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Gargzdai vs Zalgiris Kaunas Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 11 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 14:00
Scheduled
Position#3
Record6-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game87.3
Gargzdai
Lithuania
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.9/10
Below normal
5.0/10
Around normal
Zalgiris Kaunas
Lithuania
Position#1
Record10-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game92.6
Allowed / game76.7
LithuaniaLKL· Gargzdu arena
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas
11 Apr 2027
GAR v ZAL
upcoming
17 Sep 2026
GAR77
ZAL98
15 Feb 2026
GAR63
ZAL69
26 Oct 2025
GAR73
ZAL89
17 Sep 2023
GAR55
ZAL107
21 Dec 2022
GAR71
ZAL89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Gargzdai win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zalgiris Kaunas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

GargzdaiLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGargzdai
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
105-102
105
102
+3
96avg 81
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 81
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
102-82
102
82
+20
97avg 81
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
101-86
101
86
+15
103avg 81
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
90-100
90
100
-10
80avg 81
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
83-80
83
80
+3
81avg 81
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
74avg 81
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
76-87
76
87
-11
no box
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
91-70
91
70
+21
no box
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
82-97
82
97
-15
no box
A14/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-25
20-23
27-32
27-22
16-20
29-21
18-24
16-10
22-29
29-19
24-20
27-14
18-18
27-20
30-25
26-23
25-31
26-26
19-20
20-23
27-14
12-23
16-22
28-21
17-15
24-26
23-9
17-28
25-22
17-27
19-18
15-20
17-20
20-16
30-18
24-16
25-28
16-19
22-24
19-26
174.7Avg total
89.0Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)88.387.3175.6+1.060%
Season at home (4)84.283.8168.0+0.575%
Season away (6)91.089.7180.7+1.350%
Last 10 (10)89.085.7174.7+3.370%
Last 5 (5)82.682.4165.0+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)78.586.5165.0-7.936%
vs Similar (10)90.888.3179.1+2.570%
vs Weaker (9)89.084.7173.7+4.367%
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKaunas
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
96-76
96
76
+20
95avg 89
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
105-85
105
85
+20
106avg 89
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
86-63
86
63
+23
93avg 89
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
91-74
91
74
+17
89avg 89
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
87-80
87
80
+7
84avg 89
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
W
94-89
94
89
+5
no box
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
83-67
83
67
+16
no box
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
94-85
94
85
+9
no box
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
86-83
86
83
+3
no box
A12/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#5
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
H15/11
LKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
18-19
30-14
23-20
29-20
21-14
31-25
24-26
24-15
17-11
24-14
21-23
14-22
23-13
28-18
26-21
27-21
17-19
25-17
18-23
25-21
17-28
28-20
24-20
20-17
25-14
17-13
21-23
21-17
27-25
12-20
34-23
18-25
27-16
18-11
23-31
23-29
25-14
21-25
18-14
169.3Avg total
90.9Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)92.676.7169.3+15.9100%
Season at home (5)93.474.2167.6+19.2100%
Season away (5)91.879.2171.0+12.6100%
Last 10 (10)90.978.4169.3+12.5100%
Last 5 (5)88.881.2170.0+7.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)91.093.0184.0-2.00%
vs Similar (4)84.584.2168.8+0.275%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)92.677.8170.3+14.892%
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +4.4+4.4Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +0.8+0.8
GargzdaiZalgiris Kaunas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
GargzdaiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rytas
#2
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A03/10
LKL
Jurbarkas
#3
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H06/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Taurage
#9
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A11/10
LKL
Nevezis
#2
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A14/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Juventus
#8
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A18/10
LKL
Lietkabelis
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H24/10
LKL
Taurage
#4
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H27/10
King Mindaugas Cup
Nevezis
#10
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Jonava
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A08/11
LKL
Siauliai
#6
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A14/11
LKL
88.5Avg total
44.3Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.944.885.7-3.930%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.643.781.3-6.113%-
Last 30 away (15)44.145.990.0-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)44.344.288.5+0.160%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.082.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)39.144.683.7-5.518%-
vs Similar (10)41.345.486.7-4.130%-
vs Weaker (9)42.644.386.9-1.844%-
This opponent (Zalgiris Kaunas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Zalgiris KaunasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Taurage
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H18/10
LKL
Lyon-Villeurbanne
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H23/10
Euroleague
Jonava
#7
W
41-26
41
26
+15
H25/10
LKL
Virtus Bologna
#16
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A28/10
Euroleague
Partizan
#11
W
44-40
44
40
+4
H30/10
Euroleague
Rytas
#2
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A02/11
LKL
Besiktas
#13
W
45-31
45
31
+14
A06/11
Euroleague
Juventus
#8
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A08/11
LKL
Olimpia Milano
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A12/11
Euroleague
Neptunas
#5
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H15/11
LKL
82.6Avg total
44.3Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.938.883.7+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.538.785.2+7.987%-
Last 30 away (15)43.338.982.3+4.460%-
Last 10 (10)44.338.382.6+6.090%-
Last 5 (5)45.641.286.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.044.088.0+0.00%-
vs Similar (4)42.244.086.2-1.825%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)45.437.883.2+7.684%-
This opponent (Gargzdai) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Gargzdaitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Gargzdai: 88.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.125.2
55.9%
55.6%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.0
34.6%
35.3%24.0
🏀 Free throws19.814.0
70.7%
70.8%14.0
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zalgiris Kaunastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zalgiris Kaunas: 88.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
51%
30%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.319.8
56.1%
55.6%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.910.8
43.4%
35.3%32.4
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
70.8%16.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Gargzdai
LWLWWLWWWW
Zalgiris Kaunas
WWWWWWWWWW
#3
League position
#1
+3.6
Net rating
+11.2
99.4
Offensive rating
106.4
95.8
Defensive rating
95.2
54.5%
Effective FG%
59.8%
52.8%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
13.1%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
34.6%
3-point %
43.4%
60.8%
Assist %
69.0%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence99.4 · 106.4Defence95.8 · 95.2Shooting54.5% · 59.8%3-point %34.6% · 43.4%Ball care13.1% · 16.4%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)70% · 100%
■ Gargzdai   ■ Zalgiris Kaunas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Gargzdai wins
9
Zalgiris Kaunas wins
DateGameScore
17/09/26Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas77-98
22/04/26Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai85-77
15/02/26Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas63-69
07/12/25Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai108-71
26/10/25Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas73-89
17/09/23Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas55-107
26/03/23Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai96-70
21/12/22Gargzdai v Zalgiris Kaunas71-89
16/10/22Zalgiris Kaunas v Gargzdai86-74
Gargzdailast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ASiauliai82-97
08/11/26AJonava91-70
02/11/26ANevezis76-87
27/10/26HTaurage81-78
24/10/26HLietkabelis83-80
18/10/26AJuventus90-100
14/10/26ANevezis101-86
11/10/26ATaurage102-82
06/10/26HJurbarkas79-75
03/10/26ARytas105-102
Zalgiris Kaunaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26HNeptunas87-82
12/11/26AOlimpia Milano86-83
08/11/26AJuventus94-85
06/11/26ABesiktas83-67
02/11/26ARytas94-89
30/10/26HPartizan87-80
28/10/26AVirtus Bologna91-74
25/10/26HJonava86-63
23/10/26HLyon-Villeurbanne105-85
18/10/26HTaurage96-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Gargzdai
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL60%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWLLWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %60%75%50%
Points / game88.384.291.0
Allowed / game87.383.889.7
Point differential+1.0+0.5+1.3
Avg total175.6168.0180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%25%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zalgiris Kaunas
LKL 2026-27
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game92.693.491.8
Allowed / game76.774.279.2
Point differential+15.9+19.2+12.6
Avg total169.3167.6171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zalgiris Kaunas10100100%92.676.7+15.9
2 Rytas85362%89.685.4+4.2
3 Gargzdai106460%88.387.3+1.0
4 Lietkabelis106460%79.780.3-0.6
5 Neptunas105550%84.984.9+0.0
6 Siauliai105550%84.685.6-1.0
7 Jonava93633%78.482.0-3.6
8 Juventus103730%85.588.3-2.8
9 Taurage103730%80.486.5-6.1
10 Nevezis92722%75.883.1-7.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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