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Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Jan 2015
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-93
15-13 30-20 15-27 12-33
Position#21
Record20-25
FormLLWWL
Points / game93.1
Allowed / game96.4
vs
Position#10
Record30-17
FormWLLLL
Points / game107.2
Allowed / game101.9
USANBA
NBA2014-15
Meetings · Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks
26 Oct 2026
MIA109
DAL113
24 Nov 2025
MIA106
DAL102
24 Nov 2024
MIA123
DAL118
10 Apr 2024
MIA92
DAL111
01 Apr 2023
MIA129
DAL122
15 Feb 2022
MIA99
DAL107
04 May 2021
MIA113
DAL127
28 Feb 2020
MIA126
DAL118
28 Mar 2019
MIA105
DAL99
22 Dec 2017
MIA113
DAL101
19 Jan 2017
MIA99
DAL95
01 Jan 2016
MIA106
DAL82
30 Jan 2015
MIA72
DAL93
15 Nov 2013
MIA110
DAL104
02 Jan 2013
MIA119
DAL109
29 Mar 2012
MIA106
DAL85
12 Jun 2011
MIA95
DAL105
02 Jun 2011
MIA93
DAL95
31 May 2011
MIA92
DAL84
20 Dec 2010
MIA96
DAL98
11 Dec 2009
MIA93
DAL106
31 Jan 2009
MIA96
DAL111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
L
83-99
83
99
-16
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
104-90
104
90
+14
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
89-104
89
104
-15
A15/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A17/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A22/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H24/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
W
96-84
96
84
+12
A25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
102-109
102
109
-7
H28/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-18
25-25
16-33
19-23
30-29
32-24
24-23
18-14
22-12
22-22
17-19
17-22
18-26
20-29
25-26
26-23
26-22
26-22
23-17
20-22
27-24
23-25
17-23
19-22
17-25
22-20
16-20
21-13
26-18
28-19
21-27
14-23
26-20
22-18
26-24
22-22
29-30
21-24
32-28
20-27
180.1Avg total
89.8Scored
90.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (45)93.196.4189.6-3.344%
Season at home (22)93.997.5191.5-3.636%
Season away (23)92.395.4187.7-3.052%
Last 10 (10)89.890.3180.1-0.550%
Last 5 (5)89.890.4180.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)90.698.9189.5-8.327%
vs Similar (16)92.996.5189.4-3.644%
vs Weaker (3)83.781.7165.3+2.067%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
100-120
100
120
-20
A10/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
108-104 OT
108
104
+4
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
L
107-114
107
114
-7
A15/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
W
97-89
97
89
+8
H17/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
W
103-95
103
95
+8
A19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
98-75
98
75
+23
A22/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
L
98-102
98
102
-4
H24/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
L
106-109
106
109
-3
A25/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
L
90-109
90
109
-19
H28/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
94-99
94
99
-5
A29/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
24-26
24-32
28-32
29-33
31-30
20-20
19-16
24-28
26-31
28-31
29-24
29-24
20-18
24-23
24-24
25-16
28-30
29-29
21-20
24-21
35-17
16-19
23-18
21-30
30-24
24-26
23-22
22-25
34-36
28-28
22-20
24-24
20-30
28-32
18-23
25-24
28-30
25-27
16-18
201.7Avg total
100.1Scored
101.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (47)107.2101.9209.1+5.264%
Season at home (22)108.8102.5211.2+6.364%
Season away (25)105.8101.5207.2+4.364%
Last 10 (10)100.1101.6201.7-1.540%
Last 5 (5)97.298.8196.0-1.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.0105.0203.0-7.00%
vs Similar (21)107.6106.2213.8+1.452%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)103.194.8197.9+8.488%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.4+0.4Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: -1.5-1.5Q4: +0.6+0.6
Miami HeatDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A15/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A17/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H24/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A25/01
NBA
Milwaukee Bucks
#15
L
50-54
50
54
-4
H28/01
NBA
93.7Avg total
48.5Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.147.997.0+1.357%-
Last 30 at home (13)49.547.997.4+1.562%-
Last 30 away (17)48.947.896.7+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)48.545.293.7+3.370%-
Last 5 (5)48.244.692.8+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)47.750.498.1-2.645%-
vs Similar (16)50.448.298.6+2.156%-
vs Weaker (3)47.736.784.3+11.0100%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A10/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A15/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
W
49-42
49
42
+7
H17/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A19/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
59-38
59
38
+21
A22/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
L
51-54
51
54
-3
H24/01
NBA
New Orleans Pelicans
#14
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A25/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
L
44-54
44
54
-10
H28/01
NBA
Houston Rockets
#4
L
53-54
53
54
-1
A29/01
NBA
105.0Avg total
52.3Scored
52.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.752.2104.9+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.452.3102.7-1.938%-
Last 30 away (17)54.552.1106.5+2.453%-
Last 10 (10)52.352.7105.0-0.430%-
Last 5 (5)52.652.2104.8+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.066.0110.0-22.00%-
vs Similar (21)53.152.9106.0+0.243%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)52.648.5101.1+4.162%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Miami Heat wins
3
Dallas Mavericks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/01/15HMilwaukee Bucks102-109
25/01/15AChicago Bulls96-84
24/01/15HIndiana Pacers89-87
22/01/15ACharlotte Hornets76-78
21/01/15HOklahoma City Thunder86-94
17/01/15ASacramento Kings95-83
15/01/15AGolden State Warriors89-104
14/01/15ALos Angeles Lakers78-75
11/01/15ALos Angeles Clippers104-90
09/01/15APortland Trail Blazers83-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/01/15AHouston Rockets94-99
28/01/15HMemphis Grizzlies90-109
25/01/15ANew Orleans Pelicans106-109
24/01/15HChicago Bulls98-102
22/01/15AMinnesota Timberwolves98-75
19/01/15AMemphis Grizzlies103-95
17/01/15HDenver Nuggets97-89
15/01/15ADenver Nuggets107-114
14/01/15ASacramento Kings108-104 OT
10/01/15ALos Angeles Clippers100-120

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL44%
HomeLWLWL36%
AwayWLWLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games452223
Win %44%36%52%
Points / game93.193.992.3
Allowed / game96.497.595.4
Point differential-3.3-3.6-3.0
Avg total189.6191.5187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%18%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)57% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL64%
HomeWLWLL64%
AwayLWWLL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games472225
Win %64%64%64%
Points / game107.2108.8105.8
Allowed / game101.9102.5101.5
Point differential+5.2+6.3+4.3
Avg total209.1211.2207.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%27%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (16)67% (6)60% (10)
Overtime %9%5%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4336784%111.199.6+11.5
2 Atlanta Hawks4739883%103.796.3+7.3
3 Memphis Grizzlies46341274%101.796.5+5.1
4 Houston Rockets47331470%102.798.7+4.0
5 Los Angeles Clippers46321470%107.099.8+7.2
6 Toronto Raptors47321568%106.5101.1+5.4
7 Portland Trail Blazers47321568%102.797.4+5.3
8 Washington Wizards47311666%99.897.7+2.1
9 Dallas Mavericks47301764%107.2101.9+5.2
10 San Antonio Spurs47301764%101.397.2+4.1
11 Chicago Bulls48301862%102.399.9+2.4
12 Cleveland Cavaliers48282058%101.799.6+2.1
13 Phoenix Suns47272057%107.3105.1+2.2
14 Milwaukee Bucks46242252%98.897.2+1.6
15 New Orleans Pelicans46242252%100.099.0+1.0
16 Oklahoma City Thunder46232350%99.698.6+1.0
17 Miami Heat45202544%93.196.4-3.3
18 Charlotte Hornets46192741%94.697.4-2.8
19 Denver Nuggets47192840%100.9104.0-3.0
20 Brooklyn Nets46182839%95.799.6-3.9
21 Detroit Pistons47173036%97.5100.0-2.5
22 Boston Celtics45162936%101.4103.5-2.0
23 Sacramento Kings45162936%101.4104.5-3.1
24 Indiana Pacers48173135%95.096.9-1.9
25 Utah Jazz46163035%95.598.4-2.8
26 Orlando Magic49153431%95.8102.0-6.2
27 Los Angeles Lakers47133428%99.6106.2-6.6
28 Philadelphia 76ers47103721%89.7101.4-11.6
29 New York Knicks4793819%92.7100.6-7.9
30 Minnesota Timberwolves4683817%97.5106.9-9.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat1530151272
Dallas Mavericks1320273393
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