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Dallas Mavericks vs Denver Nuggets Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 17 Jan 2015
Tip-off: 01:30
Final 97-89
29-24 20-18 24-23 24-24
Position#10
Record27-13
FormWLLWL
Points / game108.8
Allowed / game102.8
vs
Position#24
Record18-20
FormWWWWW
Points / game102.6
Allowed / game103.7
USANBA
NBA2014-15
Meetings · Dallas Mavericks v Denver Nuggets
31 Mar 2027
DAL v DEN
upcoming
14 Jan 2026
DAL109
DEN118
23 Dec 2025
DAL131
DEN130
14 Jan 2025
DAL99
DEN118
12 Jan 2025
DAL101
DEN112
17 Mar 2024
DAL107
DEN105
20 Nov 2022
DAL97
DEN98
18 Nov 2022
DAL127
DEN99
03 Jan 2022
DAL103
DEN89
15 Nov 2021
DAL111
DEN101
25 Jan 2021
DAL113
DEN117
11 Mar 2020
DAL113
DEN97
08 Jan 2020
DAL106
DEN107
22 Feb 2019
DAL104
DEN114
06 Mar 2018
DAL118
DEN107
04 Dec 2017
DAL122
DEN105
11 Apr 2017
DAL91
DEN109
12 Dec 2016
DAL112
DEN92
26 Feb 2016
DAL122
DEN116
28 Nov 2015
DAL92
DEN81
16 Jan 2015
DAL97
DEN89
21 Mar 2014
DAL122
DEN106
25 Nov 2013
DAL96
DEN110
12 Apr 2013
DAL108
DEN105
28 Dec 2012
DAL85
DEN106
15 Feb 2012
DAL102
DEN84
26 Dec 2011
DAL93
DEN115
06 Apr 2011
DAL96
DEN104
06 Nov 2010
DAL92
DEN103
29 Mar 2010
DAL109
DEN93
11 May 2009
DAL119
DEN117
09 May 2009
DAL105
DEN106
27 Mar 2009
DAL101
DEN103
15 Dec 2008
DAL88
DEN98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Dallas Mavericks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Denver Nuggets winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
102-98
102
98
+4
H27/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
W
112-107
112
107
+5
H29/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
W
114-87
114
87
+27
H31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
119-101
119
101
+18
A03/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
109-90
109
90
+19
A04/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#20
W
96-88 OT
96
88
+8
A06/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
L
95-108
95
108
-13
H08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
100-120
100
120
-20
A10/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
108-104 OT
108
104
+4
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
L
107-114
107
114
-7
A15/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-19
22-23
24-20
30-36
33-26
31-32
17-30
31-19
27-24
36-21
26-19
25-23
31-17
28-29
33-18
27-37
28-25
29-22
32-24
20-19
21-35
22-14
22-16
17-17
26-31
23-23
19-20
27-34
24-30
24-26
24-32
28-32
29-33
31-30
20-20
19-16
24-28
26-31
28-31
29-24
207.9Avg total
106.2Scored
101.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (40)108.8102.8211.6+6.068%
Season at home (19)110.9102.8213.8+8.168%
Season away (21)106.8102.8209.6+4.067%
Last 10 (10)106.2101.7207.9+4.570%
Last 5 (5)101.2106.8208.0-5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.0105.0203.0-7.00%
vs Similar (20)108.6106.3214.9+2.360%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)109.698.0207.6+11.689%
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#20
L
96-102
96
102
-6
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
106-102
106
102
+4
H27/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
102-116
102
116
-14
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
L
103-111
103
111
-8
H31/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
L
101-106
101
106
-5
A02/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
W
114-85
114
85
+29
H04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
110-101
110
101
+9
A06/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
118-108
118
108
+10
A10/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
W
114-107
114
107
+7
H15/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-30
27-28
23-18
19-26
26-27
27-20
26-27
27-28
24-27
30-33
33-28
15-28
29-33
17-29
25-21
32-28
23-22
30-20
21-35
27-29
32-22
17-16
34-22
31-25
35-21
27-20
25-28
23-32
25-18
15-21
23-19
30-32
30-27
24-33
36-15
28-33
28-24
31-26
31-28
24-29
208.5Avg total
105.7Scored
102.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (38)102.6103.7206.3-1.247%
Season at home (20)104.6101.2205.8+3.460%
Season away (18)100.3106.6206.9-6.333%
Last 10 (10)105.7102.8208.5+2.960%
Last 5 (5)109.898.2208.0+11.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)103.2105.3208.5-2.140%
vs Similar (12)102.198.8200.8+3.367%
vs Weaker (3)103.0104.0207.0-1.067%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q1: +2.8+2.8Q2Q2: +2.1+2.1Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +1.5+1.5Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.4-0.4Q4: -3.4-3.4
Dallas MavericksDenver Nuggets
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H27/12
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
W
64-58
64
58
+6
H29/12
NBA
Washington Wizards
#12
W
63-45
63
45
+18
H31/12
NBA
Boston Celtics
#17
W
59-46
59
46
+13
A03/01
NBA
Cleveland Cavaliers
#3
W
57-47
57
47
+10
A04/01
NBA
Brooklyn Nets
#20
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A06/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
L
49-54
49
54
-5
H08/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
L
48-56
48
56
-8
A10/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
60-63
60
63
-3
A14/01
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#24
L
50-59
50
59
-9
A15/01
NBA
106.0Avg total
54.1Scored
51.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)53.352.4105.7+1.053%-
Last 30 at home (13)51.952.8104.7-0.846%-
Last 30 away (17)54.452.1106.5+2.459%-
Last 10 (10)54.151.9106.0+2.250%-
Last 5 (5)50.056.2106.2-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)44.066.0110.0-22.00%-
vs Similar (20)53.152.6105.8+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)54.950.2105.1+4.767%-
This opponent (Denver Nuggets) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Denver NuggetsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#20
L
54-58
54
58
-4
A24/12
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H27/12
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
54-60
54
60
-6
H29/12
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
L
46-62
46
62
-16
H31/12
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A02/01
NBA
Memphis Grizzlies
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H04/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
62-41
62
41
+21
A06/01
NBA
Orlando Magic
#26
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H08/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
L
54-60
54
60
-6
A10/01
NBA
Dallas Mavericks
#10
W
59-50
59
50
+9
H15/01
NBA
102.1Avg total
52.4Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)51.050.7101.7+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)51.647.899.3+3.869%-
Last 30 away (14)50.354.1104.4-3.836%-
Last 10 (10)52.449.7102.1+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)52.845.698.4+7.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)51.351.4102.7-0.160%-
vs Similar (12)50.550.0100.5+0.542%-
vs Weaker (3)51.350.0101.3+1.367%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Dallas Mavericks wins
6
Denver Nuggets wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/15ADenver Nuggets107-114
14/01/15ASacramento Kings108-104 OT
10/01/15ALos Angeles Clippers100-120
08/01/15HDetroit Pistons95-108
06/01/15ABrooklyn Nets96-88 OT
04/01/15ACleveland Cavaliers109-90
03/01/15ABoston Celtics119-101
31/12/14HWashington Wizards114-87
29/12/14HOklahoma City Thunder112-107
27/12/14HLos Angeles Lakers102-98
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/15HDallas Mavericks114-107
10/01/15ASacramento Kings118-108
08/01/15HOrlando Magic93-90
06/01/15AMinnesota Timberwolves110-101
04/01/15HMemphis Grizzlies114-85
02/01/15AChicago Bulls101-106
31/12/14HLos Angeles Lakers103-111
29/12/14HToronto Raptors102-116
27/12/14HMinnesota Timberwolves106-102
24/12/14ABrooklyn Nets96-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL68%
HomeLWWWL68%
AwayWWLWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games401921
Win %68%68%67%
Points / game108.8110.9106.8
Allowed / game102.8102.8102.8
Point differential+6.0+8.1+4.0
Avg total211.6213.8209.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%32%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won77% (13)80% (5)75% (8)
Overtime %10%5%14%
Denver Nuggets
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW47%
HomeLLWWW60%
AwayLLLWW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games382018
Win %47%60%33%
Points / game102.6104.6100.3
Allowed / game103.7101.2106.6
Point differential-1.2+3.5-6.3
Avg total206.3205.8206.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%25%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)62% (8)33% (3)
Overtime %8%5%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors3731684%109.498.9+10.5
2 Atlanta Hawks4032880%103.296.5+6.7
3 Portland Trail Blazers3930977%103.596.5+7.1
4 Memphis Grizzlies39281172%101.997.9+4.1
5 Houston Rockets40281270%102.397.6+4.8
6 Dallas Mavericks40271368%108.8102.8+6.0
7 Washington Wizards40271368%99.297.6+1.6
8 Los Angeles Clippers39261367%106.299.8+6.4
9 Toronto Raptors39261367%107.1101.6+5.5
10 Chicago Bulls41271466%102.499.3+3.0
11 San Antonio Spurs40241660%101.998.3+3.6
12 Phoenix Suns41231856%107.0104.9+2.1
13 Milwaukee Bucks40211952%98.597.2+1.2
14 Cleveland Cavaliers40202050%100.0100.2-0.1
15 Oklahoma City Thunder39192049%99.598.8+0.8
16 New Orleans Pelicans39192049%100.8100.7+0.2
17 Denver Nuggets38182047%102.6103.7-1.2
18 Miami Heat39172244%93.597.6-4.1
19 Brooklyn Nets40172342%95.797.8-2.1
20 Sacramento Kings38162242%102.3103.8-1.5
21 Detroit Pistons40152538%97.799.8-2.2
22 Charlotte Hornets40152538%95.998.9-3.0
23 Indiana Pacers41152637%95.597.0-1.6
24 Orlando Magic43152835%94.9100.1-5.3
25 Boston Celtics38132534%102.3104.2-1.9
26 Utah Jazz39132633%96.299.5-3.3
27 Los Angeles Lakers40122830%100.8106.8-6.0
28 Philadelphia 76ers3983121%90.4102.4-12.0
29 Minnesota Timberwolves3763116%98.5108.1-9.6
30 New York Knicks4153612%92.5101.7-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Dallas Mavericks2920242497
Denver Nuggets2418232489
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