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Gargzdai vs BC Wolves Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 21 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 85-82
23-20 22-17 27-25 13-20
Position#11
Record4-18
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game85.0
Gargzdai 🏆
Lithuania
vs
BC Wolves
Lithuania
Position#3
Record15-7
FormWWLLW
Points / game85.5
Allowed / game80.6
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Gargzdai v BC Wolves
21 Mar 2023
GAR85
WOL82
09 Oct 2022
GAR68
WOL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
BC Wolves winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
L
92-99
92
99
-7
85avg 71
A19/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
65avg 71
H21/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 71
H09/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
68-69
68
69
-1
65avg 71
H15/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 71
H30/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
A06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
72-102
72
102
-30
64avg 71
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A16/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 71
A04/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
L
54-73
54
73
-19
45avg 71
H13/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-21
24-35
26-18
17-25
14-20
19-17
17-33
21-19
12-27
27-15
17-16
18-13
18-15
10-25
22-19
18-10
18-17
22-17
14-10
25-25
15-29
20-16
27-19
28-28
24-17
17-24
16-37
15-24
25-24
19-26
15-21
21-9
22-17
19-27
15-15
17-23
17-10
19-21
10-19
8-23
161.0Avg total
77.2Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)77.585.0162.5-7.518%
Season at home (11)71.079.1150.1-8.118%
Season away (11)83.990.9174.8-7.018%
Last 10 (10)77.283.8161.0-6.630%
Last 5 (5)77.688.2165.8-10.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)75.886.9162.7-11.26%
vs Similar (4)85.076.2161.2+8.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormWolves
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
W
85-75
85
75
+10
no box
H31/01
ENBL
Brno
#14
W
62-56
62
56
+6
no box
A01/02
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
80-75
80
75
+5
75avg 79
H06/02
LKL
Szczecin
#5
W
87-84
87
84
+3
no box
H09/02
ENBL
Siauliai
#9
L
102-107
102
107
-5
100avg 79
A13/02
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
79-63
79
63
+16
72avg 79
H15/02
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
88-78
88
78
+10
no box
A05/03
LKL
Budivelnyk
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
H11/03
ENBL
Jonava
#6
L
94-99 OT
94
99
-5
no box
H13/03
LKL
Budivelnyk
#2
W
87-79 OT
87
79
+8
no box
A18/03
ENBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
19-24
19-20
23-8
14-11
17-19
15-18
16-8
23-17
16-16
19-19
22-23
17-18
28-31
17-15
25-20
27-20
23-28
27-24
25-35
21-9
19-18
20-17
19-19
23-18
22-20
21-19
22-21
18-20
20-23
21-22
21-18
29-9
12-17
17-22
22-32
22-17
15-23
16-14
21-17
164.3Avg total
84.4Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)85.580.6166.1+5.068%
Season at home (11)86.577.6164.1+8.873%
Season away (11)84.683.5168.2+1.164%
Last 10 (10)84.479.9164.3+4.570%
Last 5 (5)85.680.4166.0+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)80.886.0166.8-5.233%
vs Similar (8)88.283.1171.4+5.162%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)85.678.9164.6+6.775%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +5.6+5.6Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -2.8-2.8Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +1.5+1.5
GargzdaiBC Wolves
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nevezis
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A19/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H21/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H15/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A16/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A04/03
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H13/03
LKL
80.6Avg total
38.6Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)37.542.980.4-5.318%-
Last 30 at home (11)35.539.374.8-3.727%-
Last 30 away (11)39.546.586.0-6.99%-
Last 10 (10)38.642.080.6-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.281.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)36.943.780.6-6.811%-
vs Similar (4)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (BC Wolves) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BC WolvesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ostrow Wielkopolski
#3
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H31/01
ENBL
Brno
#14
W
31-30
31
30
+1
A01/02
ENBL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H06/02
LKL
Szczecin
#5
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H09/02
ENBL
Siauliai
#9
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A13/02
LKL
Neptunas
#7
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H15/02
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A05/03
LKL
Budivelnyk
#2
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H11/03
ENBL
Jonava
#6
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H13/03
LKL
Budivelnyk
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A18/03
ENBL
79.0Avg total
40.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.540.081.5+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.038.681.6+4.464%-
Last 30 away (16)40.241.281.4-1.144%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.179.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.234.875.0+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.843.381.2-5.517%-
vs Similar (8)45.142.287.4+2.938%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)41.137.678.7+3.475%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.417.9
47.9%
54.9%35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.28.0
36.0%
35.0%24.0
🏀 Free throws22.414.7
65.6%
74.2%14.7
They take 59.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
BC Wolvestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

BC Wolves: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.017.1
59.0%
54.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.712.0
43.3%
35.0%36.0
🏀 Free throws15.511.4
73.5%
74.2%11.4
They take 56.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LLWLLWLWLL
BC Wolves
WLLWWLWWWW
#11
League position
#3
-12.2
Net rating
+11.5
102.3
Offensive rating
120.2
114.5
Defensive rating
108.7
50.2%
Effective FG%
61.9%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.6%
19.9%
Turnover %
20.0%
29.6%
Off. rebound %
33.0%
0.38
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.0%
3-point %
43.3%
62.9%
Assist %
70.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 120.2Defence114.5 · 108.7Shooting50.2% · 61.9%3-point %36.0% · 43.3%Ball care19.9% · 20.0%Off. rebounds29.6% · 33.0%Free throws0.38 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Gargzdai   ■ BC Wolves
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
2
BC Wolves wins
DateGameScore
12/12/22BC Wolves v Gargzdai96-82
09/10/22Gargzdai v BC Wolves68-73
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/23HNeptunas54-73
04/03/23ALietkabelis73-82
16/02/23ASiauliai99-92 OT
11/02/23ARytas72-102
06/02/23AJuventus90-92
30/01/23HPieno Zvaigzdes79-69
15/01/23HJonava68-69
09/01/23HPrienai74-71
21/12/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-89
19/12/22ANevezis92-99
BC Wolveslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/23ABudivelnyk87-79 OT
13/03/23HJonava94-99 OT
11/03/23HBudivelnyk80-83
05/03/23APrienai88-78
15/02/23HNeptunas79-63
13/02/23ASiauliai102-107
09/02/23HSzczecin87-84
06/02/23HZalgiris Kaunas80-75
01/02/23ABrno62-56
31/01/23HOstrow Wielkopolski85-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL18%
HomeLWLWL18%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %18%18%18%
Points / game77.571.083.9
Allowed / game85.079.190.9
Point differential-7.5-8.1-7.0
Avg total162.5150.1174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
BC Wolves
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL68%
HomeLWWWL73%
AwayWWWLW64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %68%73%64%
Points / game85.586.584.6
Allowed / game80.677.683.5
Point differential+5.0+8.8+1.1
Avg total166.1164.1168.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%45%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)33% (3)67% (6)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2319483%87.073.1+13.8
2 Rytas2217577%90.481.5+8.9
3 BC Wolves2215768%85.580.6+5.0
4 Lietkabelis2315865%85.982.4+3.5
5 Jonava2314961%81.579.3+2.2
6 Juventus2314961%85.083.4+1.5
7 Nevezis23101343%82.984.9-2.0
8 Siauliai23101343%83.986.3-2.4
9 Neptunas23101343%78.380.9-2.6
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2251723%78.288.7-10.5
11 Gargzdai2241818%77.585.0-7.5
12 Prienai2332013%79.089.0-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai2322271385
BC Wolves2017252082
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