H27/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#29
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A29/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#28
W
59-54
59
54
+5
A01/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
L
49-62
49
62
-13
H02/02
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#14
W
70-53
70
53
+17
H04/02
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#2
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A05/02
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#22
W
59-37
59
37
+22
H07/02
NBA
Atlanta Hawks
#12
L
55-72
55
72
-17
A09/02
NBA
New York Knicks
#25
L
64-66
64
66
-2
A11/02
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#4
L
55-59
55
59
-4
A12/02
NBA
115.8Avg total
57.7Scored
58.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)58.457.0115.4+1.443%-
Last 30 at home (16)59.153.8112.8+5.362%-
Last 30 away (14)57.660.7118.4-3.121%-
Last 10 (10)57.758.1115.8-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)56.658.0114.6-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)56.260.2116.5-4.00%-
vs Similar (17)57.655.2112.8+2.553%-
vs Weaker (9)60.859.0119.8+1.844%-
This opponent (Golden State Warriors) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Golden State WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Miami Heat
#13
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A24/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
53-47
53
47
+6
A26/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
72-51
72
51
+21
H29/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#18
W
53-50
53
50
+3
A30/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#20
W
77-56
77
56
+21
H02/02
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#6
W
65-55
65
55
+10
A03/02
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#23
D
56-56
56
56
+0
A05/02
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#15
W
55-41
55
41
+14
H09/02
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#11
W
62-49
62
49
+13
A11/02
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#10
W
73-50
73
50
+23
A12/02
NBA
111.5Avg total
61.4Scored
50.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)60.753.3114.0+7.570%-
Last 30 at home (15)64.752.1116.7+12.680%-
Last 30 away (15)56.854.5111.3+2.360%-
Last 10 (10)61.450.1111.5+11.390%-
Last 5 (5)62.250.2112.4+12.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (30)60.753.3114.0+7.570%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Denver Nuggetstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Denver Nuggets: 113.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.730.0
49.4%
50.2%60.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.511.2
38.0%
35.7%33.6
🏀 Free throws25.820.3
78.7%
77.0%20.3
They take 90.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Golden State Warriorstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Golden State Warriors: 121.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers60.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers41.1 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 105.4 points a game
55%
27%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers53.630.4
56.7%
50.2%60.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.613.7
40.8%
35.7%41.1
🏀 Free throws24.419.3
79.1%
77.0%19.3
They take 87.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 32%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2017 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Denver Nuggets
LWLWLWLLWW
Golden State Warriors
WWWLWWWWWL
#17
League position
#1
-2.2
Net rating
+13.8
114.3
Offensive rating
118.0
116.5
Defensive rating
104.1
51.9%
Effective FG%
58.4%
57.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.9%
14.1%
Turnover %
12.5%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
20.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
38.0%
3-point %
40.8%
62.1%
Assist %
68.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 118.0Defence116.5 · 104.1Shooting51.9% · 58.4%3-point %38.0% · 40.8%Ball care14.1% · 12.5%Off. rebounds33.9% · 20.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Denver Nuggets   ■ Golden State Warriors
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/17ACleveland Cavaliers109-125
11/02/17ANew York Knicks131-123
09/02/17AAtlanta Hawks106-117
07/02/17HDallas Mavericks110-87
05/02/17ASan Antonio Spurs97-121
04/02/17HMilwaukee Bucks121-117
02/02/17HMemphis Grizzlies99-119
01/02/17ALos Angeles Lakers116-120
29/01/17APhoenix Suns123-112
27/01/17HPhoenix Suns127-120
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/17AOklahoma City Thunder130-114
11/02/17AMemphis Grizzlies122-107
09/02/17HChicago Bulls123-92
05/02/17ASacramento Kings106-109 OT
03/02/17ALos Angeles Clippers133-120
02/02/17HCharlotte Hornets126-111
30/01/17APortland Trail Blazers113-111
29/01/17HLos Angeles Clippers144-98
26/01/17ACharlotte Hornets113-103
24/01/17AMiami Heat102-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Denver Nuggets
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL44%
HomeWWLWW54%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542628
Win %44%54%36%
Points / game110.5114.0107.2
Allowed / game111.9111.9111.8
Point differential-1.4+2.1-4.6
Avg total222.3225.8219.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%38%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (16)38% (8)38% (8)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Golden State Warriors
NBA 2016-17
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW85%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayWWLWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542628
Win %85%88%82%
Points / game118.6122.3115.1
Allowed / game105.3104.7105.8
Point differential+13.3+17.5+9.3
Avg total223.8227.0220.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%73%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)50% (2)50% (6)
Overtime %6%8%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors5446885%118.6105.3+13.3
2 San Antonio Spurs55421376%106.798.7+8.0
3 Houston Rockets57401770%114.5107.8+6.7
4 Cleveland Cavaliers53371670%111.2106.0+5.3
5 Boston Celtics55361965%108.3105.6+2.7
6 Utah Jazz55342162%100.596.0+4.6
7 Los Angeles Clippers54332161%108.5105.1+3.4
8 Washington Wizards54332161%108.0105.4+2.6
9 Memphis Grizzlies57342360%101.099.6+1.4
10 Toronto Raptors55322358%109.1104.7+4.4
11 Atlanta Hawks54312357%104.1104.4-0.3
12 Oklahoma City Thunder56312555%105.8106.1-0.3
13 Indiana Pacers55292653%105.7106.2-0.5
14 Chicago Bulls55262947%102.1103.0-0.9
15 Detroit Pistons56263046%101.3101.9-0.6
16 Milwaukee Bucks54243044%105.2105.0+0.2
17 Denver Nuggets54243044%110.5111.9-1.4
18 Charlotte Hornets55243144%104.8104.5+0.3
19 Miami Heat56243243%101.2102.4-1.2
20 Portland Trail Blazers54233143%107.7110.1-2.4
21 Sacramento Kings55233242%103.4105.8-2.4
22 New York Knicks56233341%106.1109.1-3.0
23 Dallas Mavericks55223340%98.2100.4-2.2
24 Minnesota Timberwolves55213438%104.6105.6-1.0
25 New Orleans Pelicans55213438%103.4106.8-3.4
26 Philadelphia 76ers55213438%101.1106.6-5.6
27 Orlando Magic57213637%99.9106.1-6.2
28 Los Angeles Lakers56193734%104.7110.5-5.8
29 Phoenix Suns55173831%106.4112.7-6.3
30 Brooklyn Nets5594616%105.1113.9-8.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Denver Nuggets42372825132
Golden State Warriors30243125110
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