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Gargzdai vs Neptunas Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 13 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 54-73
17-10 19-21 10-19 8-23
Position#11
Record4-17
FormWLLWL
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Position#7
Record9-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game81.7
LithuaniaLKL
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Gargzdai v Neptunas
06 Feb 2027
GAR v NEP
upcoming
26 Sep 2026
GAR87
NEP78
23 May 2026
GAR74
NEP84
14 Mar 2026
GAR81
NEP70
13 Dec 2025
GAR87
NEP104
06 Nov 2023
GAR73
NEP92
25 Oct 2023
GAR87
NEP97
13 Mar 2023
GAR54
NEP73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neptunas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
82-96
82
96
-14
no box
A12/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
92-99
92
99
-7
85avg 72
A19/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
71-89
71
89
-18
65avg 72
H21/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
W
74-71
74
71
+3
66avg 72
H09/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
68-69
68
69
-1
65avg 72
H15/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
79-69
79
69
+10
74avg 72
H30/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
A06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
L
72-102
72
102
-30
64avg 72
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
99-92 OT
99
92
+7
no box
A16/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
73-82
73
82
-9
63avg 72
A04/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
18-30
16-21
22-21
25-21
24-35
26-18
17-25
14-20
19-17
17-33
21-19
12-27
27-15
17-16
18-13
18-15
10-25
22-19
18-10
18-17
22-17
14-10
25-25
15-29
20-16
27-19
28-28
24-17
17-24
16-37
15-24
25-24
19-26
15-21
21-9
22-17
19-27
15-15
17-23
166.1Avg total
80.0Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.685.6164.1-7.019%
Season at home (10)72.779.7152.4-7.020%
Season away (11)83.990.9174.8-7.018%
Last 10 (10)80.086.1166.1-6.130%
Last 5 (5)82.687.4170.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)77.187.8164.8-10.76%
vs Similar (4)85.076.2161.2+8.875%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNeptunas
Date
Competition
Jonava
#3
L
80-85
80
85
-5
no box
H04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
46-77
46
77
-31
33avg 72
A08/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
81-73
81
73
+8
84avg 72
A14/01
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
75-76
75
76
-1
no box
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 72
H28/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
66-83
66
83
-17
58avg 72
A01/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
85-91
85
91
-6
76avg 72
A05/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
W
98-97
98
97
+1
99avg 72
H13/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
63-79
63
79
-16
57avg 72
A15/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
93-79
93
79
+14
91avg 72
H06/03
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-24
17-26
14-15
29-20
13-12
13-19
15-25
5-21
19-16
29-23
16-22
17-12
18-21
16-15
21-16
20-24
15-22
21-20
11-27
23-13
22-19
19-20
14-21
11-23
16-18
15-22
31-25
23-26
21-27
27-30
18-25
32-15
9-21
18-19
17-20
19-19
28-15
19-18
27-32
19-14
157.9Avg total
75.7Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)78.581.7160.2-3.243%
Season at home (10)86.082.5168.5+3.560%
Season away (11)71.681.0152.6-9.427%
Last 10 (10)75.782.2157.9-6.530%
Last 5 (5)81.085.8166.8-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.181.3151.4-11.222%
vs Similar (8)78.581.8160.2-3.250%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)90.783.6174.3+7.162%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.2-1.2Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: -3.7-3.7Q2: -1.8-1.8Q3Q3: -2.4-2.4Q3: -4.4-4.4Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.1+1.1
GargzdaiNeptunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Wolves
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A12/12
LKL
Nevezis
#8
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A19/12
LKL
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H21/12
LKL
Prienai
#12
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H09/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
L
28-40
28
40
-12
H15/01
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
W
40-34
40
34
+6
H30/01
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A06/02
LKL
Rytas
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A11/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A16/02
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A04/03
LKL
83.7Avg total
39.4Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)37.643.481.0-5.814%-
Last 30 at home (10)35.540.175.6-4.620%-
Last 30 away (11)39.546.586.0-6.99%-
Last 10 (10)39.444.383.7-4.910%-
Last 5 (5)40.242.883.0-2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)36.944.581.4-7.56%-
vs Similar (4)40.539.079.5+1.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Neptunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NeptunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jonava
#3
L
37-50
37
50
-13
H04/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Zalgiris Kaunas
#1
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A08/01
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A14/01
LKL
Jonava
#3
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A21/01
King Mindaugas Cup
Rytas
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H28/01
LKL
Jonava
#6
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A01/02
LKL
Pieno Zvaigzdes
#10
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A05/02
LKL
Juventus
#5
L
48-57
48
57
-9
H13/02
LKL
BC Wolves
#3
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A15/02
LKL
Siauliai
#9
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H06/03
LKL
78.2Avg total
37.5Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.340.179.4-0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.842.184.9+0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)36.238.474.6-2.144%-
Last 10 (10)37.540.778.2-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.880.6-3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.939.073.9-4.133%-
vs Similar (8)39.843.483.1-3.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.138.981.0+3.262%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 75.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.9
51.6%
54.9%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.28.1
34.9%
35.0%24.3
🏀 Free throws22.013.8
62.7%
74.2%13.8
They take 59.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neptunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neptunas: 76.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.0
51.2%
54.9%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.17.4
30.7%
35.0%22.2
🏀 Free throws22.016.0
72.7%
74.2%16.0
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Mar 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LWLLWLWLLL
Neptunas
WLWLLLLWLL
#11
League position
#7
-11.9
Net rating
-5.9
103.9
Offensive rating
104.4
115.8
Defensive rating
110.3
51.9%
Effective FG%
49.2%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
20.3%
Turnover %
19.1%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
32.8%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.9%
3-point %
30.7%
63.0%
Assist %
60.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 104.4Defence115.8 · 110.3Shooting51.9% · 49.2%3-point %34.9% · 30.7%Ball care20.3% · 19.1%Off. rebounds30.1% · 32.8%Free throws0.37 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Neptunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
1
Neptunas wins
DateGameScore
24/10/22Neptunas v Gargzdai94-69
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/23ALietkabelis73-82
16/02/23ASiauliai99-92 OT
11/02/23ARytas72-102
06/02/23AJuventus90-92
30/01/23HPieno Zvaigzdes79-69
15/01/23HJonava68-69
09/01/23HPrienai74-71
21/12/22HZalgiris Kaunas71-89
19/12/22ANevezis92-99
12/12/22ABC Wolves82-96
Neptunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/23HSiauliai93-79
15/02/23ABC Wolves63-79
13/02/23HJuventus98-97
05/02/23APieno Zvaigzdes85-91
01/02/23AJonava66-83
28/01/23HRytas70-82
21/01/23AJonava75-76
14/01/23ALietkabelis81-73
08/01/23AZalgiris Kaunas46-77
04/01/23HJonava80-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL19%
HomeLLWLW20%
AwayLLLWL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %19%20%18%
Points / game78.672.783.9
Allowed / game85.679.790.9
Point differential-7.0-7.0-7.0
Avg total164.1152.4174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%10%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won14% (7)20% (5)0% (2)
Overtime %5%0%9%
Neptunas
LKL 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW43%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayLWLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %43%60%27%
Points / game78.586.071.6
Allowed / game81.782.581.0
Point differential-3.2+3.5-9.4
Avg total160.2168.5152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%30%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %10%10%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas2218482%86.872.8+14.0
2 Rytas2116576%89.781.8+8.0
3 BC Wolves2115671%85.179.7+5.4
4 Lietkabelis2214864%85.782.7+3.0
5 Juventus2214864%84.983.1+1.8
6 Jonava2112957%80.578.9+1.6
7 Siauliai21101148%83.985.5-1.6
8 Nevezis2191243%82.084.2-2.1
9 Neptunas2191243%78.581.7-3.2
10 Pieno Zvaigzdes2151624%78.488.0-9.6
11 Gargzdai2141719%78.685.6-7.0
12 Prienai222209%78.589.1-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Gargzdai171910854
Neptunas1021192373
← all games of the day
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