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Miami Heat vs Dallas Mavericks Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 30 Mar 2012
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 106-85
24-29 36-24 20-19 26-13
Position#4
Record36-14
FormWWWLL
Points / game101.2
Allowed / game93.7
vs
Position#17
Record29-24
FormWLLWW
Points / game94.6
Allowed / game93.2
USANBA
NBA2011-12
Meetings · Miami Heat v Dallas Mavericks
26 Oct 2026
MIA109
DAL113
24 Nov 2025
MIA106
DAL102
24 Nov 2024
MIA123
DAL118
10 Apr 2024
MIA92
DAL111
01 Apr 2023
MIA129
DAL122
15 Feb 2022
MIA99
DAL107
04 May 2021
MIA113
DAL127
28 Feb 2020
MIA126
DAL118
28 Mar 2019
MIA105
DAL99
22 Dec 2017
MIA113
DAL101
19 Jan 2017
MIA99
DAL95
01 Jan 2016
MIA106
DAL82
30 Jan 2015
MIA72
DAL93
15 Nov 2013
MIA110
DAL104
02 Jan 2013
MIA119
DAL109
29 Mar 2012
MIA106
DAL85
12 Jun 2011
MIA95
DAL105
02 Jun 2011
MIA93
DAL95
31 May 2011
MIA92
DAL84
20 Dec 2010
MIA96
DAL98
11 Dec 2009
MIA93
DAL106
31 Jan 2009
MIA96
DAL111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Dallas Mavericks winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#9
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H08/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
W
93-91 OT
93
91
+2
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
L
98-104 OT
98
104
-6
A13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
102-106
102
106
-4
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
84-78
84
78
+6
A16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
91-81
91
81
+10
H18/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
W
99-95
99
95
+4
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
88-73
88
73
+15
A23/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
87-103
87
103
-16
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
90-105
90
105
-15
A26/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
18-23
25-23
21-18
17-26
22-17
21-18
25-24
27-30
29-15
17-27
21-22
23-19
19-34
28-28
32-25
31-18
26-12
12-26
15-22
31-22
19-25
17-16
24-18
28-22
21-31
23-22
27-20
27-20
32-16
13-21
16-16
24-25
25-35
20-20
18-23
24-24
22-25
19-29
25-27
184.3Avg total
92.1Scored
92.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)101.293.7194.9+7.672%
Season at home (23)103.390.4193.7+12.991%
Season away (27)99.596.4195.9+3.156%
Last 10 (10)92.192.2184.3-0.160%
Last 5 (5)91.091.4182.4-0.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)95.391.8187.1+3.570%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)100.591.7192.2+8.975%
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#26
L
97-110
97
110
-13
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
L
87-111
87
111
-24
A11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
107-98
107
98
+9
H14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
W
101-96
101
96
+5
H16/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
106-99
106
99
+7
H18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
112-95
112
95
+17
A20/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
93-109
93
109
-16
H22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
87-104
87
104
-17
A24/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
101-99 OT
101
99
+2
A25/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
90-81
90
81
+9
H28/03
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-31
22-23
28-34
25-22
15-26
27-26
24-31
21-28
27-26
33-25
23-24
24-23
23-23
25-31
26-14
27-28
28-19
18-25
32-24
28-31
33-29
30-27
29-22
20-17
29-27
15-30
28-23
21-29
21-24
24-28
18-18
24-34
26-30
30-24
16-18
19-19
19-30
27-19
23-12
21-20
198.3Avg total
98.1Scored
100.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)94.693.2187.8+1.455%
Season at home (28)96.792.4189.1+4.368%
Season away (25)92.394.2186.5-1.840%
Last 10 (10)98.1100.2198.3-2.160%
Last 5 (5)96.697.6194.2-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)92.598.2190.8-5.825%
vs Similar (21)96.393.9190.2+2.462%
vs Weaker (5)97.097.6194.6-0.640%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.9+2.9Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: -2.1-2.1
Miami HeatDallas Mavericks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atlanta Hawks
#9
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H08/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H11/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
56-45
56
45
+11
A13/03
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#2
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A15/03
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#12
W
57-30
57
30
+27
A16/03
NBA
Orlando Magic
#14
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H18/03
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#18
L
49-53
49
53
-4
H20/03
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#22
W
59-36
59
36
+23
A23/03
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#3
L
49-60
49
60
-11
A26/03
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
A26/03
NBA
95.1Avg total
49.0Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)52.546.098.5+6.570%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.946.297.1+4.877%-
Last 30 away (17)53.745.899.5+7.965%-
Last 10 (10)49.046.195.1+2.940%-
Last 5 (5)50.649.099.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)51.445.897.2+5.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)53.046.099.1+7.080%-
This opponent (Dallas Mavericks) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Dallas MavericksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sacramento Kings
#26
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A10/03
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#23
L
42-52
42
52
-10
A11/03
NBA
Washington Wizards
#29
W
60-51
60
51
+9
H14/03
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#30
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H16/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H18/03
NBA
Denver Nuggets
#11
W
63-56
63
56
+7
A20/03
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#10
L
44-57
44
57
-13
H22/03
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#1
L
45-52
45
52
-7
A24/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
W
56-54
56
54
+2
A25/03
NBA
Houston Rockets
#15
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H28/03
NBA
101.7Avg total
49.4Scored
52.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.947.997.8+2.063%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.546.194.7+2.467%-
Last 30 away (15)51.349.6100.9+1.760%-
Last 10 (10)49.452.3101.7-2.940%-
Last 5 (5)50.853.6104.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)48.847.596.2+1.275%-
vs Similar (21)50.247.097.2+3.167%-
vs Weaker (5)49.651.6101.2-2.040%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Miami Heat wins
7
Dallas Mavericks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/12AIndiana Pacers90-105
26/03/12AOklahoma City Thunder87-103
23/03/12ADetroit Pistons88-73
20/03/12HPhoenix Suns99-95
18/03/12HOrlando Magic91-81
16/03/12APhiladelphia 76ers84-78
15/03/12AChicago Bulls102-106
13/03/12AOrlando Magic98-104 OT
11/03/12HIndiana Pacers93-91 OT
08/03/12HAtlanta Hawks89-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/12HHouston Rockets90-81
25/03/12AHouston Rockets101-99 OT
24/03/12ASan Antonio Spurs87-104
22/03/12HLos Angeles Lakers93-109
20/03/12ADenver Nuggets112-95
18/03/12HSan Antonio Spurs106-99
16/03/12HCharlotte Hornets101-96
14/03/12HWashington Wizards107-98
11/03/12AGolden State Warriors87-111
10/03/12ASacramento Kings97-110

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL72%
HomeWWWWW91%
AwayLWWLL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502327
Win %72%91%56%
Points / game101.2103.399.5
Allowed / game93.790.496.4
Point differential+7.6+12.9+3.1
Avg total194.9193.7195.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%61%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)100% (4)43% (7)
Overtime %10%4%15%
Dallas Mavericks
NBA 2011-12
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW55%
HomeWWWLW68%
AwayLLWLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532825
Win %55%68%40%
Points / game94.696.792.3
Allowed / game93.292.494.2
Point differential+1.4+4.3-1.8
Avg total187.8189.1186.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%32%16%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (18)67% (6)33% (12)
Overtime %6%7%4%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Chicago Bulls54431180%97.488.8+8.6
2 Oklahoma City Thunder52401277%103.596.8+6.7
3 Miami Heat50361472%101.293.7+7.6
4 San Antonio Spurs51361571%100.996.4+4.4
5 Orlando Magic53332062%94.192.8+1.3
6 Los Angeles Clippers52312160%97.695.2+2.3
7 Los Angeles Lakers52312160%96.294.2+1.9
8 Philadelphia 76ers52302258%94.387.5+6.8
9 Indiana Pacers52302258%95.793.3+2.4
10 Boston Celtics52302258%90.989.8+1.2
11 Atlanta Hawks54312357%94.292.5+1.7
12 Denver Nuggets53292455%104.1102.1+2.0
13 Dallas Mavericks53292455%94.693.2+1.4
14 Memphis Grizzlies50272354%94.893.9+0.9
15 New York Knicks53282553%97.194.2+2.8
16 Houston Rockets53282553%98.197.4+0.7
17 Utah Jazz53282553%98.598.8-0.3
18 Minnesota Timberwolves54272750%99.098.4+0.6
19 Phoenix Suns53252847%96.898.4-1.7
20 Portland Trail Blazers52242846%96.895.8+1.0
21 Milwaukee Bucks52232944%97.898.8-1.0
22 Golden State Warriors51213041%97.899.8-2.0
23 Detroit Pistons52193337%89.895.2-5.4
24 Cleveland Cavaliers50183236%93.798.5-4.8
25 Sacramento Kings52183435%98.2103.6-5.4
26 Toronto Raptors53173632%90.894.6-3.8
27 Brooklyn Nets54173731%92.398.3-6.1
28 New Orleans Pelicans52153729%89.493.4-3.9
29 Washington Wizards52114121%92.7100.3-7.6
30 Charlotte Hornets5084216%87.199.8-12.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat24362026106
Dallas Mavericks2924191385
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