PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 28 Jan 2015
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 102-109
29-30 21-24 32-28 20-27
Position#21
Record20-24
FormWLLWW
Points / game92.9
Allowed / game96.2
vs
Position#15
Record22-22
FormWLLWL
Points / game98.2
Allowed / game97.0
USANBA
NBA2014-15
Meetings · Miami Heat v Milwaukee Bucks
04 Feb 2027
MIA v MIL
upcoming
18 Nov 2026
MIA v MIL
upcoming
12 Mar 2026
MIA112
MIL105
26 Nov 2025
MIA106
MIL103
05 Apr 2025
MIA115
MIL121
26 Nov 2024
MIA103
MIL106
28 Nov 2023
MIA124
MIL131
24 Apr 2023
MIA119
MIL114
22 Apr 2023
MIA121
MIL99
14 Jan 2023
MIA111
MIL95
12 Jan 2023
MIA108
MIL102
08 Dec 2021
MIA113
MIL104
21 Oct 2021
MIA137
MIL95
29 May 2021
MIA103
MIL120
27 May 2021
MIA84
MIL113
30 Dec 2020
MIA119
MIL108
29 Dec 2020
MIA97
MIL144
06 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL118
04 Sep 2020
MIA115
MIL100
02 Mar 2020
MIA105
MIL89
15 Mar 2019
MIA98
MIL113
22 Dec 2018
MIA94
MIL87
09 Feb 2018
MIA91
MIL85
14 Jan 2018
MIA97
MIL79
21 Jan 2017
MIA109
MIL97
17 Nov 2016
MIA96
MIL73
19 Jan 2016
MIA79
MIL91
27 Jan 2015
MIA102
MIL109
16 Nov 2014
MIA84
MIL91
02 Apr 2014
MIA96
MIL77
12 Nov 2013
MIA118
MIL95
23 Apr 2013
MIA98
MIL86
21 Apr 2013
MIA110
MIL87
09 Apr 2013
MIA94
MIL83
21 Nov 2012
MIA113
MIL106
22 Jan 2012
MIA82
MIL91
06 Apr 2011
MIA85
MIL90
04 Jan 2011
MIA101
MIL89
27 Feb 2010
MIA71
MIL94
01 Feb 2010
MIA81
MIL97
28 Mar 2009
MIA102
MIL85
15 Dec 2008
MIA83
MIL98
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Miami Heat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Milwaukee Bucks winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Miami HeatUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#20
W
88-84
88
84
+4
H04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
L
83-99
83
99
-16
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
104-90
104
90
+14
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
78-75
78
75
+3
A14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
89-104
89
104
-15
A15/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
95-83
95
83
+12
A17/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
L
86-94
86
94
-8
H21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
76-78
76
78
-2
A22/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
89-87
89
87
+2
H24/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
W
96-84
96
84
+12
A25/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
19-19
15-19
24-25
23-18
25-25
16-33
19-23
30-29
32-24
24-23
18-14
22-12
22-22
17-19
17-22
18-26
20-29
25-26
26-23
26-22
26-22
23-17
20-22
27-24
23-25
17-23
19-22
17-25
22-20
16-20
21-13
26-18
28-19
21-27
14-23
26-20
22-18
26-24
22-22
176.2Avg total
88.4Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)92.996.2189.1-3.245%
Season at home (21)93.597.0190.5-3.538%
Season away (23)92.395.4187.7-3.052%
Last 10 (10)88.487.8176.2+0.660%
Last 5 (5)88.485.2173.6+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)91.2100.2191.3-9.025%
vs Similar ◀ (15)92.395.7188.0-3.347%
vs Weaker (3)83.781.7165.3+2.067%
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#29
W
95-82
95
82
+13
A05/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
L
96-102
96
102
-6
H07/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
W
97-77
97
77
+20
A08/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
98-84
98
84
+14
H10/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
L
87-95
87
95
-8
A11/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#29
W
95-79
95
79
+16
H15/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
89-92
89
92
-3
H20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#19
L
99-101
99
101
-2
H23/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
W
101-86
101
86
+15
H25/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
L
95-101
95
101
-6
A26/01
NBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
23-17
31-26
19-18
21-15
23-28
28-28
24-31
27-11
26-28
24-21
20-17
19-22
34-16
19-20
26-26
19-29
20-19
23-20
25-27
31-13
25-24
26-19
13-23
25-22
19-31
18-15
27-24
16-26
31-27
32-23
20-25
23-28
40-21
28-18
10-19
24-21
31-26
12-22
28-32
185.1Avg total
95.2Scored
89.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)98.297.0195.3+1.250%
Season at home (20)97.895.3193.1+2.450%
Season away (24)98.698.5197.1+0.250%
Last 10 (10)95.289.9185.1+5.350%
Last 5 (5)95.891.8187.6+4.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)100.196.9197.0+3.238%
vs Similar ◀ (17)99.699.7199.4-0.141%
vs Weaker (5)97.681.6179.2+16.0100%
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -3.0-3.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +3.5+3.5Q3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -3.0-3.0
Miami HeatMilwaukee Bucks
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Miami HeatLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brooklyn Nets
#20
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H04/01
NBA
Portland Trail Blazers
#8
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A09/01
NBA
Los Angeles Clippers
#5
W
62-53
62
53
+9
A11/01
NBA
Los Angeles Lakers
#27
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A14/01
NBA
Golden State Warriors
#1
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A15/01
NBA
Sacramento Kings
#25
W
52-44
52
44
+8
A17/01
NBA
Oklahoma City Thunder
#13
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H21/01
NBA
Charlotte Hornets
#22
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A22/01
NBA
Indiana Pacers
#18
W
54-37
54
37
+17
H24/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
W
48-38
48
38
+10
A25/01
NBA
92.2Avg total
48.4Scored
43.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)49.548.197.6+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (13)50.448.598.8+1.969%-
Last 30 away (17)48.947.896.7+1.153%-
Last 10 (10)48.443.892.2+4.680%-
Last 5 (5)48.642.691.2+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)48.951.2100.2-2.350%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)50.447.998.3+2.560%-
vs Weaker (3)47.736.784.3+11.0100%-
This opponent (Milwaukee Bucks) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Milwaukee BucksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New York Knicks
#29
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A05/01
NBA
Phoenix Suns
#16
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H07/01
NBA
Philadelphia 76ers
#28
W
53-39
53
39
+14
A08/01
NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves
#30
W
53-38
53
38
+15
H10/01
NBA
Chicago Bulls
#9
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A11/01
NBA
New York Knicks
#29
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H15/01
NBA
Toronto Raptors
#11
L
44-53
44
53
-9
H20/01
NBA
Utah Jazz
#19
L
47-53
47
53
-6
H23/01
NBA
Detroit Pistons
#23
W
63-49
63
49
+14
H25/01
NBA
San Antonio Spurs
#7
W
55-47
55
47
+8
A26/01
NBA
94.4Avg total
49.9Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)50.647.397.9+3.370%-
Last 30 at home (14)51.247.398.5+3.971%-
Last 30 away (16)50.147.397.4+2.869%-
Last 10 (10)49.944.594.4+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)53.047.8100.8+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)50.045.295.2+4.875%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)50.650.5101.1+0.159%-
vs Weaker (5)51.639.891.4+11.8100%-
This opponent (Miami Heat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Miami Heat wins
2
Milwaukee Bucks wins
Miami Heatlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/15AChicago Bulls96-84
24/01/15HIndiana Pacers89-87
22/01/15ACharlotte Hornets76-78
21/01/15HOklahoma City Thunder86-94
17/01/15ASacramento Kings95-83
15/01/15AGolden State Warriors89-104
14/01/15ALos Angeles Lakers78-75
11/01/15ALos Angeles Clippers104-90
09/01/15APortland Trail Blazers83-99
04/01/15HBrooklyn Nets88-84
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/15ASan Antonio Spurs95-101
25/01/15HDetroit Pistons101-86
23/01/15HUtah Jazz99-101
20/01/15HToronto Raptors89-92
15/01/15HNew York Knicks95-79
11/01/15AChicago Bulls87-95
10/01/15HMinnesota Timberwolves98-84
08/01/15APhiladelphia 76ers97-77
07/01/15HPhoenix Suns96-102
05/01/15ANew York Knicks95-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Miami Heat
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW45%
HomeLLWLW38%
AwayWLWLW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442123
Win %45%38%52%
Points / game92.993.592.3
Allowed / game96.297.095.4
Point differential-3.2-3.5-3.0
Avg total189.1190.5187.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%19%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won64% (11)57% (7)75% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Milwaukee Bucks
NBA 2014-15
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL50%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442024
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game98.297.898.6
Allowed / game97.095.398.5
Point differential+1.2+2.4+0.2
Avg total195.3193.1197.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%30%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (15)38% (8)43% (7)
Overtime %7%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Golden State Warriors4236686%111.199.3+11.9
2 Atlanta Hawks4537882%103.496.2+7.3
3 Memphis Grizzlies44321273%101.597.3+4.2
4 Portland Trail Blazers45321371%103.097.2+5.8
5 Los Angeles Clippers45311469%107.3100.0+7.2
6 Houston Rockets45311469%103.099.0+4.0
7 Dallas Mavericks45301567%107.8101.8+6.0
8 Toronto Raptors45301567%105.7100.6+5.2
9 Washington Wizards45301567%99.997.6+2.3
10 San Antonio Spurs46291763%101.497.4+4.0
11 Chicago Bulls46291763%101.899.2+2.6
12 Phoenix Suns46262057%107.4105.3+2.1
13 Cleveland Cavaliers45252056%101.7100.0+1.7
14 New Orleans Pelicans45242153%100.499.2+1.2
15 Oklahoma City Thunder45232251%99.898.6+1.2
16 Milwaukee Bucks44222250%98.297.0+1.2
17 Miami Heat44202445%92.996.2-3.2
18 Charlotte Hornets45192642%94.897.4-2.6
19 Brooklyn Nets44182641%95.098.7-3.7
20 Denver Nuggets45182740%101.8104.5-2.7
21 Detroit Pistons45172838%98.2100.2-2.0
22 Boston Celtics43162737%101.9103.6-1.7
23 Sacramento Kings43162737%101.7104.3-2.6
24 Utah Jazz45162936%95.798.5-2.8
25 Indiana Pacers47163134%94.997.3-2.4
26 Orlando Magic48153331%95.7101.7-6.0
27 Los Angeles Lakers45123327%99.3106.1-6.8
28 New York Knicks4583718%92.8100.8-8.0
29 Philadelphia 76ers4583718%89.5102.3-12.8
30 Minnesota Timberwolves4473716%97.3107.2-9.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Miami Heat29213220102
Milwaukee Bucks30242827109
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.